It has never happened in history before...I am following these indicators...
Interest rates...The Fed Funds rate is between 0 and .25 of one percent...That determines short term rates...If the fed starts to raise it, start selling all paper investments, and transfer to anything physical...Toilet Paper would even work....
The 10 year bond has started to go up, and that determines long term rates such as mortgages.
The Derivatives market - If it starts to implode, the end is near.
Banking Bailouts - The fed is currently floating 85 Billion a Month to the banks which is around 1 Trillion per year. My guess is that if banks come close to failing, there will be no such thing as "Too Big to Fail" this time around.
Shermann
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