Monday, April 24, 2017 11:14:10 AM
IPCI's royalty %age on Focalin is around 5% to 10%.
IPCI's royalty %age on Seroquel is probably around 30% to 40%.
So... on the minimum... if Focalin royalty now 10% versus Seroquel 30% then that calculating factor would be your $1.5 million per quarter X 3 or $4.5 million per quarter.
And... on the maximum... if Focalin royalty now 5% versus Seroquel 40% then that calculating factor would be your $1.5 million per quarter X 8 or $12 million per quarter.
Suddenly looks quite different than your figuring... but it's your figures with the one element you oversaw... and I certainly expect Seroquel royalty %age to be a minimum 30% to possibly 50%.
I think the biggest unknown in all this figuring is whether MNK is as adapt at capturing market share as PAR has been.
ps - I would cut these figures in half as PAR has I believe 34% market share on Focalin... the best I would hope for MNK with Seroquel is 16%, which is the fair share since there are going to be 6 distributors... so far.
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