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Re: boston745 post# 8208

Tuesday, 05/16/2017 5:24:31 PM

Tuesday, May 16, 2017 5:24:31 PM

Post# of 40914
$2 B is actually fairly conservative -- it could be several times that .... Firstly, forget about current revenues, as they are merely a part of the distraction (or illusion if you are even more skeptical) -- aside from the distraction effect, current revenues as far as valuing amda are almost meaningless ...

With advanced technology, in a fast growing medical segment, there is always a big premium for the leader; and valuations are very forward looking and typically focus on the size of the overall markets served in aggregate. Ill give a realistic formula for AMDA...

PV = (Worldwide implant market X 0.30 (penetration rate)) x 2.0 (sales multiple for tech leader)
all discounted back 5 years using a 15% time/risk discount rate...

PV = Present Value in todays dollars

Implant Market figures are gross sales numbers...
(take current figures and add 25% to allow for growth with 2nd gen and 3D printing and aging of population etc)
Assumes 5 years to penetrate market


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