3rd Leg Trading

[C C]

bought some SVXY.....12.05



cc

[C C]

bought some SVXY.....12.05



cc

[C C]

natty selling into runs
called dillution

was wondering if closing VIX would affect Credit Suisse
now we know
selling shares into runs
fricking unbelieveable others would follow these ponzie schemes
dupes

no reason natty....UGAZ should run right now
UNG not moving....duhhhhhhhhhhh

demand down......supply down

will be warm weather next couple weeks
live investing spammers working over time rocking up down it goes
unsuspecting newbies sucked into trains running full time two way tracks
u can almost tell which way goes by
worms coming outa wood work


cc

[Myself °¿°]

Weather back to normal here...

[C C]

tru with Credit Suisse

crooks



cc

[C C]

Picked up some U at 51.50
Looking for 75 ish

cc

[C C]

We estimate that dry gas production has been expanding in annual terms for 36 consecutive weeks now. However, the daily output rate has been mostly flat over the past 10 days. Currently, we estimate that dry gas production will average 78.4 bcf/day in February, 79.5 bcf/day in March and 79.6 bcf/day in April. Total aggregate supply of natural gas (production + imports) averaged just around 86.8 bcf per day for the week ending February 9 (up 8.5% y-o-y). Overall, total supply/demand balance should be negative at around -130 bcf. It is the tenth negative physical balance this withdrawal season. This negative volume is some 40 bcf larger than a week ago, and around 11 bcf below 5-year average for this time of the year (see the chart below).






cc

[C C]

looking for 2.735

U at 63.25


cc

[C C]

low was 55.11....picked up some 55.40





cc

[C C]

6:15 hit the 55.75 mark prior to pre-market this morning

does it hold ?????



cc

[C C]

yesterday caught some U at 58.91 and out at 61.50




cc

[C C]

does U get to 55.75




cc

[C C]

Who in their right mind
would drop $ 95 k in any stock or ETF
Just not what you do
Why would anyone follow someone who did that

And then pass it off as a fluke
Don’t care how much money u have
It’s a dumb move

cc

[Myself °¿°]

It was supposed to be safe to short the vix spike
I had {vix spike} drawing alerts myself
I don't think anyone really understood or realized how
inflated / off ballance xiv's value vs price was
obviously xiv was the wrong vehicle to short the vix
unreal

[C C]

may consider shorting natty

2.785 could be tops





cc

[C C]

lots of these green today


https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=119547668





cc

[C C]

SH bought 1,000 shares of XIV for $ 95.00
was 10.36 or so when he sold it
who in their right mind would buy $ 95,000.00 of XIV
he lost % 85,000.00.....ouch
he is now ready to dive back into natty to make big bucks
gives me great security knowing he is leading others

not sure I believe him
his pose is behind him 100 %
massaging his ego

what a bone head move
now 6.12
on 20th XIV will delist


cc

[Myself °¿°]

pffft

[Myself °¿°]

traded soxs 12's for xiv 107's wanted 103's/4's but
close enough

...have things I need to do today

[C C]

cc

[C C]

natty coming back around

D dropping

life is grand when a plan comes together


cc

[C C]

Didn't buy D again yesterday at top
waiting to see if D goes after resistance again.... 3.28

today.....should at least hit 3.165 again

edit.....those sneaky MM's.....lol
now 3.195

cc

[C C]

Glad sold my D this morning


cc

[Myself °¿°]

somewhere about here? ...

[Myself °¿°]

Cash$ swinging a buck+ daily, flabbergasts me.

[C C]

March contract.... 1:25 interesting

notice sell off as moves upward.....hiding it



cc

[C C]

in D 23.12






cc

[C C]

not in D yet




cc

[C C]

wow
.........side line right now




cc

[Myself °¿°]

crazy weather here, like spring https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/washington/articles/2018-01-15/64-degrees-at-seatac-ties-record-high-for-january

64 Degrees at SeaTac Ties Record High for January
Officials say the temperature in SeaTac Monday has tied a record for highest temperature.

SEATAC, Wash. (AP) — Officials say the temperature in SeaTac Monday has tied a record for highest temperature in January.

The National Weather Service in Seattle said on Twitter that at 2 p.m. Monday, it was 64 degrees at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.

The weather service says that ties the record high for the month of January.

The record was last set on Jan. 20, 1981.

The record high for Seattle in January is 67 degrees, set on Jan. 28, 1931.

[Myself °¿°]

Curious if the dow/s&p will use the SOX year 2000 tech bubble high benchmark as a rewind area.
as noted in the previous chart

I'm wondering if anyone has any historical data regarding a new president's first year with a runaway market and when, statistically, will it pull back?
15 Months+ without a hiccup

I'm convinced shorting the sox via SOXS will be an awesome vehicle when the markets provide a healthy pullback.
question is when
as long as /ES keeps cranking off new highs~ SOX has a chance at the year 2000 Tech bubble high

[C C]

If it snows here grandkids will come over n hook up their sled to our golf cart and I will pull them around

could get fun



cc

[C C]

out of D at 25.01

natty goal was 3.03
hit 3.038

edit.... looking possibly getting back into D
23.60 area for next leg up
shall see how chart set up goes
make sure chart doesn't get whacked outa line


cc

[C C]

wondering if natty goes down further
long term is winter over
does it get to 2.89 for bounce

would put D at 32.92

or does natty break further down because of summer and go to 2.56

shall see

edit..... 3.03 needs hold today....if not could go lower today


cc

[C C]

Working gas levels are now at 2,767 Bcf in the Lower 48 states. If withdrawals from storage match the five-year average for the remainder of the heating season (October 31- March 31), working gas stocks will total 1,320 Bcf, compared with the five-year average (2013-17) value of 1,697 Bcf. Working gas stocks reached 837 Bcf on March 31, 2014, following withdrawals from storage of 2,958 Bcf during the 2013–14 heating season.






cc

[C C]

Picked up some D at 22.35


cc

[C C]

Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
Updated to week ending 1/5/2018

Week End.....Withdrawal / Bld


1-13-17.........- 243
1-13-18........ - 194 Celsius expected withdrawal




cc

[C C]

meant to say....shall see where D lands
does it get to 23.64
or 22.30

is 22.31 bottom


cc

[C C]

Entered D in pre-market this morning
almost entered D last night but wouldn't fill my order
glad they didn't.....entered @ 23.30

off to work....welding up metal sign frames for show
back latter today



cc

[Myself °¿°]

Top 30 SOX Components...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESOX/components/

[Myself °¿°]

[Myself °¿°]

looking over the historical Cash$ prices
01/04/18 -2.46 @4.42
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00

Density Max * Week * shaded * 2012-current
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00&domain=futurespros&display_ice=1&enabled_ice_exchanges=&sym=NGY00&width=550&tblwidth=550&studies=Volume%3B&cancelstudy=&type=AREA&size=L&density=X&a=W

Density Max * Month * shaded * 1994-current
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00&domain=futurespros&display_ice=1&enabled_ice_exchanges=&sym=NGY00&width=550&tblwidth=550&studies=Volume%3B&cancelstudy=&type=AREA&size=L&a=M&density=X

[C C]

ODP has interesting chart
Dust....jung


cc

[Myself °¿°]

/es makes new highs ~ sox has not
weak participation
SOX finally nearing a rewind area?

[C C]

meant to say....shall see where D lands
does it get to 23.64
or 22.30




cc

[Swampdude]

Dude,

With what are going thru,,,,no apology even needed.

Just get well soon and take care of yourself and family.

Just the fact that you are even posting and working during this is a testament to your desire to help all here.

Good luck with the gun show and thank you for dropping by.

SD

[C C]

MY and others......sorry for not posting
will get with you soon
last 2 weeks been sick with flue
wife now has it
throwing up has not been fun
been drunk before and dry heaved.....but...never from the flue
dry heav lasted for about 15 min....was rough
all I could do was sleep and rest
sleep and rest
today finally feel better

been gone all day puting out signs for gun show
show coming up Feb 3 and 4
will be gone tomorrow trying to fix up my moms house so I can rent it out to pay for her nursing home bills

just supper busy right now....very little sleep or time to play the market
it should rebound soon.....been trading with little movement
causes one to wonder if big boys are unloading on retail
remember the 30 ma
further it gets away from it the more the bounce coming back
compare the different time frames is best advice can give u
some use the 8 and 14 ema's to trade off
use different time frames.....what ever set up u use should work on all time frames

could 23.00 ish be bottom

best of luck
will let u know when move into DGAZ
would be cautious as natty could fall soon

some times not as important to be at the top or bottom of move
but
to be able to be in the up or down move
so
being near the top or bottom can be more important than being at the top or bottom




cc

[Myself °¿°]

Cash$ 01/02/18 -0.54 @3.04 ...
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00

[C C]

heating degree days (HDD) and cooling degree days (CDD)


https://blog.wdtinc.com/how-to-use-weather-data-to-estimate-energy-demand-hdds-and-cdds

cc

[C C]

HHD 30Y Diff

https://truewx.com/energy/ecmwfens/




cc