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renoldman

03/11/13 10:58 AM

#40 RE: RJ35 #39

The stock seems to be at an interesting point now.

I think those that had to sell are likely done or are willing to wait it out.

Book Value is $8 and is a better approximation of where this ought to be.

The reason that shares traded at $13 - 15 was because of the dividend.

If shares traded at $8 before the dividend cut, the yield would have been 14.375% which is extremely high.

At $13.50 (where the stock traded for a large part of 2012) the yield was 8.52%

That was still a high yield, but it did not go lower because there was some sense of reality in the valuation (ie. it didn't trade 2 to 3 times book value).

The dividend cut was a necessary evil as it is next to impossible to maintain a 100% payout ratio, especially when your assets have a limited life and investment in new purchases is a fact of a continuing business.

As a potential investment, the stock's current valuation is low and there appears to be a lot of room for appreciation.

I think a number of people are waiting and watching for the stock to bottom out.