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Ander's Market Theories (AMKTH)

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Last Post: 4/28/2009 4:29:20 PM - Followers: 22 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

A board to discuss and forecast various market cycles ranging from macroeconomic trends to daily price movements in broad equity, fund, currency, bond and commodity markets. We will utilize any technical indictors; strategies; and economic and fundamental data that can effectively predict the probability of a change in trends.

The IBox will contain various speculations that I have on the markets and I will update it from time to time as I see fit or when I have time.

Rules of the board:
1. Civilized discussion. No blatant or personal attack will be tolerated.
2. Please keep discussions unbiased and try to provide both upside and downside speculations. The key to success in the markets is understanding risk.
3. This is a learning environment. Please keep pride contained. No one knows everything and no one ever will. We can only do our best to try.
4. This board is primarily a vehicle for my own trading and as a means of obtaining constructive criticism.

NYSE Composite vs the NYSE Summation

What I am looking for here is divergence in summation relative to price in the NYSE Composite which is what Summation tracks.  You will recognize that the July 2002 low in the NYA resulting in a deep low on Summation.  While price trended sideways in the NYSE Composite and most market indexes the Summation signaled a higher high in October and by April of 2003 there was still an even higher high in Summation with still a trending market.  If current Summation does not break the -1200 previous low and signals a higher high then we are probably about 3-6 months form a major market bottom for another multi year rally as the business cycle resumes.



Russian and Chinese Markets

Notable Charts

Sector Rotation

ProFunds Sector Charts - #msg-6093755

Recommended Reading

Profunds - Short Term Trading Funds - #msg-5949366
Open Market Operations - #msg-7457947
World News Network - http://wnsitemap.com/ One stop shopping for all the latest around the world.

#1910   sold a bunch of currencies for the overnight. AnderL 04/28/09 04:29:19 PM
#1909   most of it has been interbank trading to AnderL 04/17/09 02:11:47 PM
#1908   the move has been slow, steady and still Stock 04/17/09 01:53:42 PM
#1907   its double down syndrome. place bigger bets AnderL 04/17/09 01:46:45 PM
#1906   I'm amused how the dow jones commercial real Stock 04/17/09 12:57:40 PM
#1905   isn't being reflected in share price. meaning AnderL 04/17/09 11:49:24 AM
#1904   vix below 35 Stock 04/17/09 11:45:36 AM
#1903   US Dollar is also collapsing against the Yen AnderL 04/17/09 11:03:20 AM
#1902   if GBPUSD breaks 1.48 then expect a run AnderL 04/17/09 01:43:27 AM
#1901   I'm sorry I might not be sure in AnderL 04/17/09 01:30:34 AM
#1900   Are you speaking for yourself and demonstrating it Myis 04/17/09 12:56:26 AM
#1899   too many people look for cycles to appear AnderL 04/16/09 11:50:02 PM
#1898   I think you might be absolutely correct. Myis 04/16/09 11:36:17 AM
#1897   gold backtest of 900 and now dropping. AnderL 04/16/09 11:16:57 AM
#1896   How to Puff Up Earnings, Goldman Sachs Style AnderL 04/14/09 10:25:44 AM
#1895   gold needs to break 882 for this bounce AnderL 04/07/09 09:57:33 AM
#1894   currency traders are out and about on the AnderL 04/06/09 02:45:16 PM
#1893   gold got a good bounce on that trendline AnderL 04/06/09 02:14:35 PM
#1892   this latest move is unsustainable. its parabolic AnderL 04/05/09 11:00:40 PM
#1891   So gold is on its way down to AnderL 04/02/09 11:32:12 AM
#1890   Per your PM. I can't do it AnderL 03/30/09 10:29:29 AM
#1889   Gold is targeting 840-860 range between now and AnderL 03/27/09 01:39:07 PM
#1888   Dollar\Yen is grinding up since the 19th. AnderL 03/26/09 04:37:14 PM
#1887   I just came here to post this... i173.photobucket.com/albums/w77/dryknife AnderL 12/16/08 03:43:51 PM
#1886   Look at the summations in the IBOX. AnderL 12/08/08 03:57:28 PM
#1885   This stub doesn't say that. Someone should edit it. Stock 12/01/08 02:12:22 PM
#1884   So there is a bit of a lag.... AnderL 12/01/08 02:02:49 PM
#1883   NBER says its official US is in recession. AnderL 12/01/08 01:52:28 PM
#1882   So, did the bond long term bull start Stock 12/01/08 12:29:17 PM
#1881   well economy is nearing fair value. Problem AnderL 12/01/08 11:30:10 AM
#1880   US ISM: Prices Index Lowest Since May 1949 Stock 12/01/08 10:03:37 AM
#1879   interesting. I'm on watch to see it AnderL 12/01/08 09:25:47 AM
#1878   AnderL, I've been studying this chart off and Stock 11/21/08 11:46:59 PM
#1877   The Almanac issued their fall signal "with a Stock 11/21/08 08:52:21 AM
#1876   that's interesting analysis about February. Kinda throws AnderL 11/21/08 08:47:06 AM
#1875   WSJ: Ignore the Stock Market Until February Stock 11/20/08 08:40:50 PM
#1874   Jesse Lauriston Livermore - From Wikiquote Stock 11/20/08 06:12:48 PM
#1873   I think it was Livermore that said that AnderL 11/20/08 11:14:02 AM
#1872   UYG was below 4 Stock 11/20/08 10:23:11 AM
#1871   XLF is below 10 Stock 11/20/08 10:05:40 AM
#1870   thanks for the rail traffic charts! those AnderL 11/20/08 09:25:13 AM
#1869   Choo-choo concerns (looks mostly seasonal to me) Stock 11/20/08 09:18:15 AM
#1868   BDI is bottoming. Should take about a AnderL 11/20/08 09:14:14 AM
#1867   He's an Aggie. What did you expect? LOL Stock 11/11/08 01:01:10 PM
#1866   Krugman: Phil Gramm would be ‘just the guy’ AnderL 11/11/08 12:50:14 PM
#1865   I've been looking at P/E's on a lot AnderL 11/11/08 12:48:51 PM
#1864   hardly. maybe Professor Gramm can tell us to Stock 11/11/08 12:44:24 PM
#1863   Time for another short ban? AnderL 11/11/08 12:43:21 PM
#1862   XLF re-visiting 13.xx low Stock 11/11/08 11:10:01 AM
#1861   one of these days when he mentions this Stock 11/11/08 08:50:41 AM