The market is often wrong but it is right far more often than amateur speculators are. If NNVC is such a sure thing, why isn't Seaside just holding on to its shares? If NNVC really has better than a 50% chance of success, then you must have found the biggest market anomaly of all time -- congratulations, George Soros will be seeking trading advice from you.
Today NNVC is one series of toxicity tests, one phase 1 trial, one phase 2 trial, one phase 3 trial, and one FDA approval away from having a marketable product. Five years ago NNVC was one series of toxicity tests, one phase 1 trial, one phase 2 trial, one phase 3 trial, and one FDA approval away from having a marketable product. Great progress, that.
NNVC just sold at 0.45. So much for the 0.46 "floor".