Replies to post #6435 on The New CS Board

[Technamental]

So far the $SPX model is 100% accurate for 2013.

The sign in Row 2 matches the sign in row 3 perfectly in each week. How many more weeks will the predictor "work?" Or, will we stray from the model and follow the 2012 pattern? We are currently in week 11.

	January				February			March					April				May				June 
 WEEK	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22 
 PREDIC	+	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	+	+	+	-	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	-	+	+ 
 2013	4.57%	0.38%	0.95%	1.14%	0.68%	0.31%	0.12%	-0.28%	0.17%	2.17%	0.32% 
 2012	1.61%	0.88%	2.04%	0.07%	2.17%	-0.17%	1.38%	0.33%	0.28%	0.09%	2.43%	-0.50%	0.81%	-0.74%	-1.99%	0.60%	1.80%	-2.44%	-1.15%	-4.30%	1.74%	-3.02%				 
 

Obviously weekly 11 is not finished yet. The percentage change will resolve by EOD Friday. To Ahimsak's point, I agree. 2013 feels like 2012. The last row above shows what happened in 2012 starting next week. We topped April 1 then dropped through June 1.

T