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Crabby!!

04/18/13 9:08 PM

#36104 RE: SOUTHGAS #36096

And that's just one piece of the revenue stream, Estet we assume is growing, Nieman Marcus, Greece and if he hits the Signet deal...Bergio, Inc starts generating sales.
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david444

04/18/13 9:50 PM

#36111 RE: SOUTHGAS #36096

SOUTHGAS - Total sales is $369M for 2%, and $1.8B for 10%. FOR JUST ONE SHOW . - based on numbers from your post.

From your post,
2% of 82M viewers is 1.64M. If $225 is the avg transaction sales price, then total sales is 1.64M * $225 = $369M (for one show)
10% of 82M viewers is 8.2M. If $225 is the avg transaction sales price, then total sales is 8.2M * $225 = $1.8B (for one show)

BOS did a similar transaction on much more conservative numbers. Here are some ultra ultra conservative numbers.

Let's say out of 82M viewers, only 10% watched the Bergio Jewelry show at 6pm. 10% of 82M viewers is 8.2M viewers.
Let's say only 1% of those viewers placed orders. 1% of 8.2M is 82K homes(or viewers).
Let's say average transaction price is $100 (ultra ultra conservative - i know Bergio is in the luxury category).
Total sales for one show would be 82K homes * $100 = $8.2M (yes $8.2M for just one show)

Given shopNBC is entering into Luxury Jewelry with Bergio as it's first clientele, and assuming average transaction sales price is $200, total sales for just one show comes to $16.4M.

Imagine what happens to those sales numbers when Bergio gets multiple shows on shopNBC after May 7. Also keep in mind, shopNBC wants the Bergio Jewelry show to be a success because shopNBC invested it's own money to manufacture Bergio Jewelry.

There are lot of experienced traders on this board. I hope they take a look at these numbers, and come up with possible valuations for BRGO based on EPS etc.

For just one show, with a coverage to 1% of 82M viewers, and when 1% out of those 1% viewers buy items with avg price of $100, we see $8.2M total sales for BRGO.
For 10 shows, would the total sales range between $50M to $82M? . For >10 shows ...... :)

For avg price of $200, for just one show, BRGO total sales wud be $16M. For 10 shows, wouild it be greater than $100M :)

I am getting goosebumps, as I think about the possible scenario. do your own DD. I think if one of the experienced traders can go through these numbers, and can come up with a nice sticky on possible valuations depending on various scenarios, it will serve as a great intro for newbies onto this board.

Go BRGO :) I think that's why Berge said this is a MEGA deal


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jpaige17

04/18/13 11:32 PM

#36143 RE: SOUTHGAS #36096

Let's think realistically for those numbers, guys. The 82 million is the number of viewers to which the channel is available, not how many viewers they actually have. According to ShopNBC, they have 1.1 million active shoppers. Source:

http://www.24-7intouch.com/24-7/files/ca/cadc3747-7372-49c6-9209-b402b29bc999.pdf

Not nearly all of them will be watching the launch. But, let's say that 1% of them at some point over the course of the year buys a Bergio piece. That's 11,000 pieces at $200-400 each, making it $2.2-4.4 million for the year from this one venue. Still quite good, but much more realistic, IMO.

The enthusiasm is great. I think that BRGO will be multi-pennies very soon. But, when you guys start spouting insane numbers like that, it just sounds like silly pumping. That's just my opinion. Not trying to offend anyone here.