Where Will The World's Next Giant Gold Discovery Be Made
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Oilprice.com
Sep 01, 2020, 09:00 ET
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LONDON, Sept. 1, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- With gold trading at an all-time high, and legendary investor Warren Buffet backing the precious metal for the first time, it's definitely time to consider where the next big gold discovery will emerge. And chances are it will be the same country that Buffett just bet on: Canada. Mentioned in today's commentary includes: AngloGold Ashanti Limited (NYSE: AU), Gold Fields Limited (NYSE: GFI), Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (NYSE: HMY), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX), Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (NYSE: BVN).
Buffett wasn't betting on discovery though, instead, he was betting on dividends. But dividends are for small, steady returns over a long period of time. But for investors looking for big returns, small-cap miners are where the risk-reward potential gets interesting.
Especially when it's a small-cap miner like Starr Peak Exploration Ltd. (STE.V; STRPF) that was prescient enough to place itself right next to a huge gold discovery - before it happened. And now the company is doubling down with major new acquisitions in the heart of one of the friendliest mining regions in the world. The smart money is already circling the stock, with Starr Peak's shares on a tear, gaining over 900% in 12 months.
Buffett Believes The Time Is Right For Gold
Buffett broke with his long-held negative stance on gold on August 17th when his Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a massive stake in Canadian Barrick Gold (GOLD) at a time when gold is soaring. Berkshire Hathaway bought more than $560 million in Barrick Gold shares.
Buffett has always called gold useless for the most part. But with COVID-19 ravaging the economy, even if the dollar makes a few temporary comebacks, gold is on track for a 90% increase in a very short time frame. That makes gold one of the biggest opportunities in the past few months.
Still, holding gold-mining stocks isn't the same as holding physical gold, which is largely just a safe haven hedge against inflation - and nothing more. Buffett didn't buy gold. He bought GOLD.
Gold-mining stocks come with much bigger potential rewards, but the biggest risks and rewards of all are the small-cap stocks that are sitting on new potential resources that nobody knows about. That's where small-cap
Starr Peak Exploration Ltd. (STE.V; STRPF) shines in that sweet spot right between a major discovery and low exposure.
The company is now trying to replicate a huge discovery made by its neighbor - Amex Exploration, whose own shares surged over 2,000% in the last year on new gold discoveries, and over 1000% in the last 12 months alone. And it's right in the heart of what is arguably the best gold venue in the world …
Canadian Gold and the Quebec Heartland
The future is bright for gold miners in Quebec, with a rich precious metals history and still a ton of unexplored and underexplored territory. And it's got geology that makes the mining industry reel with anticipation. More than 90% of the province's substratum consists of Precambrian rock, which is famous for rich deposits of gold - as well as iron, copper, and nickel. That's why the province has at least 30 major mines and some 160 exploration projects. And that is with only around 40% of the province's mineral potential even known.
The biggest prize is the Abitibi Greenstone Belt, home to some of the world's largest gold and base metal deposits. These are "world-class" deposits - a dozen of them, including the recent giant discovery by Amex. And Starr Peak is working to repeat Amex's success.
When gold soars, the first - and biggest - beneficiaries are those stocks on Canada's main index, the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX). And it's been a phenomenal 2020 for these stocks. And the best way to look for the surges is what's coming out of Quebec.
Right now, we're looking at the best conditions ever for new high-value gold discoveries. The soaring optimism has market values climbing uproariously since March for an entire lineup of Canadian miners, including Osisko Mining, IAMGOLD Corporate (IAG), McEwen Mining Inc. (MUX), and many others.
After years of cost-cutting, gold miners are now ready to spend, spend, spend on exploration - globally. But what's happened is this: Mining majors have largely given up exploration, standing by to let the junior miners do all the heavy lifting and then scooping them up on a major discovery, or once a discovery has been proved up. That makes some junior mining stocks worth far more than their market caps. And it makes millionaires out of some of their investors. And Quebec is one of the friendliest, most lucrative gold-mining venues in the world. This isn't African gold, with the uncertainty of corruption and the lack of infrastructure. This is a superior mining country with massive infrastructure already in place.
Welcome to the Discovery Zone: Past, Present & Future
Starr Peak acquired its first property directly adjacent and joining Amex's property back in June 2019. That was prescient because it was done before Amex made its first big discovery, and even before it started drilling aggressively. Anytime later and that would have been prime real estate with a prime price. Which is what it is, precisely, now.
Starr Peak's NewMétal Property is immediately east of AMEX's Perron Property, and also hosts the past-producing Normétal Mine, which Starr Peak just acquired on August 10th 2020.
The acquisition hunger here has been incredibly aggressive. Even though Starr Peak and its early staged investors were already confident that the company was sitting on an Amex-style re-run, they still moved fast to keep expanding their position. It's been a series of acquisitions over the past 12 months, including a huge package that looks like a pincer movement around Quebec's best-positioned gold play.
In June 2020, it expanded the first property by strategically acquiring a property that almost doubled its existing land position next to the world class deposit discovered by Amex. There were dozens of companies trying to get their hands on the property, but Starr Peak already had a leg up in the area.
Then, in August, Starr Peak acquired a 100%-interest in three major gold properties, orchestrating what can only be described as a mining coup for a small-cap company like this:
The Normetal/Normetmar gold, copper, zinc and silver property
The Rousseau gold property
The Turgeon Lake gold property
Starr Peak now has 74 mineral claims on some 2,280 hectares in one of the world's most exciting gold plays. As we speak, Amex is drilling closer and closer to Starr Peak's property line--and the closer it gets, the higher the grades of gold and the shallower the depth. Right now, it's only about 1.2 kilometers away from Starr Peak. And Starr Peak is fully funded and ready to start drilling its own property, with the same top geological consulting firm in Quebec, Laurentia Exploration--the same one behind the Amex discovery--to ramp it up.
These are exciting times in the Canadian gold patch, and nowhere is more exciting than the untapped precious metals potential of the world's favorite gold province--Quebec. This is where giant discoveries have a past, a present, and an even bigger future. If Normetal was a major player, and Amex a story of wild returns for investors, Starr Peak may be next in line.
An International Perspective
International miners are looking to ride the wave, as well. Gold Fields (GFI) has catapulted itself into the global mining elite in recent years thanks to its forward-looking vision and exceptional management. Based out of Johannesburg, South Africa, Gold Fields is one of the de facto leaders in the region. With operations in South Africa, Ghana, Australia and Peru, Gold Fields is well-diversified.
In 2019, Gold Fields produced over 68 tons of the precious metal, up nearly 8% from the year before. And thanks to this year's rally in gold prices, it's on track to produce even more by the end of 2020.
Last September, Gold Fields was trading at only $5.12 per share, but thanks to its increased production, and the dramatic rise in gold prices, it's now trading at $13.15, which means investors who held on have brought home over 150% returns – with many analysts suggesting the stock could go even higher.
It's rare to see miners from outside of North America on the New York Stock Exchange, but Peruvian Compania de Minas Buenaventura (BVN) is an exception. Listing on the NYSE in 1996, Minas Buenaventura has clawed its way up the ranks of the global mining elite. Currently valued at $3.51 billion, the mining giant is far from its all-time highs. But it's not down for the count just yet.
Minas Buenaventure is exposed to six different mining properties around the globe which bring in an estimated 945,000 ounces of gold every year. But that's not all its got going for it. It is also has exposure to a number of silver mines which produce as much as 26.5 million ounces per year, and tens of thousands of metric tons of industrial metals such as zinc, lead and copper from its domestic mines.
Harmony Gold (HMY) is another South African miner which has exploded onto the radars of investors this year. Though it's only the third-largest miner in the country, it has made some stellar moves in the marketplace. Domestically, it has nine underground mines in the resource-rich Witwatersrand Basin and one open-pit mine in the Kraaipan Greenstone Belt. It also has a major joint-venture with Newcrest Mining in Papua New Guinea.
Earlier this year, Harmony raised a whopping $200 million to partially fund a key acquisition of AngloGold's assets in its home country. The deal is expected to more-than-triple its gold production to as much as 1.8 million ounces per year.
This time last year, Harmony was trading at just $3.22, dropping to a low of $1.93 in March as a result of the wider market downturn, but it has since soared by 260% in a matter of months, now trading at $6.95 per share.
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is the third-largest gold mining company by production volume. And though it has had some problems over the past decade, specifically in the early 2010s when the gold market took a major hit forcing many miners, including AngloGold to shutter operations, the mining giant has persevered.
AngloGold is one of the more diverse miners on the planet, shielding itself from country-specific regulatory troubles or civil strife. It has operations on four continents including Africa, Australia, South America and North America.
Though AngloGold hasn't performed quite as well as some of its peers over the past year, it has shown that it still has the potential for long-term growth. Back in 2015, the company's share price dropped to just $5.97, but since then, investors who have been able to hold onto the stock have seen a 401% return over a five-year period.
While Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is primarily known for its significant copper mining operations, the resource giant also has a fair influx of gold as well. In fact, its Grasberg mine in Indonesia holds of the world's largest deposits of copper and gold. But that's just scratching the surface of the miner's global assets. Freeport-McMoRan also has extensive operations across the Americas, including mines in Arizona, Mexico and Peru.
Though its business struggled as global demand for copper took a hit, panic-buying from China has lifted prices higher in recent months – and that's good news for Freeport-McMoRan. In addition to climbing copper prices, gold prices hit record levels, which will add even more to the mining giant's bottom line.
Freeport-McMoRan has had a solid year, with the price of its stock bouncing off a low of $5.31 back in March to a high of $15.70 today, representing a strong 195% gain for shareholders.
By. Rick Sonenshein
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Forward-Looking Statements
This news release contains forward-looking information which is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events or results to differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Forward looking statements in this release include that prices for gold will retain value in future as currently expected; that Starr Peak can fulfill all its obligations to acquire its Quebec property, including receiving stock exchange approval; that Starr Peak's Quebec property can achieve drilling and mining success for gold; that historical geological information and estimations will prove to be accurate; that high-grade targets exist; and that Starr Peak will be able to carry out its business plans. These forward-looking statements are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking information. Risks that could change or prevent these statements from coming to fruition include that the Company may not get TSXV approval; it may not be able to finance its intended drilling program; Starr Peak may not raise sufficient funds to carry out its plans; geological interpretations and technological results based on current data that may change with more detailed information or testing. The forward-looking information contained herein is given as of the date hereof and the Company assumes no responsibility to update or revise such information to reflect new events or circumstances, except as required by law.
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