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PennyMann

11/26/13 9:25 PM

#316 RE: Papa Chubby #315

11/26/13

Right...here's my pespective that you won't understand. Just as you didn't a few months prior, right after a "golden cross" (50MA crosses the 200MA upward) had occurred. 

Fundamental analysis shows VPIG earning nominal Revenue while burning through expenses at a rapid pace. Common stock sales have been the main source of cash and the issuance of options, warrants, and stock for services has helped as well- $32 million. The accumulated deficit is -$30.8 million- close to the cash received from equity issuances.

http://www.otcmarkets.com/edgar/GetFilingPdf?FilingID=9599156

My quick fundamental analysis just aided your Pinterest comment. Here's an article that corroborates your Pinterest comment on Business Insider from Feb 2013. I'd agree with you that nominal Revenue isn't a sign of weakness for VPIG. Can VPIG be compared to Facebook as Pinterest is? Probably not yet. The article discusses other areas investors are interested in for Pinterest. Maybe 100s of millions more in equity issuance will help. 

http://www.businessinsider.com/pinterest-200-million-valiant-partners-2013-2

The News and PRs for VPIG has been encouraging. 

Here are a few articles:

http://www.hotstocked.com/article/64772/virtual-piggy-inc-otcbb-vpig-approaches.html

http://m.seekingalpha.com/article/1822962

http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/09/23/virtual-piggy-comments-on-recent-internet-blogs-an/

http://business.transworld.net/121852/features/virtual-piggy/

The following charts are from a weekly period perspective over 3 years. Most TA is done with a shorter time period but since you hold long the TA will still show some long-term tendencies just as well since VPIG has "natural tendencies" and has been traded for awhile as you stated.

+ PSAR has predicted the uptrends well except Aug-Dec 12'; major downtrends have been predicted well
+ RSI over 70 has predicted pps peaks well (overbought range)
+ MACD signals and threshold have predicted pps peaks well; it currently shows the pps poised for recovery as it has been oversold this month
+ CMF has predicted low points in pps (oversold) well once 0 or lower is hit
+ Acc/Dist has been steadily increasing long-term but doesn't indicate peaks and troughs from this long-term presentation
+ MFI has been the best indicator for both pps peaks and troughs 
+ OBV has been following Acc/Dist until the past few months where it followed the recent pps down and current correction upward
+ Bollinger Bands have predicted pps troughs well, when pps hits the lower BB (resistance)
+ +DM/-DM have predicted major pps corrections (when a DM crosses the other) though a couple weeks late in determining the exact trend reversals
+ CCI been an excellent predictor of troughs with signals of overbought prior to an uptrend
- Ichimuki Cloud has been a poor indicator historically due to the long-term perspective IMO

By the way, did you copy and paste Wiki to discuss the regression fallacy? Link is below. Your opinion is that TA is a regression fallacy. I disagree. Look at the charts attached and tell me you don't see patterns. Patterns that aid in buyer versus selling indication overall. If you want to chart the moon and stars as well then maybe that will aid in pps prediction, but that's not my specialty. Can I possibly make more $$$ trading VPIG using TA, versus nothing at all other than using your strategy of holding 10 years through the ups and downs,  MAYBE.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_fallacy