there's no guarantee that the market will act according to anyone's logic, solid as it may be.
I agree with that as "an exception to the rule" type of assertion. But if you are going to maintain the possibility of a positive exception to the rule, then you must maintain the possibility of a negative exception to the rule; viz, the stock fully is justified to move up based upon known fundamentals but just doesn't.
Me, I'll just stick to logic, and let the "exceptions" come and go as they please. I never did very well at the craps table in Vegas. lol