Replies to post #11007 on Sino Agro Food Inc (fka SIAF)

[RealDutch]

QUESTION:
How far from these figures are we now do you think?

Well, we are already down from 1.00 to 0.62 (fully diluted) one year later. Of course the whole Chinese sector got hit with a hammer in 2011 so this shouldn't be a surprise to anyone.

And I find it hard to believe that anyone can look ahead 3 years and feel confident about it.

It's best to stick with what we know now, and I'm looking at 0.45 fully diluted for 2012. I have a feeling that 2013 is going to be exceptional though. Something like 1.00. Far more than the 50% average EPS growth rate that would justify a P/E of 50.