The odds of this losing 50% of its value vs gaining nearly 2000% are not even remotely the same. I'd say it is realistic that with the lawsuit finalizing this month, with no PRs, and with people seelling for end of year tax losses - $0.0015 is very realistic.
On the other hand, some earth-shattering news would have to come out for this to hit $0.05 right now.
So, if you compare it to Vegas, it's not like you bet on either black or red. The bets are currently at the zero, and yes the payout is huge, but only 1/37.
An excellent point. A very dear friend once told me that anytime there is an argument or a disagreement between two or more parties (such as SVFC and IR), that no one person is ever totally right and that no one person is ever totally wrong. I suspect that these judges often feel like babysitters.