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When Wall St analysts are on the wrong side of the strategic issue as I pointed out in my first post:
Chart not working well lately....$8.68 now in a general biotech sell-off.
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc forms bullish "Bottom Triangle"
chart pattern
Recognia has detected a "Bottom Triangle" chart pattern formed on Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACHN on NASDAQ). This bullish signal indicates that the price may rise from the close of 9.59 to the range of 11.70 - 12.10. The pattern formed over 24 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved.
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc has a current support price of 9.41 and a resistance level of 9.62.
A Bottom Triangle/Wedge is considered a bullish signal, marking a possible reversal of the current downtrend. The pattern is formed during a downtrend and shows two trendlines converging. The technical event occurs when the price breaks upward out of the Triangle/Wedge formation and closes above the upper trendline, thereby confirming the pattern.
This bullish pattern can be seen on the following chart and was detected by Recognia's proprietary pattern recognition technology.
Click here for chart with pattern
Adding more salt to the JNJ/ACHN wound
My initial assessment strategically was closest to what transpired recently with the terms of the JNJ/ACHN collaboration than what many had opined since the start of 2015.
Clearly the fly in the ointment was JNJ's Sept 2014 $1.7 bln acquisition of privately held Alios Therapeutics.
Adding more salt to the JNJ/ACHN wound is the below excerpt's from today's Seeking Alpha http://seekingalpha.com/article/3203006-gilead-merck-and-achillion-j-and-j-square-off-in-an-hcv-nuclear-showdown
Loaded up for massive run
Johnson & Johnson will develop and sell Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s hepatitis C drugs and invest $225 million in Achillion, in a combined deal valued at about $1.1 billion, the companies said on Tuesday.
Please see #msg-113833772. Regards, Dew
DewDiligence,
Can you tell me how this caps the upside? Looks like J&J bought at a premium to infuse cash into the company. Wasn't it just a couple of months ago the company did a secondary at $10 that was gobbled up?
Please take this as a knowledge question. I want to see if my thinking is incorrect.
Thanks in advance,
GLTA
You'd think this would be worth $12.25.
I'm in the same boat!
I don't know whether too short this one or buy it.
I agree you. I'am very glad I didn't hop on this one like the $avon#. Woo wee this is very bad.
It's not bad, but it caps the upside. A lot of ACHN investors were expecting more.
p.s. Note how the big pumpers of the past few days are suddenly gone.
This is bad???
ACHN reopens in three minutes. HUGE NEWS > JNJ.
JNJ licenses ACHN’s HCV pipeline—buys 18.4M shares @$12.25/sh (a 15% premium to today’s closing price):
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/janssen-enters-worldwide-collaboration-achillion-200500889.html
ACHN:
When was it scheduled for?
Something might be happening, but it's not necessarily a GILD buyout, which is what you asserted.
I have no question that you do your DewDiligence but I have been doing this probably longer than you have been alive. You don't see this kind of spike in Call options on a stock with a heavy short interest unless somebody in the know, knows something great. May not happen tomorrow or even next week but trust me when I tell you something great is about to happen for ACHN.
GILD buyout of ACHN almost a certainty at this point. Benefits GILD the most.
ACHN canceled appearance at health care conference, rumor of buyout offers on the table. The idea is that once buyout talks have started they don't need to sell their data at that point.
$ACHN recent news/filings
bullish
## source: finance.yahoo.com
Fri, 15 May 2015 17:04:10 GMT ~ ACHILLION PHARMACEUTICALS INC Financials
read full: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=achn
*********************************************************
Mon, 11 May 2015 00:11:51 GMT ~ 10-Q for Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
read full: http://www.companyspotlight.com/routers/headline/19045/10004/6514507?cp_code=YAH1&1431303111
*********************************************************
Thu, 07 May 2015 11:37:21 GMT ~ Achillion Reports First Quarter 2015 Financial Results
[at noodls] - NEW HAVEN, Conn., May 7, 2015 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq:ACHN) today reported financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2015. For the first quarter of 2015, ...
read full: http://www.noodls.com/view/3A148F4BED3C88F294B795BEB87E169C64DA721C
*********************************************************
Thu, 07 May 2015 11:32:48 GMT ~ ACHILLION PHARMACEUTICALS INC Files SEC form 8-K, Results of Operations and Financial Condition, Financial Statements
read full: http://biz.yahoo.com/e/150507/achn8-k.html
*********************************************************
Thu, 07 May 2015 10:16:01 GMT ~ Achillion reports 1Q loss
read full: http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/achillion-reports-1q-loss-101601487.html
*********************************************************
$ACHN charts
basic chart ## source: stockcharts.com
basic chart ## source: stockscores.com
big daily chart ## source: stockcharts.com
big weekly chart ## source: stockcharts.com
$ACHN company information
## source: otcmarkets.com
Link: http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/ACHN/company-info
Ticker: $ACHN
OTC Market Place: Not Available
CIK code: not found
Company name: Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Incorporated In: DE, USA
Business Description: OTC Markets | Official site of the OTCQX, OTCQB and OTC Pink Marketplaces featuring Free Stock & Bond Quotes, Trade Prices, Chart, Financials and Company News & Information for Investors, Companies and Traders - OTCMarkets.com (window.NREUM||(NREUM={})).loader_config={xpid:"UwMGWVdSGwQIU1RQAgQ="};window.NREUM||(NREUM={}),__nr_require=function(t,e,n){function r(n){if(!e[n]){var o=e[n]={exports:{}};t[n][0].call(o.exports,function(e){var o=t[n][1][e];return r(o?o:e)},o,o.exports)}return e[n].exports}if("function"==typeof __nr_require)return __nr_require;for(var o=0;od;d++)c[d].apply(u,n);return u}function a(t,e){f[t]=s(t).concat(e)}function s(t){return f[t]||[]}function c(){return n(e)}var f={};return{on:a,emit:e,create:c,listeners:s,_events:f}}function r(){return{}}var o="nr@context",i=t("gos");e.exports=n()},{gos:"7eSDFh"}],ee:[function(t,e){e.exports=t("QJf3ax")},{}],3:[function(t){function e(t){try{i.console&&console.log(t)}catch(e){}}var 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$ACHN share structure
## source: otcmarkets.com
Market Value: $1,124,857,743 a/o May 15, 2015
Shares Outstanding: 117,558,885 a/o May 01, 2015
Float: Not Available
Authorized Shares: Not Available
Par Value: 0.001
$ACHN extra dd links
Company name: Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
## STOCK DETAILS ##
After Hours Quote (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/after-hours
Option Chain (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/option-chain
Historical Prices (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=ACHN+Historical+Prices
Company Profile (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=ACHN+Profile
Industry (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/in?s=ACHN+Industry
## COMPANY NEWS ##
Market Stream (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/stream
Latest news (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/ACHN/news - http://finance.yahoo.com/q/h?s=ACHN+Headlines
## STOCK ANALYSIS ##
Analyst Research (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/analyst-research
Guru Analysis (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/guru-analysis
Stock Report (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/stock-report
Competitors (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/competitors
Stock Consultant (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/stock-consultant
Stock Comparison (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/stock-comparison
Investopedia (investopedia.com): http://www.investopedia.com/markets/stocks/ACHN/?wa=0
Research Reports (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/ACHN/research
Basic Tech. Analysis (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=ACHN+Basic+Tech.+Analysis
Barchart (barchart.com): http://www.barchart.com/quotes/stocks/ACHN
DTCC (dtcc.com): http://search2.dtcc.com/?q=Achillion+Pharmaceuticals%2C+Inc.&x=10&y=8&sp_p=all&sp_f=ISO-8859-1
Spoke company information (spoke.com): http://www.spoke.com/search?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q=Achillion+Pharmaceuticals%2C+Inc.
Corporation WIKI (corporationwiki.com): http://www.corporationwiki.com/search/results?term=Achillion+Pharmaceuticals%2C+Inc.&x=0&y=0
## FUNDAMENTALS ##
Call Transcripts (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/call-transcripts
Annual Report (companyspotlight.com): http://www.companyspotlight.com/library/companies/keyword/ACHN
Income Statement (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/financials?query=income-statement
Revenue/EPS (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/revenue-eps
SEC Filings (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/sec-filings
Latest filings (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/ACHN/filings
Latest financials (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/ACHN/financials
Short Interest (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/short-interest
Dividend History (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/dividend-history
RegSho (regsho.com): http://www.regsho.com/tools/symbol_stats.php?sym=ACHN&search=search
OTC Short Report (otcshortreport.com): http://otcshortreport.com/index.php?index=ACHN
Short Sales (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/ACHN/short-sales
Key Statistics (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=ACHN+Key+Statistics
Insider Roster (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ir?s=ACHN+Insider+Roster
Income Statement (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=ACHN
Balance Sheet (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bs?s=ACHN
Cash Flow (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cf?s=ACHN+Cash+Flow&annual
## HOLDINGS ##
Major holdings (cnbc.com): http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ACHN/tab/8.1
Insider transactions (yahoo.com): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/it?s=ACHN+Insider+Transactions
Insider transactions (secform4.com): http://www.secform4.com/insider-trading/ACHN.htm
Insider transactions (insidercrow.com): http://www.insidercow.com/history/company.jsp?company=ACHN
Ownership Summary (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/ownership-summary
Institutional Holdings (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/institutional-holdings
Insiders (SEC Form 4) (nasdaq.com): http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ACHN/insider-trades
Insider Disclosure (otcmarkets.com): http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/ACHN/insider-transactions
## SOCIAL MEDIA AND OTHER VARIOUS SOURCES ##
PST (pennystocktweets.com): http://www.pennystocktweets.com/stocks/profile/ACHN
Market Watch (marketwatch.com): http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/ACHN
Bloomberg (bloomberg.com): http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/ACHN:US
Morningstar (morningstar.com): http://quotes.morningstar.com/stock/s?t=ACHN
Bussinessweek (businessweek.com): http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/snapshot/snapshot_article.asp?ticker=ACHN
$ACHN DD Notes ~ http://www.ddnotesmaker.com/ACHN
Unlikely, IMO. Sovaprevir remains on partial FDA clinical hold for doses above 200mg/day.
Sovapravir going to take over HCV treatment guidelines very soon!
JMP Note:
Achillion Pharmaceuticals' Phase 2 Sparta doublet trial start with HCV nuc on track, while competitive data at the European liver meeting (EASL) suggest slightly lower bar for ACHN; reiterate our Market Outperform rating and $24 price target. At the European liver conference (EASL) in Vienna, we met with ACHN management and learned of the following updates on the timing of the data from ACHN’s Hepatitis C portfolio: 1) the initiation of the Sparta doublet (ACH-3422 + ACH-3102 for a six-, eight- and 12-week duration) is imminent; 2) data from Sparta doublet are expected towards YE15 (likely after AASLD) with data from all three durations likely to be announced simultaneously; 4) we expect the Sparta triplet study (ACH3102+ACH-3422+sovaprevir) to start at the end of 2015/early 2016 as ACHN awaits the data readout from both Sparta doublet and Ithaca triplet to inform the study. Data presented at EASL for GILD’s triple combination, focused on shortening therapy for the treatment of HCV, suggests a lower competitive bar for ACHN (four-week duration a no-go, while a six-week duration would be deemed "ok" for easy to treat patients). It appears that with their next wave of HCV regimens, drug developers continue to tailor treatment duration according to disease severity evaluating the six- to eight-week range with triple combinations. We continue to view ACHN’s strategy to shorten duration to six weeks as risky with its dual regimen, but 12 weeks or even eight weeks may be achievable and the first set of data for ACHN should become available at YE15.
Its a 5 page full critique of Hep C at EASL , I posted the head line because its what I believed prior to the article .
If anyone wants to read the rest its $1500 a month 3 months minimum subscription . 330,000 subscribers do pay so I`d suggest its worth the money ..
No insights in that write-up that haven’t been discussed ad nauseam elsewhere.
Is stuff like that all people get for a paid subscription to Bloomberg Pro?
Bloomberg Professional Just out
Gilead, Achillion Race for New Hepatitis CAnalyst Asthika Goonewardene Dashboard: Biotech, Global (BI BIOTG)Apr 27, 2015 12:36
Achillion and Gilead, competing for next-generation Hepatitis C drugs, presentdata at the European Association for the Sof the Liver (EASL) conference. Both are aggressively pursuing new regimens and combining different classes of drugs that attack replication of the Hep C virus. Of interest was Achillion's Nucleotide NS5B inhibitor, known as Nuc, and next-generation Nonstructural Protein 5inhibitors (NS5A) from both companies.Gilead's data was underwhelming, so Achillion may be winning this contest.
Data presented for Achillion's ACH-3422 underpinned its promise in treating Hep C at last week's EAS15 conference. The Nuc-class drug reduced viral loads even at the end of 14-day therapy, suggesting more room for eradication if the drug is continued. The viral load cleared as a proportion of the baseline also fueled hopes that the duration of therapy can be reduced in multi-drug combinations. Still, eradication while on therapy is insufficient; the drug must also keep the virus suppressed after treatment.
[OT ARWR]—See my reply in #msg-112665052.
ARWR: Arrowhead cleared to proceed to Phase 2b for hep B candidate
That’s pretty silly. No one owns ACHN b/c of current earnings.
Yes..the chart indicates this but….Zacks is soooo robotic in their research. Look up any Zacks report and you see the same wording and format. They could be correct….we do not know yet.
Falling Earnings Estimates Signal Weakness Ahead for Achillion Pharmaceuticals (ACHN)
March 30, 2015
by Zacks Equity Research Published on March 30, 2015
http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/169240/falling-earnings-estimates-signal-weakness-ahead-for-achillion-pharmaceuticals-achn
I got in at 10.50 did not think it would fall below 10, now waiting for that pop to $15, hopefully before summer
ACHN’s head of Regulatory Affairs leaving the company on March 31:
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1070336/000119312515103243/d896253d8k.htm
Thanks BSB. it looks ready to pop to the upside.
New Technical Price Target
Mar 14, 2015 01:54:29 [RCG]
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc forms bullish "Continuation
Wedge" chart pattern
Recognia has detected a "Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACHN on NASDAQ). This bullish signal indicates that the price may rise from the close of 11.30 to the range of 17.00 - 18.25. The pattern formed over 34 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved.
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc has a current support price of 11.22 and a resistance level of 12.05.
Zacks ..
`Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACHN) has witnessed a colossal drop of 0.9% or 141,940 shares in its short figure. The short interest diminution took it from 15,324,965 on February 13,2015 to 15,183,025 on February 27,2015. In terms of floated shares, the short interest was calculated to be 14.6%. The days to cover are 3 given that the daily volume averaged 5,155,358 shares`
Not sure how `colossal` 142k shares is but any reduction is a harbinger of better things to come ..
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