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Cathie Wood & Ark Invest's Sells 1,000 Shares of Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)
By: Ark Invest Daily | April 10, 2023
• Cathie Wood and Ark Invest's trade activity from today 4/10.
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) If it wants more 112 next big spot to watch, nice ramp off the 8D
By: Options Mike | April 8, 2023
• $GOOGL Monster move on Friday and finally hit the 108 target again.
If it wants more 112 next big spot to watch, nice ramp off the 8D.
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$GOOGL & $GOOG both seeing unusual OTM CALL flow for 04/14
By: FLOWrensics | April 6, 2023
• $GOOGL & $GOOG both seeing unusual OTM CALL flow for 04/14
$GOOGL $113 CALLS
$GOOG $115 CALLS
Def SPEC flow but a bit unusual for the name with 1 wk exp
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Google leading the charge higher today, now approaching the breakout level of this C&H setup!
By: TrendSpider | April 6, 2023
• $GOOG Google leading the charge higher today, now approaching the breakout level of this C&H setup!
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$GOOG Nice relative strength from Google this morning with price forming a potential C&H pattern
By: TrendSpider | April 4, 2023
• $GOOG Nice relative strength from Google this morning with price forming a potential C&H pattern.
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Google co-founder Sergey Brin, other billionaires subpoenaed over JPMorgan's Epstein ties
https://insiderpaper.com/google-co-founder-sergey-brin-subpoenaed-over-jpmorgan-epstein-ties/
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Lagged last week, but nice pop on Friday. 108 remains my target here
By: Options Mike | April 2, 2023
• $GOOGL Lagged last week, but nice pop on Friday. 108 remains my target here.
Held the 21D and 200D.
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Alphabet (GOOGL) Trading At Bargain Prices?
By: Barchart | March 30, 2023
After this year’s rally in technology stocks pushed the valuations of most megacap stocks to excessive levels, shares of Alphabet (GOOGL) are an exception. Alphabet is the only one of the five biggest technology companies by market cap priced at a discount to the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index ($IUXX) (QQQ). In times of economic uncertainty, investors are flocking to megacap technology stocks with strong cash flows and favorable growth prospects.
Shares of Alphabet are up +13% this month, nearly twice the gain of the Nasdaq 100. This month’s rally is the largest monthly gain in Alphabet in almost two years and has added more than $140 billion of market value to the stock. Aptus Capital Advisors said, “of the mega caps, Alphabet is the only one that has growth above 10%, that has a valuation that’s palpable, and which has the opportunity for multiple expansion.”
Alphabet trades at about 17 times expected profit over the next 12 months, below the stock’s ten-year average of 20 and below the 24 times expected profit for the Nasdaq 100. Alphabet’s valuation makes it a potential bargain among megacap technology stocks. Apple (APPL), Microsoft (MSFT), and Nvidia (NVDA) all trade at premiums to their historical averages and to the Nasdaq 100’s valuation.
Last year, Alphabet sank -39% amid a pullback in spending on digital advertising and a broad selloff in technology stocks as interest rates soared after the Federal Reserve embarked on an aggressive rate-hiking campaign to combat inflation. However, in recent months analysts have been raising their revenue estimates for Alphabet for 2023, and revenue growth is now expected to rebound to 18% from 10% in 2022.
Alphabet’s initial foray into artificial intelligence (AI) temporarily weighed on the stock last month on concerns about the competency of Bard, Alphabet’s rival to ChatGPT. However, after granting access to the Bard chatbot, Bloomberg Intelligence said the release of Bard “could help allay fears the company is falling behind Microsoft-ChatAI’s ChatGPT in large language models.” Also, Winslow Capital said, “the AI story has only just started, and since Alphabet trades at a discount, it is harder to say that Microsoft or Apple have the same upside potential.”
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GOOGL $1.0 Million Call • Strike: 107 • Expiration: 4/21/23
By: Cheddar Flow | March 27, 2023
• $GOOGL $1.0M OTM Call -- Unusual
Strike: 107
Expiration: 4/21/23
*Above the Ask*
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Shorting Google Puts Is Popular As The Stock Remains Cheap
By: Barchart | March 26, 2023
Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is up 18% since Feb. 28 as investors worried about AI chatbot competitors. Shorting GOOG stock puts to lower buy-in costs and to create income has done well and could do so going forward. Investors can lower their average cost and also generate near-term income based on shorting near-term out-of-the-money (OTM) put options.
For example, GOOG stock is now at $106.06 as of March 24 after closing on February 28 at $90.30. We had argued the stock was cheap in our previous article, “Alphabet Stock Has Tumbled But Short Put Income Plays Are Still Popular.”
After all, despite the decline in search ads, Alphabet's cloud revenue is growing quickly, leading to slightly higher revenue. Moreover, free cash flow (FCF) is strong at $16 billion for the quarter. In addition, the company is laying off 12,000 people, or about 6% of its workforce, as I noted in an earlier article when the results came out.
I argued in the Feb. 26 article that GOOG stock was cheap as it was well below the 25x historical average multiple. For example, Barchart's survey says 14 analysts have an average 2023 forecast of $5.12 earnings per share (EPS) and $6.17 for 2024. This leaves GOOG stock at 20.7x earnings for 2023 and 17.2x for 2024.
Where This Leaves Investors In GOOG Stock
As a result, investors who shorted puts as we suggested in the last 2 articles now have a long position in the stock that has an unrealized capital gain.
This is because the short put options were likely exercised at the $100 strike price for the March 3 put expiration, although their average cost was lower given the put income. However, they have also been able to short puts at $85 and other strike prices that expired March 10 as we wrote in our Feb 26 article. So the investor's position is now well below $100 with the stock at $106.06 per share today.
Shorting the $100 put strike price and lower strike prices continue to look interesting now that we are at the end of the quarter. As a result, Alphabet is likely to announce earnings by early May. That could lead to volatility in the stock, which raises its put premiums.
Shorting Puts Going Forward To Lower Costs And To Create Income
For example, the April 28 expiration put option chain shows that the $100 strike price puts trade at $2.04 per contract. This is 71% higher than the $1.19 price March 3 expiration for the same $100 strike price puts that we pointed out in our Feb 5 article.
That shows the higher implied volatility in these put premiums. Investors are worried about the upcoming results. What should we do?
One rule to follow is to always try to lower your average buying cost with OTM short puts. For example, the investor now likely has a $97 to $98 buying cost if they followed our past several articles.
Therefore it might make sense to sell short the $197 strike price puts for expiration on April 28. They trade for $1.89 per contract, and this will lower the investors buying cost further to $95 to $96. Moreover, the investor makes a good yield.
GOOG Puts - Expiring April 28 - As of March 24, 2023 - Barchart
For example, assuming the investor has cash and/or margin of $9,700 in their account, they can enter in an order to “Sell to open" one put contract at the $97.00 strike price. That will immediately bring in $189 to the account. This works out to a yield of 1.95% (i.e., $189/$9700). Moreover, this put strike price is 8.5% below today's spot price of $106.06 and provides better downside protection than the $100 put strike price in terms of potentially getting exercised.
As a result, over the past several months investors following our articles on GOOG stock have been able to take advantage of the volatility in the GOOG stock price by shorting puts. In the process, they have created income and lowered their overall buying cost.
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$GOOG Weekly breakout for Google + first bullish 8/21 EMA cross since May of 2020!
By: TrendSpider | March 26, 2023
• $GOOG Weekly breakout for Google + first bullish 8/21 EMA cross since May of 2020!
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) 108 has been my target, dip and hold of the 8D would be great
By: Options Mike | March 26, 2023
• $GOOGL another of THE names they want, 108 has been my target, dip and hold of the 8D would be great.
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North Star Asset Management Inc. Has $7.99 Million Stock Holdings in Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
By: MarketBeat | March 23, 2023
• North Star Asset Management Inc. lifted its position in shares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) by 2.1% during the 4th quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 90,576 shares of the information services provider's stock after purchasing an additional 1,876 shares during the period. North Star Asset Management Inc.'s holdings in Alphabet were worth $7,992,000 at the end of the most recent quarter...
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$GOOG Inside bar today for Google but held the wedge breakout...
By: TrendSpider | March 23, 2023
• $GOOG Inside bar today for Google but held the wedge breakout...
A move above yesterday's high seems like a good trigger for more upside
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CWA Asset Management Group LLC Has $2.82 Million Stock Position in Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
By: MarketBeat | March 19, 2023
• CWA Asset Management Group LLC grew its position in Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) by 8.7% in the 4th quarter, according to its most recent filing with the SEC. The firm owned 31,985 shares of the information services provider's stock after buying an additional 2,550 shares during the period. CWA Asset Management Group LLC's holdings in Alphabet were worth $2,822,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period...
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$GOOG Balloon breakout for Google yesterday, let's see if bulls keep the momentum rolling today
By: TrendSpider | March 22, 2023
• $GOOG Balloon breakout for Google yesterday, let's see if bulls keep the momentum rolling today.
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$GOOGL SIZE & TIME in to the 03/15/24 $120 CALLS $2 mil premium
By: Money Flow Mel | March 21, 2023
• $GOOGL SIZE & TIME in to the 03/15/24 $120 CALLS
$2 mil premium
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JUST IN: Google CEO Sundar Pichai sent this email to all Google employees today about their progress in AI - CNBC
By: StockMKTNewz | March 21, 2023
• JUST IN:
Google $GOOGL CEO Sundar Pichai sent this email to all Google employees today about their progress in AI - CNBC
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$GOOG Google on breakout watch heading into next week as price tests trendzone resistance from all time highs.
By: TrendSpider | March 18, 2023
• $GOOG Google on breakout watch heading into next week as price tests trendzone resistance from all time highs.
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$GOOGL 1.69 million share at $96.11 #darkpool print
By: Money Flow Mel | March 15, 2023
• $GOOGL 1.69 million share #darkpool print at $96.11
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Google $GOOGL just filed for its purchase of 639,207 shares of Gitlab $GTLB at an average price of $29.71 per share
By: StockMKTNewz | March 15, 2023
• Google $GOOGL just filed for its purchase of 639,207 shares of Gitlab $GTLB at an average price of $29.71 per share
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GOOGL $1.2 Million Call • Strike: 95 • Expiration: 4/21/23
By: Cheddar Flow | March 15, 2023
• $GOOGL $1.2M Call
Strike: 95
Expiration: 4/21/23
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GOOGL $1.4 Million Call • Strike: 90 • Expiration: 4/21/23
By: Cheddar Flow | March 15, 2023
• $GOOGL $1.4M Call
Strike: 90
Expiration: 4/21/23
*Above the Ask*
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$GOOGL Millions worth of ITM Calls
By: Cheddar Flow | March 14, 2023
• $GOOGL Millions worth of ITM Calls
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No sign of Google search share loss despite ChatGPT growth - BofA
By: Investing.com | March 13, 2023
BofA's Justin Post told investors on Monday that Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Inc Class C (NASDAQ:GOOG)CFO Ruth Porat's recent commentary on AI suggests "products are coming and costs are manageable."
The analyst, who has a Buy rating and $125 price target on Alphabet, added that there are no signs of Google search share loss despite ChatGPT's growth.
"Recent daily traffic data indicates that ChatGPT growth continues, but w/w trends are moderating with recent daily Web visitor high of 48.5mn up only 100k w/w," wrote Post. "Bing downloads have been elevated since Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT)'s OpenAI announcement on Feb. 7th, but w/w downloads have declined over the past two weeks. Data also suggests Bing activity is not impacting Google Web traffic or search download activity, which has been stable since November."
Citing data from Statcounter, Post said Google's February market share "actually increased 50bps m/m to 93.4%," and they expect little to no impact from the ChatGPT ramp on Google search revenues in the first quarter.
"Google CFO Ruth Porat spoke at a broker conference last week and provided some higher-level AI commentary that we viewed as constructive given concerns on: 1) Google readiness for AI search transition, 2) potential share loss in search, and 3) potential for significant AI-related cost ramp. As for AI readiness, Ms. Porat indicated that Google is building on a decade of "extraordinary" AI work and will be launching a number of LLM-based products in the next weeks and months," the analyst continued.
"We continue to see strong data and technology advantages for Google and see potential for stable search metrics and LLM-based product releases over the next few months."
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GOOG Coming in for another test of wedge support off the 2022 lows...
By: TrendSpider | March 12, 2023
• $GOOG Coming in for another test of wedge support off the 2022 lows...
Will sellers slice through this time around?
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Spent 4 days trying to push over 95 before rolling over
By: Options Mike | March 12, 2023
• $GOOGL Spent 4 days trying to push over 95 before rolling over.
88 area support.
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Google 'remains the clear leader in search' - TD Cowen
By: Investing.com | March 10, 2023
In a note to clients Friday, TD Cowen analysts told investors in a research note that in a survey it conducted, Alphabet's (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google search engine "remains the clear leader in search."
The analysts revealed that 89% of respondents used Google in February, with 36% aware of ChatGPT, which launched in November, while 8% used ChatGPT in February.
"In our proprietary monthly survey of 2,500 U.S. consumers, we asked our respondents which search engines they had used in the past 30 days. Unsurprisingly, Google Search was the clear leader, with 89% of respondents indicating they used Google Search in Feb '23, Yahoo was a distant second (27%), followed by Bing (19%)," the analysts wrote.
TD Cowen found that around 70% of respondents who have used ChatGPT indicated the platform or another similar AI-powered chatbot could replace their usage of traditional search engines.
"While the high % of respondents suggested chatbots could replace trad'l search, in our view, it is highly unlikely that AI-based chatbots would replace search engines for all types of queries," they said.
"We view this as potentially likely for perhaps 5-10% of total search queries."
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Updated Trader's Cheat Sheet for Alphabet $GOOGL
By: Barchart | March 9, 2023
• Updated Trader's Cheat Sheet for Alphabet $GOOGL.
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Google $GOOGL co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin have gotten more involved in the company than they’ve been in years
By: StockMKTNewz | March 8, 2023
• Google $GOOGL co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin have gotten more involved in the company than they’ve been in years, with Brin even submitting code changes to Google’s ChatGPT competitor Bard - Bloomberg.
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Laggard, back at the 21/50D here. If market is strong will move with it
By: Options Mike | March 4, 2023
• $GOOGL Laggard, back at the 21/50D here.
If market is strong will move with it, but not a leader here.
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Alphabet likely rangebound until digital ad market re-accelerates - Barclays
By: Investing.com | March 3, 2023
Barclays analysts said in a research note Friday that Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) shares are likely to be rangebound until the digital ad market re-accelerates and competition and margin fears abate later in the second half of 2023.
The analysts, who have an Overweight rating and a $160 price target on the stock, explained that despite being years ahead in AI, "GOOGL shares face new risks from two vectors: 1) higher inference costs from AI-assisted search results, and 2) potential query share loss to ChatGPT, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Bing & other."
They stated that one of the firm's biggest concerns is that if most of the zero-click searches today transition to AI-assisted results, GOOGL could see a material hit to operating income.
In addition, they pointed to the fact that if Apple were to upgrade Siri to incorporate some of the new AI technologies — which, in their opinion, is very likely — or the EU/DoJ scrutinize the Google-Apple TAC agreement to the point that it pushes Apple into paid search, they think as much as 20% of iOS query share is at risk.
Finally, the analysts said that while it seems a long shot, Microsoft's (NASDAQ:MSFT) "aggressive push of the new Bing in desktop could claw away a few points of query share in that channel."
"We think GOOGL is in a new era. One where the buyside can't simply 'set it and forget it' with a 5% position. Investors are going to have to pay very close attention to not only the changing technology backdrop with AI but how the relationships between Google and its partners evolve as a result of these changes," they argued.
Even so, Barclays remains bullish on the stock due to the potential ad market recovery and "several quarters of upside starting in 2H23."
"When that phase comes back to the forefront, we think GOOGL shares can re-rate higher, and we want to be there for that."
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$GOOG Google trying to find a bounce off wedge support as MACD curls upward
By: TrendSpider | March 3, 2023
• $GOOG Google trying to find a bounce off wedge support as MACD curls upward.
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Receives Average Rating of "Moderate Buy" from Analysts
By: MarketBeat | March 2, 2023
• Shares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) have been assigned a consensus recommendation of "Moderate Buy" from the forty-five ratings firms that are covering the firm, Marketbeat.com reports. Five analysts have rated the stock with a hold recommendation, thirty have given a buy recommendation and one has assigned a strong buy recommendation to the company. The average 12 month price objective among brokerages that have updated their coverage on the stock in the last year is $132.32...
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Purchased by Sonen Capital LLC
By: MarketBeat | March 2, 2023
• Sonen Capital LLC boosted its stake in shares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) by 1,772.6% during the third quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The firm owned 6,498 shares of the information services provider's stock after purchasing an additional 6,151 shares during the period. Sonen Capital LLC's holdings in Alphabet were worth $622,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period...
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GOOGL $1.0 Million+ Put LEAPS • Strike: 81 • Expiration: 1/19/24
By: Cheddar Flow | March 2, 2023
• $GOOGL $1M+ OTM Put LEAPS
Strike: 81
Expiration: 1/19/24
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Most Bearish Flow Today $AMZN $GOOGL / $GOOG
By: Cheddar Flow | March 1, 2023
• Most Bearish Flow Today
$AMZN $GOOGL / $GOOG
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Alphabet Stock Has Tumbled But Short Pus Income Plays Are Still Popular
By: Barchart | February 26, 2023
Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) stock has tumbled over 10% in the last month, especially since it released earnings on Feb. 2. Nevertheless, shorting out-of-the-money put options is still popular with value investors.
I described this in my article on Feb 5, “Alphabet's Earnings Are Mediocre, But Short Put Plays Are Still Hot.” The company had lackluster revenue growth in 2022 and lower free cash flow (FCF) in 2022 compared to 2021.
Moreover, analysts have turned slightly negative on the stock, given the rise of OpenAI ChatBot search threat to its underlying earnings. For example, one analyst in Seeking Alpha argues that Alphabet's artificial intelligence BARD chatbot will likely increase its cost of search by 10x if it takes off and cannibalizes its existing search platform.
As a result, GOOG stock is off 10.87% in the past month and GOOGL stock is down 9.78%. GOOG stock is also down 22% in the last six months.
That has taken GOOG stock down from $108.82 on Feb. 2 to $89.35 as of Feb. 24. Now the stock's implied volatility has also risen. That makes its put options more popular with investors as an income play.
Out-Of-The-Money Short Put Plays Are Still Popular
We last discussed shorting out-of-the-money (OTM) puts at the $100 strike price for GOOG stock for both the March 3 and March 10 expiration periods. Since then the stock has tumbled dramatically to $89.35. Obviously now the investor would have had the short put contract exercised.
That means that the investor had to purchase GOOG stock at $100 and now has an unrealized loss. However, the March 3 put contract brought in $1.29 and the March 10 contract paid $1.45, so the breakeven levels were lower at $98.71 and $98.55 respectively with the stock at $89.35 today.
As a result, the investor now has a $9.36 loss on the March 3 contract and/or a $9.20 loss on the March 10 contract investments. This works out to a 9.48% loss on the March 3 contract (i.e., $9.20/$98.71)and a 9.33% loss for the March 10 contract investment.
Nevertheless, this is a similar loss that any other investor would have in the past month. Moreover, the investor can be comforted that the stock is cheaper, trading for just 17.5x forecast earnings, according to estimates of analysts surveyed by Barchart and Seeking Alpha. This is well below the average 25.4x multiple over the past 5 years, according to Morningstar.
Now the investor can either short out-of-the-money covered calls, and/or further OTM short puts. For example, in the latter case, the March 10 $85 strike price puts are trading for 65 cents per put contract.
GOOG Puts - March 10, 2023 Expiration - As of Feb. 24, 2023
This means that the short put investor can secure $8500 in cash and/or margin with their brokerage firm and enter an order to “Sell to Open” one put contract at the $85 strike price. This may not be as difficult in terms of new cash requirements now since the investor already has a margin balance from the long shares owned in GOOG stock. The investor then will immediately receive $65.00 in the account.
That works out to a yield of 0.765% in just 2 weeks before expiration. So on a monthly basis that is a 1.53% monthly return or 18.35% if repeated over a year.
That is a very good return for the next two weeks, especially since the stock would have to fall another $5.00 to $84.35, or 5.59% by March 10. In other words, despite the unrealized loss of $9.20 from the earlier short put contract investment, the investor can lower that loss by shorting more puts with little to no further investment in terms of margin or cash requirements.
As a result, the investor can repeat this trade and wait for GOOG stock to turn around. As I have shown, this is not unlikely given how cheap the stock is on a historical basis.
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Continued weakness in this one since their AI presentation
By: Options Mike | February 26, 2023
• $GOOGL Continued weakness in this one since their AI presentation.
86 Support see if it holds.
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GOOGL $6 Million+ Worth of March Puts
By: Cheddar Flow | February 23, 2023
• $GOOGL $6M+ Worth of March Puts
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Google now has a lower P/E ratio than many leading consumer staples companies
By: Charlie Bilello | February 22, 2023
• 7) The Safety Bubble?
Google now has a lower P/E ratio than many leading consumer staples companies.
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Purchased by Marble Harbor Investment Counsel LLC
By: MarketBeat | February 21, 2023
• Marble Harbor Investment Counsel LLC grew its position in shares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) by 1,960.0% in the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 17,160 shares of the information services provider's stock after acquiring an additional 16,327 shares during the quarter. Marble Harbor Investment Counsel LLC's holdings in Alphabet were worth $1,641,000 at the end of the most recent quarter...
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) 50D holding on... under 92 then 90 is support
By: Options Mike | February 20, 2023
• $GOOGL Chart a mess, 50D holding on... under 92 then 90 is support.
21D needs to be cleared above.
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GOOG Tech bulls looking for Google to catch up with the rest of the pack next week?
By: TrendSpider | February 17, 2023
• $GOOG Tech bulls looking for Google to catch up with the rest of the pack next week?
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GOOG $1.2 Million Call • Strike: 100 • Expiration: 7/21/23
By: Cheddar Flow | February 15, 2023
• $GOOG $1.2M OTM Call
Strike: 100
Expiration: 7/21/23
*At the Ask*
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$GOOG Careful on these 07/21/23 $100 CALLS --- these are all coming in Bid or Below the Bid so it is call writing
By: Money Flow Mel | February 14, 2023
• $GOOG Careful on these 07/21/23 $100 CALLS --- these are all coming in Bid or Below the Bid so it is call writing.
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The Saudi Public Investment Fund bought more than 4 Million shares of Google $GOOGL during Q4
By: StockMKTNewz | February 14, 2023
• The Saudi Public Investment Fund bought more than 4 Million shares of Google $GOOGL during Q4
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GOOGL has reached a key milestone in designing server processors aimed at reducing the cost of operating its data centers and keeping up with cloud business rival Amazon
By: StockMKTNewz | February 13, 2023
• Google $GOOGL has reached a key milestone in designing server processors aimed at reducing the cost of operating its data centers and keeping up with cloud business rival Amazon $AMZN - The Information
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) 50D support so far, gap fill to 92 next
By: Options Mike | February 12, 2023
• $GOOGL playing catch up w/ $MSFT now on AI for search. Sold off on a rushed bad presentation.
50D support so far, gap fill to 92 next.
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toned daily pps PPO acuml vol r.s.i.
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