Very interesting, but the math doesn't seem to work out by my calculation. Here's what I get, I'd like to know where I'm off, if I am.
SAIC says they monitored a 1 ton unit for 3 days that sounded like continuous operation. During this period, 14,500 gallons of fuel were produced. That works out to 4,833 gallons/day.
If a 2 ton processor produces twice as much, that's 9,666 gallons of fuel per day, running continuously.
3 2-ton processors running continuously produce 29k gallons/day.
Assuming roughly $2.50/gallon ($105/barrel), revenue is $72,500/day.
Assuming 365 days of running, yields about $26.5 million in revenue.
So 3, 2-ton machines running full bore for every day of an entire year produces $26.5 million in revenue.
Yet SAIC suggested EBITDA of $28 million at only 75% uptime.
In addition, the cost of goods sold JBI has reported over the last 2 quarters is about 75% with a 25% gross margin. Those costs need to be subtracted from EBITDA.
Perhaps someone who has seen the full report can explain the apparent discrepancy.