China Unlimited

[surfer44]

How China Became A Superpower. Excellent presentation.

hxxps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=

[surfer44]

Miscalculation?

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[surfer44]

1960's in a nutshell...

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[surfer44]

Does no one study the 1960's??? This guy took a lot of heat for this statement. Note: I'm not even a radical

" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=

[surfer44]

A Simple 10X Investment Strategy?

" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=

[surfer44]

Round 2 of poison ivy? (Chinese style)

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[surfer44]

FENG has a lot of cash. If I only knew what they were going to do with it. Probably piss it away. Got a new CEO anyway.

[tbirdman]

Yes. $SEED and $SPI .

[surfer44]

Time to load up on China stocks?

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[surfer44]

Good environment for stock pickers and shorts.....

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[surfer44]

Those 5% interest rates are kicking some serious azz in the markets*.

*Zero interest buys a lot of chit.

[surfer44]

Yeah, people talked about getting an extra $3,000 in stimulus funds that would prop up the economy. A new car costs what? And 3 grand gets you 2 months rent.

Big f'n deal.

[surfer44]

One guy I listen too. Seems to have a lot of common sense. I'll add that I think the party may be over after this summer (in the U.S anyway).

'Headwinds Are Substantial': Jamie Dimon Just Flagged A Long List Of Serious Dangers To The US Economy — Here Are 3 'Salient' Risks And How To Defend Against Them

Jing Pan
Wed, July 19, 2023 at 11:04 AM PDT

JPMorgan Chase recently reported second-quarter results, with both revenue and earnings exceeding Wall Street's expectations. But CEO Jamie Dimon is erring on the side of caution.

"There are still salient risks in the immediate view," he said in the earnings press release.

"Consumers are slowly using up their cash buffers, core inflation has been stubbornly high — increasing the risk that interest rates go higher and stay higher for longer — quantitative tightening of this scale has never occurred, fiscal deficits are large and the war in Ukraine continues, which in addition to the huge humanitarian crisis for Ukrainians, has large potential effects on geopolitics and the global economy."

It's not a rosy picture. In the earnings conference call, Dimon added that "headwinds are substantial and somewhat unprecedented."

So here's a closer look at three key risk factors Dimon highlighted and how investors can hedge against them.

High Core Inflation
In June, the consumer price index (CPI) rose 3% from a year ago, marking the smallest 12-month increase since March 2021. But core CPI — which excludes food and energy — increased 4.8% year over year.

Should core inflation persist at the "stubbornly high" levels Dimon cautioned about, your hard-earned money could progressively lose value because of the eroding effects of inflation.

Legendary investor Jim Rogers recently said that "the best place to be when you have inflation is real assets" like commodities.

Investors can gain exposure to commodities like gold, oil and agricultural products through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) such as SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:GLD), United States Oil Fund (NYSE:USO) and Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (NYSE:DBA).

Real estate is another popular hedge against rising prices. When inflation occurs, the cost of raw materials and labor goes up, so constructing new properties becomes more expensive, which contributes to the appreciation of property values.

While buying a house can be a challenge in today's environment, new companies have innovated ways for people to earn passive income in the real estate market. Here's how to invest in rental properties with as little as $100 while staying completely hands-off.

Check out:
Passive income investments are one of the most trusted methods for riding out a recession so it's no surprise that people are turning to high-yield notes that pay a fixed 7.5% to 9%.

Blackstone made a $13 billion bet on the growth in student housing. Here's how you can carve out your own piece of the student housing market with just $500.

Quantitative Tightening
Quantitative tightening is a monetary policy that central banks use to reduce the money supply. They accomplish this by selling securities such as government bonds. As market participants buy the securities, the amount of money circulating in the economy decreases. This leads to higher interest rates, which can slow down economic activity.

The U.S. Federal Reserve has embraced quantitative tightening to tame rampant inflation. Since March 2022, the federal funds rate has been increased by 500 basis points.

While many businesses fear high-interest rates because they lead to increased borrowing costs and reduced consumer spending, it can be a different story for banks.

Banks make money from the spread between the interest rates at which they borrow and lend. When interest rates rise, it can lead to an expansion of their net interest margins.

JPMorgan's results illustrate this point. In the second quarter, the bank's net interest income surged 44% year over year to $21.9 billion.

Other than considering bank stocks, investors can also check out savings accounts as a way to ride the rate wave. Because of the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes, there are now plenty of high-yield savings accounts to choose from.

War In Ukraine
The Russia-Ukraine war has sent shockwaves across global markets. Geopolitical conflicts could disrupt supply chains, increase energy prices and create widespread uncertainty.

When tensions escalate, investors often turn to safe-haven assets. Gold is a classic example, as it has been considered a store of value in times of crisis.

U.S. Treasury bonds are also worth considering — they are backed by the U.S. government.

In addition, investors may also want to look into defensive stocks, which usually come from sectors less likely to be affected by economic downturns. Notable examples include consumer staples, utilities and healthcare — sectors where established companies experience consistent demand for their products and services, regardless of economic conditions.

Investors can access these sectors via ETFs such as Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLP), iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (NYSE:IDU) and Vanguard Healthcare ETF (NYSE:VHT). Meanwhile, companies included in these ETFs could provide a starting point for further research.

[surfer44]

This about sums it up....

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[RealDutch]

lol

[surfer44]

Yeah man, let's get back in the saddle again!

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[surfer44]

TBird, can you unban my azz? I've been banned close to a decade.

[surfer44]

I'll give the board a follow...

[tbirdman]

I am reactivating the China Trading stocks board.

[tbirdman]

Sabby busted for naked short selling. $RCON $CNEY are Sabby holdings…https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-107

[RealDutch]

Also called sprinters or speeders.

Link

[NewJerichoMan]

Interesting. Have never heard of turbo shorts.

[RealDutch]

I lose a lot of time value if I buy put options.
I don't lose any time value with turbos. I even get paid some interest when I'm short.

Only problem is if I hit the stop-loss.
For NVDA and MSFT it's 20% away (leverage is only 5x)
But for AAPL the stop-loss is $178.4
And the Nasdaq is on a tear.
II may not have enough cash to repurchase all my AAPL turbos. In which case I may have to add like 20 put options.

[NewJerichoMan]

They should go down but I don't expect them to. I think that's where a lot of people are hiding their $$$.

[RealDutch]

I bought Turbo shorts NVDA yesterday (target $320)
And I bought Turbo shorts MSFT today (no target)
But AAPL is still my big short position.

[NewJerichoMan]

Thus far, swing and a miss.

By not holding, I've triggered a capital gain (for the moment) and missed out on about $7K in appreciation.

[RealDutch]

21% of the ZIM float is short.

https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NYSE/ZIM/short-interest/

[RealDutch]

I bought 500 more ZIM shares today. This is turning into a good opportunity. I will buy more call options tomorrow if I have the money.

[RealDutch]

What to make of ZIM

Positives
- Cash flow is ok
- Guidance unchanged, EBIT positive for 2023
- Trading at 41% of book with strong balance sheet (accounts for the dividend paid)

Negatives
- Q2 won't be any better
- $700M charge in Q2 from the $6.4 dividend paid in April.
- No dividend paid in Q1

Perhaps it will trade in the $14 - $16 range for a while?
We should see $20+ later this year if/when things improve.

I have a target of $15.20 and $16.20 for my call options.

[RealDutch]

. The real show will be either HERB or ITUP.

Yes, but I also have a pretty substantial short bet on AAPL going.
And I added call options on ZIM today. Not sure if we will get a bounce though.

As for ITUP, NYSE listing should still be 12-18 months away.

[MaterialMind]

Really rough day. Never nice to drop double digits percentage wise in a day.

All investments feel like some small distraction at the moment. The real show will be either HERB or ITUP. Hopefully both.
Timeline... Anyone's guess. HERB is way overdue. ITUP hopefully starts delivering something, bit by bit, already this year. But the big thing, listing on NYSE, is still 1-2 years away, right?

[RealDutch]

Adding ZIM call options today, June, July and Oct, all $15 target
Thanks.

[RealDutch]

ZIM misses on EPS and no dividend but reaffirms guidance.

I don't have any call options. Only 1200 shares.

https://investors.zim.com/news/news-details/2023/ZIM-Reports-Financial-Results-for-the-First-Quarter-of-2023/default.aspx

[RealDutch]

Oh dear, oh dear... the never ending China disaster.

The sharp decline in the price of bromine significantly impacted our earnings in this quarter,” stated Mr. Xiaobin Liu, the CEO of Gulf Resources.

[surfer44]

True but still funny.

[tbirdman]

Still time to buy $BDCO numb nuts :)

[RealDutch]

Yeah, Ibought my last 10 calls for 65 cents.

I saw that article. Nobody seems to think that a special dividend is realisitic, nor would a substantial quarterly dividend be.

All I know is, they do have some cash. And perhaps we wil get lucky.

Nice move. Let's see what happens next week

[MaterialMind]

And my 60 ZIM call May 26 target $17 finally rallying today.

I bought a bunch on May 4th, at 16.37. Have had my eye on it for a year or two, so my interest got a bit sparked when you mentioned it. Finally pulled the trigger.

What do you think of the dividends going forward? Saw this one on Seeking Alpha, betting on a special dividend.

[RealDutch]

Nice. I added to my AAPL puts. I have 20 puts dec 160 now.
And my 60 ZIM call May 26 target $17 finally rallying today.

[NewJerichoMan]

Sold 501.xx shares of MSFT this afternoon for $311.xx. 52-week high and 70ish RSI. Made about 30% since late January (before taxes). Hoping for some cooling and then to buy back in. Going to try and channel it.

[RealDutch]

AAPL down 2.5% after hours on QCOM concerns.
Woohoo... it's going to be a beautiful day tomorrow.
And then they report after hours.

I have a ridiculous number of put options

[surfer44]

What happens when a ship hits a windmill?

&t=310s" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=

&t=310s

[surfer44]

Anyone know this guy?

" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=

[surfer44]

Wow. China discovered motocross...

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[surfer44]

For ZIM aficionados......

*I'm drybulk and tankers

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[RealDutch]

META is always fireworks, somehow.

Last 6 earnings releases
-26%
+17%
-5%
-24%
+23%
+10% (so far)

[RealDutch]

I have 60 ZIM call options already. This is going to be a big one.

[NewJerichoMan]

I was thinking of you yesterday because MSFT was pretty red, redder than the overall market. And then this morning... Life comes at you fast. Small profit is better than no profit.