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Re: JJSeabrook post# 56033

Saturday, 10/18/2014 1:44:14 AM

Saturday, October 18, 2014 1:44:14 AM

Post# of 68424
Hi JJS - I am in this stock for some years now and have kept on following your posts with much interest. My question regarding your calculation about the odds would be how you tried to factor in the specifics of this case. I think the number of granted en banc hearings is small, yet we seem to have several factors working for us:

1) large sums involved
2) Boies
3) Chen dissenting
4) amicus briefs (likely)
5) strong submission/key legal issue
6) SCOTUS hearings about similar case are informative/give guidance to CAFC

against us:
1) non-precidential

Hence, considering that many cases that do not get heard en banc may be ones that do have minor sums involved, where the jury was unanimous etc etc, the statistical probability of the Vringo case being heard should be significantly higher. I cannot give a number without collecting detailed data and running corresponding regressions, yet my gut feeling says that the odds should be pretty good given the above case characteristics. Would be curious to hear your thoughts
cheers M