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boston745

05/16/17 6:19 PM

#8210 RE: stealthways #8209

The global bioceramics market is valued at 15 billion and expected to grow to 19 billion in 5 years. Using your formula that's a 4.47 billion valuation.

Bioceramics Market Size To Reach $19.05 Billion By 2022
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boston745

12/07/17 2:15 PM

#12643 RE: stealthways #8209

I wonder where stealth went?

$2 B is actually fairly conservative -- it could be several times that .... Firstly, forget about current revenues, as they are merely a part of the distraction (or illusion if you are even more skeptical) -- aside from the distraction effect, current revenues as far as valuing amda are almost meaningless ...

With advanced technology, in a fast growing medical segment, there is always a big premium for the leader; and valuations are very forward looking and typically focus on the size of the overall markets served in aggregate. Ill give a realistic formula for AMDA...

PV = (Worldwide implant market X 0.30 (penetration rate)) x 2.0 (sales multiple for tech leader)
all discounted back 5 years using a 15% time/risk discount rate...

PV = Present Value in todays dollars

Implant Market figures are gross sales numbers...
(take current figures and add 25% to allow for growth with 2nd gen and 3D printing and aging of population etc)
Assumes 5 years to penetrate market