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Daily Candlestick Chart for WLOL
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$HLOSF BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for GDNEF
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Where Is Support Established?
Support levels are usually below the current price, but it is not uncommon for a security to trade at or near support. Technical analysis is not an exact science and it is sometimes difficult to set exact support levels. In addition, price movements can be volatile and dip below support briefly. Sometimes it does not seem logical to consider a support level broken if the price closes 1/8 below the established support level. For this reason, some traders and investors establish support zones.
Convergence: Normally, the contract price of a futures contract is higher than the current price of the underlying asset (normally a commodity). The futures contract price is higher because of the effect of the time value of money. As the expiration date nears, the spread between the spot price and the futures contracts price becomes smaller and smaller. On the delivery date of the contract, the futures and spot prices should be equal.
This process of futures and spot prices approaching one another is called convergence
$QFOR BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for SNVP
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British Industrial Production: Release Schedule: 8:30 (GMT); monthly, usually 26 working days following the reporting month's end
Revisions Schedule: Monthly revisions made to adjust for incomplete data.
Source of Report: Office for National Statistics (UK)
Web Address: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/default.asp
Address of release: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=6230
Breakaway gaps are the exciting ones. They occur when the price action is breaking out of their trading range or congestion area. To understand gaps, one has to understand the nature of congestion areas in the market. A congestion area is just a price range in which the market has traded for some period of time, usually a few weeks or so. The area near the top of the congestion area is usually resistance when approached from below. Likewise, the area near the bottom of the congestion area is support when approached from above. To break out of these areas requires market enthusiasm and, either, many more buyers than sellers for upside breakouts or more sellers than buyers for downside breakouts.
Trendlines drawn on 3-box Reversal P
Daily Candlestick Chart for AAGC
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=AAGC
Doji: The doji is a type of candlestick and a warning sign of a pending reversal. The lack of a real body conveys a sense of indecision or tug-of-war between buyers and sellers and the balance of power may be shifting. The open and close are pretty much equal. The length of the upper and lower shadows can vary and the resulting candlestick looks like a cross, inverted cross or plus sign.
A Note on Technical Analysis
Technical analysts consider the market to be 80% psychological and 20% logical. Fundamental analysts consider the market to be 20% psychological and 80% logical. Psychological or logical may be open for debate, but there is no questioning the current price of a security. After all, it is available for all to see and nobody doubts its legitimacy. The price set by the market reflects the sum knowledge of all participants, and we are not dealing with lightweights here. These participants have considered (discounted) everything under the sun and settled on a price to buy or sell. These are the forces of supply and demand at work. By examining price action to determine which force is prevailing, technical analysis focuses directly on the bottom line: What is the price? Where has it been? Where is it going?
Even though there are some universal principles and rules that can be applied, it must be remembered that technical analysis is more an art form than a science. As an art form, it is subject to interpretation. However, it is also flexible in its approach and each investor should use only that which suits his or her style. Developing a style takes time, effort and dedication, but the rewards can be significant.
Daily Candlestick Chart for RNGG
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=RNGG
Price Discounts Everything
This theorem is similar to the strong and semi-strong forms of market efficiency. Technical analysts believe that the current price fully reflects all information. Because all information is already reflected in the price, it represents the fair value, and should form the basis for analysis. After all, the market price reflects the sum knowledge of all participants, including traders, investors, portfolio managers, buy-side analysts, sell-side analysts, market strategist, technical analysts, fundamental analysts and many others. It would be folly to disagree with the price set by such an impressive array of people with impeccable credentials. Technical analysis utilizes the information captured by the price to interpret what the market is saying with the purpose of forming a view on the future.
Irrational Exuberance
In Irrational Exuberance, Robert Shiller argues that high stock market valuations in 2000 and 2005 were unjustified. The book starts with historic valuations based on PE ratios. Shiller shows that valuations in these two periods were well above those seen at prior peaks in 1901, 1929 and 1966. This book however, is not about valuation. Instead, the author identifies a series of factors that brought about these speculative excesses. The meat of the book lists 12 factors that facilitated big market moves from 1995 to 2000 and from 2002 to 2005. Shiller then goes on to explain the mechanisms that amplified these factors. The book also covers cultural and psychological influences that further contribute to irrational decision making when it comes to making investments. After explaining our attempts to rationalize this irrational behavior, Shiller then offers some solutions to prevent future speculative bubbles.
Taking its title from Alan Greenspan's famous description of the stock market in 1996, Irrational Exuberance was first published in 2000 and coincided with the Nasdaq peak that same year. Needless to say, the timing was most prophetic. The second edition was published in 2005 with the S
Daily Candlestick Chart for VLNX
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$INBP BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Carry Trade: The Carry Trade is a trading strategy where investors/traders sell or borrow assets (such as currencies) with lower yielding interest rates to fund or buy higher yielding assets.
In the Foreign exchange, interest is debited or credit from a trader's account everyday on open positions.
The most popular Carry Trade in recent history has been to sell Japanese Yen and buy higher yielding currencies such as the Australian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar, and British Pound.
For example, if you buy the AUD/JPY, then you sell Japanese Yen (which yields 0.00% a year)and buy an equivalent amount of Australian Dollars (which yields 3.50% a year) simultaneously. So, for as long as you hold that position you would pay 0.00% interest a year for borrowing Japanese Yen, and receive 3.50% a year for holding Australian Dollars.
The interest rate differential of that position is 3.50 (3.50% - 0.00%). So you would receive approximately 3.50% a year on the value of the position, depending on the margin interest charged by the broker and on exchange rate volatility.
Daily Candlestick Chart for AMBE
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$USPR BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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ADX: The average directional index, or ADX, was developed by J. Welles Wilder as a measure of a current market trend's strength. The ADX is derived from two directional indicators, known as DI and DI-, which are in turn derived from the directional movement index (DMI).
ADX is calculated by finding the difference of DI and DI-, as well as the sum of DI and DI-. The difference is divided by the sum, and the resulting number multiplied by 100. The product is known as the directional index, or DX. A moving average is then taken of DX, typically over a fourteen-day period (although any number of periods can be used.) This final moving average is the ADX.
The ADX takes the form of a number from 0 to 100. A value of 0 indicates that the market is equally likely to move in either a positive or negative direction, meaning that there is no overall market trend. A value of 100 indicates that the market is exclusively moving in either a positive or negative direction, indicating an extremely strong trend. Values of greater than 60 are uncommon in practice, and any value of greater than 40 is considered to be a strong trend. Any value less than 20 is considered to be a weak trend, and may signal an upcoming reversal. Because the ADX is derived from both positive and negative directional indicators, it only measures the magnitude of a trend rather than its direction.
Daily Candlestick Chart for COHO
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$MINE BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for IGXT
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Gaps and Gap Analysis
Have you ever wondered what causes gaps in price charts and what they mean? Well, you've come to the right place. Just in case, a gap is an area on a price chart in which there were no trades. Normally this occurs between the close of the market on one day and the next day's open. Lot's of things can cause this, such as an earnings report coming out after the stock market has closed for the day. If the earnings were significantly higher than expected, many investors might place buy orders for the next day. This could result in the price opening higher than the previous day's close. If the trading that day continues to trade above that point, a gap will exist in the price chart. Gaps can offer evidence that something important has happened to the fundamentals or the psychology of the crowd that accompanies this market movement. Before we get into the different types of gaps, here is a chart showing a gap so you will know what we are talking about.
Gaps appear more frequently on daily charts, where every day is an opportunity to create an opening gap. Gaps on weekly or monthly charts are fairly rare: the gap would have to occur between Friday's close and Monday's open for weekly charts and between the last day of the month's close and the first day of the next month's for the monthly charts. Gaps can be subdivided into four basic categories: Common, Breakaway, Runaway, and Exhaustion.
$PEFDF BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Business Cycle
The graph below shows the idealized business cycle and the intermarket relationships during a normal inflationary environment. This cycle map is based on one shown in the Intermarket Review by Martin J. Pring (www.pring.com). The business cycle is shown as a sine wave. The first three stages are part of an economic contraction (weakening, bottoming, strengthening). Stage 3 shows the economy in a contraction phase, but strengthening after a bottom. As the sine wave crosses the centerline, the economy moves from contraction to the three phases of economic expansion (strengthening, topping and weakening). Stage 6 shows the economy in an expansion phase, but weakening after a top.
Stage 1 shows the economy contracting and bonds turning up as interest rates decline. Economic weakness favors loose monetary policy and the lowering of interest rates, which is bullish for bonds.
Stage 2 marks a bottom in the economy and the stock market. Even though economic conditions have stopped deteriorating, the economy is still not at an expansion stage or actually growing. However, stocks anticipate an expansion phase by bottoming before the contraction period ends.
Stage 3 shows a vast improvement in economic conditions as the business cycle prepares to move into an expansion phase. Stocks have been rising and commodities now anticipate an expansion phase by turning up.
Stage 4 marks a period of full expansion. Both stocks and commodities are rising, but bonds turn lower because the expansion increases inflationary pressures. Interest rates start moving higher to combat inflationary pressures.
Stage 5 marks a peak in economic growth and the stock market. Even though the expansion continues, the economy grows at a slower pace because rising interest rates and rising commodity prices take their toll. Stocks anticipate a contraction phase by peaking before the expansion actually ends. Commodities remain strong and peak after stocks.
Stage 6 marks a deterioration in the economy as the business cycle prepares to move from an expansion phase to a contraction phase. Stocks have already been moving lower and commodities now turn lower in anticipation of decreased demand from the deteriorating economy.
Keep in mind that this is the ideal business cycle in an inflationary environment. Stocks and bonds advance together in stages 2 and 3. Similarly, both decline in stages 5 and 6. This would not be the case in a deflationary environment, when bonds and stocks would move in opposite directions.
Daily Candlestick Chart for TGLO
[img]stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=TGLO
Internal Trend Lines
Sometimes there appears to be the possibility for drawing a trend line, but the exact points do not match up cleanly. The highs or lows might be out of whack, the angle might be too steep or the points might be too close together. If one or two points could be ignored, then a fitted trend line could be formed. With the volatility present in the market, prices can over-react, and produce spikes that distort the highs and lows. One method for dealing with over-reactions is to draw internal trend lines. Even though an internal trend line ignores price spikes, the ignoring should be within reason.
The long-term trend line for the S
Daily Candlestick Chart for LUSI
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$GFPOF BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Daily Candlestick Chart for CLKTF
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Analyst Bias ~ Weaknesses of Technical Analysis
Just as with fundamental analysis, technical analysis is subjective and our personal biases can be reflected in the analysis. It is important to be aware of these biases when analyzing a chart. If the analyst is a perpetual bull, then a bullish bias will overshadow the analysis. On the other hand, if the analyst is a disgruntled eternal bear, then the analysis will probably have a bearish tilt.
Daily Candlestick Chart for EFIR
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$ELAY BarChart Trader's Cheat Sheet
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Price Objections based on a vertical count, horizontal count or any other count should be taken with a grain of salt. Consider these targets as broad guidelines. Securities will not always reach their targets. Some will even reverse course and trigger conflicting P
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