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RealDutch

11/26/12 6:03 AM

#23622 RE: RealDutch #23620

Let's do the same for FF1 as has been suggested by RealDutch.

Let's assume $30M revenue in 2013
Using 40% margin that's a $12M net profit.
P/E=7 makes it a $84M company.
They can only spin-off 40% of the 75% they own.
.4 x .75 x 84 = $25M
Pay out half to shareholders = $12.5M
Divided by 140M shares = $0.09 per share.
All you have to do is tell the market you have a dozen more of these.
RealDutch wins.

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treit2002

11/26/12 6:23 AM

#23623 RE: RealDutch #23620

Here's the full 10-Q:

* Management is projecting a five-year plan from year 2013 onward summarized as follows:

1. To establish a chain of 50 restaurants using our existing Xining restaurant as a model under the brand name “ BULL ” throughout major China cities within our franchising and management system.

2. To slaughter and process up to 15,000 head of cattle and 100,000 sheep per year.

3. To generate annual sales revenue up to RMB 485 million per year, and targeting annual income of no less than RMB 65 million/year (excluding revenue and income of the 50 franchised restaurants).

4. To become a Dragon Head company during or before 2014.



Not saying you are necessarily wrong, and it takes an assumption that SIAF was not clear in the 10-Q (wouldn't be the first time), but I think that revenue target is for 2013. This is my recollection from being there, and handed there projections which I don't have with me (Sly?).

But I absolutely remember the figures 26,000 RMB per head and 46,000 RMB per head sold to the restaurants. They are projecting without restaurants, so the question is how many head of cattle and sheep are projected for 2013 and 2014. 10,000 head at 26,000 = $41.6M revenue alone.

Before the spin out, most probably they will have a larger stake, the slaughterhouse in operation, and the restaurant franchise well under way, likely selling at a higher gross price, and at much higher margins.
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The Swede

11/26/12 7:06 AM

#23627 RE: RealDutch #23620

They can only spin-off 30% of the 45% they own.


which Sino Agro Food currently holds a 45% equity interest. Sino Agro Food, Inc. is now preparing arrangements and documentation to bring its holding to 60% equity interest on or before October 2011, making SJAP a majority owned subsidiary.



http://sinoagrofood.investorroom.com/index.php?s=43&item=26



What is the reason for this delay?