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This is a buy at lower price stock and hold for the dividend. Note the Ford Family owns 40% percent of the company still. They do not favor stock repurchases. They are in favor of dividends. Do not expect huge permanent increases of dividends. If there is extra cash the company will issue a special dividend on top of the regular dividend at the end of the year which makes buying this stock when the price is under pressure a safer play.
F, 10Q due Monday 5/5
Ford (F) Stock Eyes 3-Year Lows After Analyst Downgrade
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | April 9, 2025
• Bernstein downgraded Ford stock to "underperform" from "market perform"
• There was already ample pessimism surrounding the stock
Ford Motor Co (NYSE:F) is under pressure this morning, last seen down 2.7% to trade at $8.46 ahead of the open, as automaker stocks broadly retreat following the implementation of new U.S. tariffs targeting dozens of countries. Adding to the headwinds, Bernstein downgraded F to "underperform" from "market perform," citing weakening consumer confidence and the timing of the tariffs, which it believes could “significantly affects Ford.”
On the charts, Ford stock is on track to breach the $8.50 level for the first time since January 2021, deepening its technical troubles. The equity is already nursing a 34.2% year-over-year deficit and has shed 10.8% in 2025 alone. With shares eyeing a third consecutive daily loss before the session even begins, bearish momentum appears firmly in control.
Wall Street sentiment isn’t offering much relief, either. Analysts remain overwhelmingly pessimistic on Ford stock, with 19 of 23 brokerages maintaining a “hold” or worse rating. Options traders are showing a similarly bearish stance at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX). Ford stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio ranks in the 98th percentile of annual readings, pointing to a stronger-than-usual preference for long puts over calls.
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Ford Motor Company has several factories and manufacturing facilities in Mexico, including assembly plants and engine plants, and they produce various models for the North American market. $F Ford has factories in China through joint ventures, including Changan Ford (with Changan Automobile) and JMC (with Jiangling Motors). Trump to do 104% Tariffs against China TODAY
F, not good
Ford (F) Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 (March 2025)
By: 24/7 Wall St. | March 14, 2025
Shares of Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) have bucked the downward trend that has afflicted the rest of the market recently. While the broad consumer discretionary sector posted a loss of -15.29% over the past month — the worst among the S&P 500’s 11 sectors — Ford posted a gain of 2.48% over the same period. Year-to-date, the stock has barely broken even with a 0.62% gain, yet it remains down -19.62% over the past year -61.45% since its five-year high on Jan. 14, 2022.
On March 14, the company announced it hired Mike Aragon, a former Lululemon executive, to serve as president of integrated services business segment as Ford seeks to create more revenue via subscriptions and other software-enabled features. When the company reported year-end results, Ford announced a 4.2% increase in U.S. vehicle sales during 2024, reaching a total of 2,078,832 units. This growth was driven by sales increases across both the Ford and Lincoln brands. Additionally, Ford expanded its market share to 12.6% from 12.4% in the previous year.
The legacy automaker’s iconic brand helped to define American mechanical design and business supremacy in the 20th century and continues to remain a major player to this day. Founder Henry Ford created the mass production assembly line manufacturing process, and Ford cars and trucks are sold worldwide. It is the second-largest US auto industry builder after General Motors and sixth largest worldwide.
The Dearborn-headquartered company has remained resilient and has continues to stay competitive with its 6.19% annual dividend yield. But investors are concerned with future stock performance over the next 1, 5 and 10 years. While most Wall Street analysts will calculate 12-month forward projections, it’s clear that nobody has a consistent crystal ball, and plenty of unforeseen circumstances can render even near-term projections irrelevant. 24/7 Wall Street aims to present some farther-looking insights based on Ford’s own numbers, along with business and market development information that may be of help to our readers’ own research.
Key Points In This Article
• Ford’s strong cash generation, brand loyalty, and attention to customer service should help it weather the current market turbulence in the motor vehicle sector as it continues to recover.
• The failure of the EV market to go beyond the niche level and Ford’s own decisions to scale back EV production are a prescient read on the pendulum swinging back towards internal combustion engine (ICE) autos, which is Ford’s strong suit.
• To receive a complimentary copy of our brand-new report, “The Next NVIDIA,” click here. It includes three top stock picks poised to take off from the next breakthroughs in AI. One company is ‘10X Moonshot’, which could become the dominant software player in AI...
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Ford’s German union fears bankruptcy risk despite $5B help from U.S. parent
By: Markets & Mayhem | March 11, 2025
• Union leaders at Ford’s Germany-based business fear an increased risk of bankruptcy for the automaker’s European operations despite a €4.4 billion ($4.8 billion) cash injection from the U.S. parent.
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Ford slashes manager stock bonuses to cut costs, boost performance
By: Reuters | February 18, 2025
• About 1,650 of Ford's middle managers to miss stock bonuses
• Move aims to improve employee performance, says Ford spokesperson
• Ford's stock fell 23% over last 12 months, lagging behind GM's performance
DETROIT, Feb 18 (Reuters) - Some middle managers at Ford Motor (F.N), opens new tab will not get stock bonuses this year in what is seen internally as CEO Jim Farley's latest attempt to cut the automaker's bloated costs, according to six people familiar with the matter.
Around 1,650 middle managers out of 3,300 globally will not get stock bonuses, according to a person familiar with the discussions.
The stock awards are usually paid in March, but senior managers have been told to select which half of their middle management staff will receive them, four of the sources said.
Ford said the change was meant to incentivize an improvement in employee performance.
"We are focused on driving a high-performance culture that recognizes and rewards employees for their business contributions," a Ford spokesperson said.
The Dearborn, Michigan, automaker has struggled with inefficient operations, within both its cash-burning electric vehicle division and its fuel-powered vehicle business.
Farley has for years told employees and Wall Street that Ford is undergoing a fundamental transformation to become leaner and more competitive, as it races against U.S. rivals as well as Chinese automakers and EV producer Tesla (TSLA.O), opens new tab.
Ford's stock slipped about 23% over the past year, while Detroit rival General Motors' (GM.N), opens new tab shares rose around 23% on the strength of lower costs and higher profits.
The automaker and its competitors are also navigating the uncertainty of U.S. President Donald Trump's trade policies, which Farley said have added "a lot of cost and a lot of chaos." Ford's rivals are more exposed to tariffs on Mexico and Canada, which are scheduled to begin March 1, but the company could still be hit by 25% duties on vehicles shipped from Mexico, including its Mustang Mach-E, Bronco Sport, and Maverick pickup.
'THE BEST TALENT'
Employees were informed of the stock award changes in a company briefing last week and told the rationale for slashing bonuses was performance-based, the six sources said.
Some Ford workers viewed the move as a way for the automaker to slim its ranks, and said they were looking for job openings at other companies.
"With continued profit underperformance versus GM, Farley probably does not want to say the status quo of continued stock awards for all managers is acceptable," David Whiston, analyst for Morningstar, said in an email.
"This could be a way to get some people to quit given the focus is on middle managers," Whiston added.
Stock grant bonuses have typically been regarded as a way to retain talent at the automaker, which Farley recently said was key to its competitiveness. The awards vest over three years.
"The most important for me is the best talent and the best culture," Farley told analysts on an earnings call this month, saying the company could not improve its results without recruiting and keeping the right people.
The stock awards are part of a larger performance-based compensation system, which also includes cash awards. The bonuses are granted to salaried employees companywide, most of them managers.
Separately, Ford sets a companywide bonus based on metrics including vehicle quality, total earnings and EV sales, which amounted to 69% in 2024 of the total potential bonus, three of the sources said. Reuters reported in October that those bonuses would be cut based on lackluster company performance.
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Huge Sell-Off Has Cut Ford Shares by Half
By: 24/7 Wall St. | February 14, 2025
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) shares sold for about $25 apiece in early 2022. Recently, they dropped near their 52-week low of $9.10. What was a promising move into electric vehicles (EVs) has turned out to be multi-billion-dollar losses. Its sales and profits in China, the world’s largest car market, are shaky. CEO Jim Farley said, “So far, what we’re seeing is a lot of cost and a lot of chaos,” referring to tariffs and the new administration’s plans to help U.S. manufacturers.
Ford’s most recent challenges could substantially undermine its financial situation. According to S&P Global Mobility, tariffs on cars and car parts from Mexico and Canada could increase the prices of new vehicles in the United States by as much as 20%.
Ford will continue to post EV losses in 2025, which may be more than the $5.1 billion it lost last year. In 2021, Ford said it would spend over $30 billion on its EV development by 2025. In 2022, Ford said it expected to reach an annual rate of building EVs at 600,000 by late 2023. Last month, total Ford EV sales in the United States were 5,666.
Ford earned $600 million in China last year. However, Ford will be one of the companies hit hardest by Chinese competition. According to Bloomberg: “As the US and China square off over everything from tech to military might, Ford Motor Co. has emerged as the American firm most at risk from its exposure to the world’s No. 2 economy, according to Strategy Risks, beating the likes of Apple Inc. and Tesla Inc.”
Finally, Farley recently said that if inexpensive Chinese EVs entered the U.S. market, it would severely damage his company. He described Chinese car companies as an “existential threat.”
Ford is under siege. And escaping that position will be a monumental task.
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Bear of the Day: Ford Motor Company (F)
By: Zacks Investment Research | February 12, 2025
Ford Company Overview
Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) stock Ford Motor Company (F), established by Henry Ford in 1903, is an American automotive manufacturer headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan. Being one of the world’s leading automakers, Ford provides a vast product portfolio of cars, trucks, SUVs, and commercial vehicles, including its luxury Lincoln brand and electric vehicles (EVs).
Ford Earnings Miss Amid EV Weakness, Competition
Checkered EPS Surprise History
Ford’s recent earnings history has been checkered, with some quarters beating, and some missing badly. Presently, the July quarter is in control. F shares stumbled more than 18% on volume turnover nearly four times the norm, after the automaker missed Zacks Consensus estimates by a wide margin of 26.56%. Conversely, fellow legacy automaker General Motors (GM) has beaten Wall Street’s earnings estimates.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
EV Market Slows, Competition is Fierce
An integral reason Ford missed earnings estimates is weakness in its EV segment. Ford has been forced to scale down its EV production amid slowing EV demand. Meanwhile, though EV demand will likely pick up eventually, Tesla (TSLA) dominates the market by a significant margin. Further, many customers who want to avoid diving dive straight into an EV are opting for hybrids from Toyota Motors (TM), leaving Ford out in the cold.
Ford’s relative weakness is illustrated not only in its faltering fundamentals but also in its share price. Tesla and GM are up 74.80% and 18.90% over the past year, respectively, while Ford lags far behind, down 29%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Ford Faces Quality Issues
Ford’s struggle to manage warranty expenses has been another sore spot for the automaker. Quality issues in several models from 2016-2021 have led to an $800 million increase in warranty costs. Though management intends to address these issues, they have communicated to shareholders that the problems may not be resolved for more than a year, at the very least. In other words, the warranty issues will cause a bearish overhang in the stock for the foreseeable future.
Tariff Concerns
Ford CEO voiced concerns about tariffs on CNBC yesterday, saying,“So far, what we’re seeing is a lot of cost and a lot of chaos.If you look at the tariffs, let’s be real honest, long term, a 25% tariff across the Mexico and Canadian border will blow a hole in the US auto industry that we have never seen.”
Bottom Line
Despite its storied history, Ford Motor faces significant headwinds, including missed earnings, slowing EV demand, and increased competition from Tesla and other automakers. Additionally, persistent quality issues will likely weigh on the stock over the coming months.
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So more downgrades came today. It will be above 10 again in 2 Weeks
Ford Motor $F plunges to lowest price in more than 4 years
By: Barchart | February 6, 2025
• Ford Motor
$F plunges to lowest price in more than 4 years.
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Ford $F Just Reported Earnings: Double Beat
By: Evan | February 5, 2025
• FORD $F JUST REPORTED EARNINGS
EPS of $0.39 beating expectations of $0.32
Revenue of $48.2B beating expectations of $42.8B
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Ford Motor January Sales Fall 6.3% Year Over Year
By: MT Newswires | February 3, 2025
Ford Motor F sold 142,944 vehicles in January, a 6.3% drop from January 2024, the company said Monday.
The automaker sold 5,666 electric vehicles last month, a 21.2% gain from the year-ago period, and 13,295 hybrid vehicles, a 19.2% increase. Ford's sales of internal combustion vehicles fell 9.4% year over year to 123,983 in January.
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Ford Motor Company (F) is Attracting Investor Attention
By: Zacks Investment Research | January 10, 2025
Ford Motor Company (F) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.
Shares of this company have returned -6.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -2.2% change. The Zacks Automotive - Domestic industry, to which Ford Motor belongs, has lost 4% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making.
Earnings Estimate Revisions
Here at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
Ford Motor is expected to post earnings of $0.34 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +17.2%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged.
For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $1.78 points to a change of -11.4% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed -1%.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $1.71 indicates a change of -3.4% from what Ford Motor is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -1%.
Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Ford Motor is rated Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Projected Revenue Growth
While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
In the case of Ford Motor, the consensus sales estimate of $43.63 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +0.8%. The $173.1 billion and $165.44 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +4.3% and -4.4%, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise History
Ford Motor reported revenues of $43.07 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +4.6%. EPS of $0.49 for the same period compares with $0.39 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $41.2 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +4.52%. The EPS surprise was 0%.
Over the last four quarters, Ford Motor surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates three times over this period.
Valuation
Without considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Ford Motor is graded A on this front, indicating that it is trading at a discount to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Conclusion
The facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Ford Motor. However, its Zacks Rank #4 does suggest that it may underperform the broader market in the near term.
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Too Bad Ford $F only has 2 factories in Michigan and 5 out of the country.
Trump’s ‘EV Mandate’ Message May Have Helped Him Win Michigan
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/19112024/ev-mandate-message-may-have-helped-trump-win-michigan/
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2024/12/23/donald-trump-inauguration-ford/77178326007/
Ford gives cars and money to Trump...
I'm not a big fan of bottom fishing... but if I was, $F would probably look pretty compelling right about now...
By: David Keller | December 17, 2024
• I'm not a big fan of bottom fishing... but if I was, $F would probably look pretty compelling right about now. Testing LT support around 9.50-9.75 and nearing oversold condition for only second time in 2024. With charts like this, I tend to wait for a PPO signal to confirm new accumulation.
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Downgrade Drives Ford Motor (F) Stock Lower
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | December 16, 2024
• Jefferies downgraded F to "underperform" from "hold"
• The automaker is trading at its lowest levels since August
Shares of Ford Motor Co (NYSE:F) are down 2.8% at $10.10 at last check today, after a downgrade from Jefferies to "underperform" from "hold." The firm cited, among other things, inventory build-up and an $8.5 billion gap between warranty provisions and cash outflows since 2020. Notably, the analyst kept a more favorable "hold" rating on sector peer General Motors (GM).
In other news today, the U.S. Energy Department finalized a $9.63 billion loan for Ford and South Korean battery maker SK On to construct three new battery manufacturing plants in Tennessee and Kentucky. The Biden administration is prioritizing incentivizing the electric vehicle (EV) sector before Trump's inauguration.
Today's drop has F trading at its lowest levels since August, and dropping below support at $10.30, which has provided a floor for the past few months. Since the start of the year, the equity is down roughly 16%.
Options traders appear to be buying in on the dip, however. So far today, 64,000 calls have been exchanged -- double the amount typically seen at this point -- in comparison to 32,000 puts. The December 10.50 call is the most active contract, followed by the 12 call in the same series.
It might not be a bad idea to bet on a short-term bounce, either. F's 14-day relative strength index (RSI) of 25.5 sits in "oversold" territory.
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Bear of the Day: Ford Motor (F)
By: Zacks Investment Research | December 10, 2024
Ford Company Overview
Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) stock Ford Motor Company (F), established by Henry Ford in 1903, is an American automotive manufacturer headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan. Being one of the world’s leading automakers, Ford provides a vast product portfolio of cars, trucks, SUVs, and commercial vehicles, including its luxury Lincoln brand and electric vehicles (EVs).
Ford Earnings Miss Amid EV Weakness, Competition
Checkered EPS Surprise History
Ford’s recent earnings history has been checkered, with some quarters beating, and some missing badly. Presently, the July quarter is in control. F shares stumbled more than 18% on volume turnover nearly four times the norm, after the automaker missed Zacks Consensus estimates by a wide margin of 26.56%. Conversely, fellow legacy automaker General Motors (GM) has beaten Wall Street’s earnings estimates.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
EV Market Slows, Competition is Fierce
An integral reason Ford missed earnings estimates is weakness in its EV segment. Ford has been forced to scale down its EV production amid slowing EV demand. Meanwhile, though EV demand will likely pick up eventually, Tesla (TSLA) dominates the market by a significant margin. Further, many customers who want to avoid diving dive straight into an EV are opting for hybrids from Toyota Motors (TM), leaving Ford out in the cold.
Ford’s relative weakness is illustrated not only in its faltering fundamentals but also in its share price. Tesla and GM are up 62.6% and 57% over the past year, respectively, while Ford lags far behind, down 4.2%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Ford Faces Quality Issues
Ford’s struggle to manage warranty expenses has been another sore spot for the automaker. Quality issues in several models from 2016-2021 have led to an $800 million increase in warranty costs. Though management intends to address these issues, they have communicated to shareholders that the problems may not be resolved for more than a year, at the very least. In other words, the warranty issues will cause a bearish overhang in the stock for the foreseeable future.
Bottom Line
Despite its storied history, Ford Motor faces significant headwinds, including missed earnings, slowing EV demand, and increased competition from Tesla and other automakers. Additionally, persistent quality issues will likely weigh on the stock over the coming months.
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Ford Mistakes Pressure CEO Farley
By: 24/7 Wall St. | November 21, 2024
• Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) CEO Jim Farley is under a lot of pressure.
• Chances are that his tenure will not last much longer.
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) CEO Jim Farley took over in October 2020. He has been a favorite of Executive Chair Bill (Willam Clay, Jr.) Ford. However, Bill has a habit of firing CEOs since he took over in 1999. He has gone through six since then, including when he took the CEO job. That means the tenure of the CEOs is four years. Star Alan Mulally lasted eight.
As Bloomberg reports, Ford has laid off 4,000 workers in Europe as its electric vehicle (EV) business there loses momentum. That adds to its deep trouble in the United States. While Bill Ford was partially responsible for the company’s horrible EV performance, most of it happened on Farley’s watch.
Ford originally said it would invest $30 billion into its EV business and produce 600,000 EVs by the end of 2023. That goal moved to 2024, but attaining it has become impossible. Ford has cut back production of its EV flagship, the F-150 Lightning. EV sales per month are extremely modest. This has happened as Tesla kept a huge lead in the U.S. EV sector.
Ford’s warranty issues may be just as big a problem as its EV sales. They have dragged earnings down by several hundred million dollars in the past two reported quarters. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration recently fined Ford for one recall problem. Two more recall investigations then hit it. Farley has said, quarter after quarter, that the quality problem will get better.
Ford’s stock was about $8 a share when Farley took over. By January 2021, it had hit just over $10. Today, it is under $11. Farley is under a lot of pressure.
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If Ford won't make it easy for anyone to change a tire, then everyone at Ford is FIRED, in my book!!!
Ford has truly lost it's way, by making things more difficult for customers rather than making things easier.
Ford just lost me as a loyal customer. My daughter has a ford fiesta and had a flat tire. Neither she nor I could remove the lug nuts on the tire due to the fact that the lug wrench that came with the car will not fit on the lug nut due to caps Ford put on those lug nuts. How in the hell can anyone change a tire, when they have a flat, when the equipment they provide does not work. I am now boycotting Ford.
Ford (F) Stock Falls on Gloomy Revenue Forecast
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | October 29, 2024
• Ford issued full-year guidance at the lower end of its range
• The company was in line with third-quarter expectations
Ford Motor Co (NYSE:F) stock is lower Tuesday, after the automobile manufacturer issued full-year guidance that was at the low end of its previous range, amid softening demand, rising inventory, and worries surrounding the viability of cost-cutting measures. Meanwhile, the company's third-quarter results were in line with expectations.
At last glance, F was down 9.7% at $10.27 to trade near a floor that saved its early September pullback. The equity is pacing for its worst single-session percentage loss since July, and is extending its year-to-date deficit to 13.4%.
Ford stock's options pits are brimming with activity. Already, 126,000 calls and 107,000 puts have traded hands, which is 10 times the average intraday volume. The most activity is taking place at the December 12 call, following by the 11 call from the same monthly series. Meanwhile, new positions are being sold to open at the weekly 11/1 10.50-strike call.
Analysts are also weighing in, with at least four price-target cuts rolling in before the open today. More bear notes could be on the way too, considering the 12-month average price target of $12.10 is a 17.8% premium to F's current perch.
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Ford Motors posts double beat for Q3:
By: TrendSpider | October 28, 2024
• Ford Motors posts double beat for Q3:
~EPS: $0.49 vs $0.47 est
~SALES: $46.20B vs $41.88B est
$F -3.25% in after-hours
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Ford Stock Beaten Down Ahead of Earnings
By: 24/7 Wall St. | October 24, 2024
• In the upcoming report from Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), Wall Street is not expecting a recovery from its previous quarterly results.
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) announces earnings on October 28. Since the last time it announced quarterly figures, the stock has fallen 20%, while the S&P 500 is 5% higher. Shares of crosstown rival General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) have risen 14% over the period. Wall Street is not expecting a recovery from Ford’s previous quarterly report.
Ford’s shares dropped 13% when it missed forecasts for its second-quarter earnings. It did slightly better on the top line. Revenue was $44.81 billion, compared to a consensus estimate of $44.02 billion. However, per-share earnings figures were dismal at $0.47, compared to an expected $0.68.
The most significant disappointment was that the company’s warranty costs had risen $800 million from the previous quarter. Ford Chief Financial Officer John Lawler tried to be slightly optimistic, but it did not work: “We’re making real progress in raising quality, lowering costs and reducing complexity across our entire enterprise.”
Experts and the media have estimated that Ford loses $100,000 for every electric vehicle (EV) it sells. After announcing that it would invest $30 billion in EVs, Ford has retreated, particularly because of sales of its EV flagships, the F-150 Lightning and Mustang Mach-E.
Of the 27 analysts that cover the stock, according to Yahoo Finance, 16 rate it a Hold and three rate it Underperform or Sell. The consensus price target is $12.15, against a current price of $11.06. Analysts are pessimistic, and the stock sales point that way.
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Wow that's awesome I wonder what the price of the new company will be. $275 $380?? When are they closing the escrow. Wow 😲 I am watching 💖🍀💝🎄🎄🎄
Ford Down 8% in Past 2 Years vs S&P 500 Up 129%
By: 24/7 Wall St. | October 21, 2024
• Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) stock has far underperformed competitors and the broad market in the past two years.
• There are two main reasons for that.
The S&P 500 has been on a run recently, rising 56% in two years. Shares of Ford Motor Co.’s (NYSE: F) crosstown rival General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) are up 40%. Yet, Ford stock is down 9% in the same period. What happened?
Two things have battered Ford. The first is what it said but shouldn’t have. Management claimed it would invest $30 billion into electric vehicles (EVs) to become the U.S. market leader. In June 2022, it said it would nearly double production of its F-150 Lightning, its EV flagship, to 150,000 in two years. Kumar Galhotra, president of Ford’s Americas & International Markets Group, commented at the time, “With nearly 200,000 reservations, our teams are working hard and creatively to break production constraints to get more F-150 Lightning trucks into the hands of our customers.” Today, Ford sells a few of the pickups a month. By late last year, it had cut that delivery forecast to 1,600 a week for 2024.
The second thing was warranty problems. Ford’s latest earnings announcement included a jump in warranty issues that caused a $800 billion increase. The company had promised better numbers and a large increase in quality after years in which consumers and investors waited.
Ford is a good example of how investors become disappointed in results that management keeps promising and then misses.
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Ford's Shares Dragged Down by Stellantis Warning
By: 24/7 Wall St. | September 30, 2024
• Stellantis N.V. (NYSE: STLA) warned that its financial results for the year would be worse than expected.
• Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) investors worry it will be the next global automaker to disappoint the market.
Global carmaker Stellantis N.V. (NYSE: STLA), the parent of Jeep, Chrysler, and Dodge, warned that its financial results for the year would be much worse than expected. Volkswagen posted similar warnings recently. The Stellantis news dragged its stock down 13%. Shares of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), a direct competitor to Stellantis, immediately dropped almost 3%. That means Ford’s stock has fallen about 14% this year.
Daunting Challenges
According to Reuters, Stellantis management said it would burn through $5 billion to $11 billion this year. Previously, it forecasted it would be cash-positive. Costs to revive its U.S. sales and competition from China were listed as causes.
The challenge faced by global car companies in China is staggering. International manufacturers, including Stellantis, are losing market share inside China. Today, it has a market share of only 1% of the world’s largest car market. Ford’s figure has also fallen recently. Among the reasons is the rapid adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) in China. Local manufacturers like BYD dominate the sector.
Over time, the second and more daunting challenge is that Chinese car companies have started exporting EVs. China EVs can have price tags as low as $15,000. Legacy car companies and Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) have yet to produce EVs from which they can profit at a $25,000 MSRP. Tesla plans to introduce a new model with a price close to that. The only reason Chinese car companies do not compete in Europe and the United States is high tariffs. It is impossible to determine how long those will last.
Costs are another reason Stellantis says its financials have weakened. This has also been a challenge across the industry. Volkswagen may close plants in Germany for the first time in its history. Ford recently said a new UAW contract would cost it $8.8 billion.
Ford investors have watched as its competition cut forecasts. Wall Street is worried Ford will be the next to disappoint the market.
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