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Yep, as a matter of fact I added at the beginning of the week
Re
Less than a month ago enrollment looked like it was proceeding. All these small bios have crapped out again
Well unfortunately they are having trouble enrolling this trial ...and are burning thru their cash .
I sold most when they couldn't hold over $1 and will keep a small amount just to follow
Kiwi
Yep. fantastic . Their 2 immediate concerns where
1) Had they enrolled more in their trial
2) Was Nantahala going to extend their financing .
Looks like both are happening . Co was burning thru their cash and trial had been slow to enroll .
Almost 20X normal Vol ...maybe another fund adding big ...should see a filing in next day or so
If they keep the PPS over $1 for 10 consecutive days they have cured any Naz delisting issue
Kiwi
Obviously something good. Look at the price and volume.
Not very authoritative but saw comment posted on ST
Thx. where did U get that info . I wasn't able to access the fireside chat
Kiwi
Thx. where did U get that info . I wasn't able to access the fireside chat
Kiwi
5 active sites I see being reported but I unfortunately was not able to listen personally.
TLPH fireside chat tomorrow I think. Let's hope they announce some good trial recruiting numbers .
Kiwi
Thanks. Sailed around hurricane John a couple of days ago and now weather is great. Tomorrow canal.
Re TLPH ...my guess is market's concerned theres no update on trial enrollment so theres a risk Co will need to raise more $ .
Sold most of my position some time ago as noted in a previous post .
How's the weather where ever U are ?
Kiwi
Thx ...Yes probably no action till EOY .
I may copy and paste to the ARDX and UNCY boards
Safe travels
Kiwi
Saw this but it is a few days old:
“(Bloomberg Intelligence) - Ardelyx, Akebia Therapeutics and other makers of oral-only, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) drugs will likely see Congress pass legislation during the lame duck session
that blocks an administrative proposal to move the therapies out of the Medicare Part D program. Some lawmakers have expressed concerns with the regulatory decision, and a delay won't impact federal finances. Passing the bill would remove some near-term uncertainty around utilization and
pricing for newer drugs. (09/04/24)
1. Lawmakers Ramp Up Scrutiny of Regulatory Change Ramped-up congressional oversight of Medicare's implementation effort to incorporate oral-only drugs into the ESRD payment bundle should generate enough headline noise to keep the issue front-and-center for action during the lame-duck session. Lawmakers continue to raise concerns about the regulatory change, and have requested information from the Biden administration on the implementation process. But with only a handful of legislative weeks scheduled in September, major policy changes won't make it to the president's desk before Congress adjourns for election
campaigns. The policy change will likely be folded into a broad-based year-end omnibus bill with other member
priorities such as PBM regulation changes and legislation curtailing biotech research with China.
(09/04/24)”
Thanks Kiwi. I unfortunately have been running around today and just got home and am now going back out to cut the grass. Will listen if I can find a replay.
Going on a Panama Canal cruise in a couple days and of course the stuff always hits the fan when I leave.
RMB. I listened to TLPH's presentation and my take was
1) This trial is going to take a lot longer to complete than I anticipated .
2) Even when approved their drug will be included in the dialysis bundle since its used during the actual dialysis process ...so it may be a hard sell as CMS caps each dialysis payment and dialysis co's get to keep the difference between what its costs to dialyze some one .....and what CMS pays .
I lowered my position and are now more interested in VERA, UNCY and ARDX in the CKD space .
Good luck
Kiwi
Re Defencath .
You are correct about Defencath has it has a limited target population. I am there as they are about to sign up a couple more dialysis providers and technically the stock looks strong and I plan to be out in the near future - upon positive news.
I have been slowly over the last number of years funneling proceeds from bio/spec sales into mid/large cap div payers. 2025 will require me to start RMDs in my tax sheltered account. My taxable brokerage account is already completely in dividend stocks save for AMRN. With interest rates dropping in the coming year my savings accounts will be bringing me much less interest income at a time that I moved to a more expensive area to live - what was I thinking?
OMG. you're running a mini biotech fund ....why didn't U mention AMRN ...:--)
If U don't mind I'll do a mini critique some time
Re CRMD ...and their cath loc . I had briefly discussed cath infections with my smarter half some time ago.. She sees 1-2 cases a mth
Rate of infection
You are right that some of these small bios are taxing our patience or at least make it frustrating to hold. I have invested in a group of them for the potential they hold and will look at them as a group insofar as what return I will be getting on the investment.
ALLO, ARDX, EYEN, TLPH, RZLT, UNCY. I do have other small bios but I consider them separate since they have approved products already selling in the marketplace. AXSM, CRSP, AUPH, BCRX, CRMD.
Hopefully stock will stay above $1 for 10 days and cure its delisting notice
Another Co besides UNCY thats difficult to be patient with .
The pivotal clinical trial for TLPH has been painfully slow to enroll ...while they burn thru their cash on hand
Kiwi
I listened to their CC. Multiple sites have now been signed up and are screening patients .
No one has completed the trial yet ...so total completion is pushed off till end of year ( my guess )
Have $14m in cash and will burn thru much of that running this trial ...so renegotiating mile stone payment with Nantahala will be key in Sept . Nantahala now has some one on the BOD.
New CMO ? is a Nephrologist and may be able to expedite the clinical trial site set ups / enrollment faster
Kiwi
ER on Aug 14th ...need an update on their trial ...if its enrolling and when they expect results ...and if they need more cash
Kiwi
Copy from a friend asking what's up with TLPH ..my response
RMB / Molee ..they probably have made progress enrolling patients in their trial . I'll look for an update on clinical trials .gov .
P3 results still due this yr
Kiwi
That's why day trading is like a casino . House has the advantage ....
Yet , we continue to come back , hopeful that we can win a few shekels here and there .
Possible. Volume already 3 times avg 3mo volume. Why are we always last to know?
No update on trial enrollment ...or even if first patient has been enrolled ???
Just picked up a few more shares, with understanding that this may take longer than originally expected.
AH gains not showing up as much in next day trading
Kiwi
Got tied up all day and had no chance.
RMB. did U add ...trading up a lot after hrs today ...at least on this board
Kiwi
Trading up 15% after hrs !!! Lets see what tomorrow brings
Kiwi
From May 13th CC
.
Definitely could be worse. Might look at adding as well.
Q1 ER Considering the Company’s current cash resources and its current and expected levels of operating expenses for the next twelve months, management expects to need additional capital to fund its planned operations prior to the 12-month anniversary of the date
We need an update on trial progress
From a March post
They need $ ...see post to RMB ...just my guess
Kiwi
Ceo was buying 10,000 shares last week ...open market purchases .
http://archive.fast-edgar.com/20240614/AQLHSQ2CKC22VZZX222H2ZZZBBT5Z2X2Z262/
Co may be about to do a RZLT ...raise $ and dilute current investors despite saying they have enough $ to complete trial .
There had been some administrative delays starting the trial ...so they may have been burning thru cash on hand getting the trial going .
If trial is delayed ...even worse .
If the only issue is delay in trial starting ( but its on track ) so they needed to raise some $ ....I'll probably add some
Kiwi
Another disaster du jour. we are always last to find out.
What do you suppose THIS drop is all about ???
Mkt agrees with U . Heavy vol up around 20% as I type.
Recent funding
Good news even if results are pushed out a bit.
Maxim Group analyst Jason McCarthy initiates coverage on Talphera ( TLPH ) with a Buy rating and announces Price Target of $3.
Oh keep the faith
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Market Cap: $108 Million
Cash: $72 Million
Price: $2.40
Shares Out: 45.3 Million
Upcoming Major Milestones
Zalviso Phase 3 Results in July 2017
DSUVIA PDUFA Date October 12, 2017
Zalsviso NDA Resubmission in Q4 2017
DSUVIA CHMP Opinion in 1H 2018 (EU Approval )
Presentation June 2017
http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9NjczNjExfENoaWxkSUQ9MzgxNTY1fFR5cGU9MQ==&t=1
Jefferies Sees Strong Upside in AcelRx Pharmaceuticals’ Shares and Set a $7 Price Target
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jefferies-sees-strong-upside-acelrx-145225845.html
Biotech Catalyst Play: AcelRx Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:ACRX)...
https://insiderfinancial.com/biotech-catalyst-play-acelrx-pharmaceuticals-inc-nasdaqacrx
While Zalviso is our near-term catalyst, the DSUVIA decision probably holds more weight from a valuation perspective. Why? Because peak sales for this one are estimated at a little over $1.1 billion in the US alone. If FDA gives a green light for commercialization to the asset, therefore, the company could have a blockbuster drug on its hands. Combine that with the close to $400 million in revenues potential from Zalviso, and AcelRx could very justifiably become a multibillion-dollar biotech company before the end of the decade.
https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=acrx&ty=c&ta=1&p=d
Shs Outstand | 119.10M |
Shs Float | 116.83M |
Short Float | 13.47% |
Insider Own | 2.00% |
Inst Own | 34.80% |
Inst Trans | 43.60% |
Inst Trans | 43.60% |
ROE | 66.50% |
ROI | 120.80% |
Employees | 54 |
Forward P/E | 16.13 |
Recom | 1.70 |
52W Range | 1.01 - 2.94 |
minor resistance $1.70 [-chart]finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=acrx&ty=c&ta=1&p=d&s=l[/chart]
02-07-2021
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