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Friday, 12/15/2017 7:41:55 AM

Friday, December 15, 2017 7:41:55 AM

Post# of 76351
Long-Term December Pattern Also Indicates Rally to Resume
By: Almanac Trader | December 14, 2017



Over the long-term, it has not been all that unusual for December to start off mixed and for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ to be unchanged or even down at the half-way point. This longer-term pattern can be seen in the following chart using data from 1950 through 2016 (1971 to 2016 for NASDAQ). Some of the weakness around mid-month is likely due to tax-related selling and some early end-of-year portfolio restructuring.

Historically weakness has generally come to end just after mid-month around the eleventh trading day and on the fifteenth trading day DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ are generally back on track with a solid rally to wrap up the year. From its mid-month low to the last trading day of the year, NASDAQ has gained over 2% on average. S&P 500 and DJIA have averaged around 1.5%. Based upon December’s long-term pattern, look for the rally to resume between now and early next week.

http://jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/168551462263/long-term-december-pattern-also-indicates-rally-to

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