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WinLoseOrDraw

10/27/05 11:48 AM

#62891 RE: hiker #62888

Is what you're trying to say that no set of circumstances guarantees an outcome, but may indicate the probabilty of an outcome?

No. What I am saying is there is no correlation between what happens over the next X hours (days, weeks, months) with what happened over the past Y hours (days, weeks, months).

Wings clipped = using good risk management?

Yep. Understand that you're guessing, plan according.