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Daily Candlestick Chart for NWSZF
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=NWSZF
Chicago PMI: This report is created by The National Association of Purchasing Management. It rates the level of factory health in the upper Midwest. It is also known as the Business Barometer. Announced at the end of the month in The Chicago Report. Because it is released on the last day of the reporting month, it is used to predict the ISM Report. The Chicago PMI is based on a level of 50. Any level higher is considered expansion. Naturally, any level lower is a sign of contraction.
Daily Candlestick Chart for BNIKF
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Analyst: When analyzing the market, analysts can generally be divided into two camps - fundamentals and technicals.
Fundamental analysts are those who mainly look at the fundamental aspects of an economy in forming their opinions. They stay on top of the markets by reading and analyzing what the current economic data say about current market conditions, what is fundamentally driving the market, and where it's headed.
Technical analysts are those who primarily rely on chart indicators and patterns to help predict where price will move next. Some tools that technical analysts use are Fibonacci retracement, candlesticks and momentum indicators.
Daily Candlestick Chart for IPRU
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=IPRU
Subjectivity
Fair value is based on assumptions. Any changes to growth or multiplier assumptions can greatly alter the ultimate valuation. Fundamental analysts are generally aware of this and use sensitivity analysis to present a base-case valuation, an average-case valuation and a worst-case valuation. However, even on a worst-case valuation, most models are almost always bullish, the only question is how much so. The chart below shows how stubbornly bullish many fundamental analysts can be.
Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944: The Bretton Woods Agreement is a pact that was made all the way back in the 1940's by the economic powers at that time to stabilize currencies. What it did was establish a fixed exchange rate for currencies in terms of gold to make trade among nations easier. This kind of exchange rate system lasted until 1971, before the US finally decided to end the convertibility of the dollar to gold.
Two Dominant Groups
Two basic tenets of technical analysis are that prices trend and that history repeats itself. An uptrend indicates that the forces of demand (bulls) are in control and a downtrend that the forces of supply (bears) are in control. However, prices do not trend forever and as the balance of power shifts, a chart pattern begins to emerge. Certain patterns, such as a parallel channel, denote a strong trend. However, the vast majority of chart patterns fall into two main groups: reversal and continuation. Reversal patterns indicate a change of trend and can be broken down into top and bottom formations. Continuation patterns indicate a pause in trend and indicate that the previous direction will resume after a period of time.
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) chart patterns example chart from StockCharts.com
Microsoft (MSFT)[Msft]
Just because a pattern forms after a significant advance or decline does not mean it is a reversal pattern. Many patterns, such as a rectangle, can be classified as either reversal or continuation. Much depends on the previous price action, volume and other indicators as the pattern evolves. This is where the science of technical analysis becomes the art of technical analysis.
Daily Candlestick Chart for FMCC
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=FMCC
Daily Candlestick Chart for HYDI
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Definition of 'Death Cross'
A crossover resulting from a security's long-term moving average breaking above its short-term moving average or support level.
Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/deathcross.asp#ixzz26ev7vRbs
Daily Candlestick Chart for EARH
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=EARH
Company Analysis
With a shortlist of companies, an investor might analyze the resources and capabilities within each company to identify those companies that are capable of creating and maintaining a competitive advantage. The analysis could focus on selecting companies with a sensible business plan, solid management and sound financials.
Daily Candlestick Chart for APDN
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=APDN
To assess a industry group's potential, an investor would want to consider the overall growth rate, market size, and importance to the economy. While the individual company is still important, its industry group is likely to exert just as much, or more, influence on the stock price. When stocks move, they usually move as groups; there are very few lone guns out there. Many times it is more important to be in the right industry than in the right stock! The chart below shows that relative performance of 5 sectors over a 7-month time frame. As the chart illustrates, being in the right sector can make all the difference.
Average True Range: Average True Range is one measure of volatility of a given market. The measure was created by J. Welles Wilder, Jr. in his 1979 book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems”.
Average True Range is based on the True Range, which is defined as the greatest of three measures:
•The difference between the greatest high and the greatest low
•The absolute value of the current high minus the latest close
•The absolute value of the current low minus the latest close
As a rule, fourteen measurements of the True Range are used in deriving the ATR. These measurements can be taken for four different time intervals: within a day, daily, weekly and monthly. The first ATR in a series is simply the average of the TR for fourteen periods. Future ATRs in the series are derived by the following algorithm:
•Multiply the previous 14-day ATR by 13.
•Add the current ATR.
•Divide the sum by 14.
The measurement is useful due to its sensitivity to large fluctuations in the value of a currency across several periods of measurement, even when the difference between the high and low values for a single period is very small (which would falsely indicate a low overall volatility.)
Daily Candlestick Chart for TRKG
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=TRKG
Ascending Triangle: An Ascending Triangle is a price action formation signal based on continuation pattern theory.
Continuation patterns also include symmetrical triangles, descending triangles, wedges, flags, rectangles and pennants and are essentially technical patterns that are expected to lead to the continuation of an existing trend. Continuation patterns are considered a powerful trading tool as they usually result in extremely low risk trading opportunities and spectacular returns.
An ascending triangle demonstrated within a chart pattern is recognized as having a bullish position and occurs as a result of price highs and price lows that have begun to converge so that they, in effect, form a point. If a line is drawn above and below the pattern the top line will appear straight whilst the bottom will slope upwards at an angle.
Ascending triangles are considered to be at their most reliable when occurring during an uptrend, and a buy order should be placed on a break above the upper resistance area of the triangle. If however, the pattern is proved to be false, or if the ascending triangle pattern should fail, then it is advisable to sell when the market breaks out and below the triangle.
Industrial Metals and Bonds
Not all commodities are created equal. In particular, oil is prone to supply shocks. Unrest in oil producing countries or regions usually causes oil prices to surge. A price rise due to a supply shock is negative for stocks, but a price rise due to rising demand can be positive for stocks. This is also true for industrial metals, which are less susceptible to these supply shocks. As a result, chartists can watch industrial metals prices for clues on the economy and the stock market. Rising prices reflect increasing demand and a healthy economy. Falling prices reflect decreasing demand and a weak economy. The chart below shows a clear positive relationship between industrial metals and the S
Daily Candlestick Chart for BLSP
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Daily Candlestick Chart for MDRPF
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=MDRPF
Divergence: Divergence is a trading pattern in which the relationship between price action and an oscillator indicator is measured.
If the price begins to move in a negative correlation to an indicator, (ie. higher "highs" in price, but lower "highs" in indicator), it could be viewed as a leading indicator for a potential change in price direction.
Daily Candlestick Chart for ASCC
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=ASCC
Strengths of Fundamental Analysis
Long-term Trends
Fundamental analysis is good for long-term investments based on very long-term trends. The ability to identify and predict long-term economic, demographic, technological or consumer trends can benefit patient investors who pick the right industry groups or companies.
Asset Purchases: In recent events, asset purchases usually pertains to the purchasing of government bonds to lower interest rates, inject capital into the economy or both. It is an unconventional monetary policy used by central banks to stimulate the economy, otherwise know as "quantitative easing."
Daily Candlestick Chart for AMWI
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Daily Candlestick Chart for TGLO
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Daily Candlestick Chart for GSML
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Bar Chart
Perhaps the most popular charting method is the bar chart. The high, low and close are required to form the price plot for each period of a bar chart. The high and low are represented by the top and bottom of the vertical bar and the close is the short horizontal line crossing the vertical bar. On a daily chart, each bar represents the high, low and close for a particular day. Weekly charts would have a bar for each week based on Friday's close and the high and low for that week.
Bar charts can also be displayed using the open, high, low and close. The only difference is the addition of the open price, which is displayed as a short horizontal line extending to the left of the bar. Whether or not a bar chart includes the open depends on the data available.
Bar charts can be effective for displaying a large amount of data. Using candlesticks, 200 data points can take up a lot of room and look cluttered. Line charts show less clutter, but do not offer as much detail (no high-low range). The individual bars that make up the bar chart are relatively skinny, which allows users the ability to fit more bars before the chart gets cluttered. If you are not interested in the opening price, bar charts are an ideal method for analyzing the close relative to the high and low. In addition, bar charts that include the open will tend to get cluttered quicker. If you are interested in the opening price, candlestick charts probably offer a better alternative.
Daily Candlestick Chart for GRYO
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=GRYO
Double Bottom: A Double Bottom is a form of chart pattern used in technical analysis. This pattern is characterized by a distinct drop in price, followed by a slight reversal (or recovery) with a second drop occurring soon after to either the same or similar level as the first, before another, significant recovery so that the chart appears to take on the form of the letter 'W'.
The Double Bottom, along with its counterpart, the Double Top, is easily one of the most recognizable chart patterns. While both are reliable reversal patterns, highly indicative of chances in the market, the bullish Double Bottom reflects very strong levels of support and often indicates a strong change of trend.
The double low points are considered to be support levels, with the resistance level measured at the widest point of the 'W' formation. When the rise following the second low breaks the resistance point generally the rise will continue sharply, with these reversal trends garnering more reward following extended downtrends.
It is normally considered that the best entry point on a double bottom formation is around the secondary resistance level, which when broken tends to indicate a the confirmation of the price reversal.
Intermarket Analysis
Introduction
Intermarket analysis is a branch of technical analysis that examines the correlations between four major asset classes: stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies. In his classic book on Intermarket Analysis, John Murphy notes that chartists can use these relationships to identify the stage of the business cycle and improve their forecasting abilities. There are clear relationships between stocks and bonds, bonds and commodities, and commodities and the Dollar. Knowing these relationships can help chartists determine the stage of the investing cycle, select the best sectors and avoid the worst performing sectors. Much of the material for this article comes from John Murphy's book and his postings in the Market Message at Stockcharts.com.
Daily Candlestick Chart for CIIC
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=CIIC
DeMarker Indicator: The Demarker Indicator is a technical analysis tool developed by Tom Demarker for identifying high-risk buying or selling areas in a given market.
Two variants of the Demarker Indicator exist, one bounded by values from -100 to 100, the other bounded by values from 0 to 1. The basic principle behind the Indicator is the same in either case. If the high price for a period is higher than the previous period's high, the DeMax variable for that period is the difference between the highs; the DeMin variable for the period works similarly for the low prices. The Demarker Indicator is then the moving average of DeMax divided by the sum of the moving averages of DeMax and DeMin. Thus, the higher the value of DeMax relative to DeMin, the greater the value of the Demarker Indicator.
On the 0 to 1 Demarker Indicator scale, a value anywhere above .7 indicates that a downward price turn is imminent, while a value anywhere below .3 indicates that the price will shortly turn upward. Values between .3 and .7 indicate relatively low-risk periods for entering a given asset market. Thus savvy traders can use the Demarker Indicator either to determine when to enter a market, or when to buy or sell an asset in order to capitalize on probable imminent price trends.
Conclusions
Even though many different charting techniques are available, one method is not necessarily better than the other. The data may be the same, but each method will provide its own unique interpretation, with its own benefits and drawbacks. A breakout on the point
Daily Candlestick Chart for FHAI
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=FHAI
Investopedia explains 'Golden Cross'
As long-term indicators carry more weight, the Golden Cross indicates a bull market on the horizon and is reinforced by high trading volumes. Additionally, the long-term moving average becomes the new support level in the rising market.
Technicians might see this cross as a sign that the market has turned in favor of the stock.
Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldencross.asp#ixzz26esuRXve
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![]() ![]() ![]() UPDATE; 5-1-22 courtesy of charting /\ wit tweezer top calls /\ Tony @Montana_Trades Really good study sheet on Candlestick Patterns [-chart]pbs.twimg.com/media/FRn8188XMAAdZvk?format=jpg&name=small[/chart] ![]()
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