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Tim, if you can,
can yu PM me your email address if you want,
I hate posting the material from my Oil&Energy Insider premium
newsletter in these forums,,,,,there is some good
material this week,,,,,thanks
Jeff
I agree with the authors sentiments.
I'm watching closely for that sign the bottom for oil is in, playing
WMB for now, and plan to add SYRG, the market is changing fast....
trade well
Jeff
,,,,,$$$$$
OilPrice.com assessment of current market conditions.....fwiw
Dear OilPrice Member ,
Dear Readers,
The global financial markets are getting quite a scare. China’s stock market turmoil has spooked investors around the world.
The energy sector has not been spared, with oil prices breaking through to fresh six-year lows.
I know that as an investor, you have been keeping a close eye on the markets and have been dealing with quite a bit already. The oil and gas sector has been battered from a mismatch between supply and demand. Prolific production has caused prices to crash over the past year, and just about the time most people were expecting a turnaround, the tumult in China is piling the pressure on investors and companies across the energy sector.
As a long-time investor myself, I can relate to the unease and nervousness that can crop up with events like these. It seems as if nothing is predictable and all bets are off.
But I want to make a case, which most people have heard before. And while it seems relatively straightforward, it is getting lost in the media headlines. But as energy traders, we have a deeper understanding of what is going on in the world of oil and gas. So while the media will be pondering how low oil prices can go, there is one fact that will be important to remember in the coming weeks: Oil prices are unsustainably low.
On the one hand, there are plenty of energy companies that are hurting, but are not in serious trouble. The best drillers have achieved incredible cost savings in their operations, negotiating lower rig rates, streamlining processes all the while cutting spending and focusing on their best acreage. They have breakeven costs anywhere from $30 to $50 per barrel, and can deal with a temporary period of negativity.
These companies, some of the sector’s strongest, will survive the downturn and come through on the other side in a stronger position.
On the other hand, there are some weaker companies out there that are struggling to survive. Let’s be honest: Some won’t make it. From one long-time investor to another, I recommend resisting the temptation to roll the dice on some of the floundering companies out there, hoping for a massive rebound. More victims are surely going to be claimed by low crude prices.
Still oil prices can’t stay low forever. The number of rigs and the number of wells drilled has fallen off a cliff.
What does that mean? Shale wells decline precipitously, with production falling by sometimes as much as 70 percent within a year. Since so few new wells are currently being drilled, oil production will have to decline – leading to a balancing of the market.
In fact, this is already underway. Don’t take my word for it – the EIA says that U.S. oil production peaked earlier this year and is slowly declining. This contraction is exactly what is needed for oil prices to firm up and rebound.
I wanted to reach out to you to simply highlight that fact, given the last few days market volatility. Even if the Chinese economy continues to falter, oil prices must rebound – the question is merely when. Oil is fundamental and indispensable to the modern global economy. Individual companies can go out of business, but a commodity so essential to today’s world cannot. As a result, even if China’s economy deteriorates, the world will still need oil to fuel industry, transport, agriculture, and all the trappings of modern life. Thus, oil prices will see a brighter day.
Remember, we went through a global financial crisis in 2008 and 2009, and in just a few months, oil bottomed out and started to rise again. Nobody is predicting the global economy is about to go through something even remotely as serious as that.
For investors in the energy industry, I would be the first to tell you to avoid risky companies. But getting out of the sector altogether is just as foolish. There are just too many opportunities and too many bargains for savvy investors to pass on.
from last Friday Oil & Energy insider Premium edition
Inside Opportunities with Martin Tillier
One Of The Best-Positioned Micro Caps In The Market
With oil continuing its steep decline and now breaking through the psychologically important low from the depths of the recession in 2009, the qualities that investors should look for in an energy company have changed somewhat.
A conservative approach to expansion, which was punished in the recent past, is now looking like a smart move. Stock in companies with untapped reserves have been hit as oil has fallen, for sure, but some are beginning to buck the trend of oil’s collapse and level out, or even in some cases recover slightly. Synergy Resources (SYRG), a small, Colorado based exploration and production company would be a case in point.
The above chart offers a comparison between SYRG (the blue mountain chart) and the oil ETF OIL (the purple line). As you can see, while oil’s decline has continued, SYRG seems to have bottomed out. Relative strength such as that in a weak market is notable and justifies further investigation.
Synergy is focused on Colorado, specifically the Wattenberg field in the Denver-Julesburg basin, which brings some risk with it. The area is somewhat lacking in infrastructure and pipeline capacity for example, which may explain the more cautious approach. It also involves utilizing a type of drilling that is relatively new and thus unproven. What has presumably sparked the interest of investors, however, is that the company has eschewed rapid organic growth in the last couple of years and had instead focused on strengthening their balance sheet. That has left them in the enviable position of being able to look to acquire new leases now that prices are depressed, and that is what management has indicated they intend to do.
In essence this is a miniaturized version of the strategy that the large, multinational, integrated firms have been employing for decades, if not centuries. They don’t necessarily cut production when the commodity price falls; rather they slow plans for expansion and set about quietly acquiring assets. To do so, of course, requires some financial strength. What is unusual about Synergy for a small E&P company is that they have that. They actually have more cash on hand than outstanding debt, a rare thing indeed in the sector at the moment.
They are, then, a company that seems to have bet on lower oil prices, or at least allowed for the possibility, and are now positioned to benefit from that planning.
If the timing of their acquisitions is as good as their timing in that respect has been, they will be in a great place to ramp up production when and if prices begin to recover. The stock’s divergence from the price of oil in the last month or so indicates that the market is aware of that and makes SYRG a less risky way to bet on that outcome than most others.
(OilPrice.com)
MarkWest Energy (MWE +0.9%) has a leading presence in many natural gas resource plays, and the firm thinks the company has outstanding interconnectivity to takeaway capacity, strong regional expertise, strong producer relationships, and views MWE as a solid buyout candidate.
Energy MLPs best buy since 2008, Deutsche Bank says
http://www.seekingalpha.com/news/2744856 - Timothy Smith
Much appreciated.
Some more interesting snips,,,,,
Oil & Energy insider Premium
August 14th 22015
Enjoyed reading and equally agree I like those names. Look forward to continuing to compare notes.
A Snip from my Oil & Energy Insider Premium newsletter
Very tough market for sure. Good short term action coming but we will make the most money once the oil market rebalances.
yep thanks, right now been playing WMB
MWE still on my watch list as are others,,,,,,,
scary market so playing the thin ice carefully
keep me informed, thanks
Jeff
,,,,,$$$$$
MarkWest Energy Partners (MWE -0.2%) says it is teaming up with The Energy & Materials Group to build a ~$1B gas pipeline gathering system in the Utica Shale in Ohio.
Market still not giving adequate valuations to industry so not surprised.
MarkWest Energy (MWE +0.4%) holds on to gains after Barclays upgraded shares to Overweight from Equal Weight with a $75 price target, and said MWE's current valuation fails to give credit for its accelerating distribution growth profile and its franchise position and highly visible production growth potential in the Marcellus and Utica shale plays.
Good hedging strategy. Still a lot of uncertainty in the market.
yes been watching MWE, they just had a filing for issue of securities..
dividend is nice, I would marry a put with this just to be on the safe side. or sell calls.
http://www.otcmarkets.com/edgar/GetFilingPdf?FilingID=10769739
MarkWest Energy (MWE +0.3%) is upgraded to Buy from Hold with a $68 price target at Jefferies, which believes the recent share price pullback following MWE's annual investor day earlier this month presents a compelling entry point.
Markwest and Targa Resources are the next companies to watch for midstream M&A
http://www.thedeal.com/content/energy/markwest-and-targa-resources-are-the-next-companies-to-watch-for-midstream-ma.php?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=stocktwits
MWE MarkWest Energy 2Q Net Surges on Derivative Gains
BY DJ Realtime News 4:44 PM ET 08/02/2012
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MWE
MarkWest Energy Partners L.P.'s (MWE) second-quarter profit more than doubled as the natural-gas processor posted a surge in gains from derivatives, masking a decline in other revenue.
MarkWest, a master limited partnership, has posted mixed results over the past year as its hedging activity alternatively strengthened or erased its earnings.
The company had reported steady revenue growth in its Southwest segment. In the latest period, revenue from the Southwest segment, its biggest top-line contributor, decreased 20% as operating income fell 14%.
Its Northeast segment, while less consistent, has benefited from strong exposure to the Marcellus shale region of Pennsylvania. MarkWest in May agreed to acquire Keystone Midstream Services LLC for $512 million, giving it increased processing capacity in that region. In the second quarter, its Northeast segment posted a revenue decline of 22%, and operating profit also fell 22%.
Chief Executive Frank Semple said the midyear core results have been strong, despite a significant decrease in processing margins and natural-gas liquid prices during the latest quarter.
The company posted a second-quarter profit of $186.9 million, or $1.47 a unit, up from $78.4 million, or $1.03 a unit, a year earlier. The latest period included $136.1 million in derivatives gains, up from $40.6 million a year ago.
Revenue rose 11% to $446.1 million. Excluding derivatives impacts, revenue fell 14%.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters recently expected earnings of 40 cents a unit, with revenue of $351 million.
MarkWest's common units closed Thursday at $51.20 and were mostly unchanged after hours. The equity is down 7% so far this year.
Write to Kristin Jones at kristin.jones@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
08-02-12 1644ET
Hi SE.
Great call, MWE just got heavy media attn. on Mad Money again. Like to buy more, but I'm still buried in Wilmot's disaster.
Cheers.
~ Tuesday! $MWE ~ Earnings posted, pending or coming soon! In Charts and Links Below!
~ $MWE ~ Earnings expected on Tuesday *
Want more like this? Search Keyword: MACMONEY >>> http://tinyurl.com/MACMONEY <<<
One or more of many earnings sites has alerted this security has or will be posting earnings on or around the day of this message.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MWE&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p88783918276&a=237480049
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MWE&p=W&b=3&g=0&id=p54550695994
~ Google Finance: http://www.google.com/finance?q=MWE
~ Google Fin Options: hhttp://www.google.com/finance/option_chain?q=MWE#
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Stats: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=MWE+Key+Statistics
~ Yahoo! Finance ~ Profile: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=MWE
Finviz: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=MWE
~ BusyStock: http://busystock.com/i.php?s=MWE&v=2
<<<<<< http://www.earningswhispers.com/stocks.asp?symbol=MWE >>>>>>
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/post_prvt.aspx?user=251916
*If the earnings date is in error please ignore error. I do my best.
They are now. Mad Money dude mentioned MarkWest as a ... this morning on CNBC, so I think that means he'll be on MadMoney or already was on this morning while I was out. He likes them too.
I've been in this money maker for a long time. I love MLP's growth and income. The best of both worlds!
Strong stable dividend and great management!
This is one of the strongest MLP's.... Growth and yeild!
Why is this not getting any attention? Holy cow!
MWE - pays a good distribution (dividend) - currently about 10%. Seems to be a well managed company.
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Mr. Semple joined MarkWest on November 1, 2003. He is a member of the Board of Directors and was elected Chairman of the Board in October 2008. Prior to joining MarkWest he completed a 22-year career with The Williams Companies and WilTel Communications. He served as the Chief Operating Officer of WilTel Communications, Senior Vice President/General Manager of Williams Natural Gas Company, Vice President of Operations and Engineering for Northwest Pipeline Company and Division Manager for Williams Pipeline Company. Prior to joining The Williams Companies, Mr. Semple served in the U.S. Navy aboard the nuclear submarine USS Gurnard (SSN 662). Mr. Semple completed the Program for Management Development at Harvard Business School and a holds a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering degree from the United States Naval Academy.
Mr. Bromley was appointed as General Counsel of our General Partner in September 2004. Prior to joining MarkWest, Mr. Bromley served as Assistant General Counsel at Foundation Coal Holdings, Inc. f/k/a RAG American Coal Holding, Inc. from 1999 through 2004, and as General Managing Attorney and Sr. Environmental Attorney at Cyprus Amax Minerals Company from 1989 to 1999. Prior to that, Mr. Bromley was in private practice with the law firm Popham, Haik, Schnobrich & Kaufman from 1984 through 1989. Preceding his legal career, Mr. Bromley worked as a structural/design engineer involved in several domestic and international LNG and energy projects with the firms CBI, Inc. and Chicago Bridge & Iron Company. Mr. Bromley received his J.D. degree from the University of Denver and his bachelor's degree in Civil Engineering from the University of Wyoming.
Ms. Buese was appointed Chief Financial Officer of our General Partner in October 2006. Prior to her appointment as Chief Financial Officer, Ms. Buese served as Chief Accounting Officer of MarkWest since November 2005. Prior to joining MarkWest, Ms. Buese was the Chief Financial Officer for Experimental and Applied Sciences ("EAS") in Golden, Colorado. EAS is a wholly‑owned subsidiary of Abbott Laboratories. Prior to her employment at EAS, Ms. Buese was a Vice President with TransMontaigne Inc. in Denver, Colorado. Preceding this appointment, Ms. Buese was a Partner with Ernst & Young LLP, having spent time in the firm's Denver, London, New York and Washington, D.C. offices. Ms. Buese received her bachelor's degree in Accounting and Business Administration from the University of Kansas and is a licensed CPA in the State of Colorado.
Mr. Mollenkopf became the Chief Operating Officer in January 2011. Prior to this, he served as the Chief Operations Officer of our General Partner since October 2006. Prior to his appointment as Chief Operations Officer, Mr. Mollenkopf served as Senior Vice President, Southwest Business Unit, since January 2004 and as Vice President, Business Development since January 2003. Prior to these positions, he served as Vice President, Michigan Business Unit, of our General Partner since its inception in May 2002 and in the same capacity with MarkWest Hydrocarbon since December 2001. Prior to that, Mr. Mollenkopf was General Manager of the Michigan Business Unit of MarkWest Hydrocarbon since 1997. He joined MarkWest Hydrocarbon in 1996 as Manager, New Projects. From 1983 to 1996, Mr. Mollenkopf worked for ARCO Oil and Gas Company, holding various positions in process and project engineering, as well as operations supervision. Mr. Mollenkopf received his bachelor's degree in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Colorado at Boulder.
Mr. Nickerson was appointed as Chief Commercial Officer of our General Partner in October 2006. Prior to his appointment as CCO, Mr. Nickerson served as Senior Vice President, Corporate Development of MarkWest since January 2003. Prior to these positions, Mr. Nickerson served as Senior Vice President of our General Partner since its inception in May 2002 and served in the same capacity with MarkWest Hydrocarbon since December 2001. Prior to that, Mr. Nickerson served as MarkWest Hydrocarbon's Vice President and the General Manager of the Appalachia Business Unit since June 1997. Mr. Nickerson joined MarkWest Hydrocarbon in July 1995 as Manager, New Projects and served as General Manager of the Michigan Business Unit from June 1996 until June 1997. From 1990 to 1995, Mr. Nickerson was a Senior Project Manager and Regional Engineering Manager for Western Gas Resources, Inc. From 1984 to 1990, Mr. Nickerson worked for Chevron USA and Meridian Oil Inc. in various process and project engineering positions. Mr. Nickerson received his bachelor's degree in Chemical Engineering from Colorado State University.
Resource Plays | Cotton Valley, Travis Peak, and Pettit formations and Haynesville Shale |
Gathering | 500 MMcf/d gathering capacity |
Processing | 280 MMcf/d cryogenic processing capacity |
Market Access | Gas: Interconnects to CenterPoint Energy Gas Transmission (CEGT), Natural Gas Pipeline Company of America (NGPL), and TGT PipelineNGLs: Interconnects to West Texas Pipeline (WTPL) and Panola Pipeline |
Resource Plays | Anadarko Basin and the Granite Wash formation |
Gathering | 230 MMcf/d gathering capacity |
Processing | 235 MMcf/d cryogenic processing capacity |
Market Access | Gas: Interconnects to ANR Pipeline System (ANR), CenterPoint Energy Gas Transmission (CEGT), Natural Gas Pipeline Company of America (NGPL), and Panhandle Eastern Pipeline (PEPL)NGLs: Interconnect to OneOK |
Under Construction | |
Processing | 75 MMcf/d cryogenic processing capacity at our Arapaho complex |
Gathering | 75 MMcf/d expansion of the pipeline connecting our Granite Wash system with our Arapaho complex |
Resource Play | Woodford Shale |
Gathering | 550 MMcf/d gathering capacity |
Processing | 100 MMcf/d of third-party, rich-gas processing capacity |
Market Access | Gas: Interconnects to CenterPoint Energy Gas Transmission (CEGT), CenterPoint Field Services (CPFS), Enogex, and Arkoma Connector Pipeline |
Transportation | 625 MMcf/d FERC-regulated Arkoma Connector Pipeline (joint venture with ArcLight Capital Partners). Interconnects to Midcontinent Express Pipeline (MEP) and Gulf Crossing Pipeline at Bennington, Oklahoma |
Resource Plays | Travis Peak, Rodessa, Frio, Ellenburger, and Canyon Sand formations, as well as Haynesville and Bossier Shales |
Gathering | 125 MMcf/d gathering capacity |
Processing | 100 MMcf/d processing capacity |
Market Access | Interconnects to multiple downstream pipelines, including Natural Gas Pipeline Company of America (NGPL) |
Transportation | Three lateral natural gas pipelines in Texas with a combined capacity of approxmately 500 MMcf/d. One FERC-regulated, natural gas pipline in New Mexico with a capacity of approximately 300 MMc |
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