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Steady Income RSS Feed

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Moderator thinkbig
Assistants

 


True Wealth June 2011

True Wealth 6/11. Buy 10.67. Sell: 13. 2yrs. 15% div/yr, 30% 2yrs, 20% cap gain => 50% return in 2 years

MAN (H.B.)
 

 


  


PEET JVA CBOU

SIVR SGOL GDX GDXJ
 

EUR: Bulls Fail to Overcome 1.47 
JPY: Double Bottom in the Works? 
GBP: Key Trend Line Support Eyed 
CAD: Entered Long at Channel Support 
AUD: Range-Bound Trade Persists 
NZD: Weakness Favored Sub-0.83 

http://www.dailyfx.com/

george soro's holdings:

buy: 5.96-6.55
 
 



lowtrade's watch:
   
     
 

3 Month LIBOR Rate


Stock Market Top Watch:
BAC Bank Of America 10.68 0.03 0.28% 103,740,114
F Ford Motor 13.43 -0.37 -2.68% 57,814,683
PFE Pfizer 20.20 -0.55 -2.65% 36,293,945
GE Gen Electric 18.30 -0.28 -1.51% 32,087,249
C Citigroup 37.76 -0.01 -0.03% 30,747,682
NOK Nokia 6.24 -0.05 -0.79% 28,036,783
JPM Jp Morgan Chase 40.88 -0.10 -0.24% 25,216,717
WFC Wells Fargo 26.15 -0.07 -0.28% 25,032,780
CIM Chimera Investment Corp. 3.52 -0.06 -1.68% 24,109,663
S Sprint Nextel 5.30 -0.11 -2.03% 22,242,229
 
DIA QQQQ SPY IWM            
Gold: GLD Silver: SLV Copper & Gold: FCX Copper: FCX JJC COPX            
Sugar: SGG Orange Juice: FUD PBJ Cotton: BAL              

 


 Long-term trend:



I am a shy and quiet person. You are welcomed to read my posts but please do not spread them around other boards. Thank you!

Trading is about managing your money and assessing risk.
Risk management is not about enhancing success; it is about avoiding the failures that are unacceptable.

Think big, think clear.
Think like an investor. Trade like a trader.

Winners never quit and quitters never win.
The price of becoming top trader is extremely high, but certainly worth it.
Success doesn't come overnight.
Successful traders are independent thinkers.

Approach this business with a business plan and the willingness to follow it.

"Human emotion is both the source of opportunity in trading and the greatest challenge. Master it and you will succeed. Ignore it at your peril" Curtis M. Faith

The key to investing and trading is downside protection.

The best way to create an investment checklist is based on looking at crashes.

"You cannot have trading consistency if you do not have emotional consistency" - Dr. Brett Steenbarger from Enhancing Trader Performance.

Trade what you see not what you hear or feel during the day. Plan your trades and trade your plan.
Keep practicing until perfect.
The less I click the buy or sell button prematurely, the more money I make.
Overtrading is also the result of improper trade preparation. Overtrading will greatly reduce your probability of success because you are trading without a plan.
Don't get overexcited when a stock moves up. Greed kills.
Don't get too depressed when a stock moves down. Depression is not good for health. When a trade turns sour, get out. Period.
I would never sell my soul for money as I can't take money with me when I die.

I truly believe that we can make good money honestly. No pump and dump on this board.
This is my personal board to keep track of my trading/investing activities. I am still in the process of finding a good balance to reach my goal of financial freedom and stay healthy. Investing/trading is my hobby. I live in total wellbeing everyday, financially, physically, and emotionally. NOTHING IS WORTH THE STRESS. Anything beyond my target is greed.

This board has unbiased opinion about stocks based on chart, DD, and money game. It may or may not please you, but it is my personal board for my own education, please respect my space. Thank you!
- Find a multi-bagger, buy a lot, and sell gradually on the way up, and exit all near the highest peak. reload with the profits if needed to play again.
- Find an untrending stock that just started the trend. Go long and strong.
- Find a fully established uptrending stock, ride the wave. Simply make 3-10% every other day.
- Find easy money with 5%-10% gain and play often. Play channel.
- Play small with pincher. It's very risky yet highly rewarded. Don't catch a falling knife.
- Before you learn to make profits, learn to run away from a bad stock as fast as you can. Cut your losses quick.
- Be happy with profits. Small profits is better than losses.
- Step out of the expectation herd and trade their reactions to events.
- If you miss a trade, you miss a trade, don't chase. Pay attention to what you have instead of worrying about what you don't have.

basic trading tip: amateur hours: 6:30-7am PST (9:30-10am EST) and 12:00 noon-1pm PST (3-4pm EST): sell during power hour when the stock runs, do not buy during this timeframe.
decisive time for
afternoon trend: 11am PST (2pm EST)

US Earnings Calendar
martket data center
Reg SHO list, Rule 3210
Rule 3210 List
highshortinterest.com/


GEOY: wait for gap filled at 26.5 to buy $30 Aug call. don't pay more than 2.35. (fc)
USO: on watch
LAB: 4.30,5.00. wait for gap filled at 3.00 to get in (ev)
FUBC: 8.41,8.70 (ev)
BRNC: 3.50, upto 6. triple bottom play at 3.50
CHNG: wait to buy at lower price. buy upto  12.
CDE: wait to buy more at lower price way below 14.70.
C BAC F MCGI
Market correction 3 months (3 1/2 yr charts): $5-15: AGO GGP RDN $1-$4 (amex): PAL TGB FVE HRT Nasdaq: SLTD SNIC AMD DTG DLA KRY KOG CNEX CROX VVUS STX
PSF: AOI (5.45) BZ (7.25)
KRY: uptrending  GO LONG. BIG SUMMER STOK RALLY WHEN MARKETS TURN AROUND. Beijing Bill.
Market tank: VXX TZA FAZ APC
NNVC: buy below $1.40. LT play.


Shopping list for strong watch:

Stock Entry Target Current Return Strategy Risk DD Status
                 
                 
ATUSF 8.16 10.70       low   wait to buy
                 
JMBA 1.50              
JOEZ                
SNAK                
                 
                 
                 
          bottom bouncer      
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
CKXE 4.40 5.73     gap fill   fv  
TWER 1.40 1.80     bottom bouncer, channel   fv  
KRY         uptrend   fv new high, wait
DWCH 2.11 3.10     uptrend started   fv new high, wait
TOF         uptrend   fv new high, strong watch, pullback
DJSP 7       selloff, deep diving, pincher, 3yr   fv falling knife, wait
ADPT 2.40       bottom bouncer, momo, h&s   fv wait for the confirmation, buy at bottom, sell at neckline.
BBGI 3.50       uptrend, selloff   fv wait
CITZ 3       uptrend, selloff   fv wait
BRNC 3.50 4.56     channel, bottom bouncer, lt 2yr   bbe  
NPD 2       selloff   fv wait
NTZ 3       uptrend, selloff, 3 yr     wait
GEOY             fc wait for gap filled at 26.5 to buy $30 Aug call. don't pay more than 2.35.
LAB             ev wait for gap filled at 3.0 to buy
FUBC 8.70           ev wait for bottom to buy
CRUS 12       uptrend   sm wait for pullback DD
JSDA .73 1.88     gap fill   hsa wait for gap filled
NBG 2.00       lt, bottom bouncer   pss wait for it to hit mar 09 low and churning before adding
MXWL 10.00 13.55     channel down   fv wait to add at support

Shopping list for frequent plays:

Stock Entry Target Current Return Strategy Risk DD Status
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
EML       100% Swing   Amex. chart DD  
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 


In play:

Stock Entry Target Current Return Strategy Risk Status
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               

LLNW 4.65,VRX 52,JRCC 21,QDEL 17,FRE 1.90 GTE, GPX, & MFA MCRI; S; CMZ; PSEM, DE; MDFI UTSI,DHY,HYF,FLWS

Short:

Name Stock Entry Target Current Return Strategy Risk DD Status
Moody's MCO back to $30 $10+ gain     Short low   big people shorted it
                   
                   
                   
                   
Stock Name Stock Entry Target Current Return Strategy      
Moody's MCO back to $30              
                   
                   
                   
                   
                   


Posts about naked shorting.
Naked Short Update Video

Another naked short video from http://www.businessjive.com/

Naked Short List: buyins.net
from socialmediaseo.net

Buy the rumor sell the news. Find a good stock and wait patiently for a good entry to get in and exit.
Take it easy. You can't never time the perfect top and bottom. As long as you pick a winner and it eventually behaves the way you expect it to behave, you will make profits. Start it small. Small profits is better than losses. Don't worry about what you don't have or what you've missed. Pay attention to what you have. Play well!
I think with my mind. Focusing on money management and the habits of a better stock trader. I promised myself to be a better and wiser trader and investor.

The trouble with most people is that they think with their hopes or fears or wishes rather than with their minds... Will Durant (American Historian and Philosopher...1885-1981)

"SUCCESS is peace of mind which is a direct result of self-satisfaction in knowing you did the best of which your are capable." - John. R Wooden

Cut your Losses Quick and Let your Profits Run. Dump and run as fast as you can in the other direction. Here is why. Just move on. Don't even think about it. Life has more important things to think. Cut losers quickly and do not sit around waiting for The Market Mistress to rescue you.

STAY FOCUSED!

Be content with what you have. Generate good income gradually.
Stress-free lifestyle. Stress-free investing/trading. When you do it right, money will come. Happiness is peace of mind.

- Keep 50% of the portfolio in cash to wait for the right opportunity. Always feel peaceful even in a rainy day.

- Find some good uptrending stocks and buy on pullbacks to set money aside. Swing trade, relax.
- Slowly move part of momo/daytrade/swingtrade profits to long plays to accumulate wealth slowly but steadily. Stress-free lifestyle!
- Play momos for quick profits. High risk, high return. It's time consuming. You need to really concentrate and babysit your trades.
- Buy stocks that will go up.

Favorite links: stockta.com finviz.com clearstation informedtrades.com free trading courses investopedia.com

Frequent plays:

In play:

Bottom bouncer:

Pond fishing:

Long-term:

On watch: IO JOEZ NNVC JMBA ITI CRXX TGB

Momo:

Long-term:

Uptrend:

Bottom Bouncer:

0.10-2.50:

5.00-10.00: INCY IO

regsho list: http://regsho.finra.org/FORFshvol20100512.txt

- On Watch for market correction: AGO

STRONG WATCH:

 

Bottom Bouncer:

Market: Dow Components

     
     
 
Can use IEF occasionally instead of TLT.

On watch:

Big board:

Template: http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?chart=idcn,uu[305,a]dacayaci[pb20!b50][dg]

Stocks:

Stock Entry Target Current Return Strategy Status
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Momo  
          Bottom Bouncer  
          Bottom Bouncer  
          Bottom Bouncer  
          Long float lock
          Long float lock
          Long float lock
          Long float lock

Options: - How to play option for falling wedge pattern: If USO bounces and reaches the $36 target, the USO June 33 calls will be worth at least $3. That's a gain of 200% from the maximum buy price. Calculation: stock target: $36, lowest tip of the falling wedge: $31.85, expected time for the bounce: 3 weeks, stock gain: 36-31.85 ~ $4. => buy option that will expire in one month at the strike price $1 more than the current price ($1 is 1/4 of the gain length $4 and just $1 above the current price), thus $33 strike price. if stock travels back to $36 target, you will make $ on the 3/4 of the gain length.

 

Stock Expiration Option Strike Margin Entry Current Return Status
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 

I am a disciplined trader/investor. Script: - What is the bigboard market condition today? Selloff. Stay cautious. Play the Fs. - Is this stock a looser? If yes, SELL right away. - Am I in good health today? If yes, trade, else just watch to take profits or don't trade at all.

- What's hot now? Trade it. If the answer is 'yes' in the following, move to the next step, else stop. - Is this stock a winner? - Is it ready? Why? - Take action

Happiness and suffering are states of mind, and so their main causes cannot be found outside the mind. The real source of happiness is inner peace. If our mind is peaceful, we shall be happy all the time, regardless of external conditions, but if it is disturbed or troubled in any way, we shall never be happy, no matter how good our external conditions may be. External conditions can only make us happy if our mind is peaceful. How to Live a Stress-Free Lifestyle http://www.findpeaceofmind.org/ Know what I own. DD every stock that I own or about to own. Be humble and learn from professional players.

"When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?" - John Maynard Keynes

http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/economics/quotes-by-john-maynard-keynes/  lowtrade's teaching: NEVER believe the PR story, trade the TA & chart patterns Charts for study by lowtrade Negative chart patterns are Descending triangles, double & multiple tops, heads & shoulders, rising wedges, and gaps below!

Capital Preservation MUST READ FOR NEWBIES

All posts about the penny hype PR retail trap ply in one place! pump and dump volume lesson The AVERAGE daily voulme should be at least 1 mill, want 5 mill for pennies. 10 mil and want 50 with sub penny and 100 mill want 500 mill for micro penny. form-t trade pennant run/retrace/channel days in channel: 2xup to (2xup + down), then run up again. however, if it broke down below 61% FIBs instead of running up, do not enter the trade. cup & handle note: handle is usually in the range of 38% FIBS retracement. if more than that, failed handle. rounded bottom: is not cup and handle. it could look like a cup with a failed handle that retraces > 38%. 2-3 month 2 leg ups, 6 month walk downs: BZCN (more often) 3 month 3 leg ups, 9 month walk downs (less often) bump & run by lowtrade, stockcharts's bum & run pattern short shortable stocks ADX lesson Trade negative with ADX above 50. Shows strong down move support, by many. If the trend reverses that support will fight change, usually creating a smaller slower run. With trade negative with little move support, below 15 and a trend reversal comes, there aren't many to fight change and usually run moves faster and higher. The more direction support, the less reversal support. Is how it usually works out. Entry/Exit Signals -DI crosses above +DI  (-DI is going up), early sell signal -DI is up and ADX is turning upward toward 50, confirmed sell signal +DI crosses above -DI (+DI is going up), early buy signal +DI crosses above -DI and ADX moves in the same direction as +DI, confirmed buy signal +DI crosses below -DI (+DI is going south) and then +DI moves back at the same level again (where it crossed below -DI before) => confirm buy signal Use CCI (70) to eliminate whipsaws of which you get using lower cycles. Usually find bottom with CCI (70). CMF lesson: .25 is strong force Charts for study 3 money flow indicators: OBV, acc/dist, CMF Dilution is good in penny stock, but you should wait for dilution to finish to get cheap shares. FIBs

lowtrade would teach all Some tips. important spot (a place to find old important subjects covered) by lowtrade

"Step out of the herd mentality and trade the reactions. Learn technical analysis & charting" - lowtrade "There were two bulls on top of a hill. A young one and an old one. They looked down in the valley and saw a herd of cows. The young bull said I'm going to run down there and make love to one of those cows. The old one said I'll walk down and make love to all the others. Being first is not always the best decision! Emotion rules logic." - lowtrade By knowing that constant EOD finishes high, with a down trending price, shows manipulation. And when manipulation is suspect, just forget accumulation as a supporting indicator. For that matter when using TA to evaluate a stock. Any time you see a conflict in the TA & chart. STOP using those indicators as factual and either move out or stop watching. Because conflicts cause errors. And if your looking at a stock with technical errors, you can't TRUST what you see. Why stick around. - lowtrade level 2 lesson Patterns: Stock market education from themarketguys. How to place a momo order? When a stock is running up, buy at or above the ask immediately. When a stock is going down, sell at or below the bid immediately to get out.

Favorite boards:

pennystockden.com nice site to find stock to buy at support. this is not a promoter. UNDERVALUED PENNY STOCKS TAKI BB's Stock Haven MOMO Breakout $BottomBuster DAYTRADER'S FORUM  langlui's bigboard and option plays langlui's penny / barter board EpicStocks americanbulls.com  the penny stock gurus mirror: http://pennystockgurus.lefora.com pennystockalerts.com http://regsho.finra.org/regsho-Index.html triple leveraged etfs MM sec-fillings sec-fillings2 cnanalyst setting filters using EquityFeed on HSM (HotStockMarket.com)

SELF ASSESSMENT:

Current: researcher, investor, intermediate-level penny trader, intermediate-level option trader Want to be: professional chartist, emotionless trader, professional trader (pink, otc, penny, option, etc.). Do my own DD. While most of my money is made via short-term/momo/bottom bouncer/day/swing trading, my passion is still in long-term investment, researching and studying the market and understanding the whole market as well as pinky/otc world. PROGRESS CHECK:

- Know how to read chart - Can determine a good entry and exit point to maximize profits and cut losses quick - Know what stock to buy and what stock to avoid - Know when to take profits or when to cut losses and move on Area of improvement: - Need to be patient. Do what the chart says. Nothing else. - Learn more about short squeeze (fld) play: CDIV EIGH GRNO PNTV - Sharpen my trading skills - Don't let emotion affect my analysis GOALS: To build wealth consistently and healthily. To make at least 1000% annually safely and stresslessly. (It's not a typo. :)). Note to self: "I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work."  - Thomas A. Edison "I never did a day's work in my life. It was all fun." - Thomas A. Edison "If we all did the things we are capable of doing, we would literally astound ourselves."  - Thomas A. Edison "Just because something doesn't do what you planned it to do doesn't mean it's useless." - Thomas A. Edison "Many of life's failures are people who did not realize how close they were to success when they gave up." - Thomas A. Edison "Genius is one per cent inspiration, ninety-nine per cent perspiration."  - Thomas A. Edison "Choose a job you love, and you will never have to work a day in your life" - Confucius "Successful traders take responsibility for their actions. They believe their success is due to their well-developed skills and persistent effort, rather than a matter of circumstance, luck or chance." Michael S. Shopshire, Ph.D. - "The Winning Trader, Developing a Mental Edge for Market Success"

Value penny stocks with gains as of 6/28/2010: DSTI, CPWM, IMOS, ABR, WNC, EMMS, SMCG, MHR, NENG, GRT, SBSA, SFI, MHGC, GSAT, NSU, FRME, PGTI, RNN, LCC

Top Beta Stocks:

Example trading plan by lowtrade: Take the money you have to lose, divide that by 4 and invest 3/4th and gamble 1/4th.

Say you have $10,000,

On ave. you will see a: 10% swing $.10 to $1.00 stocks 5% swing $1.00 to $5.00 stocks 2.5% swing $5.00 to $10.00 stocks 2.5% to 1% swing on stocks above $10.00 Yep, 50,100,200 SMA, MACD, RSI, Accum/Dist are for 3 month or more hold trades. The indicators 5,10,20 SMA, DMI, StochRSI, CMF I use are for 2 week swing trades. I'll add, knowing your more high risk and big gains. Try lowering my entry/exit indicator parameters. I use 14 day for DMI could move to 7 day. And I use 5,10,20 day SMA for the overlay. Could use 2,4,8. This will tighten up and compliment your style of quick big money trading. Stay away from long term indicators completely. - lowtrade lowtrade's detailed trading plan here.

 

ETF:
http://etf.stock-encyclopedia.com/category/currency-etfs.html

Futures:

 

ETN/ETF Launch: Tin, Platinum, Lead, Aluminum, Precious Metals (NYX, JJT, PGM, LD, JJU, JJP) ETN/ETF Launch: Sugar, Softs, Cotton, Coffee, Cocoa (NYX, SGC, JJS, BAL, JO, NIB) ETN/ETF Launch: Carbon Trading: (NYX, GRN) 

http://www.direxionshares.com/etf/ http://etf.stock-encyclopedia.com/category/agriculture-crop-price-etfs.html Energy: ERX ERY

ProShares  Researches: http://www.mffais.com/ , http://www.sagientresearch.com/,  http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/  Commentary http://www.istockanalyst.com/   Instant Technical Analysis: http://www.barchart.com/ Forexfactory.com james16 Chart: Treat investment/trading as a business. Dividend Growth Investor: www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/

I prefer to play the primary trend (which is down), rather than to get very cute and try to catch both the up and down moves since it just increases the degree of difficulty and opens up more chances for mistakes. 

Longer term, caution reigns again as long as we're below the 200 day moving average(s).  That does not mean necessarily to be all out short or try to score a 10% win for the portfolio on the downside.  It means capital preservation as first priority and monetary gains on top of preservation is the cherry on top.  Making up a 3% loss is much easier than a 13% loss.

1. Here is what I think when I hear from the gurus, sense and analyze by myself that a double dip recession is about to occur: - Save enough money to live for a year without working - Keep big cash to buy the dips when the dust is settled - Day trade with a fix amount of money to generate daily/weekly/monthly income so that I don't even need to touch my savings or emergency fund. - Short if a great opportunity presents Value Investors: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Royce, John Neff, Joel Greenblatt, Peter Lynch, Seth Klarman,Martin Whitman, Bruce Greenwald, Jeff Auxier Value Penny Stock Investors/Gurus: Steve Cohen, Jim Simmons, George Soros, Ian Cumming, Ron Barron, Richard Perry, Arnold Schneider, Michael Price, Ken Heebner, Jean-Marrie Eveillard, John Keeley, Paul Tudor Jones

How To Take Advantage Of The Market Afternoon Shift by Austin Passamonte Capturing Sharp Moves Using Volatility and Structure by TradingMarkets Research More readings

More:

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ALL&p=m5

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=CURRENCIES&p=m5

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They include ITT Corporation (ITT), Danaher (DHR), Nalco Holdings (NLC), and Veolia Environmental (VE). You can also try the water ETF, the PowerShares Water Resources Portfolio, (PHO).
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http://seekingalpha.com/article/275148-cramer-s-mad-money-2-outstanding-cyber-security-stocks-6-15-11

 

Fortinet (FTNT) provides its customers with unified threat management and all-around protection. The system is cheaper and less complex than purchasing several systems. The company has great earnings visibility with 60% of its revenues from subscriptions. Fortinet reported an excellent quarter, but since the stock has a multiple of 55 compared to its 17% growth rate, Cramer would wait for it to come down. $21 is a good level.

Websense (WBSN) provides security for cloud computing, which tends to be more vulnerable to attack than traditional systems. Salesforce.com (CRM) used Websense's services for its cloud computing platforms. Since the company is undergoing a "transition year" it might miss its quarter, but is a great long-term security play with a multiple of 14.5 with a 13.3% growth rate.

Cramer took some calls:

Infosys (INFY) is not as good as Accenture (ACN).

Lockheed Martin (LMT) is a buy when its yield is 4%. Right now, its dividend is 2.7%

Juniper (JNPR), like other tech stocks, is in pain right now, although Cramer says he believes in CEO Kevin Johnson. He advised waiting for earnings.

This Market Is Obnoxious, with stocks Travelzoo (TZOO), Bank of America (BAC), BP (BP), Conoco-Phillips (COP)

This market is "totally and completely obnoxious," said Cramer on the same terrible macro themes. However, this hatred of the stocks will play out, sellers will sell out and buyers will return. Earnings reports of individual companies are usually brighter than the macro data would suggest.

Cramer took some calls:

Travelzoo (TZOO) has been a big winner. It saw a major short squeeze and is not a stock for the squeamish. Those who hold the stock should sell some off the top.

Bank of America (BAC) is the cheapest Cramer has seen it, but it is likely not going higher anytime soon.

BP (BP) always seems to be in trouble with somebody. Cramer prefers Conoco-Phillips (COP), especially for its dividend.

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Featured Trades: (DBA), (MOO), (PHO), (FIW), 
(INTERNET BANKS), (BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS)

 
SDS 
SSO 
FAS 
FAZ 
SKF

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Coeur d'Alene (NYSE: CDE), MAG Silver (AMEX: MVG)Silvercorp (NYSE: SVM), and Minco Silver (TSX: MSV)
Royal Gold (Nasdaq: RGLD)Inter-Citic (TSX: ICI)ATAC Resources (TSX V: ATC)Kaminak Gold (TSX V: KAM)Minco Gold (AMEX: MGH)Pretium Resources (TSX: PVG)Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC), and IAMGOLD (NYSE: IAG).
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