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Damn! How many symbols has this POS had!?!?! CHINA, CDCAQ, CHIND, CDCS........ Any more?
Getting close to tax time.... Gotta figure this clusterf*ck out....
I was just looking at that too day dreaming.. Saw it at .50 once but payed no attention.. Too funny.
WOW what a move from around .08
Date Open High Low Close Volume Adj
Close
2012/03/02 3.91 4.57 3.91 4.57 2,570,005 4.57
2012/03/01 3.95 4.05 3.82 3.98 366,343 3.98
2012/02/29 3.75 3.90 3.75 3.90 181,380 3.90
2012/02/28 3.66 3.76 3.66 3.75 213,171 3.75
2012/02/27 3.65 3.75 3.65 3.75 234,697 3.75
2012/02/24 3.70 3.75 3.65 3.75 232,256 3.75
2012/02/23 3.60 3.74 3.60 3.74 271,244 3.74
2012/02/22 3.55 3.65 3.55 3.64 292,170 3.64
2012/02/21 3.66 3.68 3.50 3.63 251,813 3.63
2012/02/20 - 3.73 3.35 - - -
2012/02/17 3.35 3.73 3.35 3.66 675,767 3.66
2012/02/16 3.27 3.45 3.25 3.45 613,264 3.45
2012/02/15 3.25 3.35 3.25 3.30 261,111 3.30
2012/02/14 3.25 3.33 3.25 3.29 1,150,501 3.29
2012/02/13 3.30 3.38 3.28 3.35 1,278,834 3.35
2012/02/10 3.20 3.40 3.20 3.35 739,776 3.35
2012/02/09 3.01 3.35 2.70 3.30 1,605,858 3.30
2012/02/08 3.21 3.65 3.18 3.19 2,097,841 3.19
2012/02/07 1.68 3.10 1.68 3.05 2,799,647 3.05
2012/02/06 1.36 1.65 1.36 1.50 348,529 1.50
2012/02/03 1.45 1.58 1.10 1.50 1,212,928 1.50
2012/02/02 1.00 1.40 1.00 1.38 1,521,734 1.38
2012/02/01 0.60 1.12 0.60 0.92 681,974 0.92
2012/01/31 0.55 0.74 0.52 0.66 135,830 0.66
2012/01/30 0.44 0.51 0.43 0.51 94,233 0.51
2012/01/27 0.55 0.55 0.42 0.45 40,362 0.45
2012/01/26 0.40 0.50 0.40 0.45 151,602 0.45
2012/01/25 0.35 0.42 0.35 0.40 156,236 0.40
2012/01/24 0.31 0.40 0.31 0.35 7,937 0.35
2012/01/23 0.38 0.40 0.35 0.38 14,321 0.38
2012/01/20 0.30 0.40 0.30 0.40 53,776 0.40
2012/01/19 0.35 0.39 0.35 0.36 32,968 0.36
2012/01/18 0.42 0.42 0.35 0.39 71,609 0.39
2012/01/17 0.38 0.40 0.32 0.39 47,762 0.39
2012/01/16 - 0.43 0.37 - - -
2012/01/13 0.37 0.43 0.37 0.41 24,104 0.41
2012/01/12 0.41 0.50 0.30 0.42 114,986 0.42
2012/01/11 0.44 0.44 0.36 0.43 195,782 0.43
2012/01/10 0.39 0.44 0.35 0.43 128,892 0.43
2012/01/09 0.32 0.50 0.31 0.45 309,989 0.45
2012/01/06 0.23 0.31 0.22 0.28 180,631 0.28
2012/01/05 0.21 0.25 0.20 0.23 190,890 0.23
2012/01/04 0.16 0.21 0.16 0.21 123,053 0.21
2012/01/03 0.15 0.19 0.15 0.17 32,195 0.17
2012/01/02 - 0.17 0.15 - - -
2011/12/30 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.16 234,012 0.16
2011/12/29 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.16 247,819 0.16
2011/12/28 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.16 111,165 0.16
2011/12/27 0.15 0.19 0.15 0.17 236,712 0.17
2011/12/26 - 0.18 0.15 - - -
2011/12/23 0.16 0.18 0.15 0.15 119,697 0.15
2011/12/22 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.16 58,684 0.16
2011/12/21 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.17 186,688 0.17
2011/12/20 0.17 0.23 0.17 0.21 91,828 0.21
2011/12/19 0.15 0.23 0.15 0.20 156,431 0.20
2011/12/16 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.18 43,626 0.18
2011/12/15 0.18 0.19 0.17 0.18 33,640 0.18
2011/12/14 0.18 0.22 0.17 0.18 87,509 0.18
2011/12/13 0.21 0.24 0.17 0.23 60,371 0.23
2011/12/12 0.15 0.21 0.13 0.21 188,125 0.21
2011/12/09 0.11 0.17 0.11 0.17 186,135 0.17
2011/12/08 0.10 0.15 0.10 0.11 14,179 0.11
2011/12/07 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.11 41,914 0.11
2011/12/06 0.10 0.13 0.10 0.11 36,657 0.11
2011/12/05 0.080 0.11 0.080 0.11 184,146 0.11
2011/12/02 0.076 0.090 0.076 0.080 80,663 0.080
2011/12/01 0.075 0.080 0.075 0.078 29,749 0.078
2011/11/30 0.071 0.10 0.071 0.085 68,682 0.085
2011/11/29 0.080 0.085 0.080 0.085 37,330 0.085
2011/11/28 0.070 0.090 0.070 0.090 25,867 0.090
2011/11/25 0.080 0.090 0.071 0.090 29,586 0.090
2011/11/24 - 0.090 0.080 - - -
2011/11/23 0.081 0.090 0.080 0.080 108,904 0.080
2011/11/22 0.080 0.090 0.070 0.081 147,011 0.081
2011/11/21 0.080 0.095 0.080 0.080 213,674 0.080
2011/11/18 0.10 0.10 0.087 0.095 99,485 0.095
My personal exitpoint for an little buyout for CDCAQ-Stock
is at 12 § a share.
Here i will sell the half fo my shares.
The with the rest of my Shares i follow CDC in the next steps.
Evtl. Nasdaq Re-Listing, an other things the come in a few days
oder weeks.
Can we see 10-15 Dollars a Share in the
next 4-6 weeks ???
Things going wild and crazy round about CDCAQ stocks.
Volume is going up very fast....an the price go from a new high
to a new high - to a new high.
I think on Monday we could see 5 $ or more, and by
end of the next weeks we drive zu 10 $ ??
Hey guys - what´s your opinion ???
Excellent synopsis. Sticky worthy.
Here is the major info on CDC Corp.
Despite the initial numbers of CDC, which had some consolidated information, here is the correct numbers from the Schedules filed in the case on November 7, 2011.
Total assets per schedule A of $172.5 million. This includes $160.4 million for the interest in their subsidiaries. This includes CDC Software.
Total debts are $108.5 million, which includes $66.8 related to litigation by Evolution CDC and $40.0 million in Intercompany obligations to CDC Software. The $66.8 million is litigation and CDC disputes parts of this and has a counter claim. The 6-K filed on the sale of CDC Software specifically states all Intercompany amounts owed by CDC will be cancelled. At a minimum, this resolves $40 million in debt.
So a worst case scenario would be assets of $12.1 million if the entire $160.4 million related to CDC software and that would be very unlikely.
CDC will get more than $250 million for the sale of CDC Software.
A worst case scenario would be debts of $68.5 million if the litigation claim actually results in a $69 million damage award.
Per the Chapter 11 filing, the O/S shares are 35,180,685.
$250,000,000 + $12,100,000 = $262,100,000
$262,100,000 - $68,500,000 = $193,600,000
$193,600,000 / 35,180,685 = $5.50 per share.
Upsides to the above are that the actual value of all remaining subsidiaries exceeds the zero dollar value included above for BV of CDC’s interest in them and the large claim for litigation is significantly less than listed above. There seems to be little downside to the $5.50 number.
The pending legal dispute in the Chapter 11 case is whether to go forward with the $250 million sale of CDC Software or just sale a part of that company and operate the rest of CDC software as a going business. This is bases on whether selling just a part is worth more to the shareholders of both CDC Corp and CDC Software. So in theory, a ruling that alters the course would be more profitable to CDC. If they move forward with the $250 million sale of all of CDC Software, this would be thru establishing that offer as an initial bid and there would be an auction to see if any other buyers step in with a better offer. This again would be more upside.
Conclusion is anything up to about $6 here looks like a decent buy.
Three key things to read besides the general information in the 6-K to support all of the above.
The Bankruptcy Schedules on assets and debts filed on November 7, 2011 that show the numbers above. The section of the transcripts in the 6-K where the judge specifically talks about CDCA only having two real liabilities in the judgment against them and the Intercompany amount owed to CDC Software. The sections of the purchase agreement in the 6-K where it specifically says CDC is getting $10.50 per share of their stock and that all Intercompany obligations are cancelled.
SECTION 1.02 PURCHASE PRICE. In consideration of the aforesaid sale, assignment, transfer and delivery of the CDC Software Shares, Purchaser shall, at the Closing, pay, or cause to be paid to Debtor an amount, in cash, by wire transfer in same day funds denominated in U.S. dollars, of $10.50 per share totaling $249,788,301.00 (the “Purchase Price”).
SECTION 8.01 INTERCOMPANY OBLIGATIONS. The parties contemplate that all amounts due to or from Debtor or Software International on the one hand and any of the CDC Software Companies on the other hand (“Intercompany Obligations”) will be terminated as of the Closing. The terms and documentation related to such termination shall be mutually agreed by the parties hereto. The parties further agree that, without the prior review and consent of the Purchaser (i) the equity and debt of the CDC Software Companies shall not be restructured or recapitalized in any manner and (ii) any intercompany agreements among the CDC Software Companies shall not be amended or restated in any manner.
Canceling the $40 million debt owed by CDCA adds over $1 more to all the rest of the numbers.
THNKS HD for the heads up
where was my alert in the $1.70 range ... hehe
nice move here today
At this point in the case I couldn't agree more with some of those figures, the time to buy was last month it seems. Anything now is a crapshoot until certain events unfold.
Thanks. When I get some time I'll peruse some PACER filings. Always a good time, lol.
Thanks for your thoughts.
I'll toss out some very, very rough guesses as to how much might be left over, but again these are very rough guesses since, as you said, this case has a long way to go.
Let's assume that the claim from Evolution is upheld and that they have the full $250 million in debt that needs to be repaid. Let's ignore legal and administrative expenses fr now.
They state $377 million in assets; not sure how much they valued CSCY at when they stated that but let's assume it's valued at the $249 million offer. After the sale of CSCY that would bring the leftover assets to $128 million. For simplicity let's assume that sale pays off all of the debt since there's only a $1 million difference.
That leaves us with $128 million in assets. If shareholders got the full stated value for these (which is usually not the case), total cash per share (with 35 million outstanding) would be $3.66. With today's closing price there's not much upside left from here given this optimal scenario.
Of course, usually the remaining assets are sold at a steep discount. If they were sold at a 50% discount, the cash per share left would be $1.83. If the remaining assets were sold at a 75% discount, the cash per share left would be $0.92.
Obviously these are very, very, very rough guesstimates, but they do suggest that anyone buying this at its current level hoping for more is likely taking on a lot of risk for probably little upside.
Judge Paul W. Bonapfel in the hearing 2/1/2012
They still will go through the claims register and eliminate whatever they can, and from what I have gathered they are also still fighting the claim from the biggest unsecured creditor Evolution (65mm) after the judgement that came down to send this company to seek Ch 11 protection.
But your point is well taken.
The Judges comments really don't hold any water until an RP/DS is presented.
A perfect example ( in reverse) is during the Chemtura bankruptcy the Judge repeatedly said for months there was no value for equity.
This is what he was being told by Debtors counsel and the UCC counsel. It wasn't until after many court hearings that it was laid out through shareholders efforts there was some residual value that he changed his tune.
He did appoint an Equity Committee in this case, which can be construed as a good sign.
but this case has a long way to go it seems before any real value can be assigned.
The Chapter 11 documents state $250 million in debt.
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-05/cdc-files-for-bankruptcy-with-more-than-250-million-debt.html
The $249 million sale would satisfy all of this, but of course there are still legal and administrative expenses. CDC states $377 million in assets but of course CDCSY is part of those assets. And to my knowledge, the rest of the assets in a bankruptcy proceeding are sold in "fire sales".
Other Events.Chapter 11 Filing
On October 4, 2011, CDC Corporation (the “Company”) filed a voluntary
petition under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code with the U.S. Bankruptcy
Court for the Northern District of Georgia. The Company believes that the
Chapter 11 process will facilitate restructuring, which is designed to restore
the Company to long-term financial health.
The Company has undertaken the filing to protect all creditors and the
interests of shareholders, in light of the September 8, 2011 judgment against
the Company in the amount of $65.4 million in its ongoing litigation with
Evolution CDC SPV Ltd., Evolution Master Fund Ltd., SPC, Segregated Portfolio M
and E1 Fund Ltd.
The Chapter 11 filing relates to CDC Corporation only, and does not include
its subsidiaries, which are expected to continue to operate in the ordinary
course of business during the Company's Chapter 11 proceedings.
The Company’s principal legal advisor for the restructuring process and
Chapter 11 proceedings is Lamberth, Cifelli, Stokes, Ellis & Nason, P.A.
http://www.otcmarkets.com/edgar/GetFilingHtml?FilingID=8177935
Judge Paul W. Bonapfel in the hearing 2/1/2012
No way to tell without getting into the court docs and Claims Register.
Even then the Company are disputing certain claims.
And from what I have gathered so far, even this SPA sale is a stalking horse sale.
Update on Bankruptcy Timeline
The Court has also set the following pertinent dates in the Chapter 11 proceeding. These dates represent the current timeline of the Chapter 11 proceeding but may be subject to change in the future:
March 1, 2012 - Deadline for the Company to file its Chapter 11 reorganization plan and the related disclosure statement, and for the filing of any competing Chapter 11 plans and disclosure statements;
March 20, 2012 – Hearing set for the approval of disclosure statements relating to proposed Chapter 11 plans; and
April 26, 2012 - Hearing to consider confirmation of proposed Chapter 11 plans and final hearing to consider approval of the Company’s 363 Sale Motion.
Any guess as to how much might be left over to shareholders after all the creditors are paid?
More case history...
JANUARY 18, 2012, 3:20 P.M. ET
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20120118-713372.html
UPDATE: CDC Corp Sues Its Subsidiary To Stop Sale
Some case history...
http://news.businessweek.com/article.asp?documentKey=1376-LY2FHA1A74E901-3O95BRN0H4CN790PK8S44NVRG9
Jan 20, 2012
CDCAQ Stats:
2,799,647 Volume
$6,948,600 Dollar Volume
High 3.10
Low 1.68
Last 3.05
Someone got 25,000 shares on BID over 5.00 tom.
And a way we go !!!!
$250M Cash with 35M OS = $7.14 in cash per share of CDCAQ.
I saw the new high pop up on my plateform.
Nearly 4mil in $$$ volume now!! I say its getting bought up~~
I see orders filling above the ask~
It's starting to look like another run coming.
Losing future revenue might be loosely interpreted as merely realizing that revenue now as a lump sum in cash. Sort of like lottery winners choosing to get the lump sum of $600k instead of the 20 years of $50k.
Obviously, whether the lump sum is a winning deal or a losing deal depends on your profit outlook for CDCS. Revenue without profits probably would not have added to CDCAQ's value.
Just thinking out loud. Thanks for the replies.
Still an interesting BK case!! Been reading through that 6k!!
CDCS is 28% OF CDCAQ's annual revenue stream so CDCAQ would be losing that much future revenue.
Yep, CDCAQ's holding in CDC software...5%? 10% 50% 100%?
CDCSY I spotted it earlier. It still makes for a good play.
The 10.50 is not CDCAQ, it is being placed on shares of CDCS
You are absolutely correct.
In the transcript the Judge does state both trade on the Pinksheets.
CDCS seems to have skyrocketed on the news.
http://www.google.com/finance?cid=7510430
CDCAQ (CDC International) is proposing to sell it's indirect ownership of it's stake in it's own subsidiary CDCS (CDC Software) to Archipelago Holdings.
The proceeds are expected to pay off creditors and return value to shareholders in CDCAQ.
It takes time but read the transcript because it tells a lot more of the story.
The question is , if it is positive value, how much is it ?
No one knows yet.
Many BK cases get positive value for shareholders that is less than what it trades for while in BK.
So it will not be known until Plan of Confirmation and Disclosure Statement are presented in court , which from the transcript is about March 1.
It is interesting to note the Judge is expecting several RP/DS from different parties and is talking about hearings on those in April/May.
I do not think the 10.50 per share refers to CDCAQ, but instead to CDCS. Still, if true, since there are 35 million shares outstanding, that's $250M/35M or $7.14 in cash per share of CDCAQ. Certainly better than the present $2.5 per share of CDCAQ on the going market. It sounds like the better bet is to buy CDCS, if still possible, since it has been valued at $10.50 per share by this proposed deal. Is CDCS still trading?
A hearing on the bidding procedures and the auction and sale process has been set for February 16, 2012, by the Court.
how long until it goes through?
can you tell me exactly where in the 6k you see it? thanks
Edit Never mind i found it. its about 8 paragraphs down after the "resignation of director" for those who want to know
Looks good, but not seeing the hedgies jumping on it is telling me to flip it out b4 closing.
IDK< over 2.6mil in Dollar Volume suggests its within reason~
I guess this one is looking a little too good to be true.
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