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SPX Cycles System Daily Cycles (SPI:IN\X)

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Last Post: 7/10/2020 11:30:07 PM - Followers: 23 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

The focus of this board will be on my SPX cycles system using Daily, Weekly & Monthly charts.  This cycle system is not intended to identify the tops and bottoms.  The intent is to identify the middle area.

SPX cycles will be broken down into two phases.  Phase I(Bear) is the down trend phase and Phase II(Bull) is the up trend phase.

A Phase I(Bear) starts when the SPX price opens and remains below the upper trend line(UTL).   For a Daily Phase I(Bear) to be confirmed, the SPX price opens and remains below the UTL price the entire trading day.  The confirmation for a Weekly & Monthly Phase I(Bear) is the same process as the Daily, except the Weekly price must remain below the UTL the entire Week and the Monthly must remain below the UTL the entire Month.

A Phase II(Bull) is confirmed immediately when the SPX price hits the UTL. 

A new chart will be posted each time a new Phase is confirmed. 

I will provide current averages for each Phase and each time frame.  Averages are the primary data I use in buying and selling.  When in a Bull Market  Phase I's are normally shorter than Phase II's and in a Bear Market Phase II's sometimes are shorter than Phase I's.  So in a Bull Market Phase I,  I would buy long below the average and sell in Phase II above the average.  In a Bear Market, I would buy long in Phase I above the average and in Phase II would sell below the average. 

I will provide projections based on historical data that I continually collect and analyze. 

The objective of SPX Cycles, is to identify short term (Daily), medium term (Weekly) and long term (Monthly) direction of the market.

Phase I - Starts at the beginning of a down trend and ends at the confirmed up trend.  The confirmed up trend is when the price touches or crosses the upper trend line.

Phase II - Starts when a confirmed up trend is identified and ends when a confirmed down trend has started.  The confirmed down trend is when the price opens below the upper trend line and remains below the upper trend line the entire trading day for a Daily Phase I. the entire week for a Weekly Phase I and the entire month for a Monthly Phase I.

During a Bull market, Phase II cycles will normally last longer than Phase I cycles.

During a Bear market, Phase I cycles sometimes last  longer than Phase II cycles.

Bull market - For this board, a bull market is confirmed when the SPX Monthly EMA 3/8 has made a bullish crossing, and it is confirmed at close of the market on the last trading day of the month.

Bear market - Is the same as the Bull market except the SPX Monthly EMA 3/8 has made a bearish crossing that is confirmed at close of the market on the last trading day of the month.

Other indicators that this board will use:  PPO (3,8,4), MACD (12,26,9), RSI(14), CCI(24).  These are secondary indicators and are mainly used to try and detect a change of trend in the early stages.  The PPO is usually the first warning sign followed by the MACD, RSI and CCI.

The upper and lower trend lines on all charts are the EMA 11 (high) and EMA 11 (low)

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 



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PostSubject
#1589   News: $X 3 "Struggling" Steel Stocks to Avoid whytestocks 07/10/20 11:30:07 PM
#1588   $X bears and bulls https://news.squeezereport.com/short-squeeze/unit whytestocks 12/11/19 03:25:19 PM
#1587   News: $X Big River Steel Attracts $700M Investment whytestocks 10/01/19 01:00:19 PM
#1586   News: $X United States Steel Corporation to Acquire whytestocks 10/01/19 12:30:30 PM
#1585   northam, JLS 08/14/11 02:26:06 AM
#1584   JLS - Yes, but they will probably want northam43 08/12/11 07:21:35 PM
#1583   northam, JLS 08/12/11 04:02:17 PM
#1582   JLS - Thanks for the info. I northam43 08/12/11 03:45:06 PM
#1581   northam, JLS 08/12/11 03:22:30 PM
#1580   JLS - Thanks for the info. I northam43 08/11/11 05:02:30 PM
#1579   northam, JLS 08/11/11 04:32:22 PM
#1578   northam, JLS 08/11/11 11:44:35 AM
#1577   JLS - If they do that to me, northam43 08/11/11 10:53:20 AM
#1576   northam, JLS 08/11/11 02:52:11 AM
#1575   JLS - I get 20 days of intra-day northam43 08/10/11 06:58:40 PM
#1574   northam, JLS 08/10/11 03:23:16 PM
#1573   SPX Cycles Daily Data Sheet as of August northam43 08/04/11 04:36:51 PM
#1572   Gleno34 - We could be going into a northam43 08/01/11 04:09:31 PM
#1571   north..Maybe you missed my post on FOOT's board GLENO34 08/01/11 03:22:22 PM
#1570   SPX Daily Phase 1 (BEAR) Confirmed (07/27/11): northam43 07/27/11 10:51:30 PM
#1569   SPX Daily Phase 2 (BULL) Confirmed (07/19/11): northam43 07/19/11 03:04:05 PM
#1568   SPX Daily Phase 1 (BEAR) Confirmed (07/14/11): northam43 07/14/11 04:18:19 PM
#1567   SPX Daily Phase 2 (BULL) Confirmed (07/12/11): northam43 07/13/11 01:07:33 PM
#1566   SPX Daily Phase 1 (Bear) Confirmed (07/12/11): northam43 07/12/11 04:18:51 PM
#1565   SPX Cycles Daily Data Sheet: northam43 07/03/11 11:50:31 PM
#1564   SPX Daily Phase 2 (BULL) Confirmed (06/28/11): northam43 06/28/11 01:49:42 PM
#1563   SPX Daily Phase 1 (BEAR) Confirmed (06/23/11): northam43 06/28/11 01:45:49 PM
#1562   Torqputty - No, the last time the Daily northam43 06/21/11 01:43:33 PM
#1561   re; The last 4 cycle Phase 2 targets Torqputty 06/21/11 12:43:41 PM
#1560   (CHART)SPX Daily Phase 2 (BULL) Confirmed (06/21/11): northam43 06/21/11 10:54:19 AM
#1559   SPX Daily Phase 2 (BULL) Confirmed (06/21/11) northam43 06/21/11 10:35:17 AM
#1558   The SPX Daily Phase 1 is now above northam43 06/20/11 12:01:49 PM
#1557   The SPX Daily is at the LTL. northam43 06/17/11 11:23:12 AM
#1556   Here's the good news: northam43 06/16/11 11:45:01 PM
#1555   Torqputty Well the biggest news is the Daily is RCKS 06/16/11 03:42:40 PM
#1554   SPX Daily Chart Torqputty 06/16/11 12:56:17 PM
#1553   Whats Up at SPX Daily Cycles...? Torqputty 06/16/11 12:52:29 PM
#1552   The SPX Cycles Consolidated Daily Reports are located northam43 06/10/11 08:43:50 PM
#1551   SPX Cycles Daily Data Sheet: northam43 06/10/11 08:39:17 PM
#1550   SPX Daily Phase 1 target low hit today. northam43 06/06/11 11:33:11 AM
#1549   SPX Daily Phase 1 (BEAR) Confirmed (06/02/11): northam43 06/02/11 09:30:19 PM
#1548   bbgold - Thank you for your interest in northam43 06/02/11 12:28:03 PM
#1547   Thanks, much appreciated bbgold 06/02/11 12:23:57 PM
#1546   bbgold - "Have you looked into using different northam43 06/02/11 08:28:26 AM
#1545   Thanks Yes, I was not sure which time frame bbgold 06/02/11 01:33:43 AM
#1544   SPX Cycles Daily Data Sheet: northam43 06/01/11 09:47:57 PM
#1543   bbgold - This is the Daily chart. northam43 06/01/11 09:22:52 PM
#1542   5/31 a Close above trendline? bbgold 06/01/11 05:21:14 PM
#1541   SPX Cycles Daily Data Sheet: northam43 06/01/11 12:02:17 AM
#1540   SPX Daily Phase 2 (BULL) Confirmed (05/31/11): northam43 05/31/11 11:38:26 AM
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