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finally,
Is the stop an intraday value, or a closing value?
Just curious to see if you are still in.
Thanks
wow, Algorithm value is very high today. Wish I had more ammo for puts.
Getting to a point where we are over extended at a confluence of resistance:
No sell signal yet, but a lot of divergences on the 15-minutes SPX.
Hopefully I will get a trigger if we put in a new 2009 high with larger set of divergences.
Stopped out of 1,000 shares of SDS @ $52.91. (loss $1,690)
Sorry for late post, been out all afternoon/evening. Followed guidance from prior post.
That fractional new high this morning did not stop me out. Any new high even by a penny and it's closed.
flxc4p4str,
Never changed my stop, but I had $0.05 more cents on the SPX until it triggered so I'm still in my position.
I was expecting to get another sell signal on the market as it trended up all day, but my readings actually went down. I would be surprised to see any weakness in the morning not getting bought up, but I'm sticking to my stops or until I get a reading stating I should sell my SDS.
I would like to see about a 70% win rate from this system with winners doing about 150% of the losers.
Still needs some tweaking. My one loss I would have never closed out due to all the negative divergences, but I don't have that in the algorithm yet.
Hello finally,
Wondering if you got out of your SDS trade today or if you modified your stop to stay in.
Also, is TUMME is an acronym? If so, for what?
Thanks for posting these trades, I'm watching and attempting to learn from them.
Thanks,
flxc4p4str
Sold remaining 2,000 shares of SSO at $24.97 ($49,940) +3.83%. Gain of $1,840.
Sold 2,000 shares of SSO at $24.61 ($49,220) +5.17%. Gain of $2,420.
Purchased 2,000 shares of SSO at $23.40 ($46,800)
Stop at SPX 865.
Purchased 2,000 shares of SSO at $24.05 ($48,100)
Stop at SPX 865.
Closing out 900 shares of SDS at $53.94. Loss of $1,548.
Hate to do it since there are negative divergences galore right here, but a rule is a rule.
Just missed stop by .01 yesterday. Raising stop 2 points for possible opening overthrow.
Interested to hear more about the trading system you are working on.
could you elaborate.
in 100 shares sds at 55.30 stop set at gap sup (spx 923) might change it to ma 20 (926)
will add to the position if spx resistance holds
But if this count is correct, we will see a minimum of 870 in short order if it's a C. If a "3" we are looking at 820-837 by the 4th.
Interesting conflict. Back testing downtrend line from May consolidation at the lows. Back testing the break of the April uptrend line at the highs.
I am out - nice trade - thanks.
Stops on positions moved down. No set number but 2 hourly closes inside the channel will close out 100% of position.
If this read is right Chevron is going to seriously outperform Oil over the next 12 months. Target is 0.25
Thanks for being the first post!
I've been in hiding re-working an algorithm I've used for years. It's always been able to hit major bottoms quite well, but always faltered at tops, getting in way too early.
The oscillators I used off the lows showed about 1000 as the max top, but with a pullback at 875 max (900 overthrow). It "broke" the algorithm with this current move to 955 with no pullback so I had to rework it.
I've been back testing and I think I have it right. Time will tell.
Hey finally,
Glad to see you posting. I am in with you on SDS, small.
Trying out a new trading algorithm I've been working on.
Had to name the algorithm something right? How about: Tool Used Make Money Efficiently? (Tummy or Tumi to the business crowd)
Trades will usually last 3-7 trading days with a few exceptions (stops getting hit being the most likely).
Base fund is $100,000 and trades will be made with 2 x S&P ETFs (SSO, SDS). In extreme readings, ITM Puts/Calls will be purchased.
I will not post my actual trade but the value of the SSO/SDS at the time of post since there will be a short lag and it will be a little more realistic to those following along.
Amount of trades can not be predicted, based strictly on algorithm value.
Portfolio Value (June 11 - today):
$108,956 (+8.96%)
Available Cash:
$2,574
Open Trades:
July 21 - Purchased 1,000 Shares of SDS @ $50.64 ($50,640). Stop SPX 982
July 22 - Purchased 900 shares of SDS @ $50.75 ($45,675). Stop SPX 982
July 22 - Purchased 45 SPY August 95 Puts @ $2.19 ($9,855). Stop SPX 982
Trading History:
Opened [June 11 - Long 1,600 Shares SDS @ $52.05 (purchase $83,280)], Closed [June 16 - Closed 1,300 Shares SDS @ $56.09 (sold $72,917)] $5,104 Profit (+7.53%)
Opened [June 12 - Long 300 Shares SDS @ $52.77 (purchase $15,831)], Closed [June 16 - Closed 600 Shares SDS @ $56.54 (sold $33,924)] $2,626 Profit (+8.39%)
Opened [June 12 - Long 900 Shares SDS @ $55.66 (purchase $50,094)], Closed [July 1 - Closed 900 Shares SDS @ $53.94 (sold $48,546)] $1,548 Loss (-3.09%)
Opened [July 8 - Long 2,000 Shares SSO @ $23.40 (purchase $46,800)], Closed [July 13 - Closed 2,000 Shares SSO @ $24.61 (sold $49,220)] $2,420 Profit (+5.17%)
Opened [July 7 - Long 2,000 Shares SSO @ $24.05 (purchase $48,100)], Closed [July 13 - Closed 2,000 Shares SSO @ $24.97 (sold $49,940)] $1,840 Profit (+3.83%)
Opened [July 15 - Long 1000 Shares SDS @ $54.60 (purchase $54,600)], Closed [July 16 - Closed 1000 Shares SDS @ $52.91 (sold $52,910)] $1,690 Loss (-3.09%)
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