• Last week the secondaries outperformed the blue chips.
The negatives
Last week the market followed the average seasonal pattern and rose. However, the breadth indicators did not follow.
The positives
New lows remained at non threatening levels; otherwise the breadth indicators are not very encouraging.
Seasonality
Average returns for the coming week have been negative by all measures and worse during the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle than other periods.
Conclusion
The market had a weak rally last week, unconfirmed by the breadth indicators. Seasonality next week is weak. I expect the major averages to be lower on Friday October 28 than they were on Friday October 21.
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