NanoViricides Inc. (NNVC)

[JG36]

I'd give this stock a 20% chance of succeeding. (If the market agrees with me then it is expecting a price of about $6 if NNVC succeeds, about 1/0.2 = 5 times the current price.)

So that means there is an 80% chance of failure -- NNVC runs out of money, declares bankruptcy, and the stock price goes to zero. Theracour, which will still be around (it makes money every year) will then be free to try to develop and market their 'cides some other way -- "Goodbye, NNVC, and thanks for all the cash."