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Re: ThomasS post# 54676

Sunday, 11/11/2007 7:09:05 PM

Sunday, November 11, 2007 7:09:05 PM

Post# of 252464
Re: Sales potential of MNTA’s M118

>Would $5-6B be rational, if all pans out?<

Instead of answering your question directly, let me present some background information so that you may judge for yourself.

M118 is MNTA’s lead proprietary drug and it is in phase-2 (#msg-23604134).

Before discussing M118 further, let’s recap the pros and cons of the other classes of anticoagulants on the market or in development.

(Understanding the discussion below may be facilitated by referring to the graphic in #msg-23010615, which shows that FXa is the pivot point in a positive-feedback loop that accelerates the production of FIIA [also called thrombin] and greatly facilitates clot formation.)

FXa intervention via LMWH’s such as Lovenox (or via oral FXa inhibitors in development) works great for preventing DVT, but it is ineffective against arterial thrombosis and hence is rarely used in the cath lab; moreover, LMWH’s and oral FXa inhibitors in development are not reversible.

FIIa intervention via Angiomax and other direct thrombin inhibitors works great for preventing arterial thrombosis and hence is widely used in the cath lab; however, it is ineffective against DVT for either acute treatment or prophylaxis. It is also not reversible.

Unfractionated heparin, the old hospital standby, inhibits FXa and FIIa equally well and is reversible; however, it is unpredictable with respect to dose response and requires close monitoring to prevent life-threatening bleeding episodes.

Now, back to M118… it has been designed by MNTA from the ground up to incorporate the best features of unfractionated heparin, LMW heparin, and direct thrombin inhibitors while omitting the most troublesome features. It does this by using a proprietary mixture of short- and long-chain heparin fragments as shown in #msg-24393520. The short heparin chains can inhibit FXa but not FIIa, while the long chains can inhibit both FXa and FIIa.

M118 consists of a proprietary mix of short- and long-chain fragments that MNTA believes is optimal for the therapeutic uses in which it will be used. If it works as advertised it will be a monumental blockbuster, IMO. However, it is still relatively early in development.

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