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* * $AMRS Video Chart 03-16-18 * *
Link to Video - click here to watch the technical chart video
You're right about the bullish run... Looks like the gains are going to keep going too.
AMRS Predictions
I told you $ mega bullish run 10.00 + exploding
byyyyyeeeeeee!
Kaboom! Fill that gap and race to $10-14
Deferred Revenue for 3 years included,
sold to DSM .. we know that.
Now we need 2018 guidance, how can they compensate
for already sold products? Sweeteners + Biossance maybe?
Let's also check how they will deal w/ 2018 due debt
conversion etc.
Thx to DSM .. yes, great numbers.
I have to leave so I had no choice but to take profits. Those earnings were awesome though. GL.
Out AMRS at $6.80. Congrats all.
AMRS cheat sheet:
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/AMRS/cheat-sheet
RSI racing to the Power Zone
Heading to 8.00 before earnings then 10.00 ++ with kaboom results $$$
This is wound tight... I hope spider got untangled, this could roast a short in a heartbeat!
This will explode in anticipating huge financials $$$
Yeah, he exec comp notice confirms that.
In other words: “This year we’ve made so much money, we just need a few more days to count it” ;D
Amyris to Announce Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2017 Financial Results on Thursday, March 15, 2018
Bullish $ financials doesn‘t matter! Chart is stronger $
$$$ about to cruise to $6
I hope youre right but he may not be wrong.. AMY has always run up to ER and then freefalls right after.
I am long but this has been its behavior. Tons of speculation.
First target 8.00 later 10.00 ++ someone is in trouble
Doesn‘t look like a retreat now... trend is your friend.... steady to my target at 8.00
BE REALLY CAREFUL HERE
BECAUSE THEY'RE ABOUT
TO STAB YOU IN THE BACK
[ : ----- (
Spider Web's Short Thesis Endangered
Yes, company diluted a very lot during the last year(s).
Now it seems that DSM payed for revenue in advance (3 years?).
Therefor the question seems to be now, can they generate
enough additional revenue to sustain the growth?
Sweetener is the sweet spot in this speculation.
If sweetener biz is successful,
we may start debating whether the intended and significant
debt to equity swap for this year 2018 can be skipped
or even replaced by cash paybacks.
AFAIK this is the current discussion, which needs to take place.
If they still will swap debt to equity 'as usual',
the chart will maintain its trajectory.
Meaning it will plunge after the run-up when such dilution
will become a concern.
Any takers on a serious debate?
Lots of room here to 10.00 target! Someone is really quiet here!
Agreed, short looking risky going into earnings
READ IT
This Is NOT A One-Time Payment
To Be Paid Over Several Years
None Of It For Last Quarter
None Of It For This Quarter
Q4 Numbers Not Good
ummm errr hmmm say what?
Boom! like the action!
SETTING ANOTHER DILUTION TRAP
THE FIRST DILUTION TRAP
STARTED IN LATE 2016
AND THROUGH 2017
When They Proceeded To Clobber You
With Massive Dilution This Past Year
While Grossly Missing Projections
FY-2017 Projected Revs Were
$200M - Or - $50M Per Quarter
Then They Started To Backpedal
And Changed It To $120M / $30M
Then Their Reports Started To
Reveal Around $100M / $25M
But Instead, FY-2017 Will Be Lucky
To Break Only $88M / $22M !!!
Now, If They Indeed Had FY-2017 Revs
Of $200M, Then I Could See $4.00 / Sh
--------> BUT - THEY - DON'T <--------
They Will Have $88M To $100M Instead ,
Which Is Less Than Half Of Projections !!!
They Tricked You On Revs And
Then Clobbered You With Dilution
Look At The Total Dilution They
Did From Jan 2011 To Dec 2016
273M Pre-Split - OR - 18M Post Split Shs
Now Compare That To What
They Did Just This Last Year
The Total Dilution That They
Have Done In Just This 2017
368M Pre-Split - OR - 25M Post Split Shs
THAT IS 135% OF THE TOTAL HISTORICAL
DILUTION IN JUST THIS PAST 12 MONTHS
THAN THEY DID IN THE 6 YEARS PRIOR !!!
THE SECOND DILUTION
TRAP IS STARTING NOW
They Will Be Lucky To Only Match
FY-2017 Revs This Coming FY-2018
In The Meantime, Nothing Will Happen
But More Stories And More Dilution !!!
Nothing Will Come Of Any "Sweetener" ,
That Is Only A Hook For More Dilution
All Of Their Deals And Collaborations
Have Only Depleated The Company !!!
They Are Weak And Subject To Other
Controling Entities That Do Not Have
The Interest Of Shareholders In Mind ,
Other Than To Use Them For Dilution
This Company Failed My Test And Has
Become Nothing More Than Another
*** P U T - T O G E T H E R ***
They Are Going To Do Their Best To Suck
You In And Take You Down A Road That
Leads To Another GIGANTIC WHAMMY
NO CASH ---> NO PROFIT ---> MORE DEBT
NO REVENUE ---> BAD COLLABORATIONS
--------> JUST MORE DILUTION <--------
TO PUT IT ALL IN PERSPECTIVE
*** The Number 1 Biggest Job And ***
*** Main Primary Goal Of This CEO ***
IS PUTTING LIPSTICK ON A PIG
D A N G E R
The MM's Are Trying To Run This Up
Before The Horrible Quarter Report
This Company Is Waaay Behind
They Have Been Lying For Years
The SP Should Be Under A Dollar
If You Are Buying Now
You Will Get Clobbered
CONSIDER THIS A WARNING
Happy New Year and best of luck to everyone in their trading etc.
grind at $4 looms :)
What are the facts?
Once again.....not facts.
Thank You!
UPDATE ON HUGE DILUTION AGAIN
They Say They Never Dilute ! ... Ha! Ha! LOL
But We All Know About The Heavy Dilution
They Did In 2016, When They Said: "None"
AND NOW THEY DO IT AGAIN !!!
So Now Check Out The Historic Dilution
They Did From Jan 2011 To Dec 2016 :
273M Pre-Split <---> 18M Post Split Shs
GUESS WHAT THEY DID NOW !!!
The Total Dilution That They Have Done So
Far In Just This 11 Months Of 2017 Is Now :
976M Pre-Split <---> 65M Post Split Shs
THAT IS 358% OF THE TOTAL HISTORICAL
DILUTION IN JUST THIS PAST 11 MONTHS
THAN THEY DID IN THE 5 YEARS PRIOR !!!
And Yet They Tell You There Is No Dilution !
What You Have To Realize Is How And When
They Tell You Certain Things, Which Legally
Covers-Up The Truth Of What Is Happening.
================================
THE 2017 OS RUN SO FAR
Pre-Split <---- Date ----> Post-Split
273M <--- Jan 1, 2017 ---> 18M
297M <--- Apr 30, 2017 ---> 20M
316M <--- May 15, 2017 ---> 21M
June 6, 2017 = 1-for-15 R-Split
388M <--- Jul 31, 2017 ---> 26M
430M <--- Aug 1, 2017 ---> 29M
564M <--- Aug 11, 2017 ---> 37M
637M <--- Oct 31, 2017 ---> 42M
646M <--- Nov 3, 2017 ---> 43M
1.26B <--- Dec 1, 2017 ---> 84M
THAT'S 1.26 BILLION !!!
================================
TO PUT IT ALL IN PERSPECTIVE
*** The Number 1 Biggest Job And ***
*** Main Primary Goal Of This CEO ***
IS PUTTING LIPSTICK ON A PIG
[:--- |
Let me list the facts in your post....
Thanks!
THIS IS A ONE DOLLAR STOCK
THEY PUT YOU TOGETHER
TO PUT IT ALL IN PERSPECTIVE
*** The Number 1 Biggest Job And ***
*** Main Primary Goal Of This CEO ***
IS PUTTING LIPSTICK ON A PIG
================================
FISCAL YEAR REVENUES
AMRS First Put You Together By Telling You
That FY-2017 Revs Were Going To Be $200M
Then AMRS Told You "Too Late" That FY-2017
Revs Were Being Adjusted To Only $120M !!!
That Should Mean That The First 9 Months
Should Be Running Pretty Near To $90M
As Opposed To The Original 9 Mo $150M
But Q1+Q2+Q3 Only Turned Out To Be $67M
( Which Equals The Total FY-2016 Revenues )
So My Estimates Are Now Telling Me
FY-2017 Revs Will Be Under $90M !!!
So Even Though FY-2017 Will Beat FY-2016
Revs By About $20M, That Is Still A Far Cry
From Anything They Ever Projected.
================================
QUARTERLY REVENUES
STAYED ABOUT THE SAME
Q1-2016 = $08.8M
Q2-2016 = $09.6M
Q3-2016 = $26.5M
Q4-2016 = $22.2M
FY-2016 = $67.2M
Q1-2017 = $12.9M
Q2-2017 = $25.7M
Q3-2017 = $24.2M
Q4-2017 = $24.4M <--- Est
FY-2017 = $87.2M <--- Est
================================
NET INCOME IS ALWAYS A LOSS
Q1-2016 = Net Loss = $15.3M
Q2-2016 = Net Loss = $13.6M
Q3-2016 = Net Loss = $19.7M
Q4-2016 = Net Loss = $48.8M
Q1-2017 = Net Loss = $37.4M
Q2-2017 = Net Loss = $10.3M
Q3-2017 = Net Loss = $42.9M
Q4-2017 = TBA
================================
TOTAL COSTS & OPERATING EXPENSES
SEEMS TO ALWAYS BE CLIMBING A LOT
Q1-2016 = $35.350M
Q2-2016 = $32.475M
Q3-2016 = $38.572M
Q4-2016 = $56.719M
Q1-2017 = $40.324M
Q2-2017 = $47.477M
Q3-2017 = $48.276M
Q4-2017 = TBA
================================
GROSS MARGINS (GAAP)
SHOW NO CONSISTENCY
Q1-2016 = (301.2%)
Q2-2016 = 17.8%
Q3-2016 = 43.9%
Q4-2016 = (2.3%)
Q1-2017 = 1.6%
Q2-2017 = 32.7%
Q3-2017 = 27.1%
Q4-2017 = TBA
================================
EPS IS STILL STRUGGLING
Quarter = Pre-Split ---> Post-Split
Q1-2016 = ($0.074) ---> ($1.110)
Q2-2016 = ($0.061) ---> ($0.912)
Q3-2016 = ($0.079) ---> ($1.186)
Q4-2016 = ($0.178) ---> ($2.675)
Q1-2017 = ($0.129) ---> ($1.939)
Q2-2017 = ($0.030) ---> ($0.458)
Q3-2017 = ($0.076) ---> ($1.141)
Q4-2017 = TBA
================================
BASIC WEIGHTED AVG
OUTSTANDING SHRS
ALWAYS INCREASING
Quarter = Pre-Split ---> Post-Split
Q1-2016 = 207.20M ---> 13.81M
Q2-2016 = 223.11M ---> 14.87M
Q3-2016 = 249.19M ---> 16.61M
Q4-2016 = 273.41M ---> 18.23M
Q1-2017 = 289.08M ---> 19.27M
Q2-2017 = 336.09M ---> 22.41M
Q3-2017 = 572.95M ---> 37.53M
Q4-2017 = TBA
================================
BIG DILUTION
I Know ... They Say They Never Dilute ... LOL
But We All Know About The Heavy Dilution
They Did In 2016, When They Said: "None"
So Now Check Out The Total Dilution
They Did From Jan 2011 To Dec 2016 :
273M Pre-Split - OR - 18M Post Split Shs
BUT DO YOU KNOW WHAT ? . . .
The Total Dilution That They Have
Done So Far In Just This 2017 Is :
364M Pre-Split - OR - 24M Post Split Shs
THAT IS 133% OF THE TOTAL HISTORICAL
DILUTION IN JUST THIS PAST 9 MONTHS
THAN THEY DID IN THE 5 YEARS PRIOR !!!
And Yet They Tell You There Is No Dilution !
What You Have To Realize Is How And When
They Tell You Certain Things, Which Legally
Covers-Up The Truth Of What Is Happening.
================================
2017 OUTSTANDING SHR RUN
Pre-Split <---- Date ----> Post-Split
273M <--- Jan 1, 2017 ---> 18M
297M <--- Apr 30, 2017 ---> 20M
316M <--- May 15, 2017 ---> 21M
June 6, 2017 = 1-for-15 R-Split
388M <--- Jul 31, 2017 ---> 26M
430M <--- Aug 1, 2017 ---> 29M
564M <--- Aug 11,2017 ---> 37M
637M <--- Oct 31,2017 ---> 42M
( Nov 3rd S-3 Filing - Page 44 )
================================
This Is A Lot Of Info ... But You Can See That
The Numbers Are Not What They Should Be
And That There Is Still A Long Way To Go
Plus: They Are Starting To Get "Tricky" Again
TO PUT IT ALL IN PERSPECTIVE
*** The Number 1 Biggest Job And ***
*** Main Primary Goal Of This CEO ***
IS PUTTING LIPSTICK ON A PIG
================================
!!! LOL HA HA HA HA HALOL !!!
??? knowledgeable and sensible ???
!!!!! LOL HA HA HA HA LOL !!!!!
no way no way no way no way no way
!!!!! LOL HA HA HA HA LOL !!!!!
lol ha ha ha ha lol ha ha ha lol
!!!!! LOL HA HA HA HA LOL !!!!!
!!! what planet do they live on !!!
!!!!! LOL HA HA HA HA LOL !!!!!
NO PROBLEM HERE!
LOL!
AMRS!
SOLID!
Yes You Do!
THERE'S JUST ONE PROBLEM
you don't know what
you're talking about
LOL !!!
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