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What's going on here, besides the share price approaching CV's.
“ Charlotte's Web Holdings, Inc. (TSE:CWEB) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. It definitely looks like a negative result overall with revenues falling 14% short of analyst estimates at US$12m. Statutory losses were US$0.07 per share, 40% bigger than what the analysts expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Charlotte's Web Holdings after the latest results.
Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from three analysts covering Charlotte's Web Holdings is for revenues of US$50.8m in 2024. This implies a measurable 6.9% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 33% to US$0.19. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$57.5m and losses of US$0.22 per share in 2024. We can see there's definitely been a change in sentiment in this update, with the analysts administering a meaningful downgrade to next year's revenue estimates, while at the same time reducing their loss estimates.
The consensus price target fell 14% to CA$0.65, with the dip in revenue estimates clearly souring sentiment, despite the forecast reduction in losses.”
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/earnings-release-heres-why-analysts-122818344.html
$.15 per share, that's about $.10 per share more than it's worth...M
Well thats interesting. we'll see how it plays
"Citing failures to protect public health, lawmaker looks to remove FDA's food authority":
August 2nd 2024
You got it. Here's something from the Gov side...
"Congress Advances Cannabis and Hemp Proposals":
July 29, 2024
https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/congress-advances-cannabis-and-hemp-5541083/
Thanks for the post. I have taken a step back, need to see clarity from the gov. side. Just going to enjoy summer till then.
I found a recently published research paper that was funded by Charlotte's Web, and I threw in a couple more papers below it as well. The one funded by Charlotte's Web is focused on a new cannabinoid called Cannabielsoin or CBE, (there is S-CBE and R-CBE, this paper focused on S-CBE), which is an oxidation product of CBD. You guys know I love seeing stuff like this...Enjoy!
"Cannabielsoin (CBE), a CBD Oxidation Product, Is a Biased CB1 Agonist":
Published: 12 July 2024
"Case Report: Cannabis Oil Treats Common Skin Disease in Dog":
JUL 11, 2024
NICE!! the agencies are a cancer to the world.
Here's an article that gets into more specifics...
"How the Supreme Court Overturning a Case Against Chevron Oil Threw the Marijuana Industry into Chaos":
Jul 8, 2024
Yeah, there's always that question of when. Maybe the Chevron ruling will combine with rescheduling to make schedule 3 even more meaningful to companies. At the very least, companies soon won't have to remove every molecule of THC to gain FDA approval...
"Cannabis Medications Could Be Eligible For FDA Approval Under Proposed DEA Rules":
July 8, 2024
Thats a good info post. The question will be on how long.
"Supreme Court’s Chevron Doctrine Ruling Could Limit FDA’s Regulatory Authority":
Jul 01, 2024
FYI-"The FDA’s power to determine a drug’s exclusivity or review tobacco marketing applications faces fresh vulnerability to legal battles after the Supreme Court’s decision to nix a legal doctrine that empowered agency interpretations.
The US Supreme Court’s June 28 opinion in Loper Bright Enters. v. Raimondo is expected to open the floodgates for litigation against the Food and Drug Administration after ending the decades-old Chevron doctrine. Under the 1984 decision in Chevron v. Natural Resources Defense Council, courts had accepted a federal agency’s reasonable interpretation of its rulemaking authority when its statute was determined ambiguous."
https://news.bloomberglaw.com/health-law-and-business/fda-drug-approvals-rulemaking-are-tested-after-chevron-decision
🎉 Big News! 🎉
— US Hemp Roundtable (@HempRoundtable) June 26, 2024
We’re thrilled to congratulate long-time U.S. Hemp Roundtable member, @medterracbd, on an incredible achievement! Their high-quality CBD topicals are now available on retail shelves and online at Walmart! pic.twitter.com/1CTIVrSOjo
This will open the door for +Plus CBD
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/charlottes-debuts-walmart-cbd-topical-121500999.html
.10 ea coming, wait a bit longer to get 3 for a quarter.
It will hit 0.10 in July.. Great buying opportunity an the closer we get to November elections the cannabis sector will start heating up...
Another Cash Burn 🔥 In The Anus YQU Understand. Who takes his place, Smokey Joe? Have Mercy WQLF Ahooooooo
http://archive.fast-edgar.com/20240614/AWZZV62CZ22BRZZ222242ZZZQU79ZZTS4262/
Wolfman Jack Says: CWBHF Shareholders get humped over again YQU Understand. Have Mercy Ahooooooo
In my opinion, It doesn’t appear that BAT is investing in OGI and CWBHF for any other reason, but to make sure their investments are protected. Most likely there would be no mergers planned for the two entities along with BAT. Poison pills 💊 in both agreements. But agreements can be negotiated for any and all reasons as long as both parties agree. The recent tranche of funds for the Jupiter program of acquiring other cannabis companies could prove me wrong. With the limited amount of funds available, they are considering smaller companies. Unless, they offer equity and stock for any possible acquisition of CWBHF by OGI.
“ BAT will subscribe for 12,893,175 million shares on the closing of the first tranche (currently expected to be on or around January 16, 2024) for gross proceeds of C$41.5 million with the remaining 25,786,350 shares to be subscribed for in two further equal tranches on or around August 30, 2024 and February 28, 2025.
To the extent BAT exceeds 30.0% holding of outstanding Common Shares, it will be issued non-voting Class A convertible preferred shares ("Preferred Shares"). Accordingly, in aggregate, based on Organigram’s current 81,161,630 Common Shares outstanding, 12,999,231 Common Shares will be issued, and the remaining 25,680,294 shares will be initially issued as Preferred Shares. The Preferred Shares will be eligible for conversion into voting Common Shares at BAT’s option, provided that such conversion would not result in BAT’s voting interest in the Company exceeding 30%.
In connection with the closing of the first tranche of the Investment and subject to approval by Organigram’s shareholders, the Company will file articles of amendment to create the new class of Preferred Shares to be issued to BAT in the Investment.
Class A Preferred Shares
Each Preferred Share shall be economically equivalent to a Common Share and will be convertible into Common Shares at the option of BAT without payment of any additional consideration. The conversion ratio shall initially be one-for-one, and post-issuance shall increase at a rate of 7.5% per annum, compounded annually, until such time as the Preferred Shares are converted into Common Shares or the aggregate equity interest of BAT in Organigram (inclusive of both the Common Shares and Preferred Shares as if converted into Common Shares) reaches 49%. BAT shall be periodically required to convert Preferred Shares to the extent that it holds less than 30% of the Common Shares outstanding”
“Investor Rights Agreement, dated November 14, 2022, by and between Charlottes Web Holdings, Inc. and BT DE Investments, Inc. a wholly-owned subsidiary of BAT Group“
https://contracts.justia.com/companies/charlottes-web-holdings-inc-14559/contract/261689/
“ Since March 2021, Organigram’s partnership with BAT has gone from strength-to-strength, most significantly the progress achieved as part of the PDC agreement.”
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/organigram-announces-c-124-6-110000751.html
“BT DE INVESTMENTS INC. ACQUIRES STAKE IN CHARLOTTE'S WEB HOLDINGS, INC.
NEWS PROVIDED BY
BT DE Investments Inc.
Nov 15, 2022, 08:19 ET
WILMINGTON, Del., Nov. 15, 2022 /CNW/ - BT DE Investments Inc. (the "Purchaser") announced today that it has acquired (the "Transaction") C$75,341,080 aggregate principal amount of a 5.00% senior unsecured convertible debenture due 2029 (the "Convertible Debenture"), which is convertible, in whole or in part, at any time and from time to time, into 37,670,540 common shares (the "Common Shares") of Charlotte's Web Holdings, Inc. (the "Issuer") at a price of C$2.00 per Common Share (the "Conversion Price"). The Convertible Debenture provides for the adjustment of the Conversion Price in certain customary events. The Purchaser is a wholly owned indirect subsidiary of British American Tobacco p.l.c.
Immediately prior to the Transaction, the Purchaser did not have beneficial ownership of any securities of the Issuer. Immediately after the Transaction, and assuming the conversion of the Convertible Debenture in full, the Purchaser acquired beneficial ownership of 37,670,540 Common Shares, representing approximately 19.9% of the issued and outstanding Common Shares (calculated on a non-diluted basis).”
“ The Purchaser entered into the Transaction as part of an investment in the Issuer and intends to review its investment in the Issuer on a continuing basis. The Purchaser may, subject to the terms of the investor rights agreement entered into between the Purchaser and the Issuer dated November 14, 2022, depending upon a number of factors including market and other conditions, increase or decrease its beneficial ownership, control, direction or economic exposure over securities of the Issuer.”
https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/bt-de-investments-inc-acquires-stake-in-charlotte-s-web-holdings-inc--851723097.html
This statement would allow BAT to bring OGI and CWBHF together as a merger opportunity. Depending on the BAT and OGI agreement, which I haven’t researched, then BAT may be able to bring both entities under the BAT Umbrella.
“ The Purchaser may not convert the Convertible Debenture, in whole or in part, if and to the extent that, as a result of such conversion, the Purchaser would beneficially own or exercise control or direction over in excess of 19.9% of the number of Common Shares outstanding immediately after giving effect to such conversion.”
Good points! Thanks for your thoughts
WQLF SAYS; It there is a likelihood of a Merger, it would be OGI acquiring CWBHF. This would be more feasible if BAT converts CWBHF debt into CWBHF Equity / shares. This would allow more leverage for shareholder approval of any M&A between OGI and CWBHF. If CWBHF sales continue on their current downward trajectory, and the continuation of large increases in Cash burn, then the merger and acquisition will have to go into effect. The lower the price per share of CWBHF will benefit OGI and BAT. In my opinion, the current and future CWBHF shareholders will be the losers in the long run if this is what BAT has in mind. The bottom price per share of CWBHF in the near future could end up between 10 and 15 cents.
“ Most of the money will be used by Organigram to fund a strategic investment pool named Jupiter, which will target investments in emerging cannabis markets.”
https://mjbizdaily.com/tobacco-giants-124-million-investment-in-marijuana-firm-organigram-approved/
CWBHF
Balance Sheet
Total Cash (mrq) 38.51M
Total Cash Per Share (mrq) 0.25
Total Debt (mrq) 60.14M
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) 128.86%
Current Ratio (mrq) 3.48
Book Value Per Share (mrq) 0.30
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/charlottes-announces-shareholder-meeting-voting-132800795.html
Cashburners Said; How LOW Can YQU Go?