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es1

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es1

Re: downsideup post# 49811

Monday, 11/19/2012 11:12:27 PM

Monday, November 19, 2012 11:12:27 PM

Post# of 276827
That is you "Fraudulent claim? LMFAO. Let me highlight a couple of comments to begin with.

So let me be the first to say my assumptions about Kims production are way off. LOLI am sure I am not correct about the numbers since if he started with 40 pair instead of 1 he would be closer to 4 quadrillion worm eggs and an income of $14 billion. LOL!!! But now we agree that 1 person can produce $150K of worms a year without committing much time to it.LOL!!! I dont want to assume that Kim is selling worms, eggs, silk or poop.



Now I can deal with your assumption of what I thought...

Now If we can just do something with all those 30 million cocoons we agree Kim could have already.
What do you suppose 30 million cocoons weigh? Around 30 tons? WOW that seems like we could make some money with the leftovers. Regular silk is $60K a ton. I guess we can actually say Kim could have around $2 million in silk too. Maybe you are right there is no profit to be made here LOL!!!




#1 30M cocoons would only weigh 15 tons so I was incorrect there. so the quantity was only going to produce $1M

Why don't you update us, though, on how much MORE they should have produced by now, given another three months on the ramp up to commercial production ?

I wonder where they're storing that "more than" 30 tons of silk you thought they'd already have produced in August... given you thought that was on the low side ?

Dont think "more than" was said However the words "could have" are definitely there for those of us who can read.

So yes I stand behind the fact that using those numbers the way we did Kim could have $1m in silk.

Of course that would have required him to either have sent the product somewhere to be processed or have acquired a processor. Both of which have not happened.

So although he "Could have" 15 tons of silk I would be wiser to expect someone who is in the process of ramping up at as low a cost as possible would require MUCH more than 15 tons of silk stored in a much smaller space than would take to hold the cloth.

HHHMMMMM hold on while the gerbil runs inside my head and processes the options available.....

Seems that my "Pentium quad core gerbil" between my ears says logic deems he is storing the silk in the form of eggs.

You haven't forgotten that each egg represents .5 grams of silk have you?
In case that fact of life has eluded you.... eggs are babies of whatever laid them... in this case a silk worm. Which were given their name for the strangest reason...

So to answer your question for an update this might help...

# of days since the breakthrough= D
generation approximation(G)
Quantity of worms assumed to start breeding = Y


G= D/50 (approx breeding cycle)
Y/2= breeding pair (B)

B * 150= eggs (E)

E * .75= Y (adjusted for an assumed 25% mortality)

So ...

((Y/2) x 150)x.75= Y

Do this problem to the power of G and you will have your egg count.

total egg count = X

X/2=Grams of silk (S)

S/985600 = tons of silk

I can not assume your starting point for you

Also please note that there are quite a few variables involved in this. Like breeding cycles are between 45 and 55 days. So if you use this and post the number be very careful... There are some people out there who cant see variables and will call you a fraud if you are off by 1 worm.

Is that the best you could find for "fraudulent statements?"?

Think the only thing "flogged" here is a dead horse ....






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