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Daily Candlestick Chart for BCDH
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$CONX BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Understanding Business Cycle
The graph below shows the idealized business cycle and the intermarket relationships during a normal inflationary environment. This cycle map is based on one shown in the Intermarket Review by Martin J. Pring (www.pring.com). The business cycle is shown as a sine wave. The first three stages are part of an economic contraction (weakening, bottoming, strengthening). Stage 3 shows the economy in a contraction phase, but strengthening after a bottom. As the sine wave crosses the centerline, the economy moves from contraction to the three phases of economic expansion (strengthening, topping and weakening). Stage 6 shows the economy in an expansion phase, but weakening after a top.
Stage 1 shows the economy contracting and bonds turning up as interest rates decline. Economic weakness favors loose monetary policy and the lowering of interest rates, which is bullish for bonds.
Stage 2 marks a bottom in the economy and the stock market. Even though economic conditions have stopped deteriorating, the economy is still not at an expansion stage or actually growing. However, stocks anticipate an expansion phase by bottoming before the contraction period ends.
Stage 3 shows a vast improvement in economic conditions as the business cycle prepares to move into an expansion phase. Stocks have been rising and commodities now anticipate an expansion phase by turning up.
Stage 4 marks a period of full expansion. Both stocks and commodities are rising, but bonds turn lower because the expansion increases inflationary pressures. Interest rates start moving higher to combat inflationary pressures.
Stage 5 marks a peak in economic growth and the stock market. Even though the expansion continues, the economy grows at a slower pace because rising interest rates and rising commodity prices take their toll. Stocks anticipate a contraction phase by peaking before the expansion actually ends. Commodities remain strong and peak after stocks.
Stage 6 marks a deterioration in the economy as the business cycle prepares to move from an expansion phase to a contraction phase. Stocks have already been moving lower and commodities now turn lower in anticipation of decreased demand from the deteriorating economy.
Keep in mind that this is the ideal business cycle in an inflationary environment. Stocks and bonds advance together in stages 2 and 3. Similarly, both decline in stages 5 and 6. This would not be the case in a deflationary environment, when bonds and stocks would move in opposite directions.
Daily Candlestick Chart for CASG
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$AGFL BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for AMBS
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Charts ~ The Basics
Even though many different charting techniques are available, one method is not necessarily better than the other. The data may be the same, but each method will provide its own unique interpretation, with its own benefits and drawbacks. A breakout on the point
$TNEN BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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$LGBS BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for ANDI
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Monetary Policy Monthly Report: Release schedule : 6:00 (GMT); in the middle of the month
Revisions schedule : None
Source of report : Bank of Japan
Web Address : http://www.boj.or.jp/en/
Address of release : http://www.boj.or.jp/en/theme/seisaku/handan/gp/index.htm
$NYXO BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Chicago PMI: This report is created by The National Association of Purchasing Management. It rates the level of factory health in the upper Midwest. It is also known as the Business Barometer. Announced at the end of the month in The Chicago Report. Because it is released on the last day of the reporting month, it is used to predict the ISM Report. The Chicago PMI is based on a level of 50. Any level higher is considered expansion. Naturally, any level lower is a sign of contraction.
Analyst Bias As A Weaknesses of Fundamental Analysis
The majority of the information that goes into the analysis comes from the company itself. Companies employ investor relations managers specifically to handle the analyst community and release information. As Mark Twain said, "there are lies, damn lies, and statistics." When it comes to massaging the data or spinning the announcement, CFOs and investor relations managers are professionals. Only buy-side analysts tend to venture past the company statistics. Buy-side analysts work for mutual funds and money managers. They read the reports written by the sell-side analysts who work for the big brokers (CIBC, Merrill Lynch, Robertson Stephens, CS First Boston, Paine Weber, DLJ to name a few). These brokers are also involved in underwriting and investment banking for the companies. Even though there are restrictions in place to prevent a conflict of interest, brokers have an ongoing relationship with the company under analysis. When reading these reports, it is important to take into consideration any biases a sell-side analyst may have. The buy-side analyst, on the other hand, is analyzing the company purely from an investment standpoint for a portfolio manager. If there is a relationship with the company, it is usually on different terms. In some cases this may be as a large shareholder.
Daily Candlestick Chart for DFRH
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$VTSI BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for RNDR
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$CZICF BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for MMTIF
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Daily Candlestick Chart for MINE
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$BFCF BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for GRMC
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$LUNL BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for NHVCF
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$LAWEQ BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for AERO
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$FEEC BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Elder Impulse System ~ Timeframe
The Elder Impulse System can be used across different timeframes, but trading should be in harmony with the bigger trend. Elder recommends setting your trading timeframe and then calling it intermediate. Multiply this intermediate timeframe by five to get your long-term timeframe. Traders using daily charts for an intermediate timeframe can simply move to weekly charts for a long-term timeframe. The choice is not as clear cut for smaller or longer timeframes. A little judgment is required. Traders using 10-minute charts to chart their "intermediate" timeframe can use 60-minute charts for their "long-term" timeframe. Investors using weekly charts can base the bigger picture on monthly charts. Once the trading timeframe is decided, chartists can then use the longer timeframe to identify the bigger trend. This can even be accomplished using one chart. Chart 2 shows daily bars with the Elder Impulse System and the 65-day exponential moving average, which is five times the 13-day EMA. The long-term trend is considered up when SPY is above the 65 day EMA or when MACD (1,65,1) is positive.
Again, other methods for determining the weekly trend can be used instead of using the MACD(1,65,1) zero crossover on the daily chart. We will use that technique in this article to simplify the charts and discussion.
$HIMR BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for FFFC
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$ECRY BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for CFTN
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$ELRA BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for UNDY
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$MDHI BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Psychological Factors Connected to Irrational Exuberance
Robert Shiller asserts that there is a human tendency towards "overconfidence in ones beliefs". Moreover, people often rely on intuition when making investment decisions. The decision process is not based on carefully considered facts backed by numbers and evidence. Instead, investors make investment decisions based on the opinion of others. This stems from the need to conform. Investors make decision based on "good stories" or stories that seem logical. Because people get their information from the same sources, there is little or no evidence of independent behavior. Instead, individuals getting the same information react the same way to produce a herd mentality.
Daily Candlestick Chart for DATA
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$AWKS BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for PPCCF
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Investor Hub Alerts: Sign up for 'STOCKGOODIES PLAYS OF THE WEEK ' E-Mail List UPDATE; 5-1-22 courtesy of charting /\ wit tweezer top calls /\ Tony @Montana_Trades Really good study sheet on Candlestick Patterns [-chart]pbs.twimg.com/media/FRn8188XMAAdZvk?format=jpg&name=small[/chart]
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