Anything is possible crawford but if you're invested in FNMA than I'm sure it because you believe in her. Like I said in my other post, it's beneficial to simplify it...
Without FnF there goes the middle class. Whereas, who benefits from releasing them? Everyone!!!!!
Crawford2012, I think you could be on to something. This is a clear and present danger. I don't think it will happen at these low prices. But at higher prices this is a real possibility. Thanks for bringing this up because this answers a puzzle which I have been trying to understand myself. My adviser, who has been very good so far in calling the stock price of FNMA has said that we have until Sept 2014 to get out of this stock. There is a potential that something could happen but he does not know what will trigger this. Your thoughts could be something that brings this about.
I doubt that anyone can answer this question with conviction crawford neither does the market obviously. If there is a clear answer, we would be either at 0 or $100 depends on the answer. It is a speculative stock for now and it is all about risk tolerance and personal judgment for now IMO.
What are the chances that the big hedge funds, MM's or whom ever has interest here from the past are jacking this up just to sell their shares at anything they can get from the market now as they may know something we don't know.
This is a very fair question to ask, let me take a stab at it....
What are the chances that the big hedge funds, MM's or whom ever has interest here from the past are jacking this up just to sell their shares at anything they can get from the market now as they may know something we don't know. Is it fair to ask this question?
This would assume that hedge funds were in from prior to the collapse, never got out, and now would settle on a $5.00-$8.00 buyout PPS.
I find that this is not likely
First, why would they be holding the bag? They always have the inside info, and when the banking system was falling apart, they would have been the first to get out.
Second, it appears that the hedge funds are on our side this time. The lawsuits are brought on by the hedge funds this time.
Third, your theory would mean that the hedge funds road this all the down from say $40PS, never sold, held for years at $.20, and now are willing to settle on $5.00 a share. I doubt that. Actually, it is more believable that the hedge funds shorted this all the way down to .20 (they did it to Lehman Bros) and now want to profit on the way up.
I appreciate your caution, it is positive to think all possible scenarios. Good luck to you, and keep throwing things out for discussion. It does help us all.
Really the answer to your questions is held on the chart. Look at the $ volume, the accum/dist, etc. hedge funds wouldn't ride the sinking ship down nor would they hang around as bag holders. They are first movers in both directions. I promise the funds were the first out when this peaked at $5.20 back in May which is why we saw in the neighborhood of a billion dollars traded that day. These are big hitters here. Us retails and posters on ihub have no influence on this one which I personally like.