I wouldn't call my post a "gross oversimplification."
It's just simple math, looking at share structure, the balance sheets, and debt via debentures that result in continued dilution.
More often than not, it is best to apply the KISS principle.
Your correlation between the number of increasing negative posts to the possibility of future orders by the Air Force is illogical.
The number of negative posts seems to have remained pretty constant for weeks, and if they correlate to anything, it is to the continued drop in share price.
As a matter of fact, most stock forums have far more negative posts and "bashers" when they experience the drop in price as experienced by $AFPW. And, most of those negative posts are from current or former longs. $AFPW has faired very well in that area.
I don't subscribe to conspiracy theories of nefarious acts committed by untold individuals that want to drive the price of a penny stock price down.
In the end, they never pan out, and it always ends up being a result of something much simpler. I'm providing a definition of Occam's Razor below for your benefit.
You may not be terribly worried about current share price, but there are others that are concerned, and others yet that are continuing to throw more money at bad money when there are other places to put that money.
Occam's razor From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Occam's razor (also written as Ockham's razor, Latin lex parsimoniae) is the law of parsimony, economy or succinctness. It is a principle urging one to select among competing hypotheses that which makes the fewest assumptions and thereby offers the simplest explanation of the effect.
The principle is often incorrectly summarized as "other things being equal, a simpler explanation is better than a more complex one." In practice, the application of the principle often shifts the burden of proof in a discussion.[1] The razor asserts that one should proceed to simpler theories until simplicity can be traded for greater explanatory power. The simplest available theory need not be most accurate. Philosophers point out also that the exact meaning of simplest may be nuanced.[2]
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