Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
TLT could allow in the market 100% OF THE TIME.
TRADABLE VOL VS TMF
ART HILL VIDEO ON BEARISH 4 MONTHS
http://schrts.co/rXRewXPS
Looks like stocks/bonds rose together through QE as yields fall. Now with stocks /bonds falling together through QT as yields rise.
sideways for a while
We need to start listening to Greenspan
Tweet re: TLT
Update from Friday: One TL break. Now would like to see Jan. high taken out. $TLT $TNX pic.twitter.com/WZZpX3vxjH
— Mark Arbeter, CMT (@MarkArbeter) March 27, 2017
Nice play!
If it stays in its channel then 112ish may hold it up. Right now odd ball trendline is supporting price. How did you get 104?
It’s Coming… UNPRECEDENTED US BOND DUMPING | Jim Willie
Posted on October 31, 2016 by Elijah Johnson
http://www.silverdoctors.com/gold/gold-news/dollar-collapse-federal-reserve-presidential-election-trump-clinton-unprecedented-us-bond-dumping-jim-willie/
The Set-Up For Gold & Silver: CARNAGE in the Bond Market Pre-Cursor to Market Crash? | Eric Sprott
Posted on October 28, 2016 by The Doc
http://www.silverdoctors.com/silver/silver-news/set-up-for-gold-and-silver-prices-carnage-in-bond-market-market-crash-eric-sprott/
*Get ready for the next Big Short.* The Bond market will collapse. The Fed is preparing to raise rates.
Stopped out on those puts. Looking back a couple years to when it went threw the upper trendline. There it ripped higher, so cutting it off with this break up though the closing price only matters. Every one looking for yield....calls may still be good..oh well
Bumping top trendline here 142.6's. Good place to dump calls. Took a tiny put position...nothing large but if market goes blue sky bonds have to rise...don't they?
OUt half my calls today...rest are riding free. Been a whippy ride
Stopped out today on that ugly candle. Will get back in before end of week so as not to miss the turn up. Want to give it a few days to settle down.
Are you short via puts? Thinking about grabbing some
Uhuh... Bond King Gets Antsy as Junk Bonds, Which Lead Stocks, Spiral to Heck
by Wolf Richter • December 9, 2015
http://wolfstreet.com/2015/12/09/bond-king-gets-antsy-as-junk-bonds-which-lead-stocks-spiral-to-heck/
There's quite a divergence underway among banks with Non-US banks shorting bonds across the board:
http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/BankParticipationReports/deanov15f
The fed has investors worried so natural they are moving to safer investment. I guess it would have risen either way?
Agreed.
Given the current uncertainty people are flocking to fixed incomes investments -- as weird as that sounds.
Lots of demand for fixed income these days.
http://blogs.wsj.com/cfo/2015/09/11/corporate-cash-piles-into-corporate-debt/
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/09/09/corp-treasurers-rush-to-issue-debt-before-rate-hike.html
Yeah i do understand how it normally works. But there is some disconnect. The fed has investors worried so natural they are moving to safer investment. I guess it would have risen either way?
TLT tends to rally on Fed rate hikes. Fed raised rates June 30th, 2004:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=TLT&a=05&b=25&c=2004&d=06&e=5&f=2004&g=d
When the Fed raises rates the yield curve tends to flatten, not go up.
Probably someone did know the fed wouldnt raise and would be really dovish making equity investors run to safe havens. Options here are pretty good considering its not the most liquid. Spreads aren't great but you can prob bid ahead of the curve to grab a good price.
long tlt
as of yesterday
stop set at recent lows.
$TLT Sure looks like a good time to load up here ZuLu...:-]
Where are we going? I am locking in some low finance rates.
Here we go... Things are good but not good enough up up up
Tomorrow it pops? Yellen in sight... Rates go lower? Nice PA
Nope. Just a minor retracement. The trend has not broken.
get ready to short it!
Followers
|
42
|
Posters
|
|
Posts (Today)
|
0
|
Posts (Total)
|
814
|
Created
|
08/14/05
|
Type
|
Free
|
Moderators |
Volume | |
Day Range: | |
Bid Price | |
Ask Price | |
Last Trade Time: |