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ES Chart: Watching for a bear trap reversal out of the H&S top formation.
Big move down today. Note the increased volume. Note the higher volume readings on the previous lows before they reversed. Big money knows what we don't. They get out at the highs and in at the lows. Note the low volume at the high where the "head" is in the head & shoulders formation. It's puny. The biggest volume comes in at the lows of the drops. The biggest volume since mid-March occurred yesterday and a lot of that volume occurred in the last hour of trading at/near the lows. Note the oversold condition of the RSI.
Tomorrow we have employment numbers at 8:30 EST. This will either be the trigger that gives us our capitulation lows tomorrow/next week for some news over the weekend/into next week to reverse us hard and fast back upward, or it will be what will blast us back upward tomorrow, imo. You can see in the lower right corner of the chart the trend line support which is at 1180.75. Let's see if that gets hit overnight or in early trading before the employment numbers.
Look at that head and shoulders formation again. It's just too pretty! It MAKES you want to short it! Watch for the bear trap... I believe it is coming. Right or wrong, I'll update this each evening until we see how it plays out. (BTW, if this head and shoulders formation does play out to completion, the measured move target is to around 1142.50).
Cya tomorrow.
Ditto on QRM...yes... again. These are buy & hold stocks and not trades, imo.
I think UEC is a buy here today. Don't know if bottom is already hit at 3.27, but my buy price was 3.26. Just missed it. The 3.12's were BS.
Major Molycorp Rare Earth Supply Contract is Modified to Better Reflect Current Pricing
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/major-molycorp-rare-earth-supply-contract-is-modified-to-better-reflect-current-pricing-2011-07-28?siteid=nbsh
Nice. I went back and noticed most of mine were at 1.74 not 1.75. Anyway they are looking very green right now. Glad you got some too.
Agreed. AABA & NITE stopped the run late yesterday I noticed.
The manipulation just gets more obvious. Look at all the shares trading at 2.12 and JBII only ever showed 500. There are new rules that state that the MM's atop the bid/ask have to show full size, but they do not. Always loopholes with these jerks.
It would certainly appear to be soaking it up rather nicely!
Excellent TR, my 1.75s today got great potential! Send out the invitation to Eve! LOL
JBII: This could be setting up to be a much larger adam & eve formation. The smaller one played out perfectly on the 5 minute chart. Now there might be a much larger one playing out on the 15 minute chart. You have to keep in mind that the gap down is all price action, even though there are no candles there. So, this move we had down to 1.50 and up to 2.39 could ALL be the Adam portion, (which looks like the "V" on the chart, the left side formed with the blue line I drew and the right side formed by the candles).
Now watch and see if the "Eve" portion forms during the rest of the day. If it does and we get that "U"shape with some consolidation and a move back up to 2.39, then the breakout move above 2.39 can get us back to 3.28, although not probably all in one day.
Keep your eye on it.
Gap fill for JBII is at the bottom of yesterday's candle @ 2.27. Gotta run...
Yes I saw that after I posted. Thanks.
I bought more. Avg is $2. I'll update the chart after the close. I did an intraday update two posts below this. Back to trading...
Yea I had a mutual friend try to get 1.70 and they ran away from him too on JBII. Glad you got some. What are your thoughts after the drop on the bogus SEC notice? And where chart wise do you see this going after posting your chart from yesterday? I see a new MM GARC. Any thoughts on them?
I tried Brent but IB wasn't being accommodating. What a game!
I did get more at 1.95.
Fun times on the JBII board today. I'm sure there's no manipulation going on at all! LOL Tried to buy today from 1.60 to 1.80 but IB wouldn't fill my orders. Funny how that happens, not. Anyone happen to know of a broker that isn't involved in the manipulation games?
As for the chart, looks like we're currently breaking up out of a adam & eve bottom. We could fill the gap at 2.27 and keep going up to around 2.50 - 2.60 if the momo comes in end of day. Need to get through 2.10 first, then I suspect we'll fill that gap.
picked up more JBII at 1.75 after they ran away from my 1.54 order. Did you get more too? Lets see them cover and take it up again.
volume out of the blue on the fltt
loved the one minuet chart on jbii this morning told me just what I needed to no.
good luck all
JBII Intra-day updates
First chart shows horizontal support areas in case we drop. Note the MA's on all the charts for support areas as well first thing in the morning.
Second chart shows horizontals and MA's.
Most of the overhead resistances posted on charts earlier today still stand as overhead resistance, save any moving averages which will adjust a little.
I'll put some more charts up tonight. Off to a movie for now...
Have a good one Harold.
Not a bad day for JBII. Congrats to those who took off a few up in the 2.80s and might have reenter in the 2.60 area.
Nice last two days for QRM also.
Don't have a clue who you mean Harold.
Those were some great buys sub 2.00 Rich. I'm sure we'll get a horse's ass posting here shortly should the stock sell off. That a-wipe only shows up once a chart has reversed, never to be found at an entry point.
JBII for today as I see it.
Here's a daily chart with a Fibonacci retracement grid and downtrend line resistance areas. As for the downtrend lines, for today resistance exists at 2.46, 2.97 and 3.82.
As for the MA's, resistance for today exists at 2.52, 2.86, 2.95 and 3.30.
And for the Fibs, resistance is at 2.66, 2.95, 3.25 and 3.66. There is also a "lap" to be filled at 2.89 that could act as some resistance.
As for support for this morning, right now it looks like 2.30, 2.23, 2.17, 2.13, 2.07 and 2.00 are potential areas. I really want to see 2.07 hold if we get back down that far.
With under 10 minutes to go until trading it looks like we could have a small gap up. 2.46 - 2.50 is the key resistance area right off the bat and 2.17, 2.08 and 2.00 are key support areas for me for the day. If we move up through 2.50 then I think we have a good shot for 2.66. A close anywhere above that would be very successful in my eyes and move us a step closer to having a legitimate trend reversal, imo.
JBII up 19.21% with a HOD close. That deserves a chart update tonight.
Thanks Harold. Too bad I flipped out of them yesterday, but I got back in earlier at 2.11. So far it's looking like we've seen the bottom.
Some nice JBII buys in the 1.70s-2.00 area the last couple of days. Good work Rich!
Re the JBII 15 minute chart...
Apparently it was a cup & handle bottom formation. Nice move up to 2.35, a nickel shy of the target but this one's thin. This move was a 25% retracement of the drop from 4.20. A close above 2.20 would be a nice start for a reversal here.
Resistance points above for JBII now are at 2.35, 2.49/2.51, 2.66, 2.83 and 2.95. Some of these are moving averages and will change on a daily basis.
Thanks for the charting insights. Although I am not a chartist in the true sense of the word, the ones you are trending are my favorites to watch as well.
Awesome charting TR!..........et z
JBII Charts
The daily chart is showing three increasing degrees of downtrend decline. The long red candle from last Thursday appears to be a capitulation move. I think shorts intentionally drove price below the blue trend line to incite more fear & doubt to encourage selling by weak longs. RSI is showing oversold.
Next up is the daily with a Fibonacci retracement grid. The stock dipped below the 62% retracement level but has closed above it for two days now, finding resistance under the uptrend line. Probably not very significant, but worth noting, a "lap" was filled that was created between the 1.92 close of 4/27 and the 1.94 low of 4/28. (A "lap" is a form of "gap" which occurs when price opens within the previous days' range but above or below the previous days' close).
Next chart is the 15 minute intra-day. The formation could be a cup & handle bottom (ugly, but possible), or it is a bear flag. Which is it? I don't know, but one possible tell is the divergence that occurred between the RSI readings and the two price lows indicated. The pink line above the volume is the ADX line of the Directional movement study. I use this line to give me a sense of when a breakout move is near. Under 15 means a move could happen any time. It does not determine direction.
I am of the belief that the lows have been seen and price will rebound out of this consolidation. The volume on the daily chart from last Thurs & Fri. give me the impression that capitulation has occurred and that price will likely return above the broken uptrend line and support will be re-established there.
If I'm wrong, some lower targets to look for support are at the 200dma on the daily chart at 1.53. If the formation on the 15 minute interval chart turns out to be a bear flag, we have a measured move target of 1.65. There is also the 78.6% retracement level to 1.37/8. I will be a buyer at any of those price points should volume provide an indication to do so.
Gold & Silver could get very exciting very soon... http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/7/19_Turk_-_Expect_a_Tidal_Wave_of_Buying_%26_Short_Covering_in_Gold.html
DNN - I think 1.86 here is a good buy point for long term uranium investors.
Thanks Brent. Ditto!
Very nice analysis Rich. Going to be watching this one tomorrow and if it goes lower I will add more.
I can relate......lmao.......et z
You should put that on the JBII board.........et z
Let it get crazy over there. I like the relative peace & quiet here!
Thanks for bringing my attention to it Harold.
Glad you came over Rich. JBII is going to be a good one for quite awhile. That first contract drops, it's going to get crazy here.
Unbelievable correlation.....wow.........et z
Thank you Zardiw.
Wow. That is some VERY interesting analysis. Good work!....et z
JBII & CL 1 minute chart comparison for today...
First up, JBII. CL underneath. They both began their decline at the same time, (10:30 am EST on the blue line), probably as a result of Bernanke beginning to speak at... guess what time??? 10:30 am EST.
Just gotta love that guy. He's making my PM's and mining stocks more valuable!
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