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Microsoft $MFST 21D held and money flowing back in. ATH coming? Looks it
By: Options Mike | December 10, 2023
• $MFST 21D held and money flowing back in.
ATH coming? Looks it.
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WHAT IN HELL IS WRONG WITH MICROSOFT????? EDGE WON'T LET ME MAKE A CREDIT CARD PAYMENT WITHOUT FIRST SIGNING INTO THEIR ACCOUNT AND REGISTERING MY CARD NUMBER... ITS NONE OF THEIR BUSINESS!!!!!! I CLOSED EDGE AND USED A DIFFERENT BROWSER!!!!!!!!
F MICROSFT!!!!!!!!!
Microsoft $MSFT Call Writer
By: Theta Warrior | December 4, 2023
• $MSFT Call Writer.
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Microsoft $MFST much needed break, 370 support then the 21D.. levels to watch
By: Options Mike | December 3, 2023
• $MFST much needed break,
370 support then the 21D.. levels to watch.
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Microsoft $MSFT - At the bull market high in late 2021 it started forming a cup & handle pattern that continued the rally out of the 2020 low. The depth of the cup was roughly 130 points. Therefore, the breakout that occurred in November has a target of around 480 by late 2024.
By: CyclesFan | December 2, 2023
• $MSFT - At the bull market high in late 2021 it started forming a cup & handle pattern that continued the rally out of the 2020 low. The depth of the cup was roughly 130 points. Therefore, the breakout that occurred in November has a target of around 480 by late 2024.
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Bill Gates and other billionaire 'Controligarchs' are pushing for global digital IDs, centralized control and a 'paywall around your life' - Seamus Bruner
https://www.kitco.com/news/2023-11-28/Bill-Gates-and-other-billionaire-Controligarchs-are-pushing-for-global-digital-IDs-centralized-control-and-a-paywall-around-your-life-Seamus-Bruner.html $MSFT
MSFT Stock At Record High: Is Now the Time to Buy Before It Skyrockets Further?
By: Karl Montevirgen | November 30, 2023
• MSFT stock price surges past its 52-week high but. pulls back, closing just shy of $379
• Investors should watch for dips and resistance-turned-support levels for long entries
• Microsoft's massive investment in OpenAI could help push the stock price higher
While Microsoft's (MSFT) Azure contends for the top spot in the cloud computing arena, trailing behind Amazon (AMZN), its $1 billion investment in OpenAI, and the hand it played in resolving the company's recent debacle, shows how prominently Microsoft is riding the AI tiger.
Investors, too, must be getting the message, as the market has pushed MSFT's stock beyond its 52-week high threshold.
The stock went above $379.00 in Wednesday's trading session, and, with no historical resistance ahead, anyone looking to go long might wonder where a good entry price to open a position might be, despite a slight pullback.
At the end of 2022 and the beginning of 2023, MSFT bounced off its 200-week simple moving average. At least that gave bulls a reference point, with both serving as ideal entry points (see weekly chart of MSFT below).
CHART 1: WEEKLY CHART OF MICROSOFT STOCK. The stock is in all-time high territory. Where to from here?
Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.
But having broken above its all-time high threshold, it's hard to tell whether MSFT stock is skyrocketing or whether its sky-high valuations are subject to the forces of market gravity.
Also, fundamentally-based projections aren't much help here—they range anywhere from $390 to $450 a share. So, if you're looking to go long, it helps to assess whether the stock is currently overbought and if a dip might be forthcoming. For that, we'd have to look at the daily chart of MSFT stock (see below).
If you look at the relative strength index (RSI), now falling from 70, you can spot a slight divergence between the price rise and the RSI declining from "overbought" territory. MSFT may be pulling back now, but it's too early to tell if the pullback will continue in the coming sessions.
If it does continue to slide, we're looking at former resistance-turned-support levels as possible prices to anticipate a bullish bounce. This is punctuated by a thickening bullish Ichimoku Cloud, which, if you can remember, provides a range of potential support.
Why the cloud? The wider range complements the specific price support levels of $365 and $350. A pullback to this range, starting at the top-most $365 level and followed by a bounce, might provide you with an optimal entry point to get long MSFT, should you want to add it to your portfolio.
Note January 31, 2024 on your calendar. That's when MSFT drops its next earnings report. Right now, the buying craze is also centered on its ties with OpenAI. So keep an eye on any developments or news as we count down to January of the new year.
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Microsoft $MSFT Aggressive $6.7M Call Sweepers
By: Cheddar Flow | November 29, 2023
• $MSFT Aggressive $6.7M Call Sweepers
This type of premium, paired with a short expiration, is rare to see on Microsoft
Vol>OI so these were opening orders
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Microsoft $MSFT $3.6 Million Put • Strike: 380 • Expiration: 12/15/23
By: Cheddar Flow | November 29, 2023
• $MSFT Unusual $3.6M Put
Strike: 380
Expiration: 12/15/23
*Above the Ask*
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$MSFT EOD OTM sweepers into the 12/01/23 $392.50 CALLS - 7.9K contracts/$297 premium
By: FLOWrensics | November 28, 2023
• $MSFT EOD OTM sweepers into the 12/01/23 $392.50 CALLS - 7.9K contracts/$297 premium.
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Microsoft Co. (MSFT) is Montrusco Bolton Investments Inc.'s Largest Position
By: MarketBeat | November 25, 2023
• Montrusco Bolton Investments Inc. increased its stake in Microsoft Co. (NASDAQ:MSFT) by 26.9% in the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 1,635,576 shares of the software giant's stock after purchasing an additional 346,918 shares during the quarter. Microsoft comprises about 8.5% of Montrusco Bolton Investments Inc.'s holdings, making the stock its largest position. Montrusco Bolton Investments Inc.'s holdings in Microsoft were worth $546,019,000 as of its most recent filing with the SEC...
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$MSFT - The rally towards 480 by late 2024 is in progress. There's likely to be some sort of pullback in the next 2 weeks. Once the pullback is over it's headed higher into the 1st or 2nd week of January with the target being the 1.618 extension of the recent correction at 402
By: CyclesFan | November 25, 2023
• $MSFT - The rally towards 480 by late 2024 is in progress. There's likely to be some sort of pullback in the next 2 weeks. Once the pullback is over it's headed higher into the 1st or 2nd week of January with the target being the 1.618 extension of the recent correction at 402.
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MSFT new 52 week high
Microsoft $MSFT sent an internal memo to all employees regarding the OpenAI saga
By: Evan | November 22, 2023
• Microsoft $MSFT sent an internal memo to all employees regarding the OpenAI saga
Here's the memo via The Verge.
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Today Microsoft (MSFT) is the best performer in the DJIA
By: Thom Hartle | November 22, 2023
• Today (8:32 CST), the best performer in the DJIA is Microsoft.
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Microsoft $MSFT $1.1 Million Put • Strike: 355 • Expiration: 12/29/23
By: Cheddar Flow | November 21, 2023
• $MSFT $1.1M OTM Put
Strike: 355
Expiration: 12/29/23
*At the Ask*
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Call Traders Picked Up Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Ahead of Record Peak
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | November 20, 2023
• MSFT is on Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of stocks that attracted the highest weekly options volume in the last 10 days
• The software giant hit record highs earlier today
The shares of Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) hit a fresh record high of $377.10 earlier today, now up 1.5% at $375.25 at last check. The stock has charged higher on the charts of late, fresh off its fourth-straight weekly win and above all moving averages between the 20- and 320-day trendlines, with the former providing support through October.
Microsoft stock is a staple amongst options traders, and the past two weeks have been no different amid its most recent run. According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of stocks that have attracted the highest weekly options volume in the last 10 days, MSFT has seen 2,682,497 calls and 1,738,973 puts exchanged during this time. The most popular contract over this period was the November 375 call, followed by the 372.50 call in the same monthly series.
These options traders are in luck at the moment, too. MSFT is seeing attractively priced premium at the moment, per its Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 20%, which ranks in the low 10th percentile of its annual range.
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MSFT new 52 week high
Microsoft $MSFT Hit late on OpenAI CEO kicked out, more high profile execs gone now too... 8D held for now, dip the 21D likely a gift
By: Options Mike | November 19, 2023
• $MSFT Hit late on OpenAI CEO kicked out, more high profile execs gone now too...
8D held for now, dip the 21D likely a gift.
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MSFT new 52 week high
$MSFT - Boom! After the cup and handle pattern was activated last week it made a new all time high on Friday reaching 370. The minimal target of the cup and handle pattern is 480. The next major high is due in the 4th quarter of 2024
By: CyclesFan | November 11, 2023
• $MSFT - Boom! After the cup and handle pattern was activated last week it made a new all time high on Friday reaching 370. The minimal target of the cup and handle pattern is 480. The next major high is due in the 4th quarter of 2024.
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Microsoft $MSFT is off to a red-hot start this month, and seasonality suggest it could be just the start. Over the last decade, the stock has fallen just once in November, with an average return of +3.90%
By: TrendSpider | November 8, 2023
• $MSFT Microsoft is off to a red-hot start this month, and seasonality suggest it could be just the start
Over the last decade, the stock has fallen just once in November, with an average return of +3.90%.
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$MSFT ... the biggest S&P 500 company by market cap ... at an all-time high right now, up 8 sessions in a row
By: Mike Zaccardi | November 7, 2023
• $MSFT ... the biggest S&P 500 company by market cap ... at an all-time high right now, up 8 sessions in a row.
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Bull Signal Could Boost Big Tech Giant Microsoft (MSFT) to New Highs
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | November 6, 2023
• Microsoft is tearing up the charts
• The equity is within striking distance of record highs
Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) stock is already outperforming the broader market, boasting a 49% year-to-date lead versus a 13.9% gain by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) in the same time period. The equity is on a six-day winning streak, with 10 gains out of the last 11 sessions, as it looks to reclaim its July 18 all-time high of $366.78. What's more, a historically bullish signal is flashing for MSFT that may indicate the rally still has plenty of steam.
According to Schaeffer's Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, today's peak comes amid historically low implied volatility (IV), which has been a bullish combination for the stock in the past. White's data points to eight other signals over the last five years when the equity was trading within 2% of its 52-week high, while its Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) was in the 20th percentile of its annual range or lower.
This is now the case with Microsoft stock's SVI of 19%, which is in the 4th percentile of its annual range. One month after these signals, the shares were higher 75% of the time, averaging a 3.4% gain. From its current perch of $356.58, a similar move would put Microsoft stock at a new record high of roughly $368 per share.
A sentiment shift in the options pits could also generate tailwinds. This is per MSFT's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.92 that stands in the 82nd percentile of annual readings, indicating a put-bias amongst these traders.
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Microsoft (MSFT): Year-to-date Inflows Send Shares Surging
By: Lucas Downey | November 5, 2023
• Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) shares keep rising, up 47% in 2023. Unusual money flows reveal why.
Microsoft Shares Attract Big Money Inflows
Want an edge in trading? Follow the Big Money.
What’s Big Money? Said simply, it’s when a stock rises due to institutional demand. Top stocks tend to attract savvy investors.
You see, fund managers are always looking to bet on the next outperforming stocks…the best in class. They spend countless hours sizing up companies, reading reports, speaking to analysts…you name it. When they find a company firing on all cylinders, they pounce in a big way.
The 1-year action tells the story. Each green bar signals unusual increasing volumes in MSFT shares, pushing the stock higher. We believe this to be institutional demand:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
Few stocks have charts this strong. Recent green bars suggest healthy demand. But, what about the fundamental story?
Microsoft Fundamental Analysis
Next, I want to make sure the fundamental story is healthy too. As you can see, MSFT has had positive sales & earnings growth in recent years:
• 3-year sales growth rate (+14.1%)
• 3-year EPS growth rate (+19.7%)
Source: FactSet
Marrying great fundamentals with our proprietary Big Money software has found some big winning stocks over the long-term.
Check this out. Microsoft has been a top-rated stock at MAPsignals. That means the stock has had buy pressure and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.
It’s made the rare Top 20 report many times. The blue bars below shows when MSFT was a top pick:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
Tracking unusual volumes reveals the power of the MAPsignals process.
Don’t fight the Big Money!
Microsoft Price Prediction
The MSFT rally has been in place all year. Big Money buying in the shares is signaling to take notice. Given the historical gains in share price and strong fundamentals, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.
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Microsoft $MSFT Was a good report, now back above the Earnings high, not far from the ATH of 365. Buy dips to the 8D if you get them and like this one, Extended here
By: Options Mike | November 5, 2023
• $MSFT Was a good report, now back above the Earnings high, not far from the ATH of 365.
Buy dips to the 8D if you get them and like this one, Extended here.
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Microsoft Corp. $MSFT Good report, guidance... FLAT. Didn't hold the gap up. 50D has been support still just above it.
By: Options Mike | October 29, 2023
• $MSFT Good report, guidance... FLAT. Didn't hold the gap up.
50D has been support still just above it.
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Microsoft (MSFT) Could Make $100 Billion in Free Cash Flow, Leaving MSFT Stock Undervalued
By: Barchart | October 27, 2023
Microsoft (MSFT) delivered very profitable quarterly results on Oct. 24 for its fiscal Q1 ending Sept. 30. Given its high free cash flow (FCF) margins, it is now on track to deliver between $90 and $100 billion in FCF over the next 12 months. To some investors, that leaves MSFT stock undervalued.
The company said its revenue was $56.5 billion, up 13% year-over-year (YoY). Moreover, the free cash flow (FCF) generated from this revenue was $20.7 billion, as reported on page 6 of its earnings slide presentation.
This FCF was 22% over last year's figure, showing that Microsoft is growing in its ability to generate cash.
More importantly, it also shows that 36.6% of revenue turned into FCF. That is a very high FCF margin. This portends very good things for MSFT stock going forward.
MSFT Q1 2024 Fiscal results (ending Sept. 30, 2023)
This result was on par with the results it had last quarter, as I described in my previous Barchart article on Sept. 17, “Microsoft is Still Cheap Based on Its Free Cash Flow.” After adjusting for a one-time tax payment, it made $21 billion in FCF, which worked out to a FCF margin of 37.4%.
So, over the past two quarters, its average FCF margin has been 37%. We can use that to set a price target for MSFT stock.
Price Target Based On FCF
Analysts project that Microsoft will make $242.2 billion in revenue this fiscal year ending June 2024 and $274.7 billion next year. So, if we apply the average 37% FCF margin to these figures, FCF could range between $89.6 billion and $101.6 billion over the next 12 months.
That implies that the company continues to grow its revenue, earnings and free cash flow over the next 12 months. It means that FCF could exceed $100 billion, or that analysts will begin predicting this kind of number on a run-rate basis.
That has huge implications for the stock's value. For example, if we use a 3% FCF yield (which is the same as multiplying FCF by 33.3x), its market cap could reach $3.33 trillion.
This is significantly higher than its present $2.44 trillion market cap. It implies that MSFT could rise by 36.4%.
Even if we use a 4.0% FCF yield (i.e., 25x FCF), Microsoft will be worth $2.5 trillion sometime in the next 12 months, or +2.5% from today In other words, the stock might rise between 2.5% and 36.4% based on its FCF generation.
That implies that MSFT stock is worth on average about 19.5% more than today or $400 per share (i.e., 1.195 x $334.40 price today).
Shorting OTM Puts For Extra Income
One way to take advantage of this is to short out-of-the-money put options to generate extra income, all while holding the underlying shares in MSFT. For example, the Nov. 17 put option expiration period shows that the $320 strike price puts, which are over 4% below today's spot price, trade for $3.18 in the midpoint.
That implies that short-put traders can make an immediate 1.0% yield (i.e., $3.18/$320 = 0.994%).
On an annualized basis, this means the expected return is 16.89% (i.e., 0.994 x 17), since there are 17 three-week periods in a year.
MSFT Puts - Expiring Nov. 17 - Barchart - As of Oct. 27
This shows that investors who hold MSFT stock long can make extra income without having to worry that their shares could be called away. The worst that would happen here is that the investor would be forced to buy more shares at the $320 strike price.
But in the meantime, they get to keep the 1% yield, effectively lowering the breakeven price to $316.28 per share, or slightly over 5% below today's price. That is very good downside protection.
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Microsoft (MSFT) Stock On the Verge of a Powerful Breakthrough
By: Karl Montevirgen | October 25, 2023
• Microsoft's Q1 2024 earnings report beat analyst expectations
• Microsoft's weekly charts suggest a long-term bullish stance for MSFT stock
• Microsoft's daily chart also shows a bullish stance with the stock trading well above its 200-day movign average
When Microsoft (MSFT) reported earnings last July, it topped earnings and revenue expectations yet got toppled by the company's guidance for the quarter reported today (Tuesday).
Fears of a worsening economy were prompting organizations to reduce cloud service spending, and that's one of MSFT's biggest revenue drivers. In addition, MSFT laid off 10,000 employees at the start of the month. And for the first time since 2016, the company reduced its R&D spending.
The technicals, however, showed resilient long-term strength despite near-term weakness. And today's earnings smash was the turning point that validated the bullish outlook.
MSFT Stock Price Shows Near-Term Weakness But Long-Term Strength
Let's look at the weekly and daily price action leading to today's earnings report.
CHART 1: WEEKLY CHART OF MSFT STOCK. Note the near-term decline and the levels of support below current prices.
Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.
On a weekly scale, you can see that MSFT has been on a steady short-term decline since July, its last reporting period, giving two consecutive lower highs (see blue downtrend). However, MSFT prices have also tested and bounced off the historical support level of $311 twice, which shows that this support level has some resilience. Should MSFT break below $311, it would likely find support at $290.75 (pink dashed line). The Relative Strength Index (RSI), for now, shows momentum looking relatively bullish as it's rising over the 50 line. And prices are well above the 200-period simple moving average (red line), which provided critical support twice, in October 2022 and January of this year.
Overall, the longer-term picture looks bullish. However, there's room for near-term weakness. Earnings in the next few quarters will determine the near-term outcome.
Now, let's turn to a daily chart of MSFT stock and compare its performance against the S&P and its sector (using XLK, Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, as a proxy).
CHART 2: DAILY CHART OF MSFT. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average despite showing a near-term decline. The Chaikin Money Flow indicator is showing signs of bullish momentum.
Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.
The daily chart for MSFT, much like its weekly counterpart, reveals that the stock is significantly above its upward-trending 200-day SMA. This suggests strong support if the stock's price dips in the short term. MSFT is outpacing the broader market ($SPX) by about 26% and the Tech sector by about 4.65%. This adds to its bullish stance somewhat.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) reveals early signs of bullish momentum. There's a noticeable bullish divergence between the stock's consecutive lower price points and increased buying pressure. Currently, with the CMF above zero, it indicates a trend where more investors are buying the stock than selling it off.
Outcome: MSFT Stock Jumps After Hours as Earnings Stun Wall Street
MSFT's acrobatics are on full display as their net income skyrocketed by a whopping 27%. After two sluggish years, Azure's cloud revenue grew, growing at a clip that had analysts scrambling to adjust their expectations. Shares jumped 5% after hours. MSFT's EPS clocked in at $2.99 per share, topping the $2.65 consensus. Revenue bumped up 13% YoY.
For bulls, $335 would have been a good entry point to go long (but with a deep stop loss at $311). If MSFT plunged on a miss, or if it falls back, then prices are likely to test $311, and the next support level, as mentioned earlier, is $290.75. Should a negative outcome materialize in the intermediate term, it would probably be a wise idea to wait until either level is retested before entering a long position on a bounce.
The Bottom Line
In a market clouded by economic uncertainties, MSFT fired up its engines with a stellar earnings reveal. Despite corporate hiccups and global spending hesitations, Microsoft's stock resilience is unmistakable, outpacing its peers and proving it's not just a player in the big tech arena—it's setting the pace. The charts don't lie: near-term shadows can't dim the long-term luminescence of MSFT's bullish horizon. Still, it's important to watch this space, as even the brightest stars don't guarantee a continuous upward trajectory.
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Today Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the best performer in the DJIA
By: Thom Hartle | October 25, 2023
• Today (8:32 CST), the best performer in the DJIA is Microsoft Corporation. MSFT.
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Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 results top estimates as cloud business shines
By: Investing | October 24, 2023
Microsoft reported Tuesday fiscal first-quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates, driven by stronger growth in its cloud business azure.
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) rose more than 4% in after-hours trade following the report.
The company announced earnings per share of $2.99 on revenue of $56.52B. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of $2.65 on revenue of $54.53B.
Revenue in productivity and business processes was up 13% to $18.6B and its intelligent cloud business, which includes cloud business Azure, grew 19% to $24.3B.
The company said Azure grew 29% in the quarter, compared with Wall Street estimates for 26%.
Revenue in personal computing was up 3% to $13.7 billion.
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Microsoft stock is UP $15.40 or 4.66% after reporting earnings as I post.
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Microsoft $MSFT Just Reported Earnings...
By: Evan | October 24, 2023
• MICROSOFT $MSFT JUST REPORTED EARNINGS
EPS of $2.99 beating expectations of $2.65
Revenue of $56.5B beating expectations of $54.6B
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$MSFT & $QQQ $3+ Million Put Buy / Call Seller Orders (Bearish)
By: Cheddar Flow | October 24, 2023
• $MSFT & $QQQ $3M+ Put Buy / Call Seller Orders (Bearish).
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