The title of this board, Peak Oil - Epochal Event of Our Lives, purposely includes the word epochal, meaning without parallel.
Why will Peak Oil be without parallel?
Look at past events in the Middle East, which interrupted the supply of oil throughout the world and especially in the United States. These disruptions were geopolitical events and were ultimately resolved with diplomacy.
Peak Oil, on the other hand, will be a geological event, something that mankind has never faced before and certainly cannot control. It will inevitably occur when world oil production has reached its maximum capacity, as oil is a finite resource.
Illustrated below is Hubbert's Curve, which shows the growth, peak, and decline of worldwide, regional, and individual wells. This sequence continues to occur as world population dramatically increases and as Asia, in particular, accelerates its industrialization and its citizenry expands car ownership.
HUBBERT CURVE
Regional Vs Individual Wells
Peak Oil will adversely affect many aspects of our lives. For example, over the last 100 years, gas powered engines have contributed to the discovery and expansion of the automobile and airplane industries. Recently the population of the United States reached 300 million and vehicles now total 225 million. Future population growth, with a corresponding increase in vehicles, will further deplete oil supplies.
Agriculture has changed from numerous labor and animal-intensive family farms to a machine-intensive industry primarily controlled by corporations. Further, much of the increased productivity of farm soil emanates from petroleum-based fertilizers.
Transportation and agriculture are just two segments of society that must adjust to prospective oil declines. The critical question is how will our entire society adjust to a worldwide oil scarcity.
M. King Hubbert, a Shell geologist, predicted in 1956 that oil production in the United States would peak between 1965 to 1970. In hindsight, it did peak in 1970.
Mr. Hubbert's warning was given, yet it has been largely ignored. Oil discoveries and plentiful oil reserves in Alaska and the North Sea made many people complacent. In addition, new technologies were developed, so that oil was sucked up from the earth as if by giant straws. Although oil was abundant in the 1980's and 1990's, reserves in this century are in demonstrable decline.
China, in particular, recognizes the potential shortage of oil. It canvasses the world making oil deals to secure its energy future. It is also currently building 30 nuclear reactors and 7 hydroelectric dams to supplement its energy needs.
Sadly, the United States lingers behind. Its attitude seems to be that oil will always be abundant, probably because it has been in the past. Even with the dramatic crude oil price increases of the past three years, there still is a reluctance to confront this potential problem.
PURPOSE OF THIS BOARD
One purpose of this board is to provide I-Hub members with a repository of Peak Oil articles. Hopefully these will stimulate interest in the topic and I invite readers to post their thoughts.
Another important purpose of this board is to help people in preparing for or coping with the Peak Oil event. To this end, various links by category have been supplied below.
Good luck!
sumisu
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TABLE OF CONTENTS :
- GETTING READY FOR PEAK OIL & SUSTAINABLE LIVING
- PEAK OIL READING LIST FROM JIM PUPLAVA
- PEAK OIL SITES, BLOGS, & ORGANIZATIONS
- NARRATIVE LINKS
- M. KING HUBBERT
- ROBERT L. HIRSCH
- MATT SIMMONS
- PRESIDENT JIMMY CARTER
- CONGRESSMAN ROSCOE BARTLETT
- NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC ON PEAK OIL
- FSN/JIM PUPLAVA AUDIO INTERVIEWS
- OTHER AUDIOS & VIDEOS
- TRANSPORTATION CONSIDERATIONS
- COMMUNITY SOLUTIONS & NEW URBANISM
- OTHER NATIONS - STATUS FOR PEAK OIL
- OIL & RESOURCE WARS
- CANTARELL OIL FIELD & DEPLETION
- EXPORT LAND MODEL
- CHARTS AND ILLUSTRATIONS OF INTEREST
- ASSOCIATED BOARDS
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GETTING READY FOR PEAK OIL & SUSTAINABLE LIVING
A companion #board-9881 titled "PEAK OIL + DEPRESSION - SUSTAINABLE LIVING" was spun off from this board to provide an archive of postings and sources of information which will aid individuals and communities to adopt and survive in a world of declining energy resources.
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PEAK OIL READING LIST FROM JIM PUPLAVA
http://www.financialsense.com/resources/peakoil.html
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PEAK OIL SITES, BLOGS, & ORGANIZATIONS
Peak Oil Clock http://sydneypeakoil.com/peak_oil_clock/
ASPO - USA http://www.aspo-usa.com/index.php?option=com_frontpage&Itemid=35
ASPO - INTERNATIONALhttp://www.peakoil.net
Beyond Oil, The View from Hubbert's Peak by Kenneth S. Deffeyes http://www.princeton.edu/hubbert/index.html
Dry Dipstick http://www.drydipstick.com
Energy Balance http://tinyurl.com/42awvh
Energy Bulletin http://www.energybulletin.net/
Energy Bulletin: Peak Oil Primer and Links http://www.energybulletin.net/primer.php
Energy Outlook http://energyoutlook.blogspot.com/
Global Public Media - Public Service Broadcasting For A Post Carbon World http://globalpublicmedia.com/
Life After the Oil Crash http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/
National Petroleum Council http://www.npc.org
NEI Nuclear Notes http://neinuclearnotes.blogspot.com/
Peak Oil Design http://peakoildesign.com/
Peak Oil News & Message Boards http://www.peakoil.com/
PLENTY http://www.plentymag.com/
Post Carbon Institute http://www.postcarbon.org/
Simmons & Company International http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research.aspx?Type=msspeeches
The Coming Global Oil Crisis http://www.oilcrisis.com
The Oil Drum http://www.theoildrum.com/
The View From The Peak http://www.theviewfromthepeak.net
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NARRATIVE LINKS
Peak Oil FAQ #msg-33046927
Peak Oil Report by Peak Oil Associates International #msg-32147901
Evolutionary psychology and peak oil #msg-30634038
Roscoe Bartlett Discusses His Special Order Speeches #msg-29893771
OIL SHOCK AND ENERGY TRANSITION by Andrew McKillop, May 7, 2008 #msg-29196735
Energy Bull Market Fundamentals Remain Strong, Chris Puplava, 2008 http://tinyurl.com/5nze3h
The Truth About Oil by Vasko Kohlmayer, 05 08 08 http://tinyurl.com/3guotj
The Gospel According to Matthew, by Mimi Swartz, 02/01/08 #msg-26286577
Another Nail in the Coffin of the Case Against Peak Oil, Matt Simmons, Nov 2007
http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/files/Another%20Nail%20in%20the%20Coffin.pdf
Megaprojects update: Just how close to Peak Oil are we? 10/18/07 Chris Skrebowski: Trustee of the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre http://tinyurl.com/33rl3q
Crisis, what energy crisis? Euan Mearns, The Oil Drum: Europe. 07/03/07 Over 50 links to Oil Drum articles from the past year are provided which combined provide a comprehensive overview of the issues surrounding peak oil and energy decline. http://www.energybulletin.net/31608.html
On the Precipice: Energy Security & Economic Stability on the Edge - by Daniel Davis 07/17/07 http://www.aspo-usa.com/assets/documents/Danny_Davis_On_the_Precipice.pdf
Evolutionary psychology and peak oil: A Malthusian inspired "heads up" for humanity. by Dr. Michael E. Mills http://www.drmillslmu.com/peakoil.htm
Peak oil: Facts converge with theory http://tinyurl.com/2gtud4
11 incontrovertible truths of oil production & peak oil arguments by PeakEngineer, 05/23/07 #msg-19902674
Peak Oil, Carrying Capacity and Overshoot: Population, the Elephant in the Room, © Copyright 2007, Paul Chefurka http://www.paulchefurka.ca/Population.html
CRUDE OIL Uncertainty about Future Oil Supply Makes It Important to Develop a Strategy for Addressing a Peak and Decline in Oil Production, GAO Report, 03/29/07 http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d07283.pdf
DIE OFF - a population crash resource page http://www.dieoff.com/index.html
Portland, Oregon City Council unanimously creates a peak oil task force - 05/10/06 http://www.portlandpeakoil.org/
Testimony before the Australian Senate by Dr. Samsam Bakhtiari, a senior expert employed by the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), 07/11/06 http://www.aph.gov.au/hansard/senate/commttee/S9515.pdf
The Hirsch Report - February 2005 #msg-10310387
The Financial Sense Energy Resource Page http://www.financialsense.com/energy/main.htm
Financial Sense Big Picture Archive http://www.financialsense.com/fsn/2006.html
OIL: A TRAVELOGUE OF ADDICTION by Chicago Tribune, 07/29/06 (Suggested viewing: Open link and click on Watch documentary, left-hand column). http://tinyurl.com/h78ve
Exploring emotional reactions to peak oil by Kathy McMahon http://www.energybulletin.net/19718.html
Denial Of Energy Crisis Is A Conditioned Response, By Dave Wheelock #msg-25561271
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M. KING HUBBERT
Hubbert peak theory From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
A Tribute To M. King Hubbert http://www.hubbertpeak.com/Hubbert/
Outlook for Fuel Reserves http://www.mkinghubbert.com/files/hubbert_1974.pdf
Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels by M. King Hubbert, 1956 Published on 8 Mar 2006 by Energy Bulletin. Archived on 8 Mar 2006. http://www.energybulletin.net/13630.html
Shell Execs Briefed on Peak Oil in 1956
EXPONENTIAL GROWTH AS A TRANSIENT PHENOMENON IN HUMAN HISTORY
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/Hubbert/wwf1976/
Are we at the peak of oil production? #msg-39230370#msg-29389791
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ROBERT L. HIRSCH
The Hirsch Report - February 2005 #msg-10310387
Robert L. Hirsch from Wikipedia - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_L._Hirsch
Robert Hirsch - Peak Oil Video - #msg-33832912
FSN: Energy Roundtable: Jim Puplava, Matthew Simmons, Robert L. Hirsch, & Jeffrey G. Rubin Discussion - 02/02/08 http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/roundtable/2008/0202.html
Dr. Robert Hirsch: "We Are Staring Directly Into An Energy Storm in The Next 2-3 Years"
#msg-69993495
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MATT SIMMONS
Simmons & Company web site
http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research.aspx?Type=msspeeches
Book Review: Twilight in the Desert - The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy by Matthew R. Simmons
Read more: http://blogcritics.org/books/article/book-review-twilight-in-the-desert/#ixzz0nXMuOsbg
Peak Oil Solution: The Simmons Plan
http://blogs.forbes.com/energysource/2010/02/10/peak-oil-solution-the-simmons-plan/
Presentation at 2006 Boston World Oil Conference, 10/26/2006
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-429585738009344102#
PRESIDENT JIMMY CARTER
President Carter's Address to the Nation On Energy Policy (April 18, 1977) Video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Y6pPF_lzsU
Transcript: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/carter/filmmore/ps_energy.html
Energy Policy and Conservation Executive Order 12003, July 20th, 1977
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=7842
Carter's Brave Vision on Energy by David Morris, Monday, October 10, 2005 by the Minneapolis Star Tribune
http://www.commondreams.org/views05/1010-27.htm
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CONGRESSMAN ROSCOE BARTLETT
Congressman Bartlett is leading efforts to change U.S. energy policy to address the challenges of peak oil. U.S. oil production peaked in 1970 and is in permanent decline. World oil production will also peak - perhaps disastrously soon. http://bartlett.house.gov
Congressman Roscoe Bartlett video on Peak Oil in 7 parts. . .
The House of Representatives formed a Peak Oil caucus in 2005 with 8 members: #msg-30864250
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NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC ON PEAK OIL
"Tapped Out" by Paul Roberts, August 2008 http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2008/06/world-oil/roberts-text
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FSN/JIM PUPLAVA AUDIO INTERVIEWS
Financial Sense Newshour [FSN] Energy 'Peark Harbor' or Collapse 7-31-2010
James J. Puplava, Matthew R. Simmons, Oliver Inderwildi, Dr. Robert L. Hirsch,Peak Oil; Saudi Arabia's halt to oil exploration; BP oil spill
http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/fsn/~5/lposr9dSino/fsn2010-0731-2.mp3
FSN In Depth: Michael C. Ruppert, "Confronting Collapse: The Crisis of Energy and Money in a Post Peak Oil World" 7-28-2010
http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/fsn/~5/FWTi4RuaeFI/fsn2010-0728-1.mp3
[FSN] Jim Puplava interviews Jeff Rubin on June 27, 2009. "Why Your World Is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller " http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2009/Rubin.html
FSN: Jim Puplava interviews Michael Klare 10 25 08
http://www.netcastdaily.com/broadcast/fsn2008-1025-2.mp3
FSN show on 09 27 08
ASPO presentations by:
Robert L. Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI
Matthew R. Simmons, Chairman, Simmons & Company Int.
Chris Skrebowski, Editor, UK Petroleum Review
http://www.netcastdaily.com/broadcast/fsn2008-0927-3b.mp3
FSN: W.D. Lyle Jr., Ph.D. & L. Scott Allen, Ph.D., August 30, 2008. "A Very Unpleasant Truth" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2008/Lyle.html
FSN: Matthew R. Simmons, August 9, 2008. "Energy: It's Still Cheap" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2008/Simmons.html
FSN: Chris Nelder [coauthor, Brian Hicks], 8/02/08. "Profit From The Peak: The End of Oil and the Greatest Investment Event of the Century" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2008/Nelder.html
FSN: Michael T. Klare, 6/21/08. "Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet: The New Geopolitics of Energy" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2008/Klare.html
FSN: Steve LeVine, 03/29/08. "The Oil and the Glory: The Pursuit of Empire and Fortune on the Caspian Sea" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2008/LeVine.html
FSN: Energy Roundtable: Jim Puplava, Matthew Simmons, Robert L. Hirsch, & Jeffrey G. Rubin Discussion - 02/02/08 http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/roundtable/2008/0202.html
FSN: Richard Heinberg, 09/22/07. "Peak Everything: Waking up to the Century of Declines" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2007/Heinberg.html
FSN: Matthew Simmons, 08/18/07, "All the Canaries Have Stopped Singing" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2007/Simmons.html
FSN: Matthew R. Simmons, 11/25/06, - Critique of the CERA Report http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Simmons.html
FSN: Richard Heinberg, 10/21/06 - "The Oil Depletion Protocol" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Heinberg.html
FSN: Matthew R. Simmons, 09/30/06 http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Simmons.html
FSN: Jeremy Leggett, 07 08 06 - "The Empty Tank"
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Leggett.html
FNS:Paul Kruger, 06 03 06 - "Alternative Energy Resources" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Kruger.html
FSN: Peter Tertzakian, 04/15/06 - "A Thousand Barrels A Second" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Tertzakian.html
FSN: The Last Oil Crisis; 03/04/06 http://www.financialsense.com/fsn/BP/2006/0304.html
FSN: Energy Roundtable - Jim Puplava, James Kunstler, Richard Heinberg, 02/18/06 http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/roundtable/2006/0218.html
FSN: "Zapata" George Blake, 02/04/06 - "Everything But The Kitchen Sink!" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Blake.html
FSN: Ahead Of The Trend: Interview with Zapata George Blake, 01/14/06 http://finance.banks.com/intersearch?Account=banks&GUID=272396&Page=MediaViewer&Ticker=BJS
FSN:"Energy, The Big Story of 2005" (Select December 24 - Part 1) http://www.financialsense.com/fsn/2005.html
FSN: James Howard Kunstler, 10/01/05 -"The Long Emergency" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2005/Kunstler.html
FSN: Matthew R. Simmons, 08/06/05 -"Twilight In The Desert" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2005/Simmons.html
FSN: Kenneth S. Deffeyes, 05/21/05 - "Beyond Oil: The View From Huppert's Peak" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2005/Deffeyes.html
FSN: Michael T. Klare, 01/15/05 - "Blood and Oil" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2005/Klare.html
FSN: Matt Savinar, 10/23/2004- "The Oil Age Is Over" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Savinar.html
FSN: Dennis Meadows, Co-Author, 10/09/04, "Limits to Growth: The 30-year Update"
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Meadows.html
FSN: Julian Darley, Author, 09/25/2004- "High Noon for Natural Gas" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Darley.html
FSN: Richard Heinberg: 08/07/04 -"Powerdown" & 02 23 03 - The Party's Over http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Heinberg.html
FSN: Paul Roberts: 05/29/04- "The End of Oil:On the Edge of a Perilous New World" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Roberts.html
FSN: Stephen Leeb, 05/08/04 - "The Oil Factor: Protect Yourself--and Profit--From the Coming Energy Crisis" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Leeb.html
FSN: Lutz Kleveman, 01/24/04 - "The New Great Game: Blood and Oil in Central Asia"
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Kleveman.html
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OTHER AUDIOS & VIDEOS
Peak Oil - Chris Martenson http://www.chrismartenson.com/peak_oil
Twilight In the Desert http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QfEO3PCEeis
Peak Oil - Robert Hirsch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qSbfvZiJ9g0
Peak Oil - Crude Impact #msg-30619202
CNN Special Investigation - OUT OF GAS #msg-30188572
91 86 90 - Peak Oil Number-Crunching http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oC-koGwRu_A
Oil and the 'New International Energy Order' - Michael Klare, 04 14 08 http://tinyurl.com/59947u
"A conversation with John Hofmeister" - Charlie Rose, 03 25 08 http://tinyurl.com/23o8py
Video: A High-Risk Barrel, September 28, 2007 http://novakeo.com/?p=1054&jal_no_js=true&poll_id=10
Matt Savinar - Coast to Coast, 10/07 http://klrietmann.bingodisk.com/bingo/public/Savinarc2c111.mp3
A Crude Awakening http://tinyurl.com/yp88uu
Matthew Simmons on Peak Oil, ASPO Conference at Boston University 10 27 06 http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-429585738009344102&q=peak+oil'
Dr. Kenneth Deffeyes on Peak Oil, 2005 Energy Conference - http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=2992397199507996758&hl=en
Peak Oil, Richard Heinberg, 09/11/06 http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-2141508903056009420
Peak Oil: Fireside Chat with Julian Darley - http://video.google.com/videosearch?hl=en&q=julian%20darley%2C%20boston%20world%20oil%20conference&um=1&ie=UTF-8&sa=N&tab=wv#q=julian+darley&hl=en&emb=0
Peak Oil & The Party's Over http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xl3J4Kpy88&feature=PlayList&p=F39AC0DCDA7ADEC2&index=0&playnext=1
Peak Oil: Gas Prices, Supply Depletion & Energy Crisis: From NewCulture.org, 07 27 06 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMQd5nGEkr4&mode=related&search
The Long Emergency: Surviving Catastophies of the 21st Century, 10 30 05 http://tinyurl.com/2g6p35
Real Oil Crisis - 11 24 05 (Video Presentation) http://www.abc.net.au/catalyst/stories/s1515141.htm
The Geopolitical Consequences of Peak Oil: Michael Klare, 10 27 06 http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-3121561902567229690&hl=en
The End of Suburbia http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q3uvzcY2Xug&feature=related
World Made By Hand (Video Promo) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbEe8v4YpgA
T. Boone Pickens on CNBC [discusses alternative energies] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ylI4iQ-5iXg
Dr. Al Husseini, retired head of exploration and production for Saudi Aramco, interview with CNBC on 03/27/08: http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=697807590&play=1
RICHARD HEINBERG on OUR POST-CARBON FUTURE http://tinyurl.com/636juw
Megan Quinn Bachman - Peak Oil, Community & The Future in four parts:
Calm Before the Storm, Richard Heinberg http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajqgOCxGEAo
Running on Empty: Life Without Cheap Oil http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jqg3P3wOV60
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TRANSPORTATION CONSIDERATIONS
A 10% Reduction in America's Oil Use in Ten to Twelve Years An Overlooked, Practical, and Affordable Approach Using Mature Existing Technology by Alan S. Drake, May 2006 • Rev. October 2006 http://www.lightrailnow.org/features/f_lrt_2006-05a.htm
Electrification of transportation as a response to peaking of world oil production by Alan S. Drake 12/19/05 in Light Rail Now http://www.energybulletin.net/14492.html
Public Transport Industry Issues http://www.lightrailnow.org/industry_issues.htm#electrification
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COMMUNITY SOLUTIONS & NEW URBANISM
The Community Solution http://www.communitysolution.org/
WORLD CHANGING http://www.worldchanging.com/about/
How to Wean a Town Off Fossil Fuels http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/005135.html
A Community Solution to Peak Oil: An interview with Megan Quinn http://www.energybulletin.net/5721
Sustain Lane | The Healthy, Sustainable Living Community Resource http://www.sustainlane.com/
Culture Change http://culturechange.org/cms/index.php
Communities, Refuges, and Refuge-Communities by Zachary Nowak http://www.energybulletin.net/21172.html
Karavans - Moving Toward a New World of Self-Sufficiency, Sustainability, and Genuine Community http://www.karavans.com/peakoil.html
New Urbanism http://www.newurbanism.org/
The New Urbanisn http://www.newurbannews.com/AboutNewUrbanism.html
Online NewsHour - New Urbanism http://www.pbs.org/newshour/newurbanism/
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OTHER NATIONS - STATUS FOR PEAK OIL
Closing the 'Collapse Gap': The USSR was better prepared for peak oil than the US - by Dmitry Orlov, 12/04/06
http://www.energybulletin.net/node/23259
The power of community: How Cuba survived peak oil - by Megan Quinn, 02/25/06 http://www.energybulletin.net/13171.html
"Flush With Energy" By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN August 10, 2008 #msg-31394853
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OIL & RESOURCE WARS
FSN: Lutz Kleveman, 01/24/04 - "The New Great Game: Blood and Oil in Central Asia"
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Kleveman.html
FSN: Michael T. Klare, 01/15/05 - "Blood and Oil" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2005/Klare.html
FSN: Michael T. Klare, 6/21/08. "Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet: The New Geopolitics of Energy" http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2008/Klare.html
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CANTARELL OIL FIELD & DEPLETION
Cantarell Field by Wikipedia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cantarell_Field
Cantarell, The Second Largest Oil Field Is Dying, by G.R. Morton, 08 14 04
http://www.energybulletin.net/node/1651
Cantarell Decline Perspective, Jim KIngsdale's "Energy Investment STRATEGIES" 07 08 08
http://www.energyinvestmentstrategies.com/2008/07/08/cantarell-decline-perspective/
A Storm Called Cantarell by Sean Brodrick, "Money and Markets' 09 03 08
#msg-31902352
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EXPORT LAND MODEL [ELM]
Export Land Medel by Wikipedia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Export_Land_Model
What the Export Land Model Means for Energy Prices By: Doug Casey, Casey Research LLC, 06 04 08 http://www.321energy.com/editorials/casey/casey060508.html
An Update on Mexico Export Land Model by GraphOilogy 01 22 08
http://graphoilogy.blogspot.com/2008/01/update-on-mexico-export-land-model.html
Oil Outlook: "Export Land Model" by Jeff Rubin on CNBC, October 2007
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Ed9jsKAOHU
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CHARTS AND ILLUSTRATIONS OF INTEREST
A significant example of collapsing oil production is Cantarell, recently the largest oil field in the Western Hemisphere. From over 2 million barrels per day in 2004-2005, Cantarell is now producing at around 700,000 barrels per day. [credit chart to energycrisis.com]
The amount of oil you can produce can only ever equal the amount of recoverable oil you discover. The area under both curves must eventually be equal. [ http://futureproofkilkenny.org/?page_id=110 ]
[source: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/gdu/gasdiesel.asp
ASSOCIATED BOARDS
