Alternative Path

[gdl]

The pattern seems pretty clear. More downside early next week. A slow one is likely. I can't figure out how TRUMPS response to the election next week will be IGNORED. I suspect (ONLY) an explicit demand for violence on specific targets AND they occur will the market get shaken up.

[gdl]

DAMN! CRAP! The PPT in the last 5 minutes barely managed to salvage the weak showing. Pathetic. Odds of a continuation higher over next 2 or so days is diminished. I can always hope. NOW it seems likely that Nov. 6th will be the lows of the week. BUT we do have a possible "TELL" on Monday and Tuesday.

I personally suspect if the PPT can, they will spike this up immediately to try and build momentum. ONLY a STRONG steady move higher over this time period would i BET for a dramatic drop. Seems counterintuitive but i need to see left over bullish greed come back in.

[gdl]

We have a pattern that is very similar to the last 5 wave drop. the 4th wave was an overlap and if this is similar, we should see 5800 plus. The timeline was around 14 to 15 days long. The last 3 or 4 days was the last leg down and the steepest. If we have a 3 day drive up that fits in the timeline and overlap from last one.
BUT it also means it is unlikely to be a crash but rather a decent correction.

The dollar and 10 year yield however is doing the complete opposite of reasons for stocks to rise. This is a fast break out and can't find a top yet. One of these asset classes is wrong. I suspect next week we find out.

PUMP IT UP! Need an overlap of 5800 for this to be a drop from the 6th thru the 8th and possibly Monday the 11th. Crash or 5 to 8% correction? Leaning NOW towards a correction. Will likely bet for both.

[gdl]

Thank goodness the street latched onto the jobs report and forget the rest. Due to 2 hurricanes these numbers are meaningless. It does help them believe many more rate cuts is down the line. Despite wages once again growing higher than expected and ISM Manufacturing prices shot up.

I now need to see a continued strong snap back movement BEFORE November 6th. If so I bet my scenario.

[gdl]

Current move strongly suggests a LOW by the 6th, and likely no meaningful rebound over next 3 trading days.
It throws my long-standing setup to hell. No bets are possible in that situation. Just 3 days can decide if I have a window or not.

[gdl]

IF this is indeed the long drop till 11/6 or 11/7 it could be the actual low of this wave and it would not be any deeper or out of character from the last 2 drops. In order for that to happen there cannot be any overlapping rebound till then. that means a continuation down even if it slows.

This is NOW the preferred count and my hope and expectation for a dramatic drop right after election has diminished.

An overlapping rebound before November 6th, hitting 5800 or greater on SPX, would bring back the possibility of a dep drop or crash right after.

The pattern now has got to see a spike move up BEFORE the election to be eligible for a deep drop or crash IMO.

My LONG AWAITED setup seems to have dissolved unless the next 3 days we spike higher. Oh well. I planned for the bet but obvious will only pull the trigger if the setup is correct. TOO BE DETERMINED.

[gdl]

The setup for BITCOIN, as i have in the past, is pretty compelling for a clear double spike move followed by a deep drop. It (FITS) my expectations right after November 5th. I have used this wild and volatile stock to trace the SPX move. It has more dramatic chart patterns that can more easily be deciphered.

I need to see a decent rally for BOTH starting tomorrow and spiking for 3 days straight. Now that would be an even clearer picture and incentive for my bet.

Let's be very clear, no matter what happens between now and the close of November 5th the PPT would (NEVER) allow a crash to influence the election. they can forestall any but in so doing they increase the pressure once it is released.

I would be VERY SURPRISED if we don't drop a minimum of 8% from the highs. It should also be in a quick fashion based on seasonality. the window is so tight it is worth the bet.

[gdl]

https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/supreme-court-gives-president-power-king

[gdl]

Definite implication here. The TRUMP Media Stock drop is indicative of the (sure thing) on a Trump win being not so sure. the Street is salivating over a trump win as he promises to give stock investors a big tax break. Thats ALL they see now. The combination of a Harris win, an immediate chaos refusing the public voting choice by the GOP, Trump and the Supreme Court will result in confusion and VIOLENVCE since Trump can't possibly change the outcome legally or even thru the GOP and Supreme Court fast enough. He will announce his wishes clearly concisely with details. he will shout FIRE in a crowded space. Will he be silenced right after? that's the bigger question, Will the president and Democrats have the BALLS to legally charge him with inciting a riot.. For this is his ONLY OPTION (IF) he loses outright.

NO ONE has placed that scenario into their formula on stock bets. NO ONE!

As for just how a newly crowned KING can proceed, please read this:
https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/supreme-court-gives-president-power-king

[gdl]

More dramatic crashes happen in October and early November. This is so far just a correction and swing on election pick. Seems trump was a lock till last week.
Ironically if the street gets what they want TRUMP it will accelerate the damage, and the economy would be reeling within 12 months of his inauguration. They never consider political agenda and that is a big mistake. If he losses, well it isn't the fact that Harris has a dramatic plan to kill the economy or profits. it's just the fact that the GOP Supreme Court and trump will throw everything at the Democrats and the republic till one side breaks.

As for this current move. This is 9th day of the drop and a 3 wave move so far. It looks like a 5 wave drop is inevitable and that should mean a rally into November 5th and the final drop right after. I need to see a final rally that is a spike type move into the 5th in order for me to expect a deep drop right after. The larger the spike move up the more likely the drop after the election would be big. Like i stated before a slide leading into the 5th looks like just a normal correction and the final leg down from the 6th thru 8th creating a total drop from highs at 10% or less. Still a decent drop but not a crash. It can of course morph into a crash depending on the external events i expect to happen.

The dollar and 10 year note breaking out still. Jobs holing up very nicely as is the economy. Core PCE Prices at 2.7 way above projections and stubbornly refusing to drop. The FED is hard pressed to explain these cuts and Nov. 7 is the next one and it should be a quarter percent BUT I wonder if he announces a halt to cuts till more data is available. That could accelerate the drop.

A crash timeline, A late October setup bodes well for a deep drop in early November. We can't have one after the middle of November. The GODS will not allow that to affect our spending during Holiday Season. Only question: a deep drop or crash. Hope to see that spike move up Friday, Monday, Tuesday. It will not be expected by the street. It would also make everyone conclude trump will win.

[gdl]

More dramatic crashes happen in October and early November. This is so far just a correction and swing on election pick. Seems trump was a lock till last week.
Ironically if the street gets what they want TRUMP it will accelerate the damage, and the economy would be reeling within 12 months of his inauguration. They never consider political agenda and that is a big mistake. If he losses, well it isn't the fact that Harris has a dramatic plan to kill the economy or profits. it's just the fact that the GOP Supreme Court and trump will throw everything at the Democrats and the republic till one side breaks.

As for this current move. This is 9th day of the drop and a 3 wave move so far. It looks like a 5 wave drop is inevitable and that should mean a rally into November 5th and the final drop right after. I need to see a final rally that is a spike type move into the 5th in order for me to expect a deep drop right after. The larger the spike move up the more likely the drop after the election would be big. Like i stated before a slide leading into the 5th looks like just a normal correction and the final leg down from the 6th thru 8th creating a total drop from highs at 10% or less. Still a decent drop but not a crash. It can of course morph into a crash depending on the external events i expect to happen.

The dollar and 10 year note breaking out still. Jobs holing up very nicely as is the economy. Core PCE Prices at 2.7 way above projections and stubbornly refusing to drop. The FED is hard pressed to explain these cuts and Nov. 7 is the next one and it should be a quarter percent BUT I wonder if he announces a halt to cuts till more data is available. That could accelerate the drop.

A crash timeline, A late October setup bodes well for a deep drop in early November. We can't have one after the middle of November. The GODS will not allow that to affect our spending during Holiday Season. Only question: a deep drop or crash. Hope to see that spike move up Friday, Monday, Tuesday. It will not be expected by the street. It would also make everyone conclude trump will win.

[gdl]

One overriding theme I have. November 5th will NOT be the lows of this current drive but odds on the highs. In other words even if we drop all the way till the close of November 5th don't count on any spike up after. ONLY basing it on timeline and symmetry. Either a smaller drop to finish the lows or a deep one. I would be VERY SURPRISED to see a new wave up launched form the winner of the election.

I am counting on CHAOS to hit such extremes it forces everything into its black hole. A TRUMP WIN can delay the crash by ignoring his speech and immediate consequence from it. A TRUMP loss has no such possible avenue. He will kick and scream and tear the GOP apart before he accepts defeat.

I can't yet imagine his denial speech if he losses. it will be one where he no longer hedges his words but spells out direct instructions to follow. It will be so glaringly obvious he will likely have the FED issue an arrest and gag order. Shouting FIRE in a crowded room isn't going to be allowed even for him. Especially if there are deaths because of it. A WIN will release any inkling of hesitation to spell out his plan in detail. Since Wall Street is still deaf dumb and blind to the devil himself, I wonder if they get shaken up also. Thats the really hard part, the wild equation to it all.

[gdl]

Trump Media stock surged and is now tumbling. 7 oddsmakers have Trump winning by a 63% margin. Citibank thinks a trump victory would be extremely BULLISH for stocks given his tax breaks for corporations. They also state it would be a rally that causes a crash. Uncertainty has not stopped the market from near all-time highs today.

Clearly on the face of it Citi might be right on an initial rally from Trump win. they refuse to put into account his actual plan. You know, tariffs, killing his opponents using his military, aligning with dictators and breaking from NATO. Stuff like that. But the more immediate problem would be a TRUMP loss. Not over the Harris tax hikes or anything to do with the economy. Watch the TRUMP MACHINE roll over everyone and everything as he, the GOP and Supreme Court make sure if he doesn't win there will be violence and chaos. The Supreme Court has proven to be the most radical bigoted branch with the most disdain for law and order. Funny isn't it.

While everyone will bet a Trump win is an immediate win for stocks and the opposite be true there will be a lot of hedging on November 5th and even November 6th. I expect a WILD Nov. 6th regardless of who has won or who is leading in the count. I also expect a TRUMP speech regardless of him winning or not with the same message that he won and lays out his plan. He will pretend he won or be rewarded with a clear win. Either way he will not hold back. He either is sentenced to the guillotine or crowned KING. Either a desperate man or a euphoric one. That really means the same thing when he opens his mouth. CHAOS like nothing this country has experienced.

[gdl]

Observation. This market is stalling perhaps till November 6. Staying at or near all time highs.

[gdl]

I can easily see the Supreme Court step up n and grant any GOP request after the vote is counted. They just granted a state permission to purge voters they deemed as being ineligible. This a week before the election. This as there is a national rule that requires 90 days before an election to change the voter eligibility. This as all prior court cases in federal and state courts refused to allow it. Clearly we have an out of control court. They gave no reason. Seems 6 of the 9 will do anything to make sure their party and ideology wins. I even expect them to grant Trump some major victory before November 12.

If there is to be a major correction it has to abide by the PPT rules. That means no crash before during or in between holiday season. After mid November till early January there will never ever be a dramatic drop.

[gdl]

In order for there to be a crash on November 11 or 12 we should see a consecutive drop in prior 3 days. It should also be more Volatile in each of the 3 sessions leading up to crash.

I am an intrigued how the days after election plays out.

[gdl]

TRUMPS MSG rally had headlines from across the world, except for FOX. They stated "Crude, Racist, Vulgar". But it was no accident, no unplanned staging.

Trump is doubling down on what he perceives is how he got to be president the first time. He is bringing out his Hitler manifesto. A way of putting in out there front and center and for those that just can't accept that type of bigotry he has a way to NENY his culpability. Classic staging and classic trump. But don't you worry about the next president if it happens to be TRUMP. he will NO LONGER use any pretense.

It took the German Leader over 8 years for him to move from complaints about the Jew to taking action that made it crystal clear his intent. Trump knows his dictatorship can be short lived and will use the next 4 years to make his and his voters dream come true. He was given a golden get out of jail free card by the Supreme Court.

The ONLY problem with his messaging is the more he pushes home his true intent the more the female voter will find it hard to swallow. In the end though he has no choice but to pursue this straddling the line.

[gdl]

One other rather small observation. Based on current trajectory and last 3 sub-wave moves we should see a move to 6066 as the final high on November 5th. I actually have a range of 6000 to 6050 but i am sure a peak intra-day move could hit the infamous 666 level. Did you know that then the market crash that Cramer called told everyone to sell sell sell hit an intra-day LOW of 666. I don't expect 6660 to hit on November 5th so the next best thing is 6066. Just a wild wish that the devils' signs get a glimmer of light.

If we rally or don't drop much on the tight window of 11/5 thru 11/11 then 6660 is my next guess for a crash. Call me sentimental on believe things have a rhythm and plan.

[gdl]

The GOP have been hard at work painting an UGLY picture they hope will be displayed on November 5th. they want the public to be revolted and disgusted by it. Their strategy is to try and change the laws the last minute and the courts, STATE COURTS, have spanked the GOP.. They have to adhere to the constitution. If it ever gets to the Supreme Court, they will throw out the constitution. But the damage is already done. With the FOX affiliates declaring a Trump victory before the vote is in using skewed up polling they can then turn around and declare yet another cheat scheme. The REAL polls are more in line with common sense and one gender that tends to still have more of a conscience than the other. It (should) tip the scales and even perhaps beat the threshold for a recount. ANY recount that is mandatory will be used to stir up violence.

But no matter how lopsided the moral, ethical, and self-preservation stance is the less likely we will see it. the more outrageous the behavior the more NORMAL it becomes. Anesthetizes. We have already accepted and cheered the most corrupt immoral evil thoughts and deeds. that can't be undone, nor can the path we are headed for. A decapitated devil can still function and that is something not many understand. A loss by TRUMP and his departure for good from the political system will never change the path, only delay the final consequence. The 50% will become even more outraged over denying this monster his rewards and it will fester into a permanent ugliness.

I have changed my mind on the inevitable Trump win. I have not on the path we are on. ONLY the timeline changes, a reprieve from execution till another day.

[gdl]

Dollar has been basing for 2 years and has started the next move up. 10 year note yield has topped one year ago at 5% and today it is as high as it was in 2007. In other words, it is now moving back up from a point that was already higher than the last decade. The biggest demographics in age population here in US is between 30 and 35. They are partying like there is no tomorrow. The most debt is ages 40 to 50. The largest credit card debt is aged 75 and over. Debt held by public. 120% of GDP, the highest ever recorded including the great depression and WW II. From 2000 till today the debt went from a very tame 5 trillion to 31.5 trillion. The last 24 years averaged over ONE Trillion increase per year.

The economists wall street and brokerage firms no longer even look at these figures to determine the future path of our economy. They have concluded it has no real impact yet. Perhaps they are right but that's like saying a person with 1 credit card in 2000 added 9 more and has racked up 10 times their debt but so far that has no impact on the economy. Or a Pandemic overseas has no impact on our economy. That was used as an excuse for 5 weeks till reality busted their bubble and just one death on US soil changed their perspective. We see and hear what we want and disregard anything that can change that view till reality bites us.

In the case of this election, I believe the first wakeup call will result then. Maybe yes maybe no. It will ONLY be a wakeup call. I suspect we push the snooze button right after. BUT there should be temporary damage done and the first warning quake. Thats my theory and will be tested soon enough. For me it is like being given a second chance to capitalize ever more than i did from the Pandemic. It should be a condensed response or none at all and in a very small window.

[gdl]

Using the monthly stock market charts, we can drop over 25% from current levels and still be in the bull cycle. Simply astonishing. The hyperbolic move over the last few decades has made the gap towards the median value a startlingly steep one.

Looking at the timeline and Nov.5th single event I can see patterns that would fit nicely in the grand scheme. This is perhaps folly since this can be done at any time and make sense and symmetry since we have an infinite number of symmetrical patterns we can draw. I love to speculate and pretend I have the right pattern and can see the future. A fool's game but I live in foolish times so why not join the party.

If I was to step back and be an historian, I would unemotionally conclude we are at major crossroads in human evolution or destruction. Nature with the assumed asteroid that almost wiped-out life here or the harsh environment in the past that left only a few thousand humans alive is being overtaken by our own self-destructive nature. We seem to be stronger than nature and have the ability to annihilate all things much easier than the randomness of nature itself.

[gdl]

Long term Interest rate cycles rediscovered.

From 1948 to 1982, some 34 years we went from the base to the peak. From 1982 to 2016, some 34 years we went from peak to lows.
Are we in a new up cycle? About to find out.

[gdl]

Desperate times call for desperate measures. Trump, MAGA Movement, GOP, FOX News and even the Supreme Court need to see TRUMP win. They are pulling no stops. Fraud claims on voting, rewriting history, Trying to squeeze the last 5% their way. They even pretend there is massive voter fraud already and the margin of victory is already large for TRUMP.

Thier fate is tied to TRUMPS. And just like HITLER was backed by a powerful faction they too think they will be able to control him. Based on the man's history I guess they also have fallen into the delusional trap of believing what is best for their outcome. See what they want and discard the rest. Trump bad times always engulfs his most loyal subjects and does so 10-fold against his own fate.

The ads and promotional free advertisement showing the horrors of Harris would be amazing had it not been taken seriously. I think however they squeezed the life out of this and those that have made up their minds are set. The push to capture the last few percentages of undecided have likely don't Harris more good than harm as they watch the desperation and clearly false claims. U suspect the woman vote will determine our fate.

Truth be told i had expected an easy win for Trump and wrote off the election. HOPE is a bad thing because you cling to it till it tears you apart. Thank goodness we only have 2 more weeks to go.

[gdl]

SEVEN trading days till election. This feels like a deep correction is overdue and my cycle low for next wave should be no later than Nov. 15/17 according to last few cycles. That means the bottom of the wave should be mid-November. IF we stay near or at the highs leading into election MY scenario for a crash on the 11th and a bounce soon after makes mid-November viable for such a crash event. But this is pure speculation, and I am looking for reasons to justify the vet.

Everyone is calling this race a dead-heat. Massive early voting that usually sides with the Democrats. Nail biter. As such the call for cheating has already been headline news. Personally, I want Harris to win as it must be obvious to all. IF she does pull it out ALL HELL will break out because anyone thinking TRUMP will fold and go home is INSANE. He WILL cause maximum chaos in that situation.

My bet would benefit by a Harris win and my soul will not be ripped from my body. A double win for me. I will never understand how a person's mind works when a cult is formed and looking from the outside it is obvious. At what point did we abandon common sense, morality, ethics, and decency.

I await our fate and even a Harris win will only delay the inevitable dismantling of our system. A Depression would plunge us into a MAGA nightmare in which we will not recover from. The economic prosperity on the roaring 20's had everyone declare an economic nirvana. Like today they viewed the path with blinders on. The economic disparity today has exceeded that of any period in our past, postindustrial age. The ease at which one man can welcome in a new world order (again) is mind boggling. How are so many unaware of the dangers ahead. no not dangers but absolute sure plunge over a cliff.

There is no other option. Timing is once again everything. I suspect i will once again be too early. I need more Pandemic type events to cash in on. Sad but true. This one will be 100 times worse and last a generation. That is if anyone survives a nuclear war. For nuclear war is inevitable also I am afraid. That is why I see TRUMP as the ant-Christ leading the next 2 years into hell. Maybe I am wrong and something or someone else will cause the next winter, but he sure has the qualifications like no other.

I am also fascinated with Fibonacci numbers in nature. It is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones The grand super cycle end calls for prime numbers in reverse till, we hit zero. I have tried but failed to arrange the numbers into a final spiral soon. The end is easy however to determine. Counting backwards 8, 5, 3, 2, 2, 1, 0 would represent the last 21 years in the cycle. That would mean as the cycle condenses greatly, we will have big drops in shorter and shorter timeframe. If ANYONE has superimposed the stock market moves into such a pattern i would welcome that greatly.

[gdl]

My obsession with key economic data might be wrong but my commonsense approach is hard for me to dismiss. The Pandemic (commonsense) approach required 3 bets at three different times to get the desired result. I just could not accept the street could pretend science and facts could be wrong. Only a literal knock on the head did it react to commonsense reality. I have learnt my lesson well. Thats doesn't mean I will not be early in my betting again. I am a bit more optimistic that the market either wakes up to reality or not on a specific tight timeline. If it ignores Trumps triumphant win with a sledgehammer to his opponents and his extreme inflationary debt-ridden policy they must assume, like the start of a Pandemic, it doesn't materialize into anything harmful at least not for 6 or more months down the line. If he losses and pulls no stops in creating as much chaos as possible they must assume the violence will be contained and will quickly dissipate.

For my LOGIC on the TWO paths are pretty much set in stone. I have tried to see other options but just can't. In fact the urgency by TRUMP is well founded both on a win and lose on how he would immediately proceed. He will SHAKE-UP the political landscape and (likely) the stock market. The recent rise in bond yields and the dollar means the STREET is expecting a TRUMP win. His policy is clearly inflationary and dangerous. BUT like a Pandemic with exact science and path will the STREET once again ignore or excuse the election event and look past it as it has for 5 weeks during a Pandemic. If they do what will make them realize their fate was sealed. I have NOT figured that out yet. Once i do will use it to determine the next timeline for a crash IF this one does not materialize. Like a Pandemic the path is unalterable as is the conclusion. What however will be that 5-week gap between fantasy and reality. Using (5 weeks) as a symbolic but not literal new timeline.

To be discussed if my immediate crash scenario is a flop.

[gdl]

IF we can breakout above recent highs we should achieve a top around Nov.5th. I suspect however that we are already in a correction that will steepen after Nov.5th. If so it will NOT be a crash. I need to see a breakout here with the dollar and bond yields rising. The street is all in on TRUMP and my theory of his acceptance speech, if that scenario plays out, will determine if this is the moment they wake up to his destructive powers. The Right-Wing press is pushing the scenario that TRUMP will easily win. They are setting up for a nightmare argument that he could ONLY lose thru cheating.

I have looked at this EVENT in so many angles and don't see why my argument for a crash isn't a valid one. The ODDS are anyone's guess but the event itself, like an announced Pandemic, should cause a crash. Timing is an issue I can't control. The more violent Trump gets at the prospect of going to jail the more likely he throws everything at the system to break it. The more euphoric Trump gets, with a win, the more likely he spews out all his pent-up frustration and displays his intent to become the first dictator in history.

The news media propaganda for TRUMP is going to heat and rile up all his base if he does win. they have already declared him a winner and only massive cheating would deprive him of his rightful position. This has GUARANTEED a violent transition if the anti-Christ doesn't win.

[gdl]

Wishful thinking? Will there even be a disruption after the Nov. 5th polling is done? Will it matter who wins? In the Pandemic situation we had a specific starting point and understood how fast and deadly it would be. We had the science and past performance spelled out. We did not have the SPARK that pushed all over the edge and sold stocks right after. Not till one death on US soil. I never considered that. I ASSUMED everyone can project easily the outcome and therefore would panic the stock market immediately. My understanding of the EVENT was correct but not the TIMING of the market reaction.

In this situation the EVENT is also known. The TIMING of a reaction, IMO, is also known. BUT unlike a Pandemic the event has to be a close one between the two candidates and ONLY a loss by TRUMP would tighten the chances it has MAJOR consequences IMMEDIATELY. Not saying a win by TRUMP will not also have MAJOR consequences but human nature when confronted with disaster tends to defer their acceptance till it actually occurs. Knowing a Pandemic is coming is not the same as seeing the deaths from it occurring on US soil. A TRUMP win might very well be that delayed refusal to accept the future consequence. Even if he spells out what he plans to do.

It is that undecided factor if he wins that has me guessing what the Markets will do. A Harris win, in any fashion, large or small is a KNOWN immediate danger that turns DEADLY immediately. There will be no guessing. The death on US soil will happen within days. Literally. he will cause violence and demand his party back him. Violence is guaranteed. He has no choice. he can't wait till January 6th. He must and will cause maximum chaos if he has any chance to overturn the loss.

The logical thing is to wait till November 6th when the polls give a forecast on who won. It need not even be close. I am battling my impulse to bet before the market closes on November 5th. LOGIC dictates to wait till the 6th to decide. I am an impatient person and believe a one-day wait could spell trouble for keeping the VIX low enough. Maybe the 6th we already have a very nervous stock market. Odds say not but I still worry. On November 5th i will decide.

[gdl]

NOW seems likely we have a slow drawdown for next 2 weeks The earnings picture is not helping the rally this quarter. It also looks like the last drawdown which means the last 3 to 4 days of the drop will be the steepest. BUT the pattern does not appear to include a crash.

TOO early to tell but this is what I see today. I will bet anyway for a 10% (plus) drop despite my current assessment. I do not see January 6th as a big deal since all eyes are on it and to repeat this event means the GOP was completely and transparently complicit. I don't think they would want to be this obvious.

10 year note clearly broke out and is continuing to rise. Same with the dollar. IF (BOTH) accelerate that rise between now and Nov. 5th it could be a glaring TELL of a deep correction. Once again it is a pattern that looks like it can continue but time will tell.

I would LOVE for both the dollar and yields to spike up between now and election along with a big stumble for Bitcoin. I would also like to see a slow drawdown till then or even a rally in stock market.

[gdl]

The blitz is on. Brilliant strategy to scare people away from trump. Will it work? Freedom of Info JUST granted the federal government release report on his Arlington fiasco. THE media and Democrats know just how short of a memory we have and timed it 2 weeks before election and right at early voting timeline.

The ONLY topic that can get his loyalists upset is the abuse of the MILITARY and the DISRESPECT towards them.

[gdl]

Barrage of news report focused exclusively on Trumps response towards the Military. Freedom of Information Act has requested and been approved by a Federal Judge to release official documents concerning Trumps use of a phot op in Arthington Cemetery. It is ILLEGAL to do so especially for political purposes. Atlantic report came out that John Kelly and others heard Trump complain his generals don't follow his illegal commands and stated, "I need the kind of Generals that HITLER had".

the TIMING is interesting and the subject matter. Trump can't dodge a Republic backlash treating the military like his personal butler and disrespecting their service.

The strategy is to make fresh in voters' minds just WHO Trump is and WHAT he will do if he takes office again.

[gdl]

Actual crash range on Monday the 11th. Estimate 1200 to 1500 SPX drop from the highs established in the preceding week.
SPX above 4,000 would NOT even break the Bull Trend. AT least that will be the wall street assumption.

I know my obsession and determination to catch a crash is a wild pie in the sky task. I also know even a Pandemic with past performance was a hard one to time.

I do this because in my view the scenario i presented can happen and it is NOT unreasonable if everything aligns right. Can i be as sure as i was with a Pandemic? No. Can I pass up this opportunity? No.

I even have an image of the kind of drop we should aspect. One that has a 3 day move from Nov. 6 thru 8th that doubles the drop in each of the 3 consecutive sessions. That would suggest as an example a 50, 100, 200 points drop in the SPX by Friday close. Assuming we start at 6,000 we could see 5650 as a closing price on Friday. It could ALSO be the final drop if the weekend is calm and settled. The weekend will be the key.

Once again this is my best-case longshot scenario. It would require the automatic circuit breakers to set in and still manage to close 20% lower. I can dream. I did make decent money on the Pandemic and hope lightning strikes twice.

[gdl]

***** Assessment of crash scenario proposal on October 21 2024 *****

ONLY if Harris wins.

Wall Street absolutely convinced of two things. Sweet spot in stock market and TRUMP win. Both are expected to show a huge rally in market before and after a TRUMP win! This as the Trump resume is that of a long career criminal and economy in debt and valuations hitting near record territory. Shiller index about to meet the 2nd highest peak from 2021.

One analyst warned that he thinks the outcome will NOT be as close as expected. He sees record number of early mail-in votes and that spells a huge advantage to Harris I sure hope so. BUT that means a long multi-day wait as Trumps victory speech gets destroyed by Nov. 9th at the latest. It also sets up for a huge switch in euphoric sentiment and an explosive response by Trump, GOP, and FOX NEWS. All THREE have planned for this contingency. The most interesting thing is that TRUMP is likely to pretend he won early in the count and spew out his plan to purge the country of undesirables. He is also likely to announce his plan to destroy his enemies from within. The Supreme Court is the wild card. I expect not a word from them till it becomes necessary and their response will once again make TRUMP a true dictator as they distort the constitution to unrecognizable form. They will ALLOW each state to submit their own candidate and winner by proclaiming the rules set during the election was unfair to the white Christian voter. If you think I am kidding just look at the insistence of these judges to rule even as they themselves exposed their extreme bias and contempt for the constitutional framers.

The FIX is IN! (granted i am a bit over the top in my conclusions but I put it out there as a possibility).

If Trump wins outright no one need know to what extent they were willing to secure Trump his thrown.

Assume, like the pandemic, it takes a long while to determine outcome BUT the trend is constant, a Harris lead. Trump will first ignore the process and declare himself a winner and display his plan for a Christian White future. He will pound the podium declaring cheating and to stop the mail-in vote. the GOP will oblige by any and all means to stop the count. Supreme Court involvement is unknown.

In this scenario I get both a VICTORY speech by Trump spewing his retribution on the world and his refusal to accept defeat as the mail in count gets finalized. A process that would guarantee a swoon by Wall Street. In fact, the process is so pat that I can predict an increase in entropy (disorder) from Tuesday night till Saturday Nov. 9th. I would expect violence and Trumps unambiguous call to arms. I would expect specific targets that Trump supplies and his standing army will gladly follow. Violence and death on November 89th are guaranteed if I truly know how Trump ticks. His supporters are powerful and determined as much as trump himself is.

My best scenario for a Harris win will almost certainly follow my assessment above. It takes care of an exact timeline for a crash. Monday the 11th is likely to result in a GOP that is defiant, and FOX will add to the flames on cheating. The Supreme Court will NOT intervene till after the close on Monday especially if we have a huge crash.

This analysis depends on a Harris win. If that is secured, I must confess I place the odds of a crash specifically on Monday the 11th as high as 50%. Everything is in place based on the GOP, Trump and FOX carrying out what they already announced.

The scary part. Not a Monday crash but a Tuesday morning refusal by the devil's advocate to concede. I will only assume we don't reach a bottom till it gets resolved. I DO NOT expect this worst-case scenario simply because WALL STREET is the ONLY thing the GOP will respond to. No ethics, morals, or concern for our republic's future. ONLY M-O-N-E-Y.

To recap: A Harris win gives me the best accuracy in determining market path in specific timeline and drop.

[gdl]

U.S. markets have moved to a Trump win, Sigmund Global Advisors says.

The market is praying and hoping for the destruction of our political system as long as the policies are favorable to PROFITS! This sucker is doing EXACTLY what i expected. A rally leading into the election. Imagine the completeness of the devil's plan. Win over the politicians, wall street, legislature, and the public on a record that is so preposterous ten years ago it would be laughed off. TODAY we simply shift our perspective 5 degrees and presto all is good. A Pandemic here? No worries, the street has learnt for the last one. Just a 5-degree shift. From Clorox to Covid to a Constitutional annihilation. All good.

We have hit a plateau and how long we stay there is anyone's guess. But as you know once it starts deteriorating it does so fast.

The last events that caused a crash we had a known disaster and a known result. We did not however have an exact timeline. You would think that the announcement of a Pandemic would be enough to rattle the markets. . Common Sense and a sniff of reality. The power of that 5%-degree shift instantly calmed the market as they stuck to the absurd notion that the street has learned from the last one.

The Nov. 5 event is also a known entity. The difference is we have 2 paths we can go to. Each will have that 5-degree shift to placate the investor. The thing i am counting on is Trumps personally will strain that complacency to a breaking point. The analogy of one pandemic death on US soil. A loss by trump, which now the odds maker or betting against will likely have a more immediate break in complacency and a very quick move into outright panic. A win by trump will compel him to spew out all his venom relieving his pent-up frustration. NOTHING is likely to stop him from giving the infamous speech. The Hitler moment. I must confess, a win by trump even with the vile hatred and explicit demand for retribution and plan to wipe out 10 million illegals is a toss-up whether that 5% shift away from reality will hold. I suspect FOX NEWS, GOP and newscasters will try to keep that 5% shift because to welcome his reality into the picture would mean a complete turnaround on their future prospects.

My conundrum. A loss by trump, a personal relief should also trigger his desperate attempt to regain power at all costs. My best scenario for a CRASH with violence in the streets is the one I hope will occur. A perverse situation. A win by Trump might not break the spell he has and might actually be encouraging to his voter as he plans to complete his scapegoat strategy. BUT Wall Street might see thru that more so than his voter. My faith in human nature has dimmed and is about to be snuffed out. Will Trumps victory speech actually carry over to Wall Street? To me the implication is as stark as the announcement of a Pandemic. But the investor sat near the all-time highs for 5 weeks.

IU will bet regardless at close of Nov. 5th session or early morning on Nov. 6th. Perhaps both.

[gdl]

The euphoria is off the charts. Wall Street pundits and even the most pessimistic analysts are calling the next 2 years as a no brainer. Seems earnings is expected to accelerate from here and the returns should be triple digits. Debt is a non-issue and has no bearing on anything. Inflation is dead and ever if it restarts it is sure to be tame.

Every article states this time period is a GREAT opportunity for easy above average profits. As for my Nov. 5th nonsense the street has it covered no matter who wins or what transpires right after. Me I follow simple common-sense EVENTS that are glaring red flags especially when the street sees none.

TRUMP already announced his strategy in plain sight
1 - A loss at the polls mean he will IMMEDIATELY declare the fix was in and DEMAND the GOP refuse to certify the states election results. He will openly call out all officials that refuse to oblige and on TV give out their address and tell his followers to make sure they change their minds as explicit violence will be used. This time he will make sure riots occur and death in the HUNDREDS. The GOP will support him or say NOTHING. BIDEN will arrest Trump for inciting violence and the Supreme Court will "eventually" declare they can't hold him in jail till trial. ALL this will occur between Nov. 5 and Nov. 11. In fact the most critical market moving event will occur over the weekend on Nov. 9th or 10.
2 - An outright win by Trump and he will run his mouth saying on day one he will arrest his Democratic detractors. He will spew out a HITLER playbook blaming everything on illegals and declare internment camps in the millions. he will encourage people to get violent against minorities and illegals and promise no repercussions.

In other words, folks what is glaringly obvious to ME is that he will SHAKE UP even his die-hard loyalists to the core.

The set up is PERFECT. Like a peak stock market when the pandemic came. I NOW expect either a 10 percent drop no later than Nov. 11 but after Nov. 5th or in that time frame a drop of 25% or more. I can't stay away from this bet. OBSESSED. I could well be wrong again on timing and even any disturbance by investors. I can be wrong on a lot of things but NOT the two scenarios depending on which way trump votes take him.

I hedge simply because like a pandemic the masses can stay in their own self-made delusional world much longer than I can imagine. In either case i bet for the long shot. these setups come so infrequently.

[gdl]

Stage is set. Tight race means disputed. Trump couldn’t wait till election to declare his retribution on individuals. The street sees what it wants as does the voter and will be shocked when the obvious result occurs. That’s why we have another pandemic moment and even more clueless now.

The Nov 5 speech by Trump either calls for the wrath of god to descend on democrats and illegals with a Hitler playbook or he demands the stolen election be thrown out and explicitly calls for violence on individuals.

I marvel at the flag carrying evangelical message of hate violence and a pledge to stay loyal to the devil himself. Anyone not knowing who Trump is has been following themselves.

Betting against everyone on a big drop from Nov 5 is a gift not seen very often.

[gdl]

My analysis is full proof. A loss by Trump on Nov.5th will be tight enough to question the results. IF he does lose the electoral college, I will GUARANTEE he does NOT wait till January 6th. His life is on the line. He will already have a PLAN and it involves using every loyalist he has. He will go on TV and explicitly demand his followers to surround the state court houses and do so armed. He will explicitly call for violence. he will expose the names and addresses of every GOP member that allowed the vote to be against him. He will be so explicit and violent the Federal Government will have to get an emergency order to arrest him and place a gag order. The Supreme Court is the wild card and just might decide they have no authority. In any event the next 7 days will be proud boys armed and willing, militias armed and ready, and hundreds of deaths across the land.

I KNOW with certainty TRUMP will not fade into the background and will be a desperate man doing desperate things. The GOP will facilitate his actions. The courts will be bogged down and the Supreme Court will ONLY step in when civil war is about to start.

This scenario is actually having a 30% chance of happening ONLY because i do not believe TRUMP losses the electoral college.

The 70% chance he wins will bring on a completely different behavior. Like a man that was freed from death row, let go and is a free man. His freedom from death row is one of fairy tales. he will have the godlike power to spew his venomous hate and retribution immediately upon learning he is our KING! I can only imagine the demands he places on his party and the world. He will be crystal clear in his intent, violence, military might and not a single GOP Member will ever criticize him or make excuses. The FOX propaganda machine will use the time between Nov. 5 and January 6th to downplay his resolve.

A man on a mission to burn down his own house. Thats the result of a win by TRUMP. The stock market could very well IGNORE him till January but i suspect there will be violent swings in between before he actually takes over. Will Wall Street pretend that this Pandemic isn't very harmful? if so for how long?

[gdl]

a strong argument for a sure thing when it comes to years more of a strong bullish stock market.
1 - Only 2 years into current bull market.
2 - Rate cuts combined with earnings power.

The argument also goes that leading into an election is volatile. Well, this one is straight up. Argument goes that uncertainty on who will win brings on volatility, but we have a squeaker and market running wild and straight up. There goes that theory. First year of new election usually brings MUTED returns.

So in other words, just stay fully invested because all arguments in all types of conditions ALWAYS finds reasons to invest.

[gdl]

The Dollar and 10-year note. BOTH seem to be a breakout. that implies faster economic activity. The street sees 2 more rate cuts to boot. What a great scenario. No inflation but accelerated economic activity. BUT WHY is the yield on the 10 year note moving so fast and breaking out.

[gdl]

Shocking development. Trumps advisors are trying to talk him out of his verbal stance of retribution. Wait till November 5th when he can tell them to F off.
He is already warning the press and news agencies to STOP criticizing him. He can't understand how they get away with it. In PUTINS world they can't. He will declare such wild dictatorial policies with promises to purge the nation of dissent, purge the nation of 10 million illegals, use the military for everything to "maintain" law and order.

Since i can predict the behavior of TRUMP and I can't the people that hear his words i must GUESS how they respond. A declared winner on Nov. 5 or 6 will be an easy call on what TRUMP will say and do. His win would solidify in his mind the ability to carry out all he has dreamed of in terms of policy and retribution. I have a strong feeling that Wall Street would need some strong indication that their future would be bleak. Tariffs? Tax breaks? I think those alone will do nothing and in fact might actually spike the market higher. No it has to be something so dire, so outrageously dangerous that the writing on the wall is in permanent ink.

So in conclusion a verified win by TRUMP will be a crap shoot on how Wall Street responds.

A loss and refusal to admit it would be historic in his response. He will demand the massive fraud be disallowed and demand the GOP only allow each Governor of the swing states to declare the winner. THEY WILL OBLIGE! Think this insane do ya? The desperation is now with all branches of government. Especially the Supreme Court who decided the END justifies the MEANS. Their interference or lack of will determine our fate. The GOP will pass rules and laws intended to justify the fake argument on fraud. ALL OUT WAR! The very survival of their platform demands a TRUMP win. They are committed.

Now that scenario is easy. Wall Street will FLIP OUT! An attempted sedition this time around will be difficult if not impossible to stop. Consequences well known.

Place your bets on how you see this unfold. A LOSS by Trump will have a coordinated attack and the Democrats will be unprepared as usual.

On the chance i am WRONG in my analysis and we stay in the 5 week Pandemic ether January will be the new deadline for a crash.

[gdl]

Seems the POLLS are once again calling for TRUMP to win the major swing states. If this stays consistent with earlier reports, we should have an actual winner on Nov. 5th or at the latest Nov. 6th. The DEMS would never pull the cheating argument, and automatic recounts take place at certain tight levels.

Here is the interesting thing. A right out win for TRUMP will give him his platform to declare his godlike status. He will vent and reveal everything he plans to do knowing there isn't a damn thing anyone can or will do to prevent it. The man has been waiting for so long to spew his venom onto his victims. He will not hold back since he has no conscience only self-preservation instincts. in this instance the Suprem Court has given him the green light to speak his mind with no hedging and with crystal clear intent. It will be so stark all GOP and FOX propaganda will be forced to ignore it entirely.

WILL WALL STREET?

On the other side if the swing states give Harris the win all hell will break loose and this time the GOP, Trump and the Suprem Court will be ready and coordinated. Nov 6 thru 11 will be in chaos with no declared winner. The GOP has already used natural disasters like hurricanes to attack Democrats on. they have no conscience and will use any and all means necessary to secure their dominance and power.

[gdl]

PUMP IT UP! A great week ahead. NOTHING in the news should derail this surge. P/E of 30, Shiller is at 37. The impedance is so great that all analysts and brokerage firms insist it just started. So how do you expand the P/E ratio from here? Easy just buy way above the actual profits as they materialize. The other way is to see a big drop in earnings and none in price. Inflation is now officially dead as the street is demanding another 2 rate cuts this year alone. That should keep the expanding debt going a little bit longer.

I will commit to making wild long shot bets on November 5th. If it pans out it should lead to a bigger faster spike move up till mid to late January. So the first part will definitely help figure out the last part. If we get a fizzle on election week, I scratch my head trying to figure out the next dramatic moment.

[gdl]

Market on F-I-R-E! Every analyst, brokerage firm, news articles are scrambling over themselves to explain why this BULL MARKET is only 2 years old and has decades to go. They have determined the Covid disruption and extreme snap back was a new bull run. Funny but when I look at a long term chart I see a blast off event as the curve up suddenly steeped to hyperbolic pattern. It is impossible not to see this but they do. Impossible to explain away the historic high valuations but they do. Impossible to include debt levels since it has been meaningless for so many decades. Impossible to even consider disinflation is dead because 40 years has been the pattern so why change now.

I MUST remind everyone of the clever brokerage house bundling of toxic debt and selling it as a gift to anyone that wants to make lots of money. Ponzi scheme that went on for decades and no one questioned the astonishing results. A Pandemic with a 100 year old model to follow yet we pretended there was no past Pandemic performance and this time was different. FIVE weeks into a fast-spreading deadly Pandemic is an astonishing accomplishment to ignore.

I think between now and Nov. 5 we will get a good clue on the GOP/Trump strategy. Deny certification? Get the Supreme Court to grant their requests in the 11th hour to disqualify democratic votes? All I know is when I place just FACTS on the social, economic, political affair you would think this era has been under water for a long time. We have, as i never expected, to exceed the 1920 and 1930's mores and excesses by a factor of 10.

We are about to elect or force in a rapist, seditionist, extortionist with such childlike emotional backbone and childlike naive ways to fix problems an idiot-savant would be a better choice. His love of dictators and his treatment of his enemies and loyalist is so clear we have a road map for the future. Add to his inclination to destroy those that don't kiss his ring with the Supreme Court decision to anoint him godship. I mean is there any doubt for the future?

Let's add the bubble in real estate, all asset classes and a 40 year disinflation boom. Add debt that would be considered shocking 20 years ago. We absorb all evil and distorted imbalances as normal. Like a predicted earthquake that didn't materialize. The conclusion si insane. Instead of expecting an Even more dramatic earthquake as the pressure builds, we pretend it will never happen. On morality I don't think i have to go there.

The end of all things? It sure looks and feels like it.

[gdl]

"The Fed is still likely to cut rates twice this year, but the need for speed to bring rates down to the neutral level sooner rather than later now appears less urgent as the labor market continues to flex its muscles. We maintain our view that the FOMC will deal two more rate cuts ...".

The market is adamant the FED will keep cutting but can't explain why. LOVIN IT !.

[gdl]

Here we go! Last wave up till …. Either another corrective wave or something more. The banks and PPI is green for more rate cuts. Seems the Fed wants to make sure we hit historic highs in valuation and market top. It is going to be a special me move here and SP500 will easily hit 6K. Maybe a high at 6660. That’s too obvious.

The street has dismissed and political disruption causing economic pain. We have past known behavior from Trump and the GOP but that only allowed tax breaks for Wall Street and rich. Who cares trashing the constitution was never a priority only profits. Will this slow developing Pandemic ever be a concern for Wall Street. My assumption is that the first death from a trump hurricane will occur Nov 5. This even if he wins outright.

My preferred path is a 10 to 25% drop right after the election followed by the all is clear surge making new highs in early 2025. This current breakout helps my betting chance for a wild ride ahead.

[gdl]

Last wave up perhaps? Seems so. Any data point that is SLIGHTLY ahead of expectation on Inflation will likely be ignored. Who can argue that the 40-year disinflation run isn't permanent. Transitory will be used till a GLARING string of data points say otherwise. From October 29 till November 5th, it is likely also that a flat or slightly down move will occur simply over the angst of election results.

NO ONE really thinks a MAJOR rift refusing to certify is going to happen and like the denial of Chamberlain and the world and like the calm acceptance of a Pandemic we need to have solid proof that danger is already here. November 6th should start that process and build from there. While i truly hope my assessment is ridiculous i "MUST" go with my gut and vision. I have seen this situation for a decade without understanding the details but knew a storm was brewing. This one event will culminate all my concerns into a real civil war fight refusing to accept the results. It seems to me to be inevitable UNLESS the democrats continue to bow out of a fight and unless the result is in trumps favor. I expect at a minimum Harris wins the popular vote. If the contested swing states are outside a margin of error in favor of Trump, there should be no fight. BUT that also has a caveat. I expect with his newfound Supreme Court powers he will not hesitate to announce his OFFICIAL plans. Intern millions of illegals, tax cuts for the super-rich and tariffs for everyone else. Retribution and vengeance to those individuals and states that were disloyal. Everything from bold racist remarks to policies reminiscent of all dictators the moment will be starker than January 6th. I say this because TRUMP has waited an eternity to first be free of his crimes and then be told he is a GOD. A vengeful GOD need not wait till he is sworn in to show his might.

Thats my theory anyway. Take it or leave it.

[gdl]

Hate to bring up that October has been the time of the Big ONE! In fact October 29th falls on the 16th day of this current possible topping pattern.
If we didn't have an election i would say it is a strong possibility. I think the street is strongly rooting for TRUMP and unless the election is a forgone conclusion on October 29 we should hold up till after the election.

Greed is the overriding passion for wall street and they view anything that trump does or abuses as insignificant and controllable. they would be wrong as wrong as assuming a Pandemic as no biggie.

Am i projecting everything to fit into my perfect scenario? YES! Wall Street has a habit of screwing these plans up. We shall see. For now, past 2 PM, the FED Minutes are NOT causing any angst.

[gdl]

Narrowing down the current symmetry to determine wave peaks. Last 2 sub-wave move took exactly 16 days from bottom to top. This current one seems to have started 2 days ag0, on the 7th. If the final sub-wave is the same in length and trajectory, we should hit 6000 by 10/29.

That leaves 6 trading days before the election results on the 6th. I suspect those days will be seen as drifting down in anticipation of a tight election and the unknown outcome. It seems illogical to assume any deep drop BEFORE November 6th.

The timing, once again, reinforces my timeline for a big move at that deadline. It is even possible i can be completely wrong on the anticized crash scenario. it might actually be a huge spike move UP! As crazy as that sounds, given the already high valuations, a bubble does include such absurdities.

I bring this up not to hedge my bet or give excuses, only to make aware my assessment can go either way and i have dismissed it as a choice for (me).

BTW I post on websites and other blogs and every single time I am concise with my FACTS and question their support of such a person I have YET to get a clear rebuttal of those facts and instead they deflect by claiming others are corrupted. In most of them it is using conspiracy theories and unsubstantiated incidents. DEFLECT when you can't DEFEND your position. Not a single person, when presented with my conclusions as to why they do this wants to answer me.

When you have a debate on personal opinions there is always a give and take with thoughts and logic that perhaps the other side is not aware of. that defines a debate. When you present a one-sided factual argument and the other side refuses or can't counter it that defines a rigid fanatical viewpoint. One that is unwilling to allow facts to seep in. The resume of Trump is clear and frankly disgusting. How or why people decide that the most powerful position in the land should have less of a scrutiny than that of hiring a dishwasher is beyond my comprehension.

This ends my rant for today.

[gdl]

I have an image of the election phase that while logical rarely follows script. MY logic and understanding of the consequence have usually been early. Earlier than the street. Will the election cycle be tamer or even non-disruptive? I acknowledge this. BUT like a pandemic these situations are external events that have a specific schedule to follow. While I lost multiple bets waiting for the street to accept their pandemic fate it was frustrating and, in a sense, surreal. Waiting for the inevitable and only reacting when it occurred on US soil was a bit of a shock to me. I can NEVER understand the human psyche. They have the science to determine when where how and why. they had a 100-year-old model to use. Still, they waited for the inevitable.

Sadly I can ONLY go by my own schedule of awakening and so November 5th thru November 11 seems ideal but perhaps the street sees it differently. I will bet anyway as i did when the Pandemic was announced. In that case I absolutely knew the final outcome so i bet repeatedly till it cracked. In this instance it should be either an immediate response or none.

Tight race is a given. That part is easy. GOP, Trump, Suprem Court, FOX NEWS determination to seat Trump is also a given. At what lengths will they do so. Is my pessimistic tendencies clouding my judgement. Maybe. I have looked at this period over and over and still have only one answer, a debacle and awakening to the power of one man. Thankfully i don't have long to test out my theory.

[gdl]

Will we get our last leg rally here? I sure hope so. Becomes messy if we don't. No matter. Betting long shot lottery style options on November 5th.
I suspect Tuesday night and Wednesday Morning start the Trump Show. I would be absolutely shocked, like finding a Pandemic and killing a person here in the states. that's how decisive the response should be once again.

Wednesday should start a slide but not uniformly strong. Thursday should add to the angst but not giving up the GOP come to their senses. Friday should be show or tell time. And the WEEKEND will be very critical. Will the event be over by the weekend, or will it fester?

[gdl]

Masterful campaign strategy. Harris is pulling it off. the HIGH Road while trump gest more desperate and angrier. They figured out to make him mad shows the world how petty and evil he is. But i have NOT changed my mind on November 5th. In fact between now and then a desperate GOD anointed by the Supreme Court will do his most forceful deceitful best and demand total loyalty from the GOP FOX and Supreme Court. Theya re already claiming Biden is refusing FUNDS for the NC storm. It will get really UGLY in these waning days.

November 5th is NOW looking like a Harris win followed by Red States denying her win. Think this is too farfetched? It is LOGICAL based on the all in commitment to the DEVIL. Nov 6 thru 8 is a guaranteed drop. if the weekend does NOT resolve the election results a CRASH is inevitable on Monday.

Think this tru. Trump is looking at trials and jail time for the rest of his life. GOP and FOX will lose money and power if they can't prop him in. Supreme Court believes END justifies the MEANS and is just as desperate to keep the 50's alive and well. WHO WILL STEP UP and stop the total destruction in that time frame? Hint: No One! All gutless cowards. And THAT is what I am counting on.

A stock market CRASH is the ONLY thing the GOP will recognize. Without it we have no president period! Too melodramatic? I hope so but every time i present outrageous scenarios reality steps in and does it one better.