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RUBY1100

02/04/06 9:06 AM

#20413 RE: balance_builder #20409

BB NITE and TD have been mostly on the BID leading the charge higher from $0.30

ARCA has been a Net seller but a friendly seller not really hitting bids

IMO it was the STP news of ADDAX being approved that caused the buying over this week - this issue was a thorn in our side for weeks

Now we wait for JMC Meeting and confirmation of Signing dates and subsequent PR of Signing dates and IF RELEASED

we should head back to $.90 before even 1 contract is signed IMO

lots of rumors flying around lately !!!

also hoping for some pleasant surprises along the way

buy low sell high




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balance_builder

02/04/06 11:10 AM

#20420 RE: balance_builder #20409

If 45% of the AKPO sold to China for $2.3 billion.....the entire field would be worth about $5.1 billion. Remember, this price is an UNDEVELOPED price. Remember also that the buyer (China) still has the responsibility of paying taxes/royalties to Nigeria as the oil is eventually produced and the seller now becomes exempt from paying such taxes.

Ok...entire AKPO field is worth $5.1 billion. A field of likeness would mean ERHC could sell their "alleged" 26.7% net for $1.36 billion.

Two such fields in block 4 would fetch $2.72 billion and two more fields found in block 2 (which by the way, XOM at one point said they liked the looks of the seismic in block 2 better than block 4....and block 2 was also Offors first choice to go after) would bring in a total of $5.44 billion (or $7.65 per share). This doesn't mean blocks 2 and 4 ONLY hold 4 such oil fields. It also doesn't include any oil being found in blocks 3, 5, 6....or STP's EEZ.

The focus should be on the word "UNDEVELOPED" as this is what the AKPO sale amounted to. We're drilling when????

Value will eventually become discovered by the market. Somebody right now isn't allowing our value to be discovered IMHO. NITE and TDCM finished on the high ask....again....as they have been for the last upteen months. Why? I only have guesses.