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Make Money Trading Earnings Announcements
If you watch the financial news media, youve seen how earnings releases work. Its like the big game on Sunday; it comes with hours, and sometimes days, of endless experts providing their predictions of what the numbers will look like, and other experts providing their strategies of how to invest or trade based on the news. Some would say that it is media overhype at its finest and if you watch the endless flurry of graphics and earnings central music, its hard to argue.
But for the individual investor , is there money to be made in earnings announcements? As with most topics on Wall Street, there are a flurry of opinions, and it will ultimately come down to individual choice, but here are two of those opinions to help you decide for yourself.
SEE: Profit From Earnings Surprises With Straddles And Strangles
Why You Should Try
According to CNBC, the percentage of S
Investors must decide whether price (Limit Order) or timing/immediacy (Market Order) is more important to them.
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Does It Still Pay To Invest In Gold?
From gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs ) to gold stocks to buying physical gold, investors now have several different options when it comes to investing in the royal metal. But what exactly is the purpose of gold? And why should investors even bother investing in the gold market? Indeed, these two questions have divided gold investors for the last several decades. One school of thought argues that gold is simply a barbaric relic that no longer holds the monitory qualities of the past. In a modern economic environment, where paper currency is the money of choice, golds only benefit is the fact that it is a material that is used in jewelry.
On the other end of the spectrum is a school of thought that asserts gold is an asset with various intrinsic qualities that make it unique and necessary for investors to hold in their portfolios . In this article, we will focus on the purpose of gold in the modern era, why it still belongs in investors portfolios and the different ways that a person can invest in the gold market.
A Brief History on Gold
In order to fully understand the purpose of gold, one must look back at the start of the gold market. While golds history began in 3000 B.C, when the ancient Egyptians started forming jewelry, it wasnt until 560 B.C. that gold started to act as a currency. At that time, merchants wanted to create a standardized and easily transferable form of money that would simplify trade. Because gold jewelry was already widely accepted and recognized throughout various corners of the earth, the creation of a gold coin stamped with a seal seemed to be the answer.
Following the advent of gold as money, golds importance continued to grow. History has examples of golds influence in various empires, like the Greek and Roman empires. Great Britain developed its own metals based currency in 1066. The British pound (symbolizing a pound of sterling silver), shillings and pence were all based on the amount of gold (or silver) that it represented. Eventually, gold symbolized wealth throughout Europe, Asia, Africa and the Americas.
The United States government continued on with this gold tradition by establishing a bimetallic standard in 1792. The bimetallic standard simply stated that every monetary unit in the United States had to be backed by either gold or silver. For example, one U.S. dollar was the equivalent of 24.75 grains of gold. In other words, the coins that were used as money simply represented the gold (or silver) that was presently deposited at the bank.
But this gold standard did not last forever. During the 1900s, there were several key events that eventually led to the transition of gold out of the monetary system. In 1913, the Federal Reserve was created and started issuing promissory notes (the present day version of our paper money) that guaranteed the notes could be redeemed in gold on demand. The Gold Reserve Act of 1934 gave the U.S. government title to all the gold coins in circulation and put an end to the minting of any new gold coins. In short, this act began establishing the idea that gold or gold coins were no longer necessary in serving as money. The United States abandoned the gold standard in 1971 when the U.S. currency ceased to be backed by gold.
The Importance of Gold In the Modern Economy
Given the fact that gold no longer backs the U.S. dollar (or other worldwide currencies for that matter) why is it still important today? The simple answer is that while gold is no longer in the forefront of everyday transactions, it is still important in the global economy. To validate this point, one need only to look as far as the reserve balance sheets of central banks and other financial organizations, such as the International Monetary Fund. Presently, these organizations are responsible for holding approximately one-fifth of the worlds supply of above-ground gold. In addition, several central banks have focused their efforts on adding to their present gold reserves.
Gold Preserves Wealth
The reasons for golds importance in the modern economy centers on the fact that it has successfully preserved wealth throughout thousands of generations. The same, however, cannot be said about paper-denominated currencies. To put things into perspective, consider the following example.
Example - Gold, Cash and Inflation
In the early 1970s, one ounce of gold equaled $35. Lets say that at that time, you had a choice of either holding an ounce of gold or simply keeping the $35. Both would buy you the same things at that, like a brand new business suit, for example. If you had an ounce of gold today and converted it for todays prices, it would still be enough to buy a brand new suit. The same, however, could not be said for the $35. In short, you would have lost a substantial amount of your wealth if you decided to hold the $35 and you would have preserved it if you decided to hold on to the one ounce of gold because the value of gold has increased, while the value of a dollar has been eroded by inflation. (For more insight, read All About Inflation.)
Gold as a Hedge Against a Declining U.S. Dollar and Rising Inflation
The idea that gold preserves wealth is even more important in an economic environment where investors are faced with a declining U.S. dollar and rising inflation (due to rising commodity prices). Historically, gold has served as a hedge against both of these scenarios. With rising inflation, gold typically appreciates. When investors realize that their money is losing value, they will start positioning their investments in a hard asset that has traditionally maintained its value. The 1970s present a prime example of rising gold prices in the midst of rising inflation. (For related reading, see What Is Wrong With Gold?)
The reason gold benefits from a declining U.S. dollar is because gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally. There are two reasons for this relationship. First, investors who are looking at buying gold (like central banks) must sell their U.S. dollars to make this transaction. This ultimately drives the U.S. dollar lower as global investors seek to diversify out of the dollar. The second reason has to do with the fact that a weakening dollar makes gold cheaper for investors who hold other currencies. This results in greater demand from investors who hold currencies that have appreciated relative to the U.S. dollar.
Gold as a Safe Haven
Whether it is the tensions in the Middle East, Africa or elsewhere, it is becoming increasingly obvious that political and economic uncertainty is another reality of our modern economic environment. For this reason, investors typically look at gold as a safe haven during times of political and economic uncertainty. Why is this? Well, history is full of collapsing empires, political coups, and the collapse of currencies. During such times, investors who held onto gold were able to successfully protect their wealth and, in some cases, even use gold to escape from all of the turmoil. Consequently, whenever there are news events that hint at some type of uncertainty, investors will often buy gold as a safe haven.
Gold as a Diversifying Investment
The sum of all the above reasons to own gold is that gold is a diversifying investment. Regardless of whether you are worried about inflation, a declining U.S. dollar, or even protecting your wealth, it is clear that gold has historically served as an investment that can add a diversifying component to your portfolio. At the end of the day, if your focus is simply diversification, gold is not correlated to stocks, bonds and real estate. (For more insight, read The Importance Of Diversification.)
Different Ways of Owning Gold
One of the main differences between investing in gold several hundred years ago and investing in gold today is that there are many more options to participating in the intrinsic qualities that gold offers. Today, investors can invest in gold by buying:
• Gold Futures (For more on this investment type, see Trading Gold And Silver Futures Contracts.)
• Gold Coins
• Gold Companies
• Gold ETFs
• Gold Mutual Funds
• Gold Bullion
• Gold jewelry
Conclusion
There are advantages to every investment. If you are more concerned with holding the physical gold, buying shares in a gold mining company might not be the answer. Instead, you might want to consider investing in gold coins, gold bullion, or jewelry. If your primary interest is in using leverage to profit from rising gold prices, the futures market might be your answer.
Price Discounts Everything
This theorem is similar to the strong and semi-strong forms of market efficiency.
Setting qualification standards for securities industry professionals; examining members for their financial and operational condition, as well as their compliance with appropriate rules and regulations; investigating alleged violations of securities laws; disciplining violators of applicable rules and regulations; and responding to inquiries and complaints from investors and members.
Profit By Understanding Fundamental Trends
Fundamental trends are movements in the overall economy- in either a single country or the entire world - that help to shape financial markets and consumer trends. Investment dealers, business owners and even governments analyze these trends in order to predict future corporate growth and consumer preferences.
Missing a fundamental trend or interpreting one incorrectly can result in volatility in the markets and inflated stock and commodity prices. (With the market in constant change on a per second basis it is import to know what effect this has on returns, to learn more Volatilitys Impact On Market Returns.)
What Makes a Trend Fundamental?
Many factors influence financial markets. Some of those factors are temporary in nature, including war, spikes in costs of inputs and political instability. These short term trends can have dramatic impacts on share prices and liquidity in the markets.
Fundamental trends, however, are more permanent in nature. They show shifts in underlying views, technologies and knowledge and will move the markets more slowly yet more enduringly.
Living Standards in China
An example of a fundamental trend happening in the world this decade is the rising lifestyle standards in China and the skyrocketing consumer demand there for Western goods. The demand in China for cars, meat, electronics and appliances stems both from increasing exposure to Western advertising and an overall increase in the Chinese standard of living. What makes this a fundamental trend is that there is no going back. Once a country raises its standard of living and becomes more globally aware, it changes consumer spending patterns forever. (For a greater idea of what factors increase a countries standard of living, read Standard Of Living Vs. Quality Of Life.)
Canned Food
Another, more historical, example was the innovation of food transportation by the Union army in the Civil War. Although canned food had been available prior to the war, the canning process was perfected and expanded and a complexlogistics mechanism put in place to distribute rations to the soldiers. After the war, food distribution changed forever and it could be shipped all over the Union, increasing the variety of food choices available everywhere.
Trend Drivers
The underlying drivers of fundamental trends can include leaps in innovation, scarcity of resources, national economic advancement and even changes in consumer tastes. The latter one is exemplified by the trend away from wearing animal fur. The once booming industries of trapping and farming fur animals have died out almost completely. Consumers now opt for less expensive synthetic materials for coats and other outerwear. This trend is unlikely to reverse although it may once again evolve into new directions. (Trends are always occurring; to help you identify them, check out 4 Factors That Shape Market Trends.)
The Impact of Fundamental Trends on Financial Markets
In a perfect economic world, fundamental trends would be the only market movers as they represent true and ongoing change. Although some of these trends can happen practically overnight (like the first split atom), most occur over time, thereby giving forecasters time to adapt to the changes.
The efficient market theory stipulates that fundamental trends are public knowledge and are therefore incorporated into current market and futures pricing. If this was the only input into market pricing, the financial markets would move smoothly and fluidly. However, other market influences come into play constantly. These sudden pushes and pulls on pricing can either amplify or dampen the effect of fundamental trends on the markets.
Lessons From Oil
Take, for example, the impact of federal subsidies to the oil industry. The rate of growth in consumer demand in North America for petroleum-based fuels has decreased over the past decade as more efficient vehicles are built and more environmentally-sustainable technologies come online. However, the U.S. oil industry is heavily subsidized which allows it to continue to grow and to keep prices at artificial lows. Low prices for oil keep consumers and manufacturers from investing in new technologies to move away from oil. This is an artificial boost in the arm of the industry that will not be sustainable in the long run, without continued injections of billions in tax dollars. (To learn more about the oil companies and the advantages the government gives them, check out A Guide To Investing In Oil Markets.)
The Dangers of Ignoring Fundamental Trends
Regardless of other short-term market forces, fundamental trends are still one of the most important drivers of financial markets in the long run. Stock brokers, commodity traders and even individual investors must follow these trends in order to predict future valuations. Some trends impact the entire market and some only certain industries. The latter most often occurs when there has been a technological breakthrough in manufacturing or processing, such as the invention of the cotton gin.
Fundamental trends can impact both the supply and the demand side of the markets. They can increase supply when the trend improves efficiency in production or distribution of products or services. For example, the trend towards the online provision of bookkeeping services allows providers to offer their services all across the world rather than be confined to a more local market. The ultimate result is that the price of bookkeeping services drops across the industry with the increased competition. (To learn more on how the supply side can affect the entire economy, read Understanding Supply-Side Economics.)
Demand is impacted when the trend derives from consumer preferences. An example of this is the move towards healthier and organic foods. The food industry did not start the trend but rather medical reports and health industry news sparked an increase in demand for these foods.
Companies that ignore fundamental trend analysis do so at their own risk. Those who take advantage of shifting underlying economic markers can position themselves ahead of their competitors. Watching changes in markets allows a company to shift strategy and invest in new technology to provide new products and services to new markets. Companies who forgo this analysis often find themselves the dinosaurs of their industry, doing things the same way they have always done, unaware that the market has moved on.
The Publishing Industrys Tale
An example of an industry struggling to counteract the effects of a fundamental shift is the book publishing industry. Electronic books (ebooks) had been around for many years but gathered steam from 2009-2011. Traditional publishing houses almost unilaterally rejected the ebook, postulating that it would never take over from print. While they should have been hitching a ride on the train barreling down the tracks at them, they instead argued that it was not a train at all. Many of the large publishers began dabbling in the ebook market, but they do not dominate it as their pricing and promotion strategies have not moved with the trend. (For more on companies which failed to change with the fundamental shifts in the market, read 5 Big Companies Biggest Blunders.)
The Bottom Line
Fundamental trends are an important driver of financial markets and every investor and entrepreneur should analyze them on an ongoing basis. These trends signal underlying shifts in the economy that will have a large impact on future consumption. Missing these trends can result in poor portfolio performance or an outdated business model.
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Granted, there are many studies and disputes raging on the performance of equity mutual funds, but it is safe to assume that about 75% of equity mutual funds underperform the S
How Dividends Work For Investors
During the dotcom boom of the late 1990s, the notion of dividend investing was laughable. Back then, everything was going up in double-digit percentages, and nobody wanted to fool around with the meager 2-3% gain from dividends. After all, we were in the new economy: the rules had changed and companies that paid dividends were too old economy.
As Bob Dylan once sang, The times, they are a-changin. After the bull market of the 90s ended, the fickle mob once again found dividends attractive. For many investors, dividend-paying stocks have come to make a lot of sense. In this article, well explain what dividends are and how you can make them work for you. (For background reading, see The Power Of Dividend Growth.)
Background on Dividends
A dividend is a cash payment from a companys earnings; it is announced by a companys board of directors and distributed among stockholders. In other words, dividends are an investors share of a companys profits, given to him or her as a part-owner of the company. Aside fromoption strategies, dividends are the only way for investors to profit from ownership of stock without eliminating their stake in the company.
When a company earns profits from operations, management can do one of two things with the profits. It can choose to retain them - essentially reinvesting them into the company with the hope of creating more profits and thus further stock appreciation. The other alternative is to distribute a portion of the profits to shareholders in the form of dividends. (Management can also opt to repurchase some of its own shares - a move that would also benefit shareholders. Read more about it in The Lowdown on Stock Buybacks.)
A company must keep growing at an above-average pace to justify reinvesting in itself rather than paying a dividend. Generally speaking, when a companys growth slows, its stock wont climb as much, and dividends will be necessary to keep shareholders around. This growth slowdown happens to virtually all companies after they attain a large market capitalization. A company will simply reach a size at which it no longer has the potential to grow at annual rates of 30-40% like a small cap, regardless of how much money is plowed back into it. At a certain point, the law of large numbers makes a mega-cap company and growth rates that outperform the market an impossible combination.
The changes witnessed in Microsoft (Nasdaq:MSFT) in 2003 are a perfect illustration of what can happen when a firms growth levels off. In January 2003, the company finally announced that it would pay a dividend: Microsoft had so much cash in the bank that it simply couldnt find enough worthwhile projects to spend it on - you cant be a high-flying growth stock forever!
The fact that Microsoft started to pay dividends did not signal the companys demise; it simply indicated that Microsoft had become a huge company and had entered a new stage in its life cycle, which meant it probably would not be able to double and triple at the pace it once did.
Dividends Wont Mislead You
By choosing to pay dividends, management is essentially conceding that profits from operations are better off being distributed to the shareholders than being put back into the company. In other words, management feels that reinvesting profits to achieve further growth will not offer the shareholder as high a return as a distribution in the form of dividends.
There is another motivation for a company to pay dividends: a steadily increasing dividend payout is viewed as a strong indication of a companys continuing success. The great thing about dividends is that they cant be faked. They are either paid or not paid, increased or not increased.
This isnt the case with earnings, which are basically an accountants best guess of a companys profitability. All too often, companies must restate their past reported earnings because of aggressive accounting practices, and this can cause considerable trouble for investors, who may have already based future stock price predictions on these (unreliable) historical earnings. (To learn more about evaluating earnings, read Earnings: Quality Means Everything.)
Expected growth rates are also unreliable. A company can talk a big game about wonderful growth opportunities that will pay off several years down the road, but there are no guarantees that it will make the most of its reinvested earnings. When a companys robust plans for the future (which impact its share price today) fail to materialize, your portfolio will very likely take a hit.
However, you can rest assured that no accountant can restate dividends and take back your dividend check. Moreover, dividends cant be squandered away by the company on business expansions that dont pan out. The dividends you receive from your stocks are 100% yours. You can use them to do anything you like: pay down your mortgage, spend it as discretionary income or buy the stock of a company you think has better growth prospects.
Who Determines Dividend Policy?
The companys board of directors decides what percentage of earnings will be paid out to shareholders, and then puts the remaining profits back into the company. Although dividends are usually dispersed quarterly, it is important to remember that the company is not obligated to pay a dividend every single quarter. In fact, the company can stop paying a dividend at any time, but this is rare, especially for a firm with a long history of dividend payments. (To learn more about this problem, read Is Your Dividend At Risk?)
If people were used to getting their quarterly dividends from a mature company, a sudden stop in payments to investors would be akin to corporate financial suicide. Unless the decision to discontinue dividend payments was backed by some kind of strategy shift, say investing all retained earnings into robust expansion projects, it would indicate that something was fundamentally wrong with the company. For this reason, the board of directors will usually go to great lengths to keep paying at least the same dividend amount.
How Stocks That Pay Dividends Resemble Bonds
When assessing the pros and cons of dividend-paying stocks, you will also want to consider their volatility and share price performance as compared to those of outright growth stocks that pay no dividends.
Because public companies generally face adverse reactions from the marketplace if they discontinue or reduce their dividend payments, investors can be reasonably certain they will receive dividend income on a regular basis for as long as they hold their shares. Therefore, investors tend to rely on dividends in much the same way that they rely on interest payments from corporate bonds and debentures.
Since they can be regarded as quasi-bonds, dividend-paying stocks tend to exhibit pricing characteristics that are moderately different from those of growth stocks. This is because they provide regular income, similar to a bond, but still provide investors with the potential to benefit from share price appreciation if the company does well.
Investors looking for exposure to the growth potential of the equity market, combined with the safety of the (moderately) fixed income provided by dividends, should consider adding stocks with high dividend yields to their portfolio. A portfolio with dividend-paying stocks is likely to see less price volatility than a growth stock portfolio. (This is why dividends are often considered to be a good recessionary investment. Read Dividend Yield For The Downturn to learn more.)
Conclusion
A company cant keep growing forever. When it reaches a certain size and exhausts its growth potential, distributing dividends is perhaps the best way for management to ensure that shareholders receive a return from the companys earnings. A dividend announcement may be a sign that a companys growth has slowed, but it is also evidence of a sustainable capacity to make money. This sustainable income will likely produce some price stability when paid out regularly as dividends. Best of all, the cash in your hand is proof that the earnings are really there, and you can reinvest or spend them as you see fit.
Securities in the OTC Pink (also known as Pink Sheets) market tier are further divided, based on the amount and timeliness of their financial disclosure, into three categories.
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If a stock has already advanced significantly, it may be prudent to wait for a pullback. Or, if the stock is trending lower, it might pay to wait for buying interest and a trend reversal.
Broker-dealers may charge an additional ‘access fee’ to broker-dealers who want to trade at their quoted price. The fee maximums are based on the tick size (> .01) or price (< .01). OTC Markets QAP (Quote Access Payment) functionality allows broker-dealer to dynamically set their fees or rebates.
The Basics Of Outstanding Shares And The Float
Financial lingo is very important for anybody interested or invested in products like stocks, bonds or mutual funds. Many of the financial ratios used in fundamental analysis include things like outstanding shares and the float. Lets go through these terms so that next time you come across them, you can know their significance.
Restricted and Float
When you look a little closer at the quotes for a company , you may see some obscure terms that youve never encountered before. For instance, restricted shares refer to a companys issued stock that cannot be bought or sold without special permission by the SEC. Often, this type of stock is given to insiders as part of their salaries or as additional benefits. Another term that you may encounter is float. This refers to a companys shares that are freely bought and sold without restrictions in the public. Denoting the greatest proportion of stocks trading on the exchanges, the float consists of regular shares that many of us will hear or read about in the news.
Authorized Shares
Authorized shares refer to the largest number of shares that a single corporation can issue. The number of authorized shares per company is assessed at the companys creation and can only be increased and decreased through a vote by the shareholders. If at the time of incorporation the documents state that 100 shares are authorized, then only 100 shares can be issued.
Now just because a company can issue a certain number of shares doesnt mean that it is going to issue all of these shares to the public. Typically, companies will, for many reasons, keep a portion of the shares in their own treasury. For example, CTC may decide to maintain a controlling interest within the treasury just to ward off any hostile takeover bids. On the other hand, the company may have shares handy just in case it wants to sell them for excess cash (rather than borrowing). This tendency of a company to reserve some of its authorized shares leads us to the next important and related term: outstanding shares.
Outstanding Shares
Not to be confused with authorized shares, outstanding shares refer to the number of stocks that a company actually has issued. This number represents all the shares that can be bought and sold by the public as well as all the restricted shares that require special permission before being transacted. As we already explained, shares that can be freely bought and sold by public investors are called the float, and this value changes depending on if the company wishes to repurchase shares from the market or sell out more of its authorized shares within its treasury.
Lets look back at our company CTC. From the previous example, we know that this company has 1000 authorized shares. If they offered 300 shares in an IPO, gave 150 to the executives and retained 550 in the treasury, then the number of shares outstanding would be 450 shares (300 float shares 150 restricted shares). If after a couple years CTC was doing extremely well and wanted to buy back 100 shares from the market, the number of outstanding shares would fall to 350, the number of treasury shares would increase to 650 and the float would fall to 200 shares since the buyback was done through the market (300 – 100).
Hold on a minute though - this is not the only way that the number of outstanding shares can fluctuate. In addition to the stocks it issues to investors and executives, many companies offer stock options and warrants. These stock options and warrants are instruments that give the holder a right to purchase more stock from the companys treasury. Every time one of these instruments is activated, the float and shares outstanding increase while the number of treasury stocks decrease. For example, suppose CTC issues 100 warrants. If all these warrants are activated, then Corys Tequila Corporation will have to sell 100 shares from its treasury to the holders of the warrants. Thus, by following the most recent example, where the number of outstanding shares is 350 and treasury shares is 650, the exercise of all the warrants would change the numbers to 450 and 550 respectively, and the float would increase to 300. This effect is known as dilution.
Why Is It Important?
Because the difference between the number of authorized and outstanding shares can be so large, its important that you realize what they are and which figures the company is using. Different ratios may use the basic number of outstanding shares while others may use the diluted version. This can affect the numbers significantly and possibly change your attitude towards a particular investment ; furthermore, by identifying the number of restricted shares versus the number of shares in the float, investors can gauge the level of ownership and autonomy that insiders have within the company. All these scenarios are important for investors to understand before they make a decision to buy or sell.
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The word "securities" refers to any tradable financial instrument or quantifiable index such as stocks, bonds, commodities, futures or market indices.
The 4 Basic Elements Of Stock Value
The ancient Greeks proposed earth, fire, water and air as the main building blocks of all matter, and classified all things as a mixture of these elements. Investing has a similar set of four basic elements that investors use to break down a stocks value. In this article, we will look at the four ratios and what they can tell you about a stock.
Earth: The Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
Made for glass-half-empty people, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio represents the value of the company if it is torn up and sold today. This is useful to know because many companies in mature industries falter in terms of growth but can still be a good value based on their assets. The book value usually includes equipment, buildings, land and anything else that can be sold, including stock holdings and bonds. With purely financial firms, the book value can fluctuate with the market as these stocks tend to have a portfolio of assets that goes up and down in value. Industrial companies tend to have a book value based more in physical assets, which depreciate year after year according to accounting rules. In either case, a low P/B ratio can protect you - but only if its accurate. This means an investor has to look deeper into the actual assets making up the ratio. (For more on this, see Digging Into Book Value.)
Fire: Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
The price to earnings (P/E) ratio is possibly the most scrutinized of all the ratios. If sudden increases in a stocks price are the sizzle, then the P/E ratio is the steak. A stock can go up in value without significant earnings increases, but the P/E ratio is what decides if it can stay up. Without earnings to back up the price, a stock will eventually fall back down.
The reason for this is simple: a P/E ratio can be thought of as how long a stock will take to pay back your investment if there is no change in the business. A stock trading at $20 per share with earning of $2 per share has a P/E ratio of 10, which is sometimes seen as meaning that youll make your money back in 10 years if nothing changes. The reason stocks tend to have high P/E ratios is that investors try to predict which stocks will enjoy progressively larger earnings. An investor may buy a stock with a P/E ratio of 30 if he or she thinks it will double its earnings every year (shortening the payoff period significantly). If this fails to happen, then the stock will fall back down to a more reasonable P/E ratio. If the stock does manage to double earnings, then it will likely continue to trade at a high P/E ratio. You should only compare P/E ratios between companies in similar industries and markets. (If these numbers have you in the dark, these easy calculations should help light the way, see How To Find P/E And PEG Ratios.)
Air: The PEG Ratio
Because the P/E ratio isnt enough in and of itself, many investors use the price to earnings growth (PEG) ratio. Instead of merely looking at the price and earnings, the PEG ratio incorporates the historical growth rate of the companys earnings. This ratio also tells you how your stock stacks up against another stock. The PEG ratio is calculated by taking the P/E ratio of a company and dividing it by the year-over-year growth rate of its earnings. The lower the value of your PEG ratio, the better the deal youre getting for the stocks future estimated earnings.
By comparing two stocks using the PEG, you can see how much youre paying for growth in each case. A PEG of 1 means youre breaking even if growth continues as it has in the past. A PEG of 2 means youre paying twice as much for projected growth when compared to a stock with a PEG of 1. This is speculative because there is no guarantee that growth will continue as it has in the past. The P/E ratio is a snap shot of where a company is and the PEG ratio is a graph plotting where it has been. Armed with this information, an investor has to decide whether it is likely to continue in that direction. (Has the P/E ratio lost its luster? The PEG ratio has many advantages over its well-known counterpart, check out Move Over P/E, Make Way For The PEG.)
Water: Dividend Yield
Its always nice to have a back-up when a stocks growth falters. This is why dividend-paying stocks are attractive to many investors - even when prices drop you get a paycheck. The dividend yield shows how much of a payday youre getting for your money. By dividing the stocks annual dividend by the stocks price, you get a percentage. You can think of that percentage as the interest on your money, with the additional chance at growth through the appreciation of the stock.
Although simple on paper, there are some things to watch for with the dividend yield. Inconsistent dividends or suspended payments in the past mean that the dividend yield cant be counted on. Like the water element, dividends can ebb and flow, so knowing which way the tide is going - like whether dividend payments have increased year over year - is essential to making the decision to buy. Dividends also vary by industry, with utilities and some banks paying a lot whereas tech firms invest almost all their earnings back into the company to fuel growth. (For more readInvestment Valuation Ratios: Dividend Yield.)
No Element Stands Alone
P/E, P/B, PEG and dividend yields are too narrowly focused to stand alone as a single measure of a stock. By combining these methods of valuation, you can get a better view of a stocks worth. Any one of these can be influenced by creative accounting - as can more complex ratios likecash flow. As you add more tools to your valuation methods though, discrepancies get easier to spot. From the Greeks four basic elements, we now have more than 100, some of which exist so briefly that we wonder if they count, and none of them are named water, earth, air, or fire. In investing, however, these four main ratios may be overshadowed by thousands of customized metrics, but they will always be useful stepping stones for finding out whether a stocks worth buying.
Investors should clearly understand that trading practices for OTC securities are different from those of securities traded on exchanges. Your broker-dealer or the broker-dealer they route your order to, may not provide you with limit order display or instantaneous executions in OTC securities.
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Priced quotations in the OTC Link or the OTCBB inter-dealer quotation systems are firm for certain minimum sizes. Minimum quote sizes are based upon quote price. As the price of a quote decreases, the size associated with a price increases. Mandatory sizes assure a minimum amount of liquidity in the market and add weight to a member’s firm quote obligation.
By looking at price action over an extended period of time, we can see the battle between supply and demand unfold. In its most basic form, higher prices reflect increased demand and lower prices reflect increased supply.
How To Outperform The Market
All investors must reevaluate and refine their investing styles and strategies from time to time. As we gain investing experience and knowledge, our view of the market is likely to change and most likely broaden how we envision the extent of our investing capacity. Those who want to try to outperform the market - that is, realize returns greater than the market average - might consider an active trading strategy, even if only for a portion of their portfolio. Here we explain what active trading is, how active traders view the market, their tools and investment vehicles and finally, the risks associated with their style.
What Is Active Trading?
The best way to understand active trading is to differentiate it from buy-and-hold investing, which is based on the belief that a good investment will be profitable in the long term. This means ignoring day-to-day market fluctuations. Using a buy and hold strategy, this kind of investor is indifferent to the short-term for two reasons: first, because he or she believes any momentary effects of short-term movements really are minor compared to the long-term average, and second, because short-term movements are nearly impossible to exactly predict.
An active trader, on the other hand, isnt keen on exposing his or her investments to the effect of short-term losses or missing the opportunity of short-term gains. Its not surprising then, that active traders see an average long-term return not as an insurmountable standard but as a run-of-the-mill expectation. To exceed the standard, or outperform the market, the trader realizes that he or she must look for the profit potential in the markets temporary trends, which means trying to perceive a trend as it begins and predict where it will go in the near future.
Below is a chart that demonstrates the difference between the long and short-term movements of the market. Note that even though the security moves upward over time, it experiences many smaller trends in both directions along the way.
Performance and the Short Term
Traders are active because for them the importance of the markets short-term activity is magnified - these market movements offer opportunity for accelerated capital gains. A traders style determines the time frame within which he or she looks for trends. Some look for trends within a span of a few months, some within a few weeks, and some within a few hours. Because a shorter period will see more definitive market movements, a trader analyzing a shorter time frame will be more active, executing more trades.
A greater number of trades doesnt necessarily equal greater profits. Outperforming the market doesnt mean maximizing your activity, but maximizing your opportunities with a strategy. An active trader will strive to buy and sell (or vice versa in the case of shorting) at the two extremes of a trend within a given time frame. When buying a stock, a trader may try to buy it at the lowest point possible (or an upwards turning point, otherwise known as a bottom) and then sell it when there are signs that it has hit a high point. These signs are generally discerned by means of technical analysis tools, which we discuss below. The more the trader strives to buy and sell at the extremes, the more aggressive - and risky - is his or her strategy.
Maximizing returns or outperforming the market isnt just about reaping profits, its also about avoiding losses. In other words, the trader will keep an eye out for any signs that the security is about to take a surprising turn in an undesirable direction. When these signs occur, the trader knows that it is time to exit the investment and seek profits elsewhere. A long-term trader, on the other hand, stays invested in the security if he or she has confidence in its value, even though it may be experiencing a downward shift - the buy and hold investor must tolerate some losses that the trader believes are possible to avoid.
Technical Analysis
You need particular analytical techniques and tools to discern when a trend starts and when it will come to an end. Technical analysis specializes in interpreting price trends, identifying the best time to buy and sell a security with the use of charts. Unlike fundamental analysis, technical analysis sees price as an all-important factor that tells the direction a security will take in the short term. Here are three principles of technical analysis:
• For the most part, the current price of a stock already reflects the forces influencing it - such as political, economic and social changes - as well as peoples perception of these events.
• Prices tend to move in trends.
• History repeats itself.
From these three principles emerges a complicated discipline that designs special indicators to help the trader determine what will happen in the future. Indicators are ways in which price data is processed (usually by means of a calculation) in order to clarify price patterns, which become apparent when the results of the indicators calculation are plotted on a chart. Displayed together with plotted historical prices, these indicators can help the trader discern trend lines and analyze them, reading signals emitted by the indicator in order to choose entry into or exit from the trade. Some examples of the many different types of indicators are moving averages, relative strength and oscillators.
Fundamental analysis can be used to trade, but most traders are well trained and experienced in the techniques of charting and technical analysis. It is a blend of science and art that requires patience and dedication. Because timing is of the utmost importance in active trading, efficiency in technical analysis is a great determiner of success.
Leverage
The short term approach of investing offers opportunities to realize capital gains not only by means of trend analysis, but also through short-term investing devices that amplify potential gains given the amount invested. One of these techniques is leveraging, which is often implemented by something called margin.
Margin is simply the use of borrowed money to make a trade. Say you had $5,000 to invest: you could, instead of simply investing this amount, open a margin account and receive an additional, say, $5,000 to invest. This would give you a total of $10,000 with which to make a trade. So, if you invested in a stock that returned 25%, your $10,000 investment turns into $12,500. Now, when you pay back the original $5,000, youd be left with $7,500 (well assume interest charges are zero), giving you a $2,500 profit or a return of 50%. Had you invested only $5,000, your profit wouldve been only $1,250. In other words, margin doubled your return.
However, as the upside potential is exacerbated, so is the downside risk. If the above investment instead experienced a 25% decline, you would have suffered a loss of 50%, and if the investment experienced a 50% decline, you wouldve lost 100%. You may have already guessed that, with leverage, a trader can lose more than his or her initial investment! As such it is a trading tool that should be used only by experienced traders who are skilled at the art of timing entry into and exit from investments. Also, since margin is borrowed money, the less time you take to pay it back, the less interest you pay on it. If you take a long time to try to reap profits from a trade, the cost of margin can eat into your overall return.
The Risks
Active trading offers the enticing potential of above-average returns, but like almost anything else thats enticing, it cannot be achieved successfully without costs and risks.
The shorter time frame to which traders devote themselves offers a vast potential but, because the market can move fast, the trader must know how to read it and then react. Without skill in discerning signals and timing entries and exits, the trader may not only miss opportunities but also suffer the blow of rapid losses - especially if, as we explained above, the trader is riding on high leverage. Thus, learning to trade is both time consuming and expensive. Any person thinking of becoming an active trader should take this into account.
Also the higher frequency of transactions of active trading doesnt come for free: brokerage commissions are placed on every trade and, since these commissions are an expense, they eat into the traders return. Because every trade costs money, a trader must be confident in his or her decision: to achieve profits, the return of a trade must be well above the commission. If a trader is not sure of what he or she is doing and ends up trading more frequently because of blunders, the brokerage costs will add up on top of any losses.
Finally, because securities are being entered and exited so often, the active trader will have to pay taxes on any capital gains realized every year. This could differ from a more passive investor who holds investments for numerous years and does not pay capital gains tax on a yearly basis. Capital gains tax expense must also be factored in when an active trader is calculating overall return.
Conclusion
As you gain more education and experience as an investor, you may become curious about the different ways to reach returns. It is important to be willing to learn about different strategies and approaches, but it is equally important to know what suits your personality, skills and risk tolerance. You may have guessed that active trading is best suited to those who are committed to taking control over their portfolio and pursuing their goals quickly and aggressively. All of this requires a willingness to not only take risks, but also keep up skills and efficiency. If this sounds like you, it may be time to start learning more!
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http://www.barchart.com/technicals/stocks/MONA
Press releases don't happen by accident; they are an important PR tool for companies. Investors should become skilled readers to weed out the important information and ignore the hype.
OTC Markets organizes and disseminates price and company information making the marketplace more transparent, efficient and investor friendly. We have created the OTC market tiers to motivate OTC companies to provide more information to investors and we offer companies products and services to help them get their information out on our network for all investors to find.
Financial Statement Manipulation An Ever-Present Problem For Investors
Financial statement manipulation is an ongoing problem in corporate America. Although the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has taken many steps to mitigate this type of corporate malfeasance, the structure of management incentives, the enormous latitude afforded by theGenerally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) and the ever-present conflict of interest between the independent auditor and the corporate client continues to provide the perfect environment for such activity. Due to these factors, investors who purchase individual stocks or bonds must be aware of the issues, warning signs and the tools that are at their disposal in order to mitigate the adverse implications of these problems.
Factors That Contribute to Financial Statement Manipulation
There are three primary reasons why management manipulates financial statements. First, in many cases the compensation of corporate executives is directly tied to the financial performance of the company. As a result, management has a direct incentive to paint a rosy picture of the companys financial condition in order to meet established performance expectations and bolster their personal compensation.
Second, it is relatively easy to manipulate corporate financial statements because the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), which sets the GAAP standards, provides a significant amount of latitude in the accounting provisions that are available to be used by corporate management. For better or worse, these GAAP standards afford a significant amount of flexibility, making it very easy for corporate management to paint a favorable picture of the financial condition of the company.
Third, it is unlikely that financial manipulation will be detected by investors due to the relationship between the independent auditor and the corporate client. In the U.S., the Big Four accounting firms and a host of smaller regional accounting firms dominate the corporate auditing environment. While these entities are touted as independent auditors, the firms have a direct conflict of interest because they are compensated by the very companies that they audit. As a result, the auditors could be tempted to bend the accounting rules to portray the financial condition of the company in a manner that will keep their client happy. Moreover, auditors typically receive a significant amount of money from the companies that they audit. Therefore, there is implicit pressure to certify the financial statements of the company in order to retain their business.
How Financial Statements Are Manipulated
There are two general approaches to manipulating financial statements. The first approach is to inflate current period earnings on the income statement by artificially inflating revenue and gains, or by deflating current period expenses. This approach makes the financial condition of the company look better than it actually is in order to meet established expectations.
The second approach to financial statement manipulation requires the exact opposite tactic, which is to deflate current period earnings on the income statement by deflating revenue or by inflating current period expenses. The reason behind this approach may not be as obvious as in the previous example because it may seem counterintuitive to make the financial condition of a company look worse than it actually is. However, there are many reasons to engage in such activity, such as making a company look bad in order to dissuade potential acquirers, pulling all of the bad financial information surrounding the company into one period so that the company will look stronger going forward, pulling all of the bad financial information into the current period when the poor performance can be attributed to the current macroeconomic environment or to postpone good financial information to a future period when it is more likely to be recognized.
According to Dr. Howard Schilit, in his famous book Financial Shenanigans (2002), there are seven primary ways in which corporate management manipulates the financial statements of a company. Lets look at these seven general categories of financial statement manipulation and the typical accounting processes that facilitate the manipulation.
1. Recording Revenue Prematurely or of Questionable Quality
o Recording revenue prior to completing all services
o Recording revenue prior to product shipment
o Recording revenue for products that are not required to be purchased
2. Recording Fictitious Revenue
o Recording revenue for sales that did not take place
o Recording investment income as revenue
o Recording proceeds received through a loan as revenue
3. Increasing Income with One-Time Gains
o Increasing profits by selling assets and recording the proceeds as revenue
o Increasing profits by classifying investment income or gains as revenue
4. Shifting Current Expenses to an Earlier or Later Period
o Amortizing costs too slowly
o Changing accounting standards to foster manipulation
o Capitalizing normal operating costs in order to reduce expenses by moving them from the income statement to the balance sheet
o Failing to write down or write off impaired assets
5. Failing to Record or Improperly Reducing Liabilities
o Failing to record expenses and liabilities when future services remain
o Changing accounting assumptions to foster manipulation
6. Shifting Current Revenue to a Later Period
o Creating a rainy day reserve as a revenue source to bolster future performance
o Holding back revenue
7. Shifting Future Expenses to the Current Period as a Special Charge
o Accelerating expenses into the current period
o Changing accounting standards to foster manipulation, particularly through provisions for depreciation, amortization and depletion
Investors should understand that there are a host of techniques that are at managements disposal. However, what investors also need to understand is that while most of these techniques pertain to the manipulation of the income statement, there are also many techniques available to manipulate the balance sheet, as well as the statement of cash flows . Moreover, even the semantics of the management discussion and analysis section of the financials can be manipulated by softening the action language used by corporate executives from will to might, probably to possibly, and therefore to maybe. Taken collectively, investors should understand these issues and nuances and remain on guard when assessing a companys financial condition.
Financial Manipulation via Corporate Merger or Acquisition
Another form of financial manipulation can be found during the merger or acquisition process. A classic approach to this type of manipulation occurs when management tries to persuade all parties involved in the decision-making process to support a merger or acquisition based primarily on the improvement in the estimated earnings per share of the combined companies. Lets look at the table below in order to understand how this type of manipulation takes place.
Proposed Corporate Acquisition Acquiring Company Target Company Combined Financials
Common Stock Price
$100.00
$40.00
-
Shares Outstanding
100,000
50,000
120,000
Book Value of Equity
$10,000,000
$2,000,000
$12,000,000
Company Earnings
$500,000
$200,000
$700,000
Earnings Per Share $5.00 $4.00 $5.83
Based on the data in the table above, the proposed acquisition of the target company appears to make good financial sense because the earnings per share of the acquiring company will be materially increased from $5 per share to $5.83 per share. However, the earnings per share of the acquiring company will increase by a material amount for only two reasons, and neither reason has any long-term implications.
Following the acquisition, the acquiring company will experience an increase of $200,000 in company earnings due to the addition of the income from the target company. Moreover, given the high market value of the acquiring companys common stock, and the low book value of the target company, the acquiring company will only have to issue an additional 20,000 shares in order to make the $2 million acquisition. Taken collectively, the significant increase in company earnings and the modest increase of 20,000 common shares outstanding will lead to a more attractiveearning per share amount. Unfortunately, a financial decision based primarily on this type of analysis is inappropriate and misleading, because the future financial impact of such an acquisition may be positive, immaterial or even negative.
How to Guard Against Financial Statement Manipulation
There are a host of factors that may affect the quality and accuracy of the data at an investors disposal. As a result, investors must have a working knowledge of financial statement analysis, including a strong command of the use of internal liquidity solvency analysis ratios, externalliquidity marketability analysis ratios, growth and corporate profitability ratios, financial risk ratios and business risk ratios. Investors should also have a strong understanding of how to use market multiple analysis, including the use of price/earnings ratios, price/book value ratios, price/sales ratios and price/cash flow ratios in order to gauge the reasonableness of the financial data .
Finally, investors should keep in mind that the independent auditors responsible for providing the audited financial data may very well have a material conflict of interest that is distorting the true financial picture of the company and that the information provided to them by corporate management may be disingenuous, and therefore should be taken with a grain of salt.
The Bottom Line
The known prevalence and magnitude of the material issues associated with the compilation of corporate financial statements should remind investors to use extreme caution in their use and interpretation. There are many cases of financial manipulation that date back over the centuries, and recent examples such as Enron, Worldcom, Tyco International, Adelphia, Global Crossing, Cendant, Freddie Mac and AIG should remind investors of the potential land mines that they may encounter. Investors should also remember the corporate malfeasance recently conducted by the now defunct auditing firm Arthur Anderson, as well as the disingenuous information provided to the general public by the corporate executives of 360 Networks, Lehman Brothers and General Motors leading up to their bankruptcies. Extreme caution should be used while conducting financial statement analysis.
Finally, given the prevalence and magnitude of the material issues surrounding financial statement manipulation in corporate America, a strong case can be made that most investors should stick to investing in low-cost, diversified, actively-managed mutual funds in order to mitigate the likelihood of investing in companies that suffer from such corporate financial malfeasance. Simply put, financial statement analysis should be left to investment management teams that have the knowledge, background and experience to thoroughly analyze a companys financial picture before making an investment decision. Unfortunately, very few investors have the necessary time, skills and resources to engage in such activity, and therefore the purchase of individual securities by most investors is probably not a wise decision.
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Candlestick Chart
Originating in Japan over 300 years ago, candlestick charts have become quite popular in recent years.
The Wall Street Animal Farm: Getting To Know The Lingo
Many people are intimidated by the business news because they dont understand the vernacular. Bull? Bear? Ostrich?!! What does this have to do with money? But theres good news: Wall Street language isnt only for business elites with advanced degrees from Ivy League schools. In fact, you may be surprised to find out that most Wall Street lingo is neither sophisticated nor esoteric. Yes, the truth is that investment bankers and brokers typically use words you probably mastered in kindergarten. Lets take a look at these barnyard words from a financiers perspective - youll be fluent in no time.
A Dog With Fleas
Depending on your movie knowledge, you may remember this classic line in the 1987 movie Wall Street : Its a dog with fleas, kid. That was how Gordon Gekko described a stock tip from a young, ambitious stockbroker named Bud Foxx. A dog is an underperforming stock or asset. Most Wall Street investors think of dog as a four-letter word, but a few are attracted to the dogs of the market. An investment philosophy called the dogs of the Dow theory advocates purchasing the most beaten-down stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) each year. According to this theory, by purchasing the stocks with the highest dividend yields in the Dow 30, investors can expect returns in the 13% range over a 15-year period.
Bear
The term bear refers to the given market conditions. Bull and bear are probably the most familiar terms on Main Street. Bear markets are rife with pessimism and negative sentiment. Typically, a bear market is one that has experienced declines of at least 15-20% and lasts more than two months. Probably the most famous bear markets occurred in 1929, which some believe caused the Great Depression. Unfortunately, economic indicators in 2008 have drawn comparisons to the Great Depression of 1929. The severe housing and credit bubbles originating in the first decade of the new millennium in the United States burst abruptly in 2007, and this credit unwinding, or deleveraging had a negative ripple effect on economies and markets worldwide. Venerable institutions, such as Bear Sterns and Lehman Brothers were wiped out by this bear market . Stock markets across the globe also experienced severe downturns. Governments engineered financial rescue packages for many large banks and insurance giants to avoid global financial markets meltdowns.
While there is no clear-cut strategy for investors in terms of surviving a bear market, many financial advisors suggest that bear markets occur as part of the normal economic and business cycle. For longer-term investors, these bear markets could be viewed as buying opportunities. Other advisors may recommend selling stocks and raising cash until a clear direction or bottom of the market begins to appear. (To learn more, read Adapt To A Bear Market.)
Bull
The term bull refers to a very positive stock market environment in which stock prices are increasing and money is flowing into stocks. Investor confidence is high in bull markets. During the 1990s and through early 2000, the U.S. stock market experienced a sustained bull market in stocks. Perhaps the poster child for the technology bull market of the 1990s was Cisco Systems (Nasdaq:CSCO). Cisco was experiencing tremendous growth due to the internet boom, and the stock returned nearly 75,000% from 1990 to 2000. Similarly, America Online (AOL) returned 480% in just six months. Bull markets can be very powerful creators of wealth for the average investor as well as Wall Street gurus. (For related reading about stock returns during bull markets, see The All Equities Portfolio Fallacy.)
Ostrich
An ostrich is an investor who fails to react to critical situations or events that are likely to impact his or her investment. For example, if the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is launching an investigation into a company, an action that could be detrimental to the companys stock price, the ostrich will simply ignore this news. The ostrich effect is one in which investors bury their heads in the sand, hoping for better days ahead. Ostriches appear (or disappear) most frequently during bear markets, when people tend to experience the most financial stress.
Pig
A pig is any investor who puts greed ahead of his or her investment principles or sound strategies. Anyone who watches investment guru Jim Cramer knows one of his most famous expressions: Bulls make money, bears make money and pigs get slaughtered. A pig tends to think that a 100% return over a 12-month period is not good enough. As a result, the pig may then go and borrow money on margin or mortgage his or her home to buy more of a stock at a higher price with the hope of making more money on the investment. The pig can get slaughtered if the stock drops and all the original gains are lost.
Smart investors are disciplined investors. Professional investors know when to take profits as well as when to cut their losses. Their primary concern is the preservation of capital and not necessarily hitting a home run every time they step up to the plate.
Sheep
A sheep is an investor who has no strategy or focus in mind. This type of person simply listens to others for financial advice, and often misses out on the most meaningful moves in the market as a result. For example, sheep investors who had a philosophy of only buying value stocks in the 1990s missed one of the greatest bull markets of our time. In other words, a sheep can be eaten by a bull or bear if he or she isnt in the right place in the market.
Conclusion
Dont assume that you cant learn trader-talk or Wall-Street-speak just because you dont work there. In fact, picking up the lingo may be more of an exercise of your animal knowledge instead of your investment savvy. Learning these terms can help you gain some insight into the world of words on Wall Street. Surprisingly, youll find that they arent different much from the words heard on Main Street - or in kindergarten classrooms across America.
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Clearing and Settlement – For OTC equity transactions, clearing and settling, the matching of trades and the movement of money and securities, is often handled by third-party firms for the broker-dealers.
The hypothesis further asserts that if markets are efficient, then it should be virtually impossible to outperform the market on a sustained basis.
Ostrich Approach To Investing A Bird-Brained Idea
Of the different investment strategies and behaviors that an investor or fund manager can adopt, some notable ones include active investing , passive investing and the ostrich effect.
• Active investing involves the constant buying and selling of securities in order to profit from short-term changes in the stock market. This strategy is often very beneficial when the market is doing particularly well.
• Passive investing is just the opposite of active investing: it employs a buy-and-hold strategy to profit from long-term trends in the stock market and is used by investors who want to avoid risks.
• Both active and passive investors may exhibit the ostrich effect, or a tendency to ignore bad news in the market.
While there are similarities between passive investing and the ostrich effect, such as the risk-averse nature of the investors who practice them, there are also major differences. These differences, and the dangers of ignoring market news, will be explored here.
What Is Passive Investing?
Passive investing is a long-term strategy that involves restricted buying and selling of securities. A passive investor buys securities in order to hold them for a long period of time, because he or she believes that stocks will go up in the long run.
An investor who invests passively does not seek to beat the market; he or she just wants to match the markets returns. In order to accomplish this, passive investors often invest in index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETF) that mirror market indexes. This is why passive investing is sometimes referred to as index investing. (Get to know the most important market indexes and the pros and cons of investing in them in Index Investing.)
Advantages of Passive Investing
Some advantages of passive investing include the following:
• Lower costs and higher profits: Investing in index funds usually incurs lower management fees, because a passively traded portfolio requires fewer resources and less time to manage than an actively traded portfolio. If an actively traded portfolio yields the same returns as a passively traded portfolio, the passive investor is going to receive a higher return, because when investors sell a security, the amount of profit they receive is equal to the sell price less the buy price, minus management fees and trading commissions. (Learn how you can save on fees and commissions in Settling Wrap Fees.)
• Automatic gains from market upswings: Since passive portfolios are constructed to closely follow the performance of market benchmarks like the S
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OTC market structure is very similar to other equity security markets. A key difference, however, is in the actual trading process, which will be explained in Part 2 – Trading.
Where does this overhead supply come from? Demand was obviously increasing around 18 from Oct-98 to Mar-99 (green oval).
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A Beginners Guide To Hedging
Although it sounds like your neighbors hobby whos obsessed with his topiary garden full of tall bushes shaped like giraffes and dinosaurs, hedging is a practice every investor should know about. There is no arguing that portfolio protection is often just as important as portfolio appreciation. Like your neighbors obsession, however, hedging is talked about more than it is explained, making it seem as though it belongs only to the most esoteric financial realms. Well, even if you are a beginner, you can learn what hedging is, how it works and what hedging techniques investors and companies use to protect themselves.
What Is Hedging?
The best way to understand hedging is to think of it as insurance. When people decide to hedge, they are insuring themselves against a negative event. This doesnt prevent a negative event from happening, but if it does happen and youre properly hedged, the impact of the event is reduced. So, hedging occurs almost everywhere, and we see it everyday. For example, if you buy house insurance, you are hedging yourself against fires, break-ins or other unforeseen disasters.
Portfolio managers, individual investors and corporations use hedging techniques to reduce their exposure to various risks. In financial markets, however, hedging becomes more complicated than simply paying an insurance company a fee every year. Hedging against investment risk means strategically using instruments in the market to offset the risk of any adverse price movements. In other words, investors hedge one investment by making another.
Technically, to hedge you would invest in two securities with negative correlations. Of course, nothing in this world is free, so you still have to pay for this type of insurance in one form or another.
Although some of us may fantasize about a world where profit potentials are limitless but also risk free, hedging cant help us escape the hard reality of the risk-return tradeoff. A reduction in risk will always mean a reduction in potential profits. So, hedging, for the most part, is a technique not by which you will make money but by which you can reduce potential loss. If the investment you are hedging against makes money, you will have typically reduced the profit that you could have made, and if the investment loses money, your hedge, if successful, will reduce that loss.
How Do Investors Hedge?
Hedging techniques generally involve the use of complicated financial instruments known as derivatives, the two most common of which are options and futures. Were not going to get into the nitty-gritty of describing how these instruments work, but for now just keep in mind that with these instruments you can develop trading strategies where a loss in one investment is offset by a gain in a derivative.
Lets see how this works with an example. Say you own shares of Corys Tequila Corporation (Ticker: CTC). Although you believe in this company for the long run, you are a little worried about some short-term losses in the tequila industry. To protect yourself from a fall in CTC you can buy a put option (a derivative) on the company, which gives you the right to sell CTC at a specific price (strike price). This strategy is known as a married put. If your stock price tumbles below the strike price, these losses will be offset by gains in the put option. (For more information, see this article on married puts or this options basics tutorial.)
The other classic hedging example involves a company that depends on a certain commodity. Lets say Corys Tequila Corporation is worried about the volatility in the price of agave, the plant used to make tequila. The company would be in deep trouble if the price of agave were to skyrocket, which would severelyeat into profit margins. To protect (hedge) against the uncertainty of agave prices, CTC can enter into a futures contract (or its less regulated cousin, the forward contract), which allows the company to buy the agave at a specific price at a set date in the future. Now CTC can budget without worrying about the fluctuating commodity.
If the agave skyrockets above that price specified by the futures contract, the hedge will have paid off because CTC will save money by paying the lower price. However, if the price goes down, CTC is still obligated to pay the price in the contract and actually would have been better off not hedging.
Keep in mind that because there are so many different types of options and futures contracts an investor can hedge against nearly anything, whether a stock, commodity price, interest rate and currency - investors can even hedge against the weather.
The Downside
Every hedge has a cost, so before you decide to use hedging, you must ask yourself if the benefits received from it justify the expense. Remember, the goal of hedging isnt to make money but to protect from losses. The cost of the hedge - whether it is the cost of an option or lost profits from being on the wrong side of a futures contract - cannot be avoided. This is the price you have to pay to avoid uncertainty.
Weve been comparing hedging versus insurance, but we should emphasize that insurance is far more precise than hedging. With insurance, you are completely compensated for your loss (usually minus a deductible). Hedging a portfolio isnt a perfect science and things can go wrong. Although risk managers are always aiming for the perfect hedge, it is difficult to achieve in practice.
What Hedging Means to You
The majority of investors will never trade a derivative contract in their life. In fact most buy-and-hold investors ignore short-term fluctuation altogether. For these investors there is little point in engaging in hedging because they let their investments grow with the overall market. So why learn about hedging?
Even if you never hedge for your own portfolio you should understand how it works because many big companies and investment funds will hedge in some form. Oil companies, for example, might hedge against the price of oil while an international mutual fund might hedge against fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. An understanding of hedging will help you to comprehend and analyze these investments.
Conclusion
Risk is an essential yet precarious element of investing. Regardless of what kind of investor one aims to be, having a basic knowledge of hedging strategies will lead to better awareness of how investors and companies work to protect themselves. Whether or not you decide to start practicing the intricate uses of derivatives, learning about how hedging works will help advance your understanding of the market, which will always help you be a better investor.
Investors everyday transfer their accounts from one brokerage firm to another. Account transfers are generally completed without a problem, often within two to three weeks. If you are planning on transferring your account, read our publication, Transferring Your Brokerage Account: Tips on Avoiding Delays.
It does not matter if this information is available to the public or privy to top management; if it exists at all, it is reflected in the current price.
5 Ways To Protect Your Portfolio From Volatility
Is it possible to gauge the level of anxiety in the investment markets? Certainly, and The Chicago Board of Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) measures it. The VIX reacts in real time - just as a stock does - and measures the level of volatility in the U.S. markets over the next 30 days. When the VIX is at 30, in the next 30 days the market could move as much as 2.5% in either direction, (30% divided by 12 months equals 2.5%). The VIX has hovered around 30 for the latter part of 2011, indicating that the market is still highly volatile.
Although short-term traders may call periods of high volatility great times to make money, the truth is that traders of all skill levels will face challenges in this market. What can you do to protect your portfolio against the wild stock market swings? Though it may not sound exciting to the average active trader, the best defense is to stick with conservative, boring strategies.
Hedge
Think of hedging as an insurance policy. Lets assume that you own Bank of America stock and it is now in a market decline. One way to hedge would be to purchase a put option, with a strike price below where you purchased the stock. You wont lose money on any move below your strike price. Other hedging options include short selling a stock and purchasing put options on index funds, like popular exchange traded fund SPDR S
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http://www.barchart.com/technicals/stocks/CLKTF
In addition to publishing quotes, OTC Link provides, among other things, subscribers the ability to send and receive trade messages, allowing them to communicate for the purpose of negotiating trades.
What is the current price?
What is the history of the price movement?
Are Investing Seminars Worth It?
As the old saying goes, free advice is worth every penny you pay for it. Contrary to this ancient witticism, in some cases this advice could be very valuable. It depends on the source of the advice and what the adviser wants from those being advised. TUTORIAL: Investing 101 In the wake of the recent financial crisis, a virtual deluge of investment advice, packaged as investment seminars, has been offered free to the public in mailed letters, brochures and flyers, and in other forms of advertising and promotions. The recipient of these marketing messages justifiably wonders: Which among the many seminars offered would be beneficial? Heres how to answer that question.
Investment seminars may be broadly classified in two varieties:
•The seminar with something for sale.
•The seminar with no specific investment for sale.
The most common seminar is the first variety. These something-specific-for-sale seminars are offered by an individual, company, or institution such as a bank, insurance company or brokerage firm. While they do offer investment information, the seminars are designed principally to sell products and or services to the attendees. For every sale made, the seller receives a commission. So keep in mind that while these seminars impart information, they are also sales pitches. (For related reading, see The Sales Commission Dilemma.)
Most Frequently Sold Products/Services
Annuities, sold by financial planners and advisers, insurance companies, banks and brokers. Annuities generally provide the buyer with a lifetime return (with certain exceptions, spelled out in the contract) on a lump sum investment. Bonds of many kinds (i.e. debt, meaning contractual obligations to pay a certain rate of interest on a principal amount over a specified period of time). Stocks and balanced portfolios of stocks. Many seminars will offer a free portfolio analysis - meaning theyll look at all your investments and advise you on what to sell and what to buy for better returns, with relative safety and perhaps a small percentage allocated to a higher-risk, higher-return investment on your investments. As usual, the adviser-seller receives a commission on all sales. (For related reading, see What Is A Registered Investment Advisor?)
Specific targeted investment advice for retirement, for accumulating enough money for a college education for children or grandchildren, and for setting up trusts, among other investments and investment services offered. Brokers and brokerage firms often conduct seminars on trading stocks, stock options, commodities, and foreign currency. These can be high risk speculations for inexperienced investors and special caution is advised before trading in these often volatile markets.
Finally, seminars which offer information about esoteric investments which may yield high returns, should be regarded with a prudent skepticism. Sales pitches may hype certainemerging markets, foreign bonds, private equity firms, copper mines in Africa, derivatives of various types, and similar investment vehicles, suggesting that in best-case scenarios, the returns will be high. These may turn out to be successful investments, but pending regulatory oversight, certified audits and more transparency about the investment, investors are urged to be wary. (For more on emerging markets, see What Is An Emerging Market Economy.)
No Specific-Investments For Sale Seminars
Seminars which offer nothing for sale and are strictly informational or educational may provide the most benefits to attendees. Because nothing is for sale, the information provided is not skewed toward the usual biases which favor certain investments over others of roughly equal returns and safety.
Often, these seminars are given by independent financial advisers, or by authors of books on investments, media columnists or commentators, newsletter publishers, Website writers and other speakers with no specific investment to sell. But the financial advisers want to sell their expert advice, and may invite seminar attendees to make an appointment for a personal one-on-one consultation to discuss their investment goals and how to achieve them. Most likely at that meeting the adviser will try to sell fee-based and or performance-based services.
The writers and publishers who conduct investment seminars will probably try to sell their books, newsletters, Web subscriptions and other forms of information to the attendees.
Heres What to Do and Not to Do at Both Types of Seminars:
If you dont understand something, ask questions. If its too complicated, ask to see it in writing. If you still dont understand the investment and how it works, steer clear. Ask to see the credentials of anyone purporting to be a certified financial planner. Ask for references. Maintain a high level of skepticism, especially when no-risk, high-return investments are touted. Keep in mind, the higher the projected return, the higher the risk, and in some cases, you can lose all the money you invest. Get a second opinion from an outside, disinterested source if youre considering an investment. Dont be rushed into buying something on the spot because the sales person says the markets are moving quickly and if you dont buy now youll miss the profits.
If you do invest, experts say dont allocate more than 4% of your total portfolio to any one investment. That way, if the investment produces a loss, you wont be hurt too badly. (Learn how to weed out those who are just out to make a quick buck. For more, see Find The Right Financial Advisor.)
The Bottom Line
Investment seminars can be worth your time, but keep in mind that theres usually something for sale at most of them. Nevertheless, like your daily newspaper or favorite magazines or informational website, along with the advertisements of goods and services for sale, theres plenty of useful information and newsworthy stories. The same holds true for most investment seminars.
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The OTCQX tier includes both multinational companies seeking access to U.S. investors and domestic growth companies.[12] To be traded on this tier, companies undergo a qualitative review by OTC Markets Group.[13] Companies are not required to be registered with or reporting to the SEC, but must post financial information with OTC Markets Group.
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