Applied Materials (AMAT)

[gottfried]

SIA October ww chip sales
http://www.sia-online.org/galleries/gsrfiles/GSR_0810.pdf

http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/chipsales_SEMIbookings.gif


http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/chipsaleschange.gif


http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/bookings_chipchange.gif

[gottfried]

Marine-1, of all the boards I know of this one is most active and useful http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/subject.aspx?subjectid=37144

AMAT is just one of the equipment stocks discussed there. The interface is much like here on ihub.

[*MARINE 1*]

Last Price (USD) $ 9.73

Ohhhh how green it is :) :)

46 BM's and not one is paying attention?
ohh shame shame people :)

Happy turkey day folks.

[gottfried]

SEMI data October 2008
http://www.semi.org/en/Press/CTR_026852

SEMI chart from 2001
http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/SEMIequipment_btb2.gif

SEMI chart from 1995
http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/SEMIequipment_btb.gif

[*MARINE 1*]

Applied Materials Announces Fiscal 2008 Full Year and Fourth Quarter Results:

FYI already out



http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&cb=1226705060&article=29278878&symbol=N%5EAMAT

[*MARINE 1*]

Got it !!!!!
Alright lets see how she rolls in the morning?

[gottfried]

AMAT backlog chart [record high] with SEMI backlog change

[*MARINE 1*]

Looking for some forward movement :)

[gottfried]

SIA September ww chip sales
http://www.sia-online.org/galleries/gsrfiles/GSR_0809.pdf

http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/chipsales_SEMIbookings.gif


http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/chipsaleschange.gif


http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/bookings_chipchange.gif

[Stock]

BATS ecn active today, unusual, except on Halloween lol

[*MARINE 1*]

Up another dime :)

[*MARINE 1*]

yeah, doing good right now :)

[Stock]

Applied Materials Raised To Buy From Neutral By Amer Tech
Last update: 10/30/2008 10:18:08 AM (MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires (201-938-5400)October 30, 2008 10:18 ET (14:18 GMT)

[*MARINE 1*]

Seven Summits Research Releases Alerts on JPM, AMAT, HAL, TIF, and HBAN
Date : 10/29/2008 @ 9:31AM

[*MARINE 1*]

and she's up :)

[*MARINE 1*]

Applied Materials to hold Fourth Quarter FY 2008 Earnings Conference Call on November 12, 2008 at 4:30 p.m. ET
Date : 10/27/2008 @ 4:01PM
Source : Business Wire
Stock : Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)
Quote : 11.36 0.06 (0.53%) @ 2:29PM


Applied Materials to hold Fourth Quarter FY 2008 Earnings Conference Call on November 12, 2008 at 4:30 p.m. ET




Applied Materials, Inc. (Nasdaq:AMAT) will hold its quarterly conference call to discuss its results for the fourth quarter and full year of fiscal 2008, as well as its business outlook, on Wednesday, November 12, 2008, at 4:30 p.m. ET (1:30 p.m. PT). A live webcast of the conference call will be available on Applied Materials' website at: http://www.appliedmaterials.com/investors/index.html. Replays and an audio/MP3 will be available beginning Wednesday, November 12 at 8:00 p.m. ET (5:00 p.m. PT), and ending Wednesday, November 26 at 8:00 p.m. ET (5:00 p.m. PT).

Applied Materials, Inc. is the global leader in Nanomanufacturing Technology™ solutions with a broad portfolio of innovative equipment, service and software products for the fabrication of semiconductor chips, flat panels, solar photovoltaic cells, flexible electronics and energy efficient

[*MARINE 1*]

AMAT up .32 right now!!!!

[Stock]

the MM is active. much more than usual.

don't know just chicken bones.

they are active on Intel also


Who is editing my posts??? I need to learn to type with more than just two fingers...

[gottfried]

what does that mean?

[Stock]

GSCO in the box again on L2

[Stock]

Good point. But they still have all the cheese. Even if it is government cheese.

[gottfried]

but large traders have been wrong so often lately. Why try to emulate them?

[Stock]

BRIDGE TRADING™
AN INSTINET GROUP COMPANY
717 Office Parkway
St. Louis, Missouri 63141
[phone]
SEC-Required Report on Routing of Customer Orders For Quarter Ending March 31, 2005

...

Venues Receiving Significant Percentage of Total Non-Directed Orders:
1. BRUT ECN
36%
2. Instinet Brokerage
25%
3. NASDAQ Market Center
12%
4. Wien Securities Corp.
10%
5. INET ATS Inc.
6%
6. Archipelago Exchange
5%
7. Charles Schwab & Co. Inc.
3%
8. Goldman Sachs
2%

http://www.about.reuters.com/productinfo/bridgetrading/material/Q1_2005_Report_SEC_Rule_11Ac1-6.pdf


Who is editing my posts??? I need to learn to type with more than just two fingers...

[Stock]

"Institutional Order Entry" AKA Bridge IOE

http://www.about.reuters.com/productinfo/bridgetrading/

Bridge Trading, a Reuters Company



Bridge Trading, a Reuters Company is a full service institutional brokerage firm. As part of a brokerage relationship with Bridge Trading, clients benefit from our highly rated execution quality, trading expertise and the liquidity available from hundreds of institutional clients. Additionally, clients have access to reliable, state-of-the-art investment research tools and information systems from third-party independent sources, as well as online access to information about their Bridge Trading/Reuters soft dollar program.




Benefits


Brokerage relationships: Bridge Trading prides itself on its long-standing client relationships. The average length of trader experience on our desk is 16 years. We know our individual clients' particular order flow and execution preferences and strive to best meet their needs.



Agency brokerage: Our focus is the highest quality execution of our clients' order. As a pure agency broker, we solely represent our clients' interests. We diligently work the marketplace to seek the most attractive price for buyers and sellers. No proprietary trading or corporate finance relationship comes between our clients' order and the best price. Bridge Trading routes orders based on one criterion only: top execution.

Trading technology: We use state-of-the-art technology to give our clients a competitive advantage in the marketplace. By leveraging our technical strengths, we strive to optimize order outcome for our clients. Our technical capabilities include the ability to:

Receive orders electronically
Send and receive indications of interest tailored to each client's preferences
Electronically connect clients to Bridge Trading via our electronic order routing application, Reuters Institutional Order Entry
Capitalize on straight-through-processing technologies
Electronic alternatives: Our advanced electronic environment offers a choice in how clients connect, seamlessly enabling electronic orders to reach us.

Clients use our electronic trading tools and expertise for program and list trading, arbitrage, deep discount business, and other active/high-volume strategies.
We also execute, on an agency-only basis, hedging, options, ADR conversion arbitrage strategies and F/X trades for clients in conjunction with electronically delivered equity trades.
Institutional Order Entry, Reuters broker-neutral order routing system, offers clients an electronic solution to their trading needs.
For clients using FIX-compliant order management systems, we are connected to TradeRoute, MacGregor, LongView, Javelin, Eze Castle and others.
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Bridge Trading's client support desk is exclusively devoted to providing immediate support (both technical and user) to our clients. In addition, our traders intimately know the Reuters BridgeStation product as it is the centerpiece of our trading desk.

Liquidity: Bridge Trading has natural liquidity through order flow from more than 700 institutional clients trading 15-20 million shares per day.

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Easy-to-read statements clearly document charges, credits, and commission expectations.
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+1 800.325.9595

Electronic Desk
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Email: [e-mail]


http://www.about.reuters.com/productinfo/bridgetrading/

[Stock]

IOE -- the market site than handled the large trades -- this has been consistent of late.

So, whoever it is, this is a clue, I imagine.

I came across this while searching for IOE - interesting timeline.
http://www.receivablesxchange.com/about-history_of_exchanges.asp

[gottfried]

sorry, I'm in the dark about that.

[Stock]

How can I chart open interest?

Here's SOME OF the volume data from Friday the 17th -- the thing is -- how would one know which trades are opening trades (new contracts = open interest increase)?

Time & Sales
Price Size Exch Time
2.80 10 IOE 12:00:12
3.20 2 PHO 10/20
3.20 1 PHO 10/20
2.70 2 NYO 10/17
2.75 71 NYO 10/17
2.80 822 IOE 10/17
2.80 99 IOE 10/17
2.80 5 IOE 10/17
2.80 25 PHO 10/17
2.80 38 IOE 10/17
2.80 11 NYO 10/17
2.80 27 PHO 10/17
2.80 99 PHO 10/17
2.80 128 IOE 10/17
2.80 47 IOE 10/17
2.80 99 IOE 10/17
2.80 99 IOE 10/17
2.80 45 IOE 10/17
2.80 60 IOE 10/17
2.80 4 IOE 10/17
2.80 99 IOE 10/17
2.80 99 IOE 10/17
2.80 15 IOE 10/17
2.80 26 PHO 10/17
2.80 63 CBO 10/17
2.80 78 IOE 10/17
2.80 62 BOX 10/17
2.80 14 NYO 10/17
2.80 62 NYO 10/17
2.75 50 PHO 10/17



Who is editing my posts??? I need to learn to type with more than just two fingers...

[gottfried]

the volume was only 10 so wouldn't show - you circled OI but that is not charted

[Stock]

The WPJAV OI increased -- and the volume does not show in the chart, does it? Was the volume all late Friday?






Who is editing my posts??? I need to learn to type with more than just two fingers...

[gottfried]

SEMI raw data September 2008
http://www.semi.org/en/Press/CTR_026439

SEMI chart from 2001
http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/SEMIequipment_btb2.gif

SEMI chart from 1995
http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/SEMIequipment_btb.gif

[Stock]

LOL: Goldman Turns Bullish On Semi Cap Equipment; Upgrades Applied Materials; Downgrades Intel On Margin Concerns

Posted by Eric Savitz

Goldman Sachs analyst James Covello this morning upgraded his rating on the semiconductor capital equipment sector to Attractive from Neutral.

He asserted that the three rules he uses to upgrade cyclical stocks have been met:

Trough margins.

Management capitulation.

Signs of life on the horizon that fundamentals are poised to improve.

“With the stocks having taken another leg down over the last several months we now feel comfortable getting aggressive on the group as investors are getting paid to wait for the order upturn that we expect in [the 2009 second half],” he writes. Covello says Q3 results and Q4 guidance will be weak as memory orders have “essentially ceased.” But he says investor expectations have been “appropriately set,” and he thins the Q3 earnings season should be the last round of significant earnings estimate cuts this cycle. Covello, in fact, today is cutting estimates for the semi cap companies across the board to reflect the weak macro environment.

In connection with the sector call, Covello today raised his rating on Applied Materials (AMAT) to Buy from Sell on a valuation basis; the stock was also added to Goldman’s Conviction Buy List. He says the stock has become too cheap to ignore, trading at about 15x normalized EPS versus 21x at the beginning of 2008.

On the other hand, Covello is cutting his rating on Intel (INTC) to Neutral from Buy, asserting that “the company’s margins have already peaked for the cycle.” He says that “given the high historical correlation between margins and share price for deep cyclicals like Intel, we believe that now is the time to get incrementally cautious on the stock, ahead of the margin headwinds” he expects in the 2009 first half.

Permalink | Trackback URL: http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/10/20/goldman-turns-bullish-on-semi-cap-equipment-upgrades-applied-materials-downgrades-intel-on-margin-concerns/trackback/


Comments

Report offensive comments to [e-mail]

Are people still listening to these overpaid cretins in investment banking?!

Comment by Enver - October 20, 2008 at 8:11 am
All of the sudden Goldman noticed there is price pressure for Intel products, I don’t buy this deep cycle argument, there has been price pressure for a long time, at least that is what AMD and others have been saying since I don’t know when. This is another Goldman’s strategy to serve their own interest, just like when they claim that the price of oil was going to the Moon. Intel had very good results, in my opinion they are in the best position to benefit from the recovery next year, at this levels Intel is undervalue.

Comment by BLAS - October 20, 2008 at 8:15 am

[Stock]

that would be possible, imo, but not today. options...

edit -- and now that I look, there are no consequential open option positions for October... until you get to 17 a share, lol


I'm out for a few days - Brain transplant surgery.

[rayrohn]

AMAT needs to close above 14 to change the trend IMHO

[Stock]

Here's the tape on WPJAV:

Time & Sales
Price Size Exch Time
2.68 14 BOX 10/16
2.68 21 BOX 10/16
2.75 10 IOE 10/16
2.50 99 IOE 10/16
2.50 99 IOE 10/16
2.50 231 IOE 10/16
2.50 99 IOE 10/16
2.50 99 IOE 10/16
2.50 107 CBO 10/16
2.50 200 PHO 10/16
2.50 213 IOE 10/16
2.50 11 NYO 10/16
2.50 11 NYO 10/16
2.50 29 NYO 10/16
2.45 1500 IOE 10/16
2.30 369 PHO 10/16
2.30 58 IOE 10/16
2.30 97 CBO 10/16
2.30 224 IOE 10/16
2.30 31 NYO 10/16
2.30 150 NYO 10/16
2.30 50 NYO 10/16
2.30 35 BOX 10/16
2.30 20 BOX 10/16
2.30 9 NYO 10/16
2.30 1 NYO 10/16

Just guessing, looks like someone wrote calls at 2.30, then someone else opened 1,500 at 2.45, and a trend change ensued. All those 99 contract trades on the way up were somebody else following the leader.



I'm out for a few days - Brain transplant surgery.

[Stock]

Here's the news:

WPJAV open interest climbed from 5,085 to 8,167. That's 660 less than the volume of 3,742 when I posted about it yesterday. So, were they hiding a closure of 660 written calls, AND going long via 2,000 or so calls? Will have to look at time and sales, but IMO GSCO is net long AMAT.

[Stock]

The thing about the 2010 calls will be to look at the book tomorrow -- to see if the open internest increases or drops.

If it increases, it's party on at GSCO!

Plus, where is the put hedge? I don't see it... wait! That's illegal starting tomorrow! LOL!





I'm out for a few days - Brain transplant surgery.

[Stock]

Looking at AMAT options 2010 -- 12.50 CALLS

Check the volume: 3,742 this morning. HEAVY, DUDE!

AMAT - WPJAV - 12.50Jan2010 Call





90 day call


90 day underlying




I'm out for a few days - Brain transplant surgery.

[Stock]

Ray, QLD is cheaper than QQQQ now. hard to imagine that has happened.


I'm out for a few days - Brain transplant surgery.

[rayrohn]

lol I so gun shy here I tape up my tricker finger so I can't use it .....



I am watching the Q's to see how they fair at support here which is around 29.50 ... anyway I got to be gone all afternoon so I kind of just nap'n

[Stock]

GSCO's stock buyback was 17.48 2 years ago. The prohibition on naked short put selling is implemented tomorrow.

Coincidence?

Amendments to Regulation SHO (Release No. 34-58775; October 14, 2008)

This document is 59 pages. I won't post it all on iHub. But I will post the Summary Page.

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
17 CFR PARTS 241 AND 242

[Release No. 34-58775; File No. S7-19-07]

RIN 3235-AJ57

Amendments to Regulation SHO

AGENCY: Securities and Exchange Commission.

ACTION: Final rule.

SUMMARY: The Securities and Exchange Commission (“Commission”) is adopting amendments to Regulation SHO under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”). The amendments are intended to further reduce the number of persistent fails to deliver in certain equity securities by eliminating the options market maker exception to the close-out requirement of Regulation SHO. As a result of the amendments, fails to deliver in threshold securities that result from hedging activities by options market makers will no longer be excepted from Regulation SHO’s close-out requirement. The Commission is also providing guidance regarding bona fide market making activities for purposes of the market maker exception to Regulation SHO’s locate requirement.

EFFECTIVE DATE: October 17, 2008.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: James A. Brigagliano, Associate Director, Josephine J. Tao, Assistant Director, Victoria L. Crane, Branch Chief, Joan M. Collopy, Special Counsel, Christina M. Adams and Matthew Sparkes, Staff Attorneys, Office of Trading Practices and Processing, Division of Trading and Markets, at [phone], at the Securities and Exchange Commission, 100 F Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549-6628.

http://www.sec.gov/rules/final/2008/34-58775.pdf




I'm out for a few days - Brain transplant surgery.

[Stock]

GSCO is in the box on AMAT today.

[rayrohn]

under 12 bucks again and looks like more down lol

[gottfried]

SIA August ww chip sales
http://www.sia-online.org/galleries/gsrfiles/gsr_0808.pdf

http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/chipsales_SEMIbookings.gif



http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/chipsaleschange.gif



http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/bookings_chipchange.gif

[gottfried]

raw SEMI data
http://wps2a.semi.org/wps/portal/_pagr/117/_pa.117/122?dFormat=application/msword&docName=P044615
chart from 2001
http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/SEMIequipment_btb2.gif
chart from 1995
http://i105.photobucket.com/albums/m225/maugott/SEMI%20charts/SEMIequipment_btb.gif

[gottfried]

SIA ww chip sales July
http://www.sia-online.org/cs/papers_publications/press_release_detail?pressrelease.id=1481

[gottfried]

SEMI July 2008 data
http://wps2a.semi.org/wps/portal/_pagr/103/_pa.103/248?dFormat=application/msword&docName=P044439

chart from 2001



from 1995

[Stock]

ASMI CEO Chuck delPrado Ousted From AMAT Talks - Newspaper

Last update: 8/18/2008 2:52:05 AM

AMSTERDAM (Dow Jones)--Dutch semiconductor equipment maker ASM International (ASMI) Chief Executive Officer Chuck del Prado was ousted from negotiations with chip maker Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) two weeks ago for blocking the progress of the talks and been replaced by ASMI's chief financial officer, Het Financieele Dagbald reports Monday.

The Dutch financial daily cites sources within ASMI saying initially the negotiations with Applied Materials were very difficult, due in part to Chuck del Prado's resistance and inexperience in buying and selling businesses, which led to delays and confusion among the buyers. But the sources also say recently there has been progress.

ASMI has been in talks with Applied Materials since June about the sale of parts of the ASMI business.

An ASMI board member was cited as saying del Prado stepped away from the talks on his own accord to focus on running the business.

Newspaper Web site: www.fd.nl -By Roberta B. Cowan, Dow Jones Newswires; [phone]; [e-mail]


http://worldwidewas.com/

[Stock]

prety wide range after hours. leaning upward for the moment.

18.10 - 18.90 for now is the range

[Stock]

Okay, for a lark:

AMAT Aug 20 calls ANQHD



and

AMAT Aug 16 puts ANQTQ



AMAT chart

[Stock]

Considering puts and calls again going into e like I did back in February

but may do nothing. undecided.