InvestorsHub Logo
icon url

Protector

02/18/13 6:36 PM

#112467 RE: co3aii #112444

co3aii, correct.

The fundamental challenge is that any partial picture of a given hypothesis, poll or question is subject to random error. In statistical testing, a result is deemed statistically significant if it is so extreme (without external variables which would influence the correlation results of the test) that such a result would be expected to arise simply by chance only in rare circumstances. Hence the result provides enough evidence to reject the hypothesis of 'no effect'."



The BOLD part is EXACTLY what I addressed in the post, i used the wording "external factors" in-staid of "external variables" and positioned the patients assignment to groups, not spreading the ECOG levels, as an external factor which in the pancreatic was heavily in favor of the control arm.

Thanks for the definition, this one is correct.
icon url

investingdog

02/18/13 8:38 PM

#112480 RE: co3aii #112444

You explained stat sig well but something needs to be added. The p < 0.05 is really arbitrarily set number, it is 5% or second standard deviation. What that means is that if a drug is approved with p=0.04999 the chance is still about 5% that the drugs really doesn't work and the result of that particular phase 3 was a statistical fluke. We could have set the standard for approval to be first standard deviation, or the third one, or any number in between. So saying that p=0.04999 is stat sig and p=0.05001 is not and sticking strictly to that as a condition for a drug approval is almost ridiculous.